update on enrollment sy 2013-14 - volusia...elementary enrollment change sy 13/14 0 500 1000 1500...
TRANSCRIPT
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Update on Enrollment
SY 2013-14
School Board Budget Workshop
May 13, 2014 1
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-2,000
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
55,000
60,000
65,000
70,000
75,000
20 Day Count Increase
2
This year’s 20-day
enrollment
increased
by 110 students to
61,234
The projections
anticipate annual
increases in
student
enrollment.
STUDENT ENROLLMENT AND CHANGE
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Student Enrollment Trend Comparison
54,000
56,000
58,000
60,000
62,000
64,000
66,000
68,000
DAY 1 DAY 9 DAY 20 DAY 40 DAY 60 DAY 80 DAY 100 DAY 120 DAY 140 DAY 160 DAY 180
SY 2006-07 SY 2007-08 SY 2008-09 SY 2009-10 SY 2010-11 SY 2011-12 SY 2012-13 SY 2013-14
3
STUDENT ENROLLMENT TREND COMPARISON
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STUDENT ENROLLMENT TREND COMPARISON
54000
56000
58000
60000
62000
64000
66000
68000
DAY 1 DAY 9 DAY 20 DAY 40 DAY 60 DAY 80 DAY 100 DAY 120 DAY 140 DAY 160 DAY 180
SY 2000-01 SY 2001-02 SY 2002-03 SY 2003-04 SY 2013-14
4
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DAYTONA RISING
$400,000,000 Expansion
6,300 new jobs
5
ONE DAYTONA
Phase 1 – 4,700 construction jobs
3,100 permanent jobs
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HIGHER EDUCATION ECONOMIC IMPACT
6
Spec Martin
Memorial
Stadium
Renovation
Future Aquatic
Center and
Science Research
Stetson University Bethune Cookman
University
Harrison Rhodes Memorial
Building Renovations
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EMBRY-RIDDLE AERONAUTICAL UNIVERSITY
7
Jim W. Henderson
Welcome Center
College of Arts & Sciences
Largest Telescope at
any university in
Florida
• Planned Student Union
• Development of Aerospace
Research and Technology Park
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OTHER ECONOMIC ANNOUNCEMENTS
8
• Hard Rock Hotel & Café - $100M development
• Daytona Beach Convention Hotel - $150M development
• Masco Administrative Services – Expansion, 58 new jobs
• Trader Joe’s Distribution Ctr - $80M investment, 450 new jobs
• Boston Whaler – Expansion, 46 new jobs
• SunRail Phase I – DeBary Station now open
• “Project Dial” – Deltona call center, 500 new jobs
• Frontier Communications – $2M expansion, 200 new jobs
• DaVita Healthcare Partners – New Laboratory, 100 new jobs
Source: Daytona Beach News Journal
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FUNDED INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS
9
Tom Staed/Veterans Memorial
Bridge Replacement • Bridge construction begins early
2015; project completion early
2017 - $24.4M
• U.S. 92 new sidewalks,
pedestrian bridge, late 2014
through early 2016 - $18M
• I-95 widening; interchange
redesign at I-4/I-95 and I-
95/U.S. 92, late 2014 through
2019 - $246M
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5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
13.0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov DecData source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE Volusia & Orlando MSAs
2010
2011
2012
Volusia MSA
2010 Volusia MSA
2011 Volusia MSA
2012
Orlando MSA 2010
Orlando MSA 2011
Orlando MSA 2012
Volusia MSA 2013
Orlando MSA 2013
2013
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Volusia County Residential Building Permits by Year
2003 thru 2013
Data source: Volusia County Department of Economic Development
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0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Recorded Foreclosures in Volusia County by Quarter
2006 thru 2013
Data source: Volusia County Department of Economic Development
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0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Recorded Foreclosure Sales in Volusia County by Quarter
2006 thru 2013
Data source: Volusia County Department of Economic Development
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CURRENT ECONOMIC & ENROLLMENT INDICATORS
14
• $2B investment by local governments, business entities,
and state funding are all contributing factors.
• 10,000 new jobs added to Volusia/Flagler since Feb. 2013.
• Tourism Tax Revenues rose to $2.4M in March 2014 from
$2.2M in March 2013.
• Bed Tax collections increased by 18% in Feb. 2014 from
Feb 2013.
• Ocean Center revenue on pace to exceed total revenue
from last year in first 5 months of current fiscal year.
• Florida’s housing market higher median prices, more new
listings, fewer days on market.
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TAX CREDIT SCHOLARSHIPS
21,695
25,026
29,318
34,550
40,308
50,829
15%
17% 18%
17%
26%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13
Particpants
Percent Change
15
Source: FDOE
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UNWEIGHTED FTE HISTORY
-2.5%
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
State Volusia16
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ENROLLMENT CHANGE SY 13/14
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
Elementary Middle High
20 day
120 Day
140 Day
160 Day
Δ -885
Δ +504
Δ -112
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ELEMENTARY ENROLLMENT CHANGE SY 13/14
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
Pre-K K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
20 Day
120 Day
140 Day
160 Day
Δ +234
Δ +49 Δ +44 Δ +93 Δ +8 Δ +86 Δ +19
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ELEMENTARY ENROLLMENT CHANGE SY 13/14
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
North Halifax Area Central Halifax Area South Halifax Area
20 day
120 Day
140 Day
160 Day
Δ +118
Δ +58
Δ +51
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ELEMENTARY ENROLLMENT CHANGE SY 13/14
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
DeBary/
Orange City Area
DeLand Area Deltona Area
20 day
120 Day
140 Day
160 Day
Δ +137
Δ +78
Δ +35
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IMPLICATIONS FOR SY 2014-15
Higher than projected student
enrollments impact budget:
Demand for personnel – operating budget
Class size – operating budget
Demand for classrooms – capital budget
Demand for transportation – capital &
operating budget
Demand for instructional materials &
technology – operating & capital budgets 21