united states world agricultural service production · 12-06-2013 · brazil. brazil has two...
TRANSCRIPT
Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign
Agricultural Service Circular Series WAP 6-13 June 2013
Russia Wheat: Conditions Deteriorate in Key Winter-Wheat Zone The USDA forecasts Russia wheat production for 2013/14 at 54.0 million tons, down 2.0 million or 3.6 percent from last month but up 16.3 million or 43 percent from last year, when severe drought sharply reduced output in five of the country’s six main grain-producing regions. Harvested area is estimated at 24.7 million hectares against 21.3 million last year. Winter wheat accounts for about half of Russia’s total wheat area, and for about two-thirds of the output due to inherently higher yield. Total wheat yield is forecast at 2.19 tons per hectare, up 21 percent from last year and 2 percent above the 5-year average. Winter-wheat conditions deteriorated during May in Russia’s Southern and North Caucasus Districts following an extended period of hot, dry weather that depleted subsurface moisture reserves and placed stress on winter crops. These two districts together produce about 60 percent of the country’s winter wheat. Meanwhile, conditions in the Central District are outstanding, and output from the Volga District is likely to rebound significantly from last year, when wheat yield fell to one of the lowest levels in 15 years. The planting of spring wheat in the Siberian District has encountered major delays resulting from several weeks of unfavorably wet weather in May. According to data from the Ministry of Agriculture, wheat planting in Siberia was 54 percent complete by May 28 compared to 89 percent by the same date last year. Spring-grain planting in Russia is mostly complete by early June but will occasionally continue until the middle of the month. (For more information, please contact Mark Lindeman at 202-690-0143.)
World Agricultural Production
2
Ukraine Wheat: Yield Forecast Falls to Slightly Below Average The USDA forecasts Ukraine wheat production for 2013/14 at 19.5 million tons, down 2.5 million or 11 percent from last month, but up 3.7 million or 24 percent from last year. Harvested area is estimated at 6.5 million hectares, up 0.9 million from last year, which was marked by excessive fall dryness that destroyed over 15 percent of the winter wheat. (Ukraine’s winter wheat is planted in the fall and harvested the following summer.) Yield for 2013/14 is estimated at 3.00 tons per hectare, down 10 percent from last month and 4 percent below the 5-year average. The outlook for Ukraine wheat was quite favorable in early April as the crop broke dormancy and resumed vegetative growth in unusually good condition. The situation had deteriorated by mid-May, however, following six consecutive weeks of dry weather and unusually high temperatures. Conditions rebounded somewhat during the second half of May in areas that received beneficial rain, but satellite-derived vegetation indices indicate that overall yield prospects have dimmed since early spring. Harvest will begin in late June or early July and conclude in early August. (For more information, please contact Mark Lindeman at 202-690-0143.) European Union Wheat: Excessive Spring Rains Contribute to Crop Reductions Wheat production in the European Union (EU) is estimated at 137.4 million tons, down 1.3 million tons or 1.0 percent from last month. The 2013/14 production estimate is above last year’s 132.1 million tons, but below the five-year average of 139.1 million tons. Area is estimated at 25.9 million hectares, down from last month’s estimate of 26.0 million hectares, but up 0.3 million from last year and equivalent to the five-year average. Yield is also down, estimated at 5.32 tons per hectare (T/Ha) down from 5.34 (T/Ha) last month, but up from 5.17 (T/Ha) last year. Eastern EU countries have experienced excessive spring rainfall and colder-than-average spring temperatures, delaying crop development and reducing yield potential. Further south, unusually high temperatures and dryness stressed the Bulgarian wheat crop, lowering yield potential there as well. The largest reductions in estimated production for June include Italy at 0.4 million tons, and the Czech Republic, Poland, Hungary, and Bulgaria (each at about 0.2 million tons). Estimated harvested area for Italy wheat has been lowered from 1.9 million hectares to 1.82 million, to reflect the latest information from local analysts in Italy. (For more information, please contact Bryan Purcell at 202-690-0138.) Italy Corn: 2013/14 Production Estimate Lowered Due to Abnormally High Spring Rainfall Preventing Planting Italy’s 2013/14 corn production is forecast at 8.0 million tons from 0.875 million hectares. Estimated production is down 1.1 million tons or 12 percent from last month, but remains 0.4 million tons or 5 percent above last year’s drought -damaged crop. Harvested area is down 0.1 million hectares or 10 percent from last month and from last year, and it is estimated at its lowest
June 2013
3
level since 1992/93. Yield is forecast at 9.14 tons per hectare, down 2 percent from last month, but up 17 percent from last year.
Italy, typically the European Union (EU)’s second largest corn producer after France, is experiencing its second consecutive season with adverse growing conditions. Excessive rainfall began in March, interrupting and delaying planting activities. Because above-average rainfall continued throughout the spring, crop growth consistently lagged behind normal by about three weeks. At the beginning of June, sowing was still in progress, far beyond the normal schedule. Various sources in Italy estimate about 10-20 percent of the intended corn crop will not be planted. Corn production is concentrated in northern Italy’s Po River Valley, where irrigation water originating from the Alps can be utilized. MODIS satellite vegetation indices (NDVI) depict biomass levels in the intensively farmed land of the Po River Valley in northern Italy to be below normal.
June 2013
4
Although estimated corn production for Italy is significantly down this month, offsetting increases occurred elsewhere in the EU due to beneficial soil moisture and increased area estimates. Other large EU corn changes for June include Hungary (up 0.5 million) and Poland (up 0.4 million). Total EU corn production is forecast to increase by 0.1 million tons to 63.9 million. (For more information, please contact Bryan Purcell at 202-690-0138.) Brazil Corn: Increase in Second-crop 2012/13 Corn Area; Record Yields The USDA forecasts Brazil corn production for 2012/13 at a record 77.0 million tons, up 1.0 million or 1 percent from last month and up 4.0 million tons or 5 percent from the previous record in 2011/12. Area is estimated at a record 15.8 million hectares, up 200 thousand hectares from last month and up 600 thousand hectares or 2 percent from last year. Total corn yield is forecast at a record 4.87 tons per hectare, unchanged from last month. Brazil 2012/13 corn area is changed due to recent government reports. Recent government reports raised the area estimate for second-crop corn, or Safrinha corn in Brazil. Brazil has two seasons for corn production. First season corn is planted in September and is harvested in March. A larger second-season, or Safrinha crop, accounts for more than 55 percent of national production. The Safrinha crop is planted after the early-season soybean harvest. Mato Grosso is the largest producer accounting for 38 percent. Paraná, Mato Grosso do Sul, and Goiás taken together, produce 52 percent. Mato Grosso, Goiás, Paraná and Mato Grosso do Sul had beneficial rains since late February up until mid-April. Beneficial rains have continued for Paraná and Mato Grosso do Sul; however, rains in Mato Grosso ended for about five weeks before returning. Most of the crop was midway through grainfill in Mato Grosso at that point. In early June it has rained about two inches, boosting prospects for later-planted corn.
Mato Grosso’s second-crop corn biomass development, observed from satellite analysis, appears to be lower than last year’s development in western and southeastern Mato Grosso. In central Mato Grosso which has 50 percent of the corn area, corn development looks similar to last year, but slightly less. Yields for first-crop corn are expected to be at record levels. Safrinha corn yields are expected to be high, but not at record levels. Yield potential in Mato Grosso is determined by the length of the rainy season and this year the season ended when expected in mid-April. Mato Grosso achieved record Safrinha corn yields in 2011/12 and lower than record yields are expected in 2012/13. (For more information, call Bob Tetrault at 202-720-1071.) European Union Rapeseed: Estimated Production Reduced Due to Poor Weather and Revised Area Estimates The 2013/14 European Union (EU) rapeseed crop is forecast at 19.7 million tons, down 0.3 million or 1.5 percent from last month, but up 0.6 million tons or 3.3 percent from last year. The crop is estimated at 0.2 million tons below the five-year average. Harvested area is estimated at 6.4 million hectares, down 0.1 million or 1.2 percent from last month, but up 0.2 million or 3.4 percent from last year. The 5-year average for EU rapeseed area is 6.5 million hectares. Yield
June 2013
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is estimated at 3.07 tons per hectare (T/Ha), down from 3.08 T/Ha last month and equivalent to last year’s yield. The decrease in estimated production is attributed to revised area data and continued poor weather conditions. Estimated output for the UK has been reduced for the second consecutive month to 1.9 million a month-to-month drop of 0.1 million tons, indicating the lowest level for UK rapeseed production since 2006/07. Area harvested in France is reduced based on revised estimates from FAS in Europe, due to extensive planting difficulties from too much rain. The area reduction has resulted in lowering French production from 5.2 to 4.95 million tons. Reports from both Romania and Bulgaria indicate lower area as well as lower production, partly due to heat and dryness during May. Meanwhile, production in Germany was increased 0.16 million tons, due to a drying trend that allowed rapeseed to recover from excessive spring precipitation. The dryness accelerated plant growth before another onslaught of rain. The latest rains flooded rivers and streams, targeting the southeast German state of Bavaria. Flood damage was non-agricultural as it was limited primarily to along waterways. (For more information, please contact Bryan Purcell at 202-690-0138.) Brazil Soybeans: Lower Production in 2012/13 due to Losses in the Northeast The USDA forecasts Brazil’s 2012/13 soybean production at a record 82.0 million tons, down 1.5 million tons or 2 percent from last month but up 15.5 million tons or 23 percent from last year. Harvested 2012/13 soybean area is forecast at a record 27.7 million hectares, up 200 thousand hectares from last month and up 2.7 million hectares or 11 percent from last year. Soybean yield is forecast at 2.96 tons per hectare, a decrease of 3 percent from last month due to harvest reports from northeastern states. Soybean harvest is complete in Brazil except for the second-crop soybeans in Paraná. In late January 2013, FAS/Washington and FAS/Brasilia traveled to Mato Grosso and Bahia states. At the time, soybean crop conditions in both states were observed to be very good. But irregular rainy-season rains have affected yields in Bahia and the other northeastern states of Piauí, Maranhão, and Pará. Production for these states has declined 1.5 million tons since the January Companhia Nacional do Abastecimento (CONAB) survey. These four states account for 7 percent of national production. The losses in the Northeast and smaller losses in Goiás and Mato Grosso do Sul are partially offset by better than expected yields in Rio Grande do Sul and Paraná. Brazilian farmers enthusiastically reacted to high soybean prices this year and increased area 11 percent to a record 27.7 million hectares. Brazil is the world’s largest producer of soybeans, passing the United States this past year when the United States suffered through its worst drought in 50 years. (For more information, call Bob Tetrault at 202-720-1071.)
June 2013
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World Agricultural Production U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service / Office of Global Analysis International Production Assessment Division (IPAD / PECAD)
Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building Washington, DC 20250-1051
http://www.pecad.fas.usda.gov/ Telephone: (202) 720-1157 Fax: (202) 720-1158
This report uses information from the Foreign Agricultural Service’s (FAS) global network of agricultural attachés and counselors, official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, and the analysis of economic data and satellite imagery. Estimates of foreign area, yield, and production are from the International Production Assessment Division, FAS, and are reviewed by USDA’s Inter-Agency Commodity Estimates Committee. Estimates of U.S. area, yield, and production are from USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. Numbers within the report may not add to totals because of rounding. This report reflects official USDA estimates released in the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE-519), June 12, 2013. Printed copies are available from the National Technical Information Service. Download an order form at http://www.ntis.gov/products/specialty/usda/fas_a-g.asp, or call NTIS at 1-800-363-2068. The FAS International Production Assessment Branch prepared this report. The next issue of World Agricultural Production will be released after 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time, July 11, 2013.
Conversion Table
Metric tons to bushels
Wheat, soybeans = MT * 36.7437 Corn, sorghum, rye = MT * 39.36825 Barley = MT * 45.929625 Oats = MT * 68.894438
Metric tons to 480-lb bales
Cotton = MT * 4.592917
Metric tons to hundredweight
Rice = MT * 22.04622
Area & weight
1 hectare = 2.471044 acres 1 kilogram = 2.204622 pounds
June 2013
For further information, contact: U.S. Department of Agriculture
Foreign Agricultural Service Office of Global Analysis
International Production Assessment Division Ag Box 1051, Room 4630, South Building
Washington, DC 20250-1051
Telephone: (202) 720-1157 Fax: (202) 720-1158 GENERAL INFORMATION Director Derrick Williams III 202-690-0131 [email protected] Deputy Director Paul Provance 202-720-0873 [email protected] USDA Remote Sensing Advisor Glenn Bethel 202-720-1280 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Sr. Analyst/Satellite Imagery Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Archives Manager/Technical Lead Sr. Analyst/ Global Special Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Projects Manager/Technical Lead Program Analyst Mary Jackson 202-720-0886 [email protected] GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] Administrative Assistant/COTR Terri Lagarde 202-720-1157 [email protected] COUNTRY- AND REGION-SPECIFIC INFORMATION South America, Argentina and Colombia Denise McWilliams, PhD 202-720-0107 [email protected] Western and Central Europe, Bryan Purcell 202-690-0138 [email protected] and North Africa Russia, Kazakhstan, Ukraine, Mark Lindeman 202-690-0143 [email protected] and other FSU-12 countries
Canada, Caribbean, Sri Lanka, Arnella Trent 202-720-0881 [email protected] and Bangladesh
East Asia, China, and Japan Paulette Sandene 202-690-0133 [email protected] India, Pakistan and Nepal Dath Mita, PhD 202-720-7339 [email protected] Sub-Saharan Africa, Mexico Curt Reynolds, PhD 202-690-0134 [email protected] Nigeria and South Africa S.E. Asia, Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia, Michael Shean 202-720-7366 [email protected] Cambodia and Vietnam Brazil, Venezuela and Central America Robert Tetrault 202-720-1071 [email protected] Australia, New Zealand, Jim Crutchfield 202-690-0135 [email protected] Papua New Guinea and South Pacific Islands Middle East, Afghanistan, Iraq, Bill Baker, PhD 202-260-8109 [email protected] Iran and Syria Western United States Justin Jenkins 202-720-0419 [email protected] Eastern United States Paul Provance 202-720-0873 [email protected] Crop Analyst Vacant
June 2013
Million Metric Tons
Table 01 World Crop Production Summary
World
-
Total
Foreign
North
America
North
America
North
America
EU-27
-
Former
Soviet
Former
Soviet
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
South
America
South
America
Selected
Other
Selected
Other
Selected
Other
All
Others
none
-
none
-
United
States
Mexico
-
Canada
-
none
-
Russia
-
Ukraine
-
China
-
India
-
Indo-
nesia
Paki-
stan
Thai-
land
Argen-
tina
Brazil
-
South
Africa
Turkey
-
none
-
Aus-
tralia
Commodity
---Million metric tons---
Wheat
2011/12 96.718.82.029.95.815.5nr25.0nr86.9117.422.356.2137.33.625.354.4642.8697.2
2012/13 prel. 84.315.51.922.14.311.0nr23.3nr94.9120.615.837.7132.13.227.261.8593.8655.6
2013/14 proj.
May 97.117.61.724.55.013.0nr24.0nr92.0121.022.056.0138.83.529.056.0645.1701.1
Jun 97.017.61.724.55.013.0nr24.0nr92.0121.019.554.0137.43.529.056.6639.2695.9
Coarse Grains
2011/12 166.711.313.312.475.930.14.43.68.942.3199.333.533.1147.725.822.9323.7830.91,154.6
2012/13 prel. 166.510.612.710.379.837.74.73.69.038.9212.429.528.7143.129.124.3286.0840.91,126.9
2013/14 proj.
May 173.512.313.511.174.836.94.93.69.240.5218.534.636.1151.630.525.8376.0877.31,253.3
Jun 173.412.313.511.174.836.94.93.69.240.5218.534.536.1151.930.525.8372.6877.51,250.0
Rice, Milled
2011/12 137.70.5nr0.77.91.020.56.236.5105.3140.70.10.72.10.1nr5.9459.9465.8
2012/13 prel. 139.70.5nr0.88.21.020.26.037.5104.0143.00.10.72.10.1nr6.3463.9470.2
2013/14 proj.
May 142.50.5nr0.78.51.021.16.237.7108.0144.00.10.72.10.1nr6.0473.2479.3
Jun 142.40.5nr0.78.51.021.16.237.7108.0144.00.10.72.10.1nr6.0473.1479.2
Total Grains
2011/12 401.030.615.343.089.646.624.834.845.4234.4457.455.990.0287.129.548.2384.01,933.62,317.6
2012/13 prel. 390.626.614.633.292.249.624.932.946.5237.8476.045.467.1277.332.451.5354.11,898.62,252.7
2013/14 proj.
May 413.030.315.236.488.350.926.033.846.9240.5483.556.792.8292.534.154.8438.01,995.72,433.7
Jun 412.730.315.236.488.350.926.033.846.9240.5483.554.190.8291.534.154.8435.21,989.82,425.0
Oilseeds
2011/12 39.82.11.35.070.044.80.65.810.235.459.214.212.429.20.918.992.3349.7442.1
2012/13 prel. 45.52.11.54.684.555.40.65.110.936.058.712.810.927.31.018.392.6375.3467.9
2013/14 proj.
May 46.02.31.74.488.159.40.65.111.537.057.415.511.829.30.919.4100.9390.4491.3
Jun 46.12.31.74.487.959.40.65.111.537.057.415.312.228.80.919.4100.7390.1490.8
Cotton
2011/12 16.03.40.15.58.71.00.010.60.027.534.0nrnr1.61.2nr15.6109.6125.1
2012/13 prel. 16.72.60.04.35.80.80.09.30.026.535.0nrnr1.51.1nr17.3103.7121.0
2013/14 proj.
May 16.52.30.04.57.01.00.09.50.027.034.0nrnr1.20.9nr14.0103.8117.8
Jun 16.32.30.04.57.01.00.09.50.027.034.0nrnr1.20.9nr13.5103.7117.2
1/ Includes wheat, coarse grains, and rice (milled) shown above.
June 2013
Table 02 Wheat Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
221.29World 6.1440.26-0.75-5.24695.86215.90 223.61 223.09 3.15 3.04 3.14 3.12 697.17 655.59 701.10
18.50United States -8.33-5.141.140.6456.6119.83 18.90 18.90 2.94 3.11 2.96 3.00 54.41 61.76 55.98
202.79Total Foreign 7.6545.41-0.91-5.88639.24196.08 204.72 204.19 3.17 3.03 3.15 3.13 642.76 593.84 645.12
none
24.27China 0.330.400.000.00121.0024.14 24.25 24.25 4.84 5.00 4.99 4.99 117.40 120.60 121.00
South Asia
29.07 India -3.04-2.880.000.0092.0029.86 29.40 29.40 2.99 3.18 3.13 3.13 86.87 94.88 92.00
8.90 Pakistan 3.000.700.000.0024.008.66 8.67 8.67 2.81 2.69 2.77 2.77 25.00 23.30 24.00
2.10 Afghanistan -2.41-0.100.000.004.052.51 2.50 2.50 1.19 1.65 1.62 1.62 2.50 4.15 4.05
Former Soviet Union - 12
24.81 Russia 43.1616.28-3.57-2.0054.0021.30 25.00 24.70 2.27 1.77 2.24 2.19 56.24 37.72 56.00
6.66 Ukraine 23.723.74-11.36-2.5019.505.63 6.60 6.50 3.35 2.80 3.33 3.00 22.32 15.76 22.00
13.69 Kazakhstan 52.425.160.000.0015.0012.40 13.30 13.30 1.66 0.79 1.13 1.13 22.73 9.84 15.00
1.40 Uzbekistan 0.000.000.000.006.701.40 1.40 1.40 4.50 4.79 4.79 4.79 6.30 6.70 6.70
25.69EU-27 4.075.38-0.96-1.33137.4425.54 25.98 25.85 5.35 5.17 5.34 5.32 137.33 132.06 138.77
5.41 France 0.140.060.000.0038.205.31 5.45 5.45 6.66 7.18 7.01 7.01 35.99 38.15 38.20
3.25 Germany 5.761.29-0.42-0.1023.703.06 3.17 3.15 7.01 7.33 7.51 7.52 22.78 22.41 23.80
1.97 United Kingdom -12.90-1.710.000.0011.551.99 1.55 1.55 7.75 6.66 7.45 7.45 15.26 13.26 11.55
2.26 Poland 6.880.59-2.13-0.209.202.09 2.25 2.23 4.13 4.12 4.18 4.13 9.34 8.61 9.40
1.99 Spain 39.412.010.000.007.102.16 2.21 2.21 3.46 2.36 3.21 3.21 6.90 5.09 7.10
1.62 Italy -4.44-0.33-5.33-0.407.101.85 1.90 1.82 3.78 4.02 3.95 3.90 6.12 7.43 7.50
0.74 Denmark 20.620.870.000.005.100.61 0.70 0.70 6.81 6.92 7.29 7.29 5.06 4.23 5.10
0.98 Hungary 10.780.43-3.93-0.184.401.06 1.11 1.11 4.20 3.74 4.14 3.98 4.11 3.97 4.58
1.95 Romania 28.001.400.000.006.401.87 2.05 2.05 3.65 2.67 3.12 3.12 7.10 5.00 6.40
1.14 Bulgaria -0.65-0.03-3.37-0.154.301.09 1.15 1.15 3.92 3.98 3.87 3.74 4.46 4.33 4.45
8.55Canada 6.621.800.000.0029.009.50 10.50 10.50 2.96 2.86 2.76 2.76 25.29 27.20 29.00
13.96Australia 10.982.420.000.0024.5013.30 13.60 13.60 2.14 1.66 1.80 1.80 29.92 22.08 24.50
Middle East
7.70 Turkey 13.552.100.000.0017.607.80 7.70 7.70 2.44 1.99 2.29 2.29 18.80 15.50 17.60
6.80 Iran 10.711.500.000.0015.507.00 7.00 7.00 1.99 2.00 2.21 2.21 13.50 14.00 15.50
1.60 Syria 13.510.500.000.004.201.60 1.55 1.55 2.41 2.31 2.71 2.71 3.85 3.70 4.20
North Africa
1.28 Egypt 3.530.300.000.008.801.35 1.40 1.40 6.56 6.30 6.29 6.29 8.40 8.50 8.80
3.04 Morocco 75.712.930.000.006.803.14 3.28 3.28 1.91 1.23 2.07 2.07 5.80 3.87 6.80
5.17Argentina 18.182.000.000.0013.003.70 4.20 4.20 3.00 2.97 3.10 3.10 15.50 11.00 13.00
18.10Others 7.393.18-0.11-0.0546.1517.25 18.39 18.39 2.49 2.49 2.51 2.51 45.00 42.97 46.20
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 03 Total Coarse Grain Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
312.86World 10.93123.15-0.26-3.281,250.03315.66 320.64 320.79 3.69 3.57 3.91 3.90 1,154.63 1,126.88 1,253.30
36.96United States 30.2786.56-0.91-3.43372.5739.20 40.76 40.76 8.76 7.30 9.23 9.14 323.73 286.01 376.00
275.90Total Foreign 4.3536.580.020.15877.46276.46 279.88 280.04 3.01 3.04 3.13 3.13 830.91 840.88 877.31
none
35.61China 2.876.090.000.00218.4837.08 38.07 38.07 5.60 5.73 5.74 5.74 199.30 212.39 218.48
South America
16.23 Brazil -6.21-4.950.000.0074.8116.87 16.58 16.58 4.68 4.73 4.51 4.51 75.88 79.77 74.81
6.02 Argentina -2.11-0.790.000.0036.866.38 6.04 6.04 5.00 5.90 6.11 6.11 30.11 37.65 36.86
29.83EU-27 6.178.830.230.35151.9530.95 30.83 30.92 4.95 4.62 4.92 4.92 147.71 143.12 151.60
3.72 France -0.69-0.210.510.1529.743.96 3.98 3.98 7.40 7.56 7.44 7.48 27.51 29.94 29.59
3.24 Germany -6.01-1.380.000.0021.623.46 3.44 3.44 5.90 6.64 6.29 6.29 19.14 23.00 21.62
5.45 Poland -7.62-1.512.230.4018.335.56 5.62 5.65 3.20 3.57 3.19 3.25 17.43 19.84 17.93
3.80 Spain 27.143.060.000.0014.343.80 3.83 3.83 3.73 2.97 3.74 3.74 14.17 11.28 14.34
1.43 Italy 4.950.45-10.15-1.089.541.40 1.39 1.30 7.68 6.49 7.63 7.36 10.99 9.09 10.61
1.68 Hungary 53.633.385.450.509.681.67 1.61 1.68 5.68 3.78 5.72 5.76 9.53 6.30 9.18
1.11 United Kingdom 20.571.304.100.307.621.16 1.30 1.35 5.65 5.47 5.63 5.64 6.25 6.32 7.32
3.22 Romania 38.392.900.000.0010.453.40 3.23 3.23 3.84 2.22 3.24 3.24 12.38 7.55 10.45
Former Soviet Union - 12
14.38 Russia 25.977.440.000.0036.1014.18 15.65 15.65 2.30 2.02 2.31 2.31 33.08 28.66 36.10
8.01 Ukraine 16.844.97-0.14-0.0534.508.55 8.72 8.79 4.18 3.45 3.96 3.92 33.48 29.53 34.55
1.82 Kazakhstan 22.810.520.000.002.801.95 1.95 1.95 1.87 1.17 1.44 1.44 3.40 2.28 2.80
81.91Africa 0.110.12-0.14-0.15110.0678.40 78.59 78.59 1.31 1.40 1.40 1.40 107.58 109.94 110.21
18.09 Nigeria 2.950.630.000.0021.9014.78 15.10 15.10 1.32 1.44 1.45 1.45 23.85 21.27 21.90
3.99 South Africa 6.130.780.000.0013.494.12 4.06 4.06 3.32 3.09 3.32 3.32 13.26 12.71 13.49
5.47 Ethiopia 2.100.240.000.0011.605.39 5.41 5.41 2.09 2.11 2.14 2.14 11.44 11.36 11.60
0.91 Egypt -2.92-0.200.000.006.660.96 0.94 0.94 7.21 7.15 7.12 7.12 6.56 6.86 6.66
26.71India 4.061.580.000.0040.5025.10 25.98 25.98 1.58 1.55 1.56 1.56 42.25 38.92 40.50
Southeast Asia
3.12 Indonesia 2.220.200.000.009.203.12 3.15 3.15 2.84 2.88 2.92 2.92 8.85 9.00 9.20
2.56 Philippines 3.770.270.000.007.402.54 2.60 2.60 2.79 2.81 2.85 2.85 7.13 7.13 7.40
1.04 Thailand 4.360.200.000.004.861.11 1.13 1.13 4.19 4.20 4.30 4.30 4.35 4.65 4.86
8.04Mexico 4.771.390.000.0030.478.84 8.89 8.89 3.20 3.29 3.43 3.43 25.75 29.08 30.47
4.95Canada 6.291.530.000.0025.835.33 5.49 5.49 4.63 4.56 4.70 4.70 22.92 24.30 25.83
5.33Australia 7.700.800.000.0011.145.35 5.37 5.37 2.32 1.93 2.08 2.08 12.35 10.34 11.14
3.99Turkey 16.081.700.000.0012.284.16 4.20 4.20 2.83 2.54 2.93 2.93 11.28 10.58 12.28
26.37Others 10.546.700.000.0070.2426.56 26.66 26.66 2.48 2.39 2.63 2.63 65.49 63.55 70.24
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 04 Corn Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
169.64World 12.49106.86-0.35-3.36962.58174.61 176.94 176.98 5.21 4.90 5.46 5.44 883.25 855.72 965.94
33.99United States 29.9181.91-0.95-3.43355.7435.36 36.22 36.22 9.24 7.74 9.92 9.82 313.95 273.83 359.17
135.65Total Foreign 4.2924.950.010.07606.84139.25 140.72 140.76 4.20 4.18 4.31 4.31 569.30 581.89 606.77
none
33.54China 3.116.400.000.00212.0034.95 36.00 36.00 5.75 5.88 5.89 5.89 192.78 205.60 212.00
South America
15.20 Brazil -6.49-5.000.000.0072.0015.80 15.50 15.50 4.80 4.87 4.65 4.65 73.00 77.00 72.00
3.60 Argentina 1.890.500.000.0027.003.50 3.50 3.50 5.83 7.57 7.71 7.71 21.00 26.50 27.00
6.07Mexico 6.981.500.000.0023.006.83 6.90 6.90 3.09 3.15 3.33 3.33 18.73 21.50 23.00
8.79EU-27 12.767.230.110.0763.889.38 9.08 9.12 7.52 6.04 7.02 7.01 66.09 56.65 63.80
1.54 France 5.030.770.950.1516.001.62 1.70 1.70 10.20 9.40 9.32 9.41 15.72 15.23 15.85
0.97 Italy 5.400.41-11.87-1.088.000.97 0.97 0.88 9.65 7.82 9.36 9.14 9.36 7.59 9.08
1.23 Hungary 68.743.266.670.508.001.19 1.13 1.20 6.50 3.98 6.67 6.67 7.99 4.74 7.50
2.55 Romania 44.262.700.000.008.802.75 2.55 2.55 4.12 2.22 3.45 3.45 10.50 6.10 8.80
0.33 Poland -20.00-0.8014.290.403.200.54 0.45 0.48 7.18 7.35 6.22 6.74 2.39 4.00 2.80
8.80India 0.000.000.000.0021.508.93 8.90 8.90 2.47 2.41 2.42 2.42 21.76 21.50 21.50
1.27Canada 5.670.740.000.0013.801.42 1.50 1.50 8.93 9.20 9.20 9.20 11.36 13.06 13.80
3.12Indonesia 2.220.200.000.009.203.12 3.15 3.15 2.84 2.88 2.92 2.92 8.85 9.00 9.20
3.54Ukraine 24.275.080.000.0026.004.37 4.70 4.70 6.44 4.79 5.53 5.53 22.84 20.92 26.00
1.26Serbia 100.003.500.000.007.001.30 1.25 1.25 5.08 2.69 5.60 5.60 6.40 3.50 7.00
0.70Egypt -3.45-0.200.000.005.600.75 0.73 0.73 7.86 7.73 7.72 7.72 5.50 5.80 5.60
2.56Philippines 3.770.270.000.007.402.54 2.60 2.60 2.79 2.81 2.85 2.85 7.13 7.13 7.40
1.08Vietnam 2.020.100.000.004.901.12 1.12 1.12 4.30 4.30 4.38 4.38 4.65 4.80 4.90
1.01Thailand 4.350.200.000.004.801.08 1.10 1.10 4.26 4.26 4.36 4.36 4.30 4.60 4.80
1.60Russia 15.671.290.000.009.501.94 2.15 2.15 4.34 4.24 4.42 4.42 6.96 8.21 9.50
Sub-Saharan Africa
3.14 South Africa 6.560.800.000.0013.003.25 3.20 3.20 4.06 3.75 4.06 4.06 12.76 12.20 13.00
5.15 Nigeria 0.920.070.000.007.704.16 4.25 4.25 1.80 1.83 1.81 1.81 9.25 7.63 7.70
2.15 Ethiopia 1.640.090.000.005.592.15 2.15 2.15 2.51 2.56 2.60 2.60 5.40 5.50 5.59
1.60 Zimbabwe -6.74-0.070.000.000.900.96 1.10 1.10 0.91 1.01 0.82 0.82 1.45 0.97 0.90
0.45Turkey 2.270.100.000.004.500.53 0.55 0.55 8.00 8.38 8.18 8.18 3.60 4.40 4.50
31.01Others 3.302.160.000.0067.5731.18 31.29 31.29 2.11 2.10 2.16 2.16 65.50 65.42 67.57
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 05 Barley Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
49.66World 6.238.100.090.13138.0150.80 50.71 50.86 2.71 2.56 2.72 2.71 134.42 129.92 137.88
0.91United States -0.13-0.010.000.004.791.31 1.30 1.30 3.74 3.65 3.70 3.70 3.39 4.80 4.79
48.76Total Foreign 6.488.100.100.13133.2249.49 49.42 49.57 2.69 2.53 2.69 2.69 131.03 125.12 133.09
none
7.70Russia 25.433.550.000.0017.507.63 8.20 8.20 2.20 1.83 2.13 2.13 16.94 13.95 17.50
11.94EU-27 2.231.210.510.2855.5812.48 12.28 12.33 4.34 4.36 4.50 4.51 51.83 54.37 55.30
1.60 Germany -7.61-0.790.000.009.601.68 1.58 1.58 5.47 6.19 6.08 6.08 8.73 10.39 9.60
1.55 France -7.94-0.900.000.0010.401.68 1.60 1.60 5.68 6.71 6.50 6.50 8.78 11.30 10.40
2.70 Spain 40.542.420.000.008.402.68 2.70 2.70 3.09 2.23 3.12 3.12 8.33 5.98 8.40
0.97 United Kingdom 23.641.304.620.306.801.01 1.15 1.20 5.68 5.47 5.65 5.67 5.49 5.50 6.50
0.60 Denmark -12.78-0.500.000.003.400.72 0.65 0.65 5.43 5.42 5.23 5.23 3.26 3.90 3.40
1.02 Poland -16.67-0.700.000.003.501.17 1.06 1.06 3.39 3.59 3.30 3.30 3.45 4.20 3.50
0.37 Czech Republic 3.900.060.000.001.680.38 0.38 0.38 4.88 4.23 4.48 4.48 1.81 1.62 1.68
0.43 Finland 2.360.040.000.001.650.47 0.48 0.48 3.41 3.42 3.47 3.47 1.48 1.61 1.65
0.32 Sweden -4.36-0.070.000.001.630.37 0.37 0.37 4.44 4.60 4.39 4.39 1.43 1.70 1.63
0.27 Italy -2.92-0.030.000.000.930.25 0.25 0.25 3.52 3.84 3.73 3.73 0.95 0.96 0.93
0.26 Hungary 6.930.070.000.001.070.28 0.27 0.27 3.79 3.61 3.96 3.96 0.99 1.00 1.07
0.15 Austria 11.780.080.000.000.740.15 0.15 0.15 5.61 4.38 5.00 5.00 0.86 0.66 0.74
3.68Ukraine 0.940.070.000.007.003.29 3.20 3.30 2.47 2.11 2.19 2.12 9.10 6.94 7.00
2.40Canada 6.740.540.000.008.552.75 2.75 2.75 3.29 2.91 3.11 3.11 7.89 8.01 8.55
3.77Australia 4.790.340.000.007.403.88 3.90 3.90 2.21 1.82 1.90 1.90 8.35 7.06 7.40
3.20Turkey 29.091.600.000.007.103.30 3.31 3.31 2.19 1.67 2.15 2.15 7.00 5.50 7.10
0.62China -2.13-0.050.000.002.300.63 0.63 0.63 3.71 3.73 3.65 3.65 2.30 2.35 2.30
1.60Iran 0.000.000.000.003.401.68 1.68 1.68 1.81 2.03 2.03 2.03 2.90 3.40 3.40
2.03Morocco 116.671.400.000.002.601.89 1.69 1.69 1.16 0.63 1.54 1.54 2.34 1.20 2.60
1.52Kazakhstan 33.330.500.000.002.001.60 1.60 1.60 1.71 0.94 1.25 1.25 2.59 1.50 2.00
1.01Ethiopia 0.740.010.000.001.631.02 1.02 1.02 1.57 1.59 1.60 1.60 1.59 1.62 1.63
0.70Belarus -19.05-0.400.000.001.700.65 0.55 0.55 2.87 3.23 3.09 3.09 2.01 2.10 1.70
0.78India 4.940.080.000.001.700.77 0.78 0.78 2.13 2.10 2.18 2.18 1.66 1.62 1.70
1.16Argentina -27.27-1.500.000.004.001.50 1.10 1.10 3.88 3.67 3.64 3.64 4.50 5.50 4.00
0.22Mexico -2.31-0.010.000.000.550.21 0.22 0.22 2.23 2.67 2.56 2.56 0.49 0.56 0.55
1.13Iraq 88.800.440.000.000.940.60 1.07 1.07 0.88 0.83 0.88 0.88 1.00 0.50 0.94
1.00Algeria 16.670.250.000.001.751.00 1.00 1.00 1.35 1.50 1.75 1.75 1.35 1.50 1.75
4.30Others 1.020.08-1.96-0.157.514.61 4.45 4.45 1.67 1.61 1.72 1.69 7.19 7.44 7.66
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 06 Oats Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
10.29World 7.261.520.000.0022.4910.13 10.35 10.35 2.19 2.07 2.17 2.17 22.49 20.97 22.49
0.38United States 14.100.130.000.001.060.42 0.47 0.47 2.05 2.20 2.28 2.28 0.78 0.93 1.06
9.91Total Foreign 6.941.390.000.0021.439.71 9.89 9.89 2.19 2.06 2.17 2.17 21.71 20.04 21.43
none
2.93Russia 24.160.970.000.005.002.86 3.00 3.00 1.82 1.41 1.67 1.67 5.33 4.03 5.00
1.08Canada 15.670.420.000.003.100.96 1.10 1.10 2.91 2.79 2.82 2.82 3.16 2.68 3.10
2.67EU-27 1.640.130.000.008.022.64 2.65 2.65 2.94 2.98 3.03 3.03 7.83 7.89 8.02
0.55 Poland -11.44-0.170.000.001.300.52 0.51 0.51 2.53 2.83 2.55 2.55 1.38 1.47 1.30
0.32 Finland 3.540.040.000.001.200.34 0.36 0.36 3.42 3.41 3.38 3.38 1.10 1.16 1.20
0.49 Spain 50.440.340.000.001.020.44 0.45 0.45 2.20 1.53 2.26 2.26 1.08 0.68 1.02
0.14 Germany -14.13-0.110.000.000.650.15 0.14 0.14 4.38 5.22 4.64 4.64 0.63 0.76 0.65
0.18 Sweden 0.130.000.000.000.760.19 0.20 0.20 3.89 3.91 3.90 3.90 0.69 0.76 0.76
0.11 United Kingdom 0.000.000.000.000.680.12 0.12 0.12 5.62 5.63 5.63 5.63 0.61 0.68 0.68
0.08 France 5.260.020.000.000.400.08 0.09 0.09 4.14 4.75 4.44 4.44 0.32 0.38 0.40
0.13 Italy -1.020.000.000.000.290.12 0.11 0.11 2.36 2.44 2.64 2.64 0.30 0.29 0.29
0.05 Denmark -3.85-0.010.000.000.250.05 0.05 0.05 4.45 5.20 5.00 5.00 0.21 0.26 0.25
0.18 Romania 6.670.020.000.000.320.17 0.17 0.17 1.94 1.76 1.88 1.88 0.35 0.30 0.32
0.05 Czech Republic -1.160.000.000.000.170.05 0.05 0.05 3.64 3.37 3.78 3.78 0.16 0.17 0.17
0.05 Hungary -2.140.000.000.000.140.05 0.06 0.06 2.39 2.64 2.49 2.49 0.13 0.14 0.14
0.03 Austria 13.980.010.000.000.110.03 0.02 0.02 4.40 3.72 4.42 4.42 0.11 0.09 0.11
0.02 Ireland 0.000.000.000.000.140.02 0.02 0.02 8.00 6.26 6.26 6.26 0.17 0.14 0.14
0.06 Lithuania -8.54-0.010.000.000.150.07 0.07 0.07 2.05 2.31 2.14 2.14 0.13 0.16 0.15
0.73Australia 14.290.150.000.001.200.70 0.67 0.67 1.75 1.50 1.79 1.79 1.27 1.05 1.20
0.28Ukraine -28.57-0.180.000.000.450.30 0.25 0.25 1.81 2.09 1.80 1.80 0.51 0.63 0.45
0.20China -3.33-0.020.000.000.580.20 0.20 0.20 3.00 3.00 2.90 2.90 0.60 0.60 0.58
0.17Belarus -25.00-0.150.000.000.450.20 0.16 0.16 2.70 3.00 2.81 2.81 0.45 0.60 0.45
0.15Brazil 5.260.020.000.000.380.17 0.17 0.17 2.31 2.14 2.24 2.24 0.35 0.36 0.38
0.22Argentina 0.000.000.000.000.400.20 0.20 0.20 1.57 2.00 2.00 2.00 0.35 0.40 0.40
0.10Chile 6.250.040.000.000.600.11 0.11 0.11 5.00 5.33 5.41 5.41 0.51 0.56 0.60
0.07Norway 0.000.000.000.000.230.07 0.07 0.07 3.21 3.26 3.21 3.21 0.23 0.23 0.23
0.10Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.210.10 0.10 0.10 2.21 2.21 2.21 2.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
0.14Kazakhstan 0.000.000.000.000.200.15 0.15 0.15 1.80 1.33 1.33 1.33 0.26 0.20 0.20
0.07Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.090.05 0.05 0.05 1.85 1.70 1.70 1.70 0.12 0.09 0.09
1.01Others 2.870.020.000.000.541.01 1.01 1.01 0.53 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.54 0.52 0.54
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 07 Rye Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
4.89World 7.401.050.000.0015.265.24 5.68 5.68 2.49 2.71 2.69 2.69 12.19 14.21 15.26
0.10United States 2.840.010.000.000.180.10 0.11 0.11 1.64 1.76 1.72 1.72 0.16 0.18 0.18
4.79Total Foreign 7.451.050.000.0015.085.14 5.57 5.57 2.51 2.73 2.71 2.71 12.02 14.03 15.08
none
2.26EU-27 -0.41-0.040.000.008.692.37 2.50 2.50 3.05 3.68 3.48 3.48 6.90 8.73 8.69
1.09 Poland -4.14-0.120.000.002.781.05 1.10 1.10 2.40 2.76 2.53 2.53 2.60 2.90 2.78
0.61 Germany 0.180.010.000.003.900.71 0.78 0.78 4.11 5.48 4.98 4.98 2.52 3.89 3.90
0.15 Spain 44.530.110.000.000.370.16 0.16 0.16 2.46 1.59 2.28 2.28 0.37 0.26 0.37
0.04 Lithuania -23.57-0.040.000.000.120.06 0.05 0.05 2.02 2.80 2.40 2.40 0.09 0.16 0.12
0.03 Latvia -27.42-0.030.000.000.090.04 0.04 0.04 2.29 3.35 2.57 2.57 0.06 0.12 0.09
0.03 France 0.630.000.000.000.160.03 0.03 0.03 4.43 4.97 4.85 4.85 0.12 0.16 0.16
0.06 Denmark -0.580.000.000.000.340.06 0.06 0.06 5.07 5.34 5.67 5.67 0.29 0.34 0.34
0.03 Czech Republic 29.250.040.000.000.190.03 0.04 0.04 4.72 4.90 4.75 4.75 0.12 0.15 0.19
0.05 Austria 2.440.010.000.000.210.05 0.05 0.05 4.39 4.18 4.38 4.38 0.20 0.21 0.21
0.02 Sweden -2.990.000.000.000.130.02 0.02 0.02 5.33 6.09 5.91 5.91 0.13 0.13 0.13
0.03 Hungary 5.130.000.000.000.080.04 0.04 0.04 2.27 2.23 2.28 2.28 0.08 0.08 0.08
0.01 Slovakia 2.040.000.000.000.050.02 0.02 0.02 3.15 3.06 2.94 2.94 0.04 0.05 0.05
0.03 Finland 0.000.000.000.000.060.02 0.02 0.02 2.89 2.86 3.00 3.00 0.08 0.06 0.06
0.01 United Kingdom 0.000.000.000.000.040.01 0.01 0.01 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 0.04 0.04 0.04
0.01 Romania -16.670.000.000.000.020.01 0.01 0.01 2.73 2.67 2.50 2.50 0.03 0.02 0.02
0.02 Greece 0.000.000.000.000.030.02 0.02 0.02 1.83 1.83 1.83 1.83 0.03 0.03 0.03
0.02 Portugal 26.670.000.000.000.020.02 0.02 0.02 0.86 0.79 0.95 0.95 0.02 0.02 0.02
1.52Russia 64.171.370.000.003.501.42 1.80 1.80 1.95 1.50 1.94 1.94 2.97 2.13 3.50
0.34Belarus -6.25-0.100.000.001.500.60 0.60 0.60 2.39 2.67 2.50 2.50 0.80 1.60 1.50
0.28Ukraine -3.85-0.030.000.000.650.30 0.30 0.30 2.08 2.27 2.17 2.17 0.58 0.68 0.65
0.10Canada -41.18-0.140.000.000.200.13 0.08 0.08 2.51 2.72 2.50 2.50 0.24 0.34 0.20
0.14Turkey 0.000.000.000.000.350.14 0.14 0.14 2.50 2.50 2.50 2.50 0.35 0.35 0.35
0.03Argentina 0.000.000.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.41 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.05 0.04 0.04
0.03Kazakhstan 0.000.000.000.000.050.05 0.05 0.05 1.12 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.03 0.05 0.05
0.06Australia -50.00-0.020.000.000.020.06 0.04 0.04 0.70 0.70 0.57 0.57 0.04 0.04 0.02
0.00Switzerland 0.000.000.000.000.010.00 0.00 0.00 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 0.01 0.01 0.01
0.04Others 0.000.000.000.000.060.04 0.04 0.04 1.36 1.36 1.36 1.36 0.06 0.06 0.06
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 08 Sorghum Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
39.42World 9.325.340.000.0062.6938.00 38.81 38.81 1.37 1.51 1.62 1.62 54.04 57.35 62.69
1.59United States 72.114.520.000.0010.802.01 2.67 2.67 3.43 3.13 4.04 4.04 5.45 6.27 10.80
37.83Total Foreign 1.610.820.000.0051.9036.00 36.13 36.13 1.28 1.42 1.44 1.44 48.59 51.08 51.90
none
Sub-Saharan Africa
7.09 Nigeria 9.370.560.000.006.504.77 5.00 5.00 0.97 1.25 1.30 1.30 6.90 5.94 6.50
5.60 Sudan -11.03-0.470.000.003.805.60 5.60 5.60 0.37 0.76 0.68 0.68 2.09 4.27 3.80
1.87 Ethiopia 3.640.130.000.003.701.78 1.80 1.80 2.02 2.01 2.06 2.06 3.78 3.57 3.70
1.62 Burkina -6.44-0.120.000.001.801.62 1.62 1.62 0.93 1.19 1.11 1.11 1.50 1.92 1.80
0.88 Tanzania -5.00-0.040.000.000.760.90 0.90 0.90 0.92 0.89 0.84 0.84 0.81 0.80 0.76
1.50 Niger 0.000.000.000.001.001.50 1.50 1.50 0.47 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.70 1.00 1.00
0.31 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.500.31 0.31 0.31 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 0.50 0.50 0.50
0.62 Mozambique 71.550.170.000.000.410.62 0.62 0.62 0.66 0.39 0.66 0.66 0.41 0.24 0.41
0.34 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.350.34 0.34 0.34 0.96 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.33 0.35 0.35
0.05 South Africa 1.190.000.000.000.170.06 0.06 0.06 2.80 2.67 2.83 2.83 0.14 0.17 0.17
South Asia
6.33 India 9.430.500.000.005.806.30 6.30 6.30 0.95 0.84 0.92 0.92 6.03 5.30 5.80
0.24 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.150.24 0.24 0.24 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.15 0.15 0.15
South America
1.00 Argentina 3.850.200.000.005.401.15 1.20 1.20 4.20 4.52 4.50 4.50 4.20 5.20 5.40
0.79 Brazil -0.76-0.020.000.002.100.80 0.80 0.80 2.82 2.65 2.63 2.63 2.22 2.12 2.10
1.68Mexico -1.45-0.100.000.006.801.73 1.70 1.70 3.82 3.99 4.00 4.00 6.43 6.90 6.80
0.50China -8.68-0.190.000.002.000.52 0.48 0.48 4.10 4.21 4.17 4.17 2.05 2.19 2.00
0.66Australia 23.530.400.000.002.100.60 0.66 0.66 3.38 2.83 3.18 3.18 2.22 1.70 2.10
0.16Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.900.16 0.16 0.16 5.63 5.63 5.63 5.63 0.90 0.90 0.90
0.11EU-27 25.150.120.000.000.610.11 0.12 0.12 6.10 4.37 4.90 4.90 0.67 0.49 0.61
0.04 France 13.450.030.000.000.270.04 0.05 0.05 6.53 5.80 5.40 5.40 0.28 0.24 0.27
0.04 Italy 45.570.070.000.000.230.04 0.04 0.04 7.14 4.27 6.22 6.22 0.30 0.16 0.23
6.49Others -4.35-0.320.000.007.056.88 6.72 6.72 1.01 1.07 1.05 1.05 6.58 7.37 7.05
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
World and Selected Countries and Regions
Table 09 Rice Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
159.22World 1.918.97-0.02-0.10479.16158.18 161.44 161.42 4.36 4.43 4.43 4.43 465.81 470.19 479.26
1.06United States -4.67-0.300.000.006.041.08 1.05 1.05 7.92 8.35 8.20 8.20 5.87 6.33 6.04
158.16Total Foreign 2.009.27-0.02-0.10473.12157.09 160.39 160.37 4.34 4.41 4.40 4.40 459.94 463.86 473.22
none
East Asia
30.06 China 0.701.000.000.00144.0030.30 30.60 30.60 6.69 6.74 6.72 6.72 140.70 143.00 144.00
1.58 Japan -0.46-0.040.000.007.721.58 1.60 1.60 6.66 6.74 6.62 6.62 7.65 7.76 7.72
0.85 Korea, South 5.340.210.000.004.220.85 0.84 0.84 6.58 6.37 6.75 6.75 4.22 4.01 4.22
0.57 Korea, North 0.000.000.000.001.740.57 0.57 0.57 4.32 4.74 4.74 4.74 1.60 1.74 1.74
South Asia
44.10 India 3.854.000.000.00108.0043.00 44.50 44.50 3.58 3.63 3.64 3.64 105.31 104.00 108.00
11.72 Bangladesh 0.590.200.000.0034.2011.65 11.70 11.70 4.31 4.38 4.39 4.39 33.70 34.00 34.20
2.75 Pakistan 3.330.200.000.006.202.70 2.70 2.70 3.38 3.33 3.44 3.44 6.20 6.00 6.20
Southeast Asia
12.16 Indonesia 0.530.200.000.0037.7012.15 12.16 12.16 4.73 4.86 4.88 4.88 36.50 37.50 37.70
7.74 Vietnam 0.720.200.000.0027.857.82 7.82 7.82 5.61 5.66 5.70 5.70 27.15 27.65 27.85
11.00 Thailand 4.460.900.000.0021.1010.84 11.12 11.12 2.82 2.82 2.88 2.88 20.46 20.20 21.10
6.50 Burma 3.130.330.000.0011.006.35 6.50 6.50 2.60 2.62 2.64 2.64 10.82 10.67 11.00
4.58 Philippines 3.080.350.000.0011.704.69 4.75 4.75 3.71 3.84 3.91 3.91 10.70 11.35 11.70
2.77 Cambodia 6.520.300.000.004.902.95 3.05 3.05 2.41 2.44 2.51 2.51 4.27 4.60 4.90
0.82 Laos 1.690.030.000.001.500.86 0.87 0.87 2.71 2.72 2.74 2.74 1.40 1.48 1.50
0.68 Malaysia 2.940.050.000.001.750.68 0.68 0.68 3.85 3.86 3.96 3.96 1.69 1.70 1.75
South America
2.43 Brazil 4.170.340.000.008.502.42 2.52 2.52 4.78 4.96 4.96 4.96 7.89 8.16 8.50
0.36 Peru -3.33-0.07-4.71-0.102.000.39 0.40 0.38 7.39 7.73 7.61 7.73 1.84 2.07 2.10
Sub-Saharan Africa
2.58 Nigeria 30.800.730.000.003.102.00 2.50 2.50 1.77 1.88 1.97 1.97 2.88 2.37 3.10
1.34 Madagascar -10.16-0.260.000.002.301.34 1.34 1.34 3.21 2.99 2.68 2.68 2.75 2.56 2.30
0.48EU-27 0.290.010.000.002.110.45 0.46 0.46 6.31 6.68 6.67 6.67 2.11 2.10 2.11
0.25 Italy 0.090.000.000.001.100.24 0.24 0.24 6.11 6.66 6.67 6.67 1.06 1.10 1.10
0.12 Spain 0.000.000.000.000.620.11 0.11 0.11 7.49 7.77 7.77 7.77 0.64 0.62 0.62
0.70Egypt 3.740.180.000.004.850.77 0.80 0.80 8.80 8.80 8.79 8.79 4.25 4.68 4.85
0.56Iran 2.190.030.000.001.580.56 0.56 0.56 4.19 4.19 4.29 4.29 1.55 1.55 1.58
11.85Others 1.520.380.000.0025.1012.18 12.36 12.36 3.10 3.07 3.07 3.07 24.32 24.73 25.10
Yield is on a rough basis, before the milling process
Production is on a milled basis, after the milling process
June 2013
World and Selected Countries and Regions
Table 10 Total Oilseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
--World Total 4.9022.92-0.10-0.50490.83-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 442.08 467.91 491.34
--Total Foreign 3.9514.82-0.09-0.35390.10-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 349.73 375.28 390.45
--Oilseed, Copra 0.320.020.000.005.98-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 5.66 5.96 5.98
--Oilseed, Palm Kernel 4.650.680.990.1515.36-- -- -- -- -- -- -- 13.65 14.68 15.21
none
216.95Major OilSeeds 4.9722.22-0.14-0.65469.50222.36 223.66 223.53 1.95 2.01 2.10 2.10 422.77 447.28 470.15
35.14United States 8.758.10-0.15-0.15100.7336.69 36.02 35.89 2.63 2.52 2.80 2.81 92.35 92.63 100.89
none
181.82Foreign Oilseeds 3.9814.12-0.14-0.50368.76185.67 187.65 187.64 1.82 1.91 1.97 1.97 330.42 354.65 369.26
52.33South America 4.867.51-0.12-0.20162.0056.24 58.09 58.02 2.39 2.75 2.79 2.79 124.87 154.49 162.20
26.57 Brazil 4.013.39-0.23-0.2087.8028.76 29.57 29.50 2.63 2.94 2.98 2.98 69.93 84.41 88.00
20.24 Argentina 7.193.990.000.0059.4221.73 22.60 22.60 2.21 2.55 2.63 2.63 44.78 55.43 59.42
3.00 Paraguay 1.080.090.000.008.643.17 3.30 3.30 1.52 2.70 2.62 2.62 4.57 8.55 8.64
1.25 Bolivia -2.64-0.070.000.002.581.26 1.23 1.23 2.03 2.10 2.10 2.10 2.54 2.65 2.58
26.16China -2.29-1.350.000.0057.3825.15 24.42 24.42 2.26 2.33 2.35 2.35 59.24 58.72 57.38
39.42South Asia 2.210.900.000.0041.6139.44 39.83 39.83 1.03 1.03 1.04 1.04 40.68 40.71 41.61
35.11 India 2.630.930.000.0036.2335.15 35.63 35.63 0.99 1.00 1.02 1.02 34.62 35.30 36.23
3.98 Pakistan -0.58-0.030.000.005.123.96 3.87 3.87 1.46 1.30 1.32 1.32 5.79 5.15 5.12
11.68EU-27 5.681.55-1.54-0.4528.8311.20 11.46 11.31 2.50 2.44 2.56 2.55 29.15 27.28 29.28
2.34 France -5.03-0.36-3.55-0.256.792.32 2.27 2.22 3.15 3.08 3.11 3.06 7.36 7.14 7.04
1.36 Germany 12.920.632.940.165.511.36 1.47 1.47 2.90 3.59 3.65 3.75 3.93 4.88 5.35
0.83 Poland 21.000.400.000.002.310.72 0.83 0.83 2.24 2.63 2.78 2.78 1.87 1.91 2.31
1.45 Romania 33.940.54-8.03-0.192.141.29 1.43 1.33 1.85 1.24 1.64 1.61 2.68 1.60 2.33
0.85 Hungary 8.040.140.000.001.910.81 0.81 0.81 2.32 2.18 2.36 2.36 1.98 1.77 1.91
0.71 United Kingdom -25.69-0.66-5.00-0.101.900.76 0.61 0.61 3.91 3.38 3.27 3.10 2.76 2.56 2.00
20.96Former Soviet Union - 12 14.193.980.480.1532.0320.44 21.50 21.72 1.46 1.37 1.48 1.47 30.66 28.05 31.88
9.22 Russia 12.191.333.390.4012.208.45 9.00 9.30 1.35 1.29 1.31 1.31 12.43 10.87 11.80
7.74 Ukraine 19.482.50-1.29-0.2015.308.06 8.50 8.45 1.83 1.59 1.82 1.81 14.20 12.81 15.50
1.31 Uzbekistan -0.85-0.020.000.001.751.35 1.30 1.30 1.26 1.31 1.35 1.35 1.65 1.77 1.75
9.15Canada 5.941.090.000.0019.4210.31 9.39 9.39 2.07 1.78 2.07 2.07 18.93 18.33 19.42
12.95Africa 2.930.340.000.0012.0113.28 13.51 13.51 0.85 0.88 0.89 0.89 10.99 11.66 12.01
2.01 Nigeria -0.47-0.010.000.002.131.99 1.98 1.98 1.06 1.08 1.08 1.08 2.14 2.14 2.13
3.85Southeast Asia 0.460.030.000.005.483.93 3.94 3.94 1.37 1.39 1.39 1.39 5.26 5.46 5.48
1.16 Indonesia -1.13-0.020.000.001.761.14 1.13 1.13 1.55 1.56 1.56 1.56 1.80 1.78 1.76
2.49Australia -4.35-0.200.000.004.382.93 2.71 2.71 2.00 1.56 1.61 1.61 4.98 4.58 4.38
2.83Others 4.870.26-0.020.005.642.75 2.80 2.80 2.00 1.96 2.01 2.02 5.66 5.38 5.64
World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)
Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and rapeseed)
June 2013
Table 11 Soybean Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
102.77World 6.6117.70-0.07-0.20285.30108.71 110.29 110.24 2.33 2.46 2.59 2.59 239.46 267.61 285.51
29.86United States 12.4410.210.000.0092.2630.80 30.84 30.84 2.82 2.66 2.99 2.99 84.19 82.06 92.26
72.92Total Foreign 4.047.49-0.10-0.20193.0477.91 79.45 79.40 2.13 2.38 2.43 2.43 155.27 185.55 193.24
none
South America
25.00 Brazil 3.663.000.000.0085.0027.70 28.25 28.25 2.66 2.96 3.01 3.01 66.50 82.00 85.00
17.58 Argentina 6.863.500.000.0054.5019.35 20.00 20.00 2.28 2.64 2.73 2.73 40.10 51.00 54.50
2.80 Paraguay 0.600.050.000.008.403.00 3.10 3.10 1.55 2.78 2.71 2.71 4.35 8.35 8.40
1.09 Bolivia -3.75-0.090.000.002.311.09 1.05 1.05 2.13 2.20 2.20 2.20 2.32 2.40 2.31
1.10 Uruguay 3.860.120.000.003.121.13 1.20 1.20 2.48 2.67 2.60 2.60 2.73 3.00 3.12
East Asia
7.89 China -4.76-0.600.000.0012.007.00 6.60 6.60 1.84 1.80 1.82 1.82 14.48 12.60 12.00
0.08 Korea, South 12.200.020.000.000.140.08 0.08 0.08 1.65 1.52 1.68 1.68 0.13 0.12 0.14
0.13 Korea, North 0.000.000.000.000.150.12 0.12 0.12 1.35 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.18 0.15 0.15
0.14 Japan -4.55-0.010.000.000.210.14 0.13 0.13 1.61 1.63 1.62 1.62 0.22 0.22 0.21
10.27India 4.350.500.000.0012.0010.80 11.00 11.00 1.07 1.06 1.09 1.09 11.00 11.50 12.00
1.55Canada -1.62-0.080.000.004.851.68 1.70 1.70 2.77 2.93 2.85 2.85 4.30 4.93 4.85
Former Soviet Union - 12
1.11 Ukraine 16.420.40-6.67-0.202.801.41 1.50 1.45 2.04 1.70 2.00 1.93 2.26 2.41 3.00
1.18 Russia 17.020.320.000.002.201.35 1.50 1.50 1.48 1.39 1.47 1.47 1.75 1.88 2.20
Southeast Asia
0.45 Indonesia 0.000.000.000.000.620.45 0.45 0.45 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.38 0.62 0.62 0.62
0.12 Vietnam 11.110.030.000.000.300.18 0.20 0.20 1.45 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.18 0.27 0.30
0.07 Thailand -14.29-0.020.000.000.090.06 0.06 0.06 1.68 1.67 1.55 1.55 0.11 0.11 0.09
0.18 Burma 0.000.000.000.000.260.18 0.18 0.18 1.42 1.44 1.44 1.44 0.26 0.26 0.26
0.39EU-27 16.820.140.000.001.000.37 0.39 0.39 2.78 2.33 2.56 2.56 1.07 0.86 1.00
0.17 Italy 18.010.080.000.000.500.15 0.17 0.17 3.40 2.78 3.00 3.00 0.57 0.42 0.50
0.04 France 0.920.000.000.000.110.04 0.04 0.04 2.95 2.95 2.75 2.75 0.12 0.11 0.11
Sub-Saharan Africa
0.47 South Africa 16.470.140.000.000.990.50 0.58 0.58 1.38 1.70 1.71 1.71 0.65 0.85 0.99
0.44 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.000.450.44 0.44 0.44 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.45 0.45 0.45
0.15 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.170.15 0.15 0.15 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.17 0.17 0.17
0.17Serbia 0.000.000.000.000.280.17 0.17 0.17 2.52 1.70 1.70 1.70 0.42 0.28 0.28
0.17Mexico 12.000.030.000.000.280.14 0.17 0.17 1.24 1.74 1.70 1.70 0.21 0.25 0.28
0.08Iran 0.000.000.000.000.200.08 0.08 0.08 2.44 2.44 2.44 2.44 0.20 0.20 0.20
0.33Others 6.840.05-0.140.000.730.35 0.36 0.36 1.96 1.99 2.05 2.05 0.64 0.69 0.74
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 12 Cottonseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
34.58World -2.05-0.93-0.90-0.4044.3933.37 33.06 32.83 1.34 1.36 1.36 1.35 46.41 45.32 44.80
3.83United States -17.04-0.88-3.49-0.154.263.79 3.40 3.28 1.27 1.36 1.30 1.30 4.87 5.14 4.42
30.75Total Foreign -0.13-0.05-0.61-0.2540.1329.57 29.66 29.55 1.35 1.36 1.36 1.36 41.54 40.18 40.38
none
5.40China -2.88-0.400.000.0013.335.30 5.10 5.10 2.40 2.59 2.61 2.61 12.97 13.72 13.33
South Asia
12.20 India 1.770.200.000.0011.5011.80 12.00 12.00 0.93 0.96 0.96 0.96 11.30 11.30 11.50
3.00 Pakistan 2.500.100.000.004.103.00 3.00 3.00 1.54 1.33 1.37 1.37 4.62 4.00 4.10
Former Soviet Union - 12
1.31 Uzbekistan -0.85-0.020.000.001.751.35 1.30 1.30 1.26 1.31 1.35 1.35 1.65 1.77 1.75
0.58 Turkmenistan -5.60-0.04-5.60-0.040.590.60 0.60 0.58 0.96 1.04 1.04 1.03 0.55 0.63 0.63
0.20 Tajikistan 0.000.000.000.000.220.20 0.20 0.20 1.10 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.23 0.22 0.22
0.16 Kazakhstan -1.840.00-4.19-0.010.160.15 0.15 0.14 1.06 1.10 1.11 1.11 0.17 0.16 0.17
South America
1.40 Brazil 20.000.40-7.69-0.202.400.89 1.15 1.08 2.16 2.26 2.26 2.23 3.02 2.00 2.60
0.53 Argentina 21.150.060.000.000.320.36 0.43 0.43 0.67 0.72 0.74 0.74 0.36 0.26 0.32
Middle East
0.49 Turkey -12.53-0.110.000.000.740.40 0.33 0.33 2.14 2.12 2.24 2.24 1.05 0.85 0.74
0.15 Syria -4.41-0.020.000.000.330.13 0.12 0.12 2.73 2.72 2.71 2.71 0.41 0.34 0.33
0.12 Iran 0.000.000.000.000.120.11 0.11 0.11 1.17 1.14 1.14 1.14 0.14 0.12 0.12
0.60Australia 5.260.070.000.001.400.44 0.47 0.47 2.83 3.01 3.01 3.01 1.70 1.33 1.40
0.36EU-27 -18.16-0.090.000.000.380.36 0.29 0.29 1.50 1.31 1.32 1.32 0.53 0.47 0.38
0.29 Greece -21.05-0.080.000.000.300.29 0.22 0.22 1.58 1.33 1.36 1.36 0.45 0.38 0.30
0.07 Spain -5.75-0.010.000.000.080.07 0.07 0.07 1.18 1.24 1.21 1.21 0.08 0.09 0.08
Sub-Saharan Africa
0.40 Burkina -7.44-0.030.000.000.310.58 0.58 0.58 0.56 0.58 0.54 0.54 0.22 0.34 0.31
0.48 Mali 13.650.030.000.000.280.52 0.56 0.56 0.51 0.48 0.51 0.51 0.24 0.25 0.28
0.18 Cameroon -7.83-0.020.000.000.210.21 0.21 0.21 0.93 1.10 1.01 1.01 0.16 0.23 0.21
0.10 Sudan -20.31-0.010.000.000.050.06 0.05 0.05 1.03 1.07 1.02 1.02 0.10 0.06 0.05
0.47 Zimbabwe 0.000.000.000.000.190.38 0.40 0.40 0.49 0.51 0.48 0.48 0.23 0.19 0.19
0.33 Nigeria -7.14-0.010.000.000.130.30 0.29 0.29 0.43 0.47 0.45 0.45 0.14 0.14 0.13
0.20 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.180.25 0.27 0.27 0.58 0.73 0.67 0.67 0.12 0.18 0.18
0.10 Uganda -15.79-0.020.000.000.100.08 0.08 0.08 1.49 1.52 1.20 1.20 0.15 0.11 0.10
0.22Egypt -8.05-0.010.000.000.140.14 0.13 0.13 1.03 1.04 1.05 1.05 0.23 0.15 0.14
0.19Mexico -21.89-0.080.000.000.290.16 0.13 0.13 2.09 2.36 2.22 2.22 0.40 0.37 0.29
0.30Burma 0.000.000.000.000.190.30 0.30 0.30 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.19 0.19 0.19
1.31Others -9.71-0.08-0.81-0.010.741.53 1.43 1.43 0.52 0.53 0.52 0.52 0.68 0.81 0.74
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 13 Peanut Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
20.61World -1.20-0.440.000.0036.4120.65 20.71 20.71 1.70 1.79 1.76 1.76 35.13 36.86 36.41
0.44United States -34.21-1.050.000.002.010.65 0.47 0.47 3.80 4.70 4.26 4.26 1.66 3.06 2.01
20.17Total Foreign 1.780.600.000.0034.4019.99 20.24 20.24 1.66 1.69 1.70 1.70 33.47 33.80 34.40
none
4.58China 0.610.100.000.0016.604.70 4.75 4.75 3.50 3.51 3.49 3.49 16.05 16.50 16.60
South Asia
5.30 India 0.000.000.000.005.005.00 5.00 5.00 1.04 1.00 1.00 1.00 5.50 5.00 5.00
0.11 Pakistan 0.000.000.000.000.100.11 0.11 0.11 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.10 0.10 0.10
7.66Sub-Saharan Africa 3.960.280.000.007.277.62 7.80 7.80 0.89 0.92 0.93 0.93 6.78 7.00 7.27
1.25 Nigeria 0.000.000.000.001.551.25 1.25 1.25 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.55 1.55 1.55
0.87 Senegal 33.330.250.000.001.000.83 1.00 1.00 0.61 0.91 1.00 1.00 0.53 0.75 1.00
0.35 Chad 0.000.000.000.000.470.35 0.35 0.35 1.32 1.32 1.32 1.32 0.47 0.47 0.47
0.47 Ghana 0.000.000.000.000.440.47 0.47 0.47 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.44 0.44 0.44
1.00 Sudan 0.000.000.000.000.851.00 1.00 1.00 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85
0.48 Congo (Kinshasa) 0.000.000.000.000.370.48 0.48 0.48 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.37 0.37 0.37
0.35 Burkina 0.000.000.000.000.350.35 0.35 0.35 1.01 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.35 0.35 0.35
0.21 Guinea 0.000.000.000.000.260.21 0.21 0.21 1.24 1.24 1.24 1.24 0.26 0.26 0.26
0.31 Cameroon 0.000.000.000.000.240.31 0.31 0.31 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.77 0.24 0.24 0.24
0.25 Mali 0.000.000.000.000.280.25 0.25 0.25 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 0.28 0.28 0.28
0.22 Malawi 0.000.000.000.000.270.22 0.22 0.22 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.27 0.27 0.27
0.15 Cote d'Ivoire 0.000.000.000.000.150.15 0.15 0.15 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.15 0.15 0.15
0.21 Uganda 0.000.000.000.000.150.21 0.21 0.21 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.15 0.15 0.15
0.13 Central African Republic 0.000.000.000.000.140.13 0.13 0.13 1.12 1.12 1.12 1.12 0.14 0.14 0.14
0.16 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.130.16 0.16 0.16 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.13 0.13 0.13
0.29 Mozambique 0.000.000.000.000.110.29 0.29 0.29 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.11 0.11 0.11
0.26 Niger 0.000.000.000.000.110.26 0.26 0.26 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.42 0.11 0.11 0.11
0.05 South Africa 36.990.030.000.000.100.05 0.05 0.05 1.73 1.55 2.00 2.00 0.08 0.07 0.10
Southeast Asia
0.70 Indonesia -1.75-0.020.000.001.130.68 0.67 0.67 1.66 1.68 1.69 1.69 1.17 1.15 1.13
0.88 Burma 0.000.000.000.001.450.90 0.90 0.90 1.58 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.39 1.45 1.45
0.22 Vietnam 5.770.030.000.000.550.24 0.25 0.25 2.13 2.17 2.20 2.20 0.47 0.52 0.55
0.03 Thailand 0.000.000.000.000.050.03 0.03 0.03 1.60 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.05 0.05 0.05
South America
0.31 Argentina 23.710.230.000.001.200.32 0.33 0.33 3.19 3.00 3.69 3.69 0.98 0.97 1.20
0.09 Brazil -4.15-0.010.000.000.300.10 0.10 0.10 3.14 3.10 3.00 3.00 0.30 0.31 0.30
0.06Egypt 0.000.000.000.000.190.06 0.06 0.06 3.17 3.17 3.17 3.17 0.19 0.19 0.19
0.06Mexico 0.000.000.000.000.120.06 0.07 0.07 1.25 1.98 1.64 1.64 0.08 0.12 0.12
0.17Others -0.220.000.000.000.450.18 0.18 0.18 2.52 2.58 2.50 2.50 0.43 0.45 0.45
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 14 Sunflowerseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
25.56World 10.823.930.620.2540.2924.65 25.34 25.57 1.59 1.48 1.58 1.58 40.64 36.36 40.04
0.59United States -15.27-0.190.000.001.070.75 0.65 0.65 1.57 1.70 1.65 1.65 0.93 1.26 1.07
24.97Total Foreign 11.764.130.640.2539.2223.90 24.69 24.92 1.59 1.47 1.58 1.57 39.71 35.10 38.97
none
Former Soviet Union - 12
7.20 Russia 11.820.944.710.408.906.13 6.50 6.80 1.34 1.30 1.31 1.31 9.63 7.96 8.50
5.80 Ukraine 16.671.500.000.0010.506.00 6.00 6.00 1.81 1.50 1.75 1.75 10.50 9.00 10.50
0.28 Moldova 16.670.050.000.000.350.25 0.25 0.25 1.54 1.20 1.40 1.40 0.43 0.30 0.35
0.95 Kazakhstan 25.000.100.000.000.500.68 0.80 0.80 0.43 0.59 0.63 0.63 0.41 0.40 0.50
South America
1.82 Argentina 6.250.200.000.003.401.70 1.85 1.85 1.83 1.88 1.84 1.84 3.34 3.20 3.40
0.01 Uruguay -12.50-0.010.000.000.040.03 0.03 0.03 1.50 1.60 1.40 1.40 0.02 0.04 0.04
0.16 Bolivia 8.000.020.000.000.270.17 0.18 0.18 1.38 1.47 1.50 1.50 0.22 0.25 0.27
0.94China 2.080.050.000.002.450.95 0.97 0.97 2.46 2.53 2.54 2.54 2.32 2.40 2.45
4.24EU-27 12.560.87-1.90-0.157.754.27 4.28 4.20 1.97 1.61 1.85 1.85 8.37 6.89 7.90
0.74 France 6.480.110.000.001.730.68 0.70 0.70 2.55 2.38 2.46 2.46 1.89 1.62 1.73
0.58 Hungary 3.690.050.000.001.350.61 0.57 0.57 2.37 2.14 2.37 2.37 1.38 1.30 1.35
0.86 Spain 73.390.460.000.001.080.76 0.85 0.85 1.26 0.82 1.26 1.26 1.08 0.62 1.08
0.12 Italy 23.380.050.000.000.250.12 0.12 0.12 2.32 1.70 2.02 2.02 0.27 0.20 0.25
0.09 Slovakia -11.62-0.020.000.000.180.09 0.08 0.08 2.26 2.22 2.19 2.19 0.20 0.20 0.18
South Asia
0.74 India 4.290.030.000.000.730.80 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.62 0.70 0.73
0.50 Pakistan -14.29-0.100.000.000.600.47 0.40 0.40 1.50 1.49 1.50 1.50 0.75 0.70 0.60
0.49Turkey 30.230.330.000.001.400.59 0.69 0.69 1.89 1.82 2.03 2.03 0.93 1.08 1.40
0.45South Africa 9.910.060.000.000.610.50 0.51 0.51 1.15 1.11 1.20 1.20 0.52 0.56 0.61
0.86Burma 0.000.000.000.000.800.87 0.87 0.87 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.79 0.80 0.80
0.18Serbia 14.290.050.000.000.400.18 0.18 0.18 2.37 2.00 2.29 2.29 0.42 0.35 0.40
0.01Canada -25.29-0.020.000.000.070.04 0.04 0.04 1.43 2.18 1.71 1.71 0.02 0.09 0.07
0.04Australia 47.060.020.000.000.050.03 0.04 0.04 1.18 1.21 1.25 1.25 0.05 0.03 0.05
0.29Others 14.130.050.000.000.410.27 0.30 0.30 1.38 1.36 1.39 1.39 0.40 0.36 0.41
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 15 Rapeseed Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MMTPercent
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MMT
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million metric tons)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
33.43World 3.201.96-0.47-0.3063.0934.99 34.27 34.19 1.83 1.75 1.85 1.85 61.12 61.14 63.39
0.42United States 1.170.010.000.001.130.70 0.66 0.66 1.65 1.59 1.71 1.71 0.70 1.11 1.13
33.01Total Foreign 3.241.95-0.48-0.3061.9734.29 33.61 33.54 1.83 1.75 1.85 1.85 60.42 60.02 62.27
none
6.70EU-27 3.280.63-1.50-0.3019.706.21 6.50 6.43 2.86 3.07 3.08 3.07 19.18 19.07 20.00
1.33 Germany 13.070.632.970.165.451.33 1.44 1.44 2.91 3.62 3.68 3.78 3.87 4.82 5.29
1.56 France -8.59-0.47-4.81-0.254.951.60 1.53 1.48 3.44 3.38 3.41 3.34 5.35 5.42 5.20
0.71 United Kingdom -25.69-0.66-5.00-0.101.900.76 0.61 0.61 3.91 3.38 3.27 3.10 2.76 2.56 2.00
0.83 Poland 21.050.400.000.002.300.72 0.83 0.83 2.24 2.64 2.78 2.78 1.86 1.90 2.30
0.37 Czech Republic 10.460.120.000.001.230.40 0.41 0.41 2.80 2.77 2.98 2.98 1.05 1.11 1.23
0.15 Denmark -1.88-0.010.000.000.470.13 0.13 0.13 3.36 3.71 3.76 3.76 0.51 0.48 0.47
0.23 Hungary 18.450.070.000.000.480.17 0.20 0.20 2.25 2.40 2.41 2.41 0.53 0.40 0.48
0.38 Romania 202.000.30-16.11-0.090.450.09 0.29 0.26 1.96 1.63 1.86 1.74 0.75 0.15 0.54
0.15 Slovakia 52.580.110.000.000.330.11 0.14 0.14 2.29 1.99 2.32 2.32 0.33 0.21 0.33
0.10 Sweden -6.54-0.020.000.000.300.11 0.11 0.11 2.67 3.00 2.73 2.73 0.27 0.32 0.30
0.25 Lithuania -4.55-0.030.000.000.530.26 0.25 0.25 1.94 2.12 2.10 2.10 0.48 0.55 0.53
0.09 Latvia 5.840.020.000.000.290.12 0.13 0.13 2.28 2.32 2.32 2.32 0.21 0.27 0.29
0.06 Austria 27.030.040.000.000.190.06 0.06 0.06 3.20 2.64 3.30 3.30 0.18 0.15 0.19
0.09 Finland 13.330.010.000.000.090.06 0.06 0.06 1.32 1.25 1.42 1.42 0.12 0.08 0.09
0.09 Estonia -7.98-0.010.000.000.150.09 0.09 0.09 1.62 1.90 1.76 1.76 0.14 0.16 0.15
7.35China -3.70-0.500.000.0013.007.20 7.00 7.00 1.83 1.88 1.86 1.86 13.43 13.50 13.00
South Asia
6.60 India 2.940.200.000.007.006.75 6.80 6.80 0.94 1.01 1.03 1.03 6.20 6.80 7.00
0.37 Pakistan -8.57-0.030.000.000.320.38 0.36 0.36 0.89 0.92 0.89 0.89 0.33 0.35 0.32
0.31 Bangladesh 0.000.000.000.000.230.31 0.31 0.31 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.23 0.23 0.23
7.59Canada 8.941.190.000.0014.508.59 7.65 7.65 1.92 1.55 1.90 1.90 14.61 13.31 14.50
1.81Australia -9.36-0.290.000.002.802.40 2.15 2.15 1.73 1.29 1.30 1.30 3.12 3.09 2.80
Former Soviet Union - 12
0.83 Ukraine 42.860.600.000.002.000.65 1.00 1.00 1.73 2.15 2.00 2.00 1.44 1.40 2.00
0.84 Russia 6.280.070.000.001.100.97 1.00 1.00 1.25 1.07 1.10 1.10 1.05 1.04 1.10
0.30 Belarus -0.71-0.010.000.000.700.42 0.40 0.40 1.28 1.67 1.75 1.75 0.38 0.71 0.70
0.08Paraguay 3.450.000.000.000.120.08 0.09 0.09 1.28 1.45 1.41 1.41 0.10 0.12 0.12
0.24Others 20.530.090.000.000.500.33 0.36 0.36 1.51 1.24 1.41 1.41 0.37 0.41 0.50
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 16 Copra, Palm Kernel, and Palm Oil Production
Country / Region
Production
(Million metric tons)
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13
2013/14 Proj.
May Jun MMT Percent MMT Percent
Change in Production
From last month From last year
Oilseed, Copra
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Philippines 2.43 2.652.652.65
0.00 0.00 0.02 1.28 Indonesia 1.48 1.581.581.56
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 India 0.74 0.740.740.74
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Vietnam 0.24 0.240.240.24
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mexico 0.23 0.230.230.23
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.13 0.120.120.12
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thailand 0.07 0.070.070.07
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sri Lanka 0.07 0.070.070.07
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mozambique 0.05 0.050.050.05
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cote d'Ivoire 0.05 0.050.050.05
0.00 0.00 0.02 0.34 World 5.66 5.985.985.96
Oilseed, Palm Kernel
0.00 0.00 0.63 8.34 Indonesia 6.90 8.188.187.55
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Malaysia 4.50 4.754.754.75
0.00 0.00 0.02 2.86 Nigeria 0.65 0.720.720.70
0.00 0.00 0.02 5.00 Thailand 0.38 0.420.420.40
0.11 91.67 0.01 4.55 Colombia 0.21 0.230.120.22
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Papua New Guinea 0.14 0.130.130.13
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cameroon 0.11 0.110.110.11
0.05 83.33 0.01 10.00 Ecuador 0.10 0.110.070.11
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Honduras 0.08 0.100.100.10
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brazil 0.09 0.100.100.10
0.15 0.99 0.68 4.63 World 13.65 15.3615.2114.68
Oil, Palm
0.00 0.00 2.50 8.77 Indonesia 26.20 31.0031.0028.50
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Malaysia 18.20 19.0019.0019.00
0.00 0.00 0.10 5.00 Thailand 1.89 2.102.102.00
0.00 0.00 0.04 4.17 Colombia 0.94 1.001.000.96
0.00 0.00 0.02 2.20 Nigeria 0.85 0.930.930.91
0.00 0.00 0.02 3.28 Papua New Guinea 0.58 0.630.630.61
0.00 0.00 0.05 10.00 Ecuador 0.50 0.550.550.50
0.00 0.00 0.01 2.38 Honduras 0.40 0.430.430.43
0.00 0.00 0.01 2.56 Cote d'Ivoire 0.40 0.400.400.39
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brazil 0.31 0.340.340.34
0.01 0.02 2.79 5.05 World 51.88 58.0858.0755.29
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
Table 17 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production
From last month From last year
MBalesPercent
Yield
(Kilograms per hectare)
Jun 2011/12 MBales
Country / Region
Area
(Million hectares)
Production
(Million 480 lb. bales)
Change in Production
2011/12
Prel.
2012/13 May May
Prel.
2012/13 Jun
Prel.
2012/13 May Jun Percent
2013/14 Proj.2013/14 Proj. 2013/14 Proj.
2011/12
35.72World -3.15-3.81-0.56-0.66117.1634.35 34.04 33.88 763 767 753 753 125.14 120.97 117.82
3.83United States -22.03-3.82-3.57-0.5013.503.79 3.40 3.28 886 994 897 897 15.57 17.32 14.00
31.89Total Foreign 0.000.00-0.15-0.16103.6630.56 30.65 30.60 748 739 738 738 109.57 103.66 103.82
none
5.50China -2.86-1.000.000.0034.005.30 5.10 5.10 1,346 1,438 1,452 1,452 34.00 35.00 34.00
15.29South Asia 1.980.710.000.0036.7114.90 15.10 15.10 545 526 529 529 38.28 36.00 36.71
12.20 India 1.890.500.000.0027.0011.80 12.00 12.00 491 489 490 490 27.50 26.50 27.00
3.00 Pakistan 2.150.200.000.009.503.00 3.00 3.00 769 675 689 689 10.60 9.30 9.50
2.32Former Soviet Union - 12 -1.93-0.14-1.79-0.137.132.32 2.31 2.27 640 681 685 683 6.81 7.27 7.26
1.31 Uzbekistan 0.000.000.000.004.501.32 1.30 1.30 698 745 754 754 4.20 4.50 4.50
0.58 Turkmenistan -6.25-0.10-6.25-0.101.500.60 0.60 0.58 530 581 581 568 1.40 1.60 1.60
0.20 Tajikistan 0.000.000.000.000.550.20 0.20 0.20 619 599 599 599 0.58 0.55 0.55
0.16 Kazakhstan -1.20-0.01-3.53-0.020.410.15 0.15 0.14 590 611 617 620 0.44 0.42 0.43
4.12Sub-Saharan Africa -2.44-0.17-0.030.006.614.48 4.50 4.49 315 329 320 320 5.96 6.77 6.61
0.40 Burkina -7.41-0.090.000.001.130.58 0.58 0.58 441 456 422 426 0.80 1.22 1.13
0.48 Mali 13.640.120.000.001.000.52 0.56 0.56 393 366 389 389 0.86 0.88 1.00
0.47 Zimbabwe 0.000.000.000.000.500.38 0.40 0.40 278 290 272 272 0.60 0.50 0.50
0.20 Benin 0.000.000.000.000.550.25 0.27 0.27 381 479 444 444 0.35 0.55 0.55
0.28 Cote d'Ivoire -6.47-0.050.000.000.650.38 0.40 0.40 385 404 354 354 0.50 0.70 0.65
0.18 Cameroon -7.61-0.040.000.000.430.21 0.21 0.21 404 477 441 441 0.33 0.46 0.43
0.33 Nigeria -7.69-0.030.000.000.300.30 0.29 0.29 218 236 225 225 0.33 0.33 0.30
0.10 Sudan -20.00-0.030.000.000.100.06 0.05 0.05 435 454 435 435 0.20 0.13 0.10
2.13South America 19.551.390.000.008.471.41 1.66 1.66 1,052 1,095 1,108 1,108 10.29 7.08 8.47
1.40 Brazil 20.691.200.000.007.000.89 1.08 1.08 1,353 1,427 1,418 1,418 8.70 5.80 7.00
0.53 Argentina 21.020.170.000.000.950.36 0.43 0.43 411 475 487 487 1.00 0.79 0.95
0.08 Paraguay 11.110.010.000.000.100.06 0.06 0.06 340 327 363 363 0.13 0.09 0.10
0.80Middle East -10.77-0.400.000.003.330.69 0.60 0.60 1,298 1,184 1,218 1,218 4.79 3.73 3.33
0.12 Iran -3.51-0.010.000.000.280.11 0.10 0.10 587 591 599 599 0.31 0.29 0.28
0.15 Syria -4.83-0.040.000.000.690.13 0.12 0.12 1,306 1,263 1,252 1,252 0.90 0.73 0.69
0.49 Turkey -13.46-0.350.000.002.250.41 0.33 0.33 1,529 1,381 1,484 1,484 3.44 2.60 2.25
0.60Australia 4.650.200.000.004.500.44 0.47 0.47 1,994 2,118 2,107 2,107 5.50 4.30 4.50
0.36EU-27 -20.37-0.31-2.04-0.031.200.36 0.29 0.28 981 919 920 920 1.60 1.51 1.23
0.29 Greece -21.81-0.270.000.000.950.29 0.22 0.22 1,016 928 940 940 1.33 1.22 0.95
0.07 Spain -14.89-0.04-9.43-0.030.240.07 0.07 0.06 832 877 848 843 0.26 0.28 0.27
0.22Egypt -8.16-0.040.000.000.450.14 0.13 0.13 737 746 754 754 0.75 0.49 0.45
0.19Mexico -22.02-0.240.000.000.850.16 0.13 0.13 1,338 1,512 1,424 1,424 1.18 1.09 0.85
0.37Others 0.000.000.000.000.420.37 0.37 0.37 251 249 249 250 0.43 0.42 0.42
World and Selected Countries and Regions
June 2013
TABLE 18
The table below presents a record of the differences between the June projection and the final Estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error” means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 3.2 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 5.4 percent. The average difference between the June projection and the final estimate is16.0 million tons, ranging from 0.4 million to 32.2 million tons. The June projection has been below the estimate 19 times and above 13 times.
RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/
COMMODITY AND
REGION
Root mean
square error
90 percent
confidence
interval
Difference between forecast and final estimate
Average Smallest Largest
Years
Below
final
Above
final
Percent ---Million metric tons---
WHEAT
World 3.2 5.4 16.0 0.4 32.2 19 13
U.S. 6.0 10.1 2.7 0.0 8.4 18 14
Foreign 3.4 5.7 14.8 1.1 31.9 18 13
COARSE GRAINS 2/
World 3.9 6.6 26.6 0.6
103.3 16 16
U.S. 15.0 25.4 22.1 1.0 103.8 15
17
Foreign 2.8 4.8 13.4 0.4 41.6 15 16
RICE (Milled)
World 2.6 4.3 7.4 0.3 21.8 22 10
U.S. 7.0 11.9 0.3 0.0 1.1 18 14
Foreign 2.6 4.4 7.3 0.4 21.9 21 10
SOYBEANS
World NA NA 12.2 1.7 27.9 2 6
U.S. 9.3 15.7 4.3 0.0 12.0 15 17
Foreign NA NA 11.1 2.5 23.9 3 5
COTTON ---Million 480-lb. bales---
World 6.2 10.4 4.1 0.0 16.4 19 12
U.S. 10.5 17.8 1.5 0.1 5.6 16 16
Foreign 6.3 10.7 3.4 0.2 12.4 18 13
UNITED STATES -------Million bushels-------
CORN 17.7 30.1 875 8 4010 16 16
SORGHUM 20.9 35.5 90 0 228 13 18
BARLEY 15.2 25.8 30 1 206 12 20
OATS 25.1 42.6 34 1 231 7 25
1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2012/13. Final for grains, soybeans and cotton is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year for 1981 through 2011/12, and for 2012/13 last month’s estimate.
2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain
June 2013 Office of Global Analysis, FAS, USDA
June 2013