urban living index mccrindle slideshare
TRANSCRIPT
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MEASURING URBAN LIVEABILITY ACROSS SYDNEY
Mark McCrindleDeveloped for Urban Taskforce Australia
Thursday 10 December 2015
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AUSTRALIA’S POPULATION
24m
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SYDNEY: A CENTURY OF GROWTH
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SYDNEY: A CENTURY OF GROWTH
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SYDNEY: A CENTURY OF GROWTH
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SYDNEY: A CENTURY OF GROWTH
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SYDNEY: A CENTURY OF GROWTH
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SYDNEY’S GROWTH COMPARED:
1.7%
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SYDNEY’S GROWTH COMPARED:
IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS, SYDNEY HAS GROWN BY 86,000 PEOPLE
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SYDNEY’S GROWTH COMPARED:
1.7%TASMANIA GREW BY AROUND 1,400 PEOPLE
IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS, SYDNEY HAS GROWN BY 86,000 PEOPLE
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SYDNEY’S GROWTH COMPARED:
1.7%SYDNEY IS GROWING BY MORE PEOPLE EVERY 6 DAYS
THAN TASMANIA ADDS IN A WHOLE YEAR
TASMANIA GREW BY AROUND 1,400 PEOPLE
IN THE LAST 12 MONTHS, SYDNEY HAS GROWN BY 86,000 PEOPLE
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% OF STATE POPULATION LIVING IN THE CAPITAL CITY
48%
Brisbane
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% OF STATE POPULATION LIVING IN THE CAPITAL CITY
63%
Sydney
48%
Brisbane
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3/4 1/4AUSTRALIA
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2/3 1/3SYDNEY
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1/3 2/3NEW APPROVALS
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HOUSE PRICES EXCEEDING WAGES GROWTH
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HOUSE PRICES EXCEEDING WAGES GROWTH
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HOUSE PRICES EXCEEDING WAGES GROWTH
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METHODOLOGY
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METHODOLOGY
• Data collected from 228 SA2s (suburbs) across Sydney (SUA)
• Analysis of ABS Census data (cat. 2010.0)• Analysis of ABS Business data (cat. 8165.0)• Online survey of 1,020 Sydney-siders: in field
from 29th September to 4th October 2015
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URBAN LIVING INDEX
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INDEX EXPLAINED
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INDEX EXPLAINED
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INDEX EXPLAINED
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INDEX EXPLAINED
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COMBINED CATEGORY SCORECARD
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CORRELATION
Urban Living Index
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 1000
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
Proportion of High Density Dwellings
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CORRELATION
Urban Living Index
Proportion of High Density Dwellings
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 1000
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
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CORRELATION
Urban Living Index
Proportion of High Density Dwellings
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 1000
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
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PLANNING REGIONS
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PLANNING REGIONS
CENTRAL 73
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PLANNING REGIONS
CENTRAL 73
NORTH 65
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PLANNING REGIONS
CENTRAL 73
NORTH 65
SOUTH 60
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PLANNING REGIONS
CENTRAL 73
NORTH 65
SOUTH 60
WEST CENTRAL 57
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PLANNING REGIONS
CENTRAL 73
NORTH 65
SOUTH 60
WEST 49
WEST CENTRAL 57
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PLANNING REGIONS
CENTRAL 73
NORTH 65
SOUTH 60
WEST 49
WEST CENTRAL 57
SOUTH WEST 48
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Region
Average Urban Living Index
ScoreCentral 73North 65South 60West Central 57West 49South West 48
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Region
Average Urban Living Index
Score
Average Proportion of High Density
DwellingsCentral 73 52%North 65 29%South 60 29%West Central 57 15%West 49 5%South West 48 7%
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Planning RegionCentral
Surry HillsNorthCrows Nest - WavertonWest Central
Parramatta - RosehillSouth
HurstvilleSouth West
Liverpool - Warwick Farm
WestSpringwood - Winmalee
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Planning Region Urban Living IndexCentral
Surry Hills 85NorthCrows Nest - Waverton 85West Central
Parramatta - Rosehill 80South
Hurstville 76South West
Liverpool - Warwick Farm 66
WestSpringwood - Winmalee 59
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Planning Region Urban Living IndexUrban Living Index Rank
CentralSurry Hills 85 1
NorthCrows Nest - Waverton 85 1West Central
Parramatta - Rosehill 80 13South
Hurstville 76 31South West
Liverpool - Warwick Farm 66 74
WestSpringwood - Winmalee 59 108
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URBAN LIVING INDEX SCORES
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1. CROWS NEST – WAVERTON 851. SURRY HILLS 85
5. NORTH SYDNEY – LAVENDAR BAY 825. RANDWICK 82
5. CHATSWOOD (EAST) – ARTARMON 825. LEICHHARDT – ANNANDALE 82
3. PYRMONT – ULTIMO 833. MARRICKVILLE 835. POTTS POINT – WOOLLOOMOOLOO 82
URBAN LIVING INDEX SCORES
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TOP 10 URBAN LIVING INDEX SUBURBS
Suburb (SA2) Index Index Rank
Proportion of dwellings that
are High Density
HD Rank
Crows Nest – Waverton 85 1 71% 11Surry Hills 85 1 70% 14Pyrmont – Ultimo 83 3 91% 3Marrickville 83 3 40% 62Potts Point – Woolloomooloo 82 5 92% 2North Sydney - Lavender Bay 82 5 78% 5Randwick 82 5 68% 17Chatswood (East) – Artarmon 82 5 64% 25Leichhardt – Annandale 82 5 25% 91Neutral Bay – Kirribilli 81 10 76% 7
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HIGHEST DENSITY SUBURBS
High densit
y Rank
Suburb (SA2)Proportion of
dwellings that are high
density
Urban Living Index
Urban Living Index Rank
1Sydney - Haymarket - The Rocks 92% 77 26
2 Potts Point - Woolloomooloo 92% 82 53 Pyrmont - Ultimo 91% 83 34 Parramatta - Rosehill 82% 80 135 North Sydney - Lavender Bay 78% 82 56 Darlinghurst 76% 80 137 Neutral Bay - Kirribilli 76% 81 10
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HIGHEST DENSITY SUBURBS
High densit
y Rank
Suburb (SA2)Proportion of
dwellings that are high
density
Urban Living Index
Urban Living Index Rank
1Sydney - Haymarket - The Rocks 92% 77 26
2 Potts Point - Woolloomooloo 92% 82 53 Pyrmont - Ultimo 91% 83 34 Parramatta - Rosehill 82% 80 135 North Sydney - Lavender Bay 78% 82 56 Darlinghurst 76% 80 137 Neutral Bay - Kirribilli 76% 81 10
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HIGHEST DENSITY SUBURBS
High densit
y Rank
Suburb (SA2)Proportion of
dwellings that are high
density
Urban Living Index
Urban Living Index Rank
1Sydney - Haymarket - The Rocks 92% 77 26
2 Potts Point - Woolloomooloo 92% 82 53 Pyrmont - Ultimo 91% 83 34 Parramatta - Rosehill 82% 80 135 North Sydney - Lavender Bay 78% 82 56 Darlinghurst 76% 80 137 Neutral Bay - Kirribilli 76% 81 10
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HIGHEST DENSITY SUBURBS
High densit
y Rank
Suburb (SA2)Proportion of
dwellings that are high
density
Urban Living Index
Urban Living Index Rank
1Sydney - Haymarket - The Rocks 92% 77 26
2 Potts Point - Woolloomooloo 92% 82 53 Pyrmont - Ultimo 91% 83 34 Parramatta - Rosehill 82% 80 135 North Sydney - Lavender Bay 78% 82 56 Darlinghurst 76% 80 137 Neutral Bay - Kirribilli 76% 81 10
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HIGHEST DENSITY SUBURBS
Affordability
Community
Employability
Amenity
Accessibility
Sydney - Haymarket - The Rocks 6 15 16 20 20
Potts Point - Woolloomooloo 9 16 19 18 20
Pyrmont - Ultimo 7 17 20 20 19
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INDEX MEASURES
MeasureAffordability Community Employabilit
y Amenity Accessibility
Home cost Dynamic community
Full-time employment
Educational attendance Access to work
Rental cost Language diversity
Higher education qualification
Arts and Recreation
Population density
Rental population Volunteer work Professionals Restaurants
and cafesWalking to work
Household income
Workforce participation
Employing businesses Shopping Transport
sustainability
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SURVEY RESULTS
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SENTIMENT TOWARD HIGH DENSITY HOUSING
CentralNorthSouth
West CentralSouth West
West
69%66%
56%47%
40%30%
Proportion of Sydney-siders who have never lived in a unit / apartment however would
consider living in one.
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CentralNorthSouth
West CentralSouth West
West
69%66%
56%47%
40%30%
Proportion of Sydney-siders who have never lived in a unit / apartment however would
consider living in one.
SENTIMENT TOWARD HIGH DENSITY HOUSING
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GENERATIONAL SENTIMENT
Generation Y
Generation X
Baby Boomers
63%
41%
53%
Q. Of those who have never lived in a unit / apartment: I would consider living in a unit /
apartment in the future
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GENERATIONAL SENTIMENT
Generation Y
Generation X
Baby Boomers
63%
41%
53%
Q. Of those who have never lived in a unit / apartment: I would consider living in a unit /
apartment in the future
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HIGH DENSITY HOUSING SENTIMENT
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 102% 1% 2% 2% 4%
20%
11%
20% 18%
10% 10%
Q. Thinking about the high density hous-ing in which you live, how likely would
you be to recommend this type of hous-ing to other people?
89%
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AFFORDABILITY
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AFFORDABILITY SENTIMENT
I could definitely afford to buy into my area
I could probably afford to buy into my area
I could possibly afford to buy into my areaI would probably be unable to buy into my
areaI would definitely be unable to buy into my
area
8%
13%
19%
24%
37%
Q. If you were starting over and had to buy into your area in the current property market, to
what extent could you afford to?
61%
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Much more affordableSame
Much less affordable
4%7%
39%26%
25%
Q. Compared to today, based on the costs of living balanced with employment
opportunities, how affordable do you think it will be for you and your house-hold to live in your area in three years'
time? 51%
Generation Y Generation X Baby Boomers% who think it will be less
affordable in 3 years 56% 53% 47%
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Much more affordableSame
Much less affordable
4%7%
39%26%
25%
Q. Compared to today, based on the costs of living balanced with employment
opportunities, how affordable do you think it will be for you and your house-hold to live in your area in three years'
time? 51%
Generation Y Generation X Baby Boomers% who think it will be less
affordable in 3 years 56% 53% 47%
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Massive challenge
Significant challenge
Somewhat a challenge
Slight challenge
Not a challenge at all
59%
29%
7%
3%
2%
Q. To what extent do you think Sydney's housing affordability is a challenge for your children and
the next generation?88%
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Significantly assists affordability
Somewhat assists affordability
Does not have an impact on affordability
Somewhat inhibits affordability
Significantly inhibits affordability
12%
45%
32%
6%
5%
Q. To what extent does the increase in the number of units and apartments in Sydney
create affordability options, when compared to building detached homes only?
57%
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COMMUNITY
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PRIORITISE COMMUNITY FIRST
Q. When looking for a place to call home which of the following matters most to you,• the building and fittings or • the location and community?
62%
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CURRENT LIVEABILITY MATTERS MOST
64%
Q. In thinking about a possible place to live, which of the following matter more,•the long term property price growth opportunities or•the current liveability of your area?
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WALKABLE COMMUNITIES
59%
Q. Thinking about where you do most of your shopping and recreational activities, how far is this from where you currently live?
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AMENITY
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Educational attendance: Proportion of an area currently attending a post-school higher educational institution.
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Arts and recreation: Number of arts and recreation organisations and facilities in an area.
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Restaurants and cafes: Count of the number of accommodation and food services businesses in an area.
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Shopping: Count of the number of retail and trade businesses in an area.
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SINGLE CATEGORY SCORECARD
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urbanlivingindex.com
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