under peer review€¦ · 41 teesta barrage project (tbp), located at the teesta flood plains (tfp)...
TRANSCRIPT
Original Research Article1
Food habit change and adaptation: Perceptions and attitudes in2
drought areas of Bangladesh3
4
5
6
Abstract7
Adverse effects of climate change such as drought continue to be a major threat to rural8
livelihoods. This study investigates farmers’ perceptions of climate change and adaptation9
process through food habit change. Most farmers attributed climate change has affected in their10
daily livelihood. Farmers’ perceptions related to droughts were significantly associated with11
adoption of food habit change. The extent to which farmers’ perceived agricultural diversity as a12
climate changes adaptation strategy is suitable. However, food habit change is not the complete13
solution. This may be an adaptation to the changes that are real, controllable and within their14
reach. Therefore, people have to adapt to climate change such as drought and do that by15
producing and promoting fresh, sustainable, reachable, cost effective crops that can withstand16
environmental changes through food habit change.17
18
Key words: Climate change, drought, food habit change.19
1. Introduction20
Climate change is now a burning issue globally (Roberts, 2001) as well as in Bangladesh21
(Karim and Mimura, 2008). The Northern part of Bangladesh is among the most vulnerable22
regions to climate change impacts (Mbugua, 2011). The majority of the population lives in this23
area in abject poverty. People are extremely dependent on rain fed agriculture for their daily24
livelihood. As a consequence, the abnormalities in rainfall patterns and temperature adversely25
impact their socio-economic and environmental survival (Ruane et al., 2013).26
27Climate change with expected long term changes in rainfall patterns and shifting temperature28
regions are resulted to drought. The long-term climate variability impacts include significant29
changes in rainfall patterns and temperature which resulted drought affect agriculture has30
resulted significant reduction in food security, worsening water security, decimation of livestock31
herds, decrease in fish resources in natural water bodies due to rising temperature and rising32
UNDER PEER REVIEW
water stress (African Partnership Forum [APF], 2007). As a result of extreme climate variability,33
such as drought in the northern part of Bangladesh, is recurrently accompanied by ecological34
decline, widespread food scarcity and mass migration (Mbugua, 2011).35
36
In Bangladesh, the agricultural activities are mainly rain-fed and heavily depend on rainfall37
(Mbugua, 2011). In the northern part of the country, the other main source of water for daily38
livelihood and particularly for agriculture is harvested from the Teesta River. In Bangladesh, the39
major rivers passing through are Ganges, Brahmaputra, Meghna and Teesta (Mbugua, 2011).40
Teesta Barrage Project (TBP), located at the Teesta Flood Plains (TFP) at Dalia in Lalmonirhat41
district, is the major source of surface water for agricultural activities since 1990. However, India42
has constructed a barrage in its side at Gozaldoba. This has resulted is low water flow in Teesta43
river of Bangladesh part. The northern part of Bangladesh experiences droughts regularly.44
Records show that 19 drought periods has occurred in Bangladesh between 1960 and 199145
which means a drought every 1.6 years (Mbugua, 2011). In the last three to four decades when46
climate change reported to be observed in the northern part of Bangladesh, the situation has47
gradually decreased. Surface water has moved out from small ponds natural canals. Even48
major rivers have reduced water level and flow volume. Deep wells, shallow machine wells were49
used for agricultural activities. The tube wells used for domestic needs have been deepened50
with time due to the ground water level continues to go down. Whereas the northern part of51
Bangladesh had become a food surplus region after promotion of deep well water for52
agricultural activities.53
This dependence makes this northern region particularly vulnerable to the adverse impacts of54
climate change. It has been reviewed in the literature that the scope (geographic coverage),55
frequency and magnitude of climatic changes and environmental degradation (disaster) such as56
deforestation, water level decreasing and soil erosion have been gradually increasing in this57
region (Brammer, 2012; Mbugua, 2011). The potential adverse effects of climate change on this58
region’s agricultural sector are of a major concern because of this dependence.59
60The climatic disasters, particularly drought, are becoming the major forces challenging the61
livelihoods of most farmers. Although the country’s crop production and productivity seem62
increasing since 2006’s (Mbugua, 2011; Ruane et al., 2013), the problem of food insecurity at63
national level remains the concern because of severity of food production constraints in this64
northern region. The rural population in this region, for whom agriculture is the primary source of65
food, direct and/or indirect employment and income, will be most affected due agriculture’s66
UNDER PEER REVIEW
vulnerability to climate changes (Ruane et al., 2013). As the sector is the largest consumer of67
water resources, variability in water access has a major influence on health and welfare of68
agriculture dependent poor.69
70
Vulnerability analysis made across the different regions of Bangladesh by reference (Ahsan71
and Warner 2014) indicated that the exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity of people72
differ from region to region. The other report (Mbugua, 2011) indicated that Kurigram district in73
the northern part of Bangladesh is among the most vulnerable regions because of higher74
frequencies of drought and floods, lower access to technologies, fewer institutions dealing with75
climate related hazards, and lack of infrastructures. Vulnerability to climatic change is highly76
correlated with poverty and living status of farmers determines their vulnerability to and77
adaptation with climatic changes. An increase in the frequency of climate related disasters could78
lead households to lower expected income which in turn can cause to fall below poverty79
threshold level.80
81
The study was aimed to generate primary information from the farming communities of Kurigram82
district related to climate change. This study also examined the perception of target farmers on83
the trend of climate change and related abnormalities, existing coping strategies in place to84
secure food through food habit change. Knowledge of farmers on various adaptation strategies85
was assessed using formal and informal dialogue, third person listening (TPL) approach and86
focus group discussion (FGD), self-reported perception survey and Likert scale survey. It would87
also draw implications that would assist policy makers to decrease the vulnerability of rural88
farming communities to adverse impacts of climate change to secure food in drought area.89
90
Limited study has conducted regarding the knowledge, attitudes and experiences on food91
consumptions and/or daily dietary changes due to the impact of drought. Therefore, the92
objectives of this study was to evaluate the perceptions, attitudes and experiences on food93
consumptions and/or daily dietary changes due to the impact of drought, and to assess the94
extent to which proper knowledge on consumption practices and resilience food security95
associated with drought due to the climate changes in the northern part of Bangladesh.96
97
2. Study area98
The study areas were selected in the drought prone northern part of Bangladesh where a99
particular community practices their knowledge as an experience to adopt their livelihood with100
UNDER PEER REVIEW
the drought. Two Upzila Bhurungamari and Chilmari in Kurigram district was selected based on101
the study objectives.102
103
The study investigated and tries to find out the answers through the research questions given104
below;105
1. Is there any relation between drought and livelihood particularly agricultural crops for106
food consumption among the target population in the study area?107
2. Which practices they are used to cope with the situation and how they adopt108
themselves?109
3. What are their perceptions and attitudes about the adaptation they are practicing?110
111
3. Methodology112
A cross-sectional study of perception, attitudes and experience of traditional and present113
agricultural activities for food consumption practice was carried out to collect required data.114
115
Two types of questions in the formatted questionnaire was applied, one for the traditional116
practices and another for the present practices in their daily dietary.117
118
The first part of the study questionnaire will be contained the following components:119
a) Personal data including name, address, age, gender, religion, educational status and120
ethnicity,121
b) Their perception and attitudes about drought which included temperature, rainfall,122
economic activities, year of cultivation, types of traditional cultivation for food123
consumption as well as their belief and practice about the traditional practices.124
125
The second part of the questionnaire was comprised of the following components:126
127
a) Their experience such as preference for changed food consumptions to traditional128
practice or willingness to convey their knowledge and integration of the two systems,129
reason for the acceptance of present consumption by the community, their views to130
adopt with the climate change condition.131
b) Finally adaptation strategy with the drought due to climate change.132
133
UNDER PEER REVIEW
Both part of the questionnaire was semi-structured with closed and open-ended questions and a134
separate part of self-reported Likert scale.135
136
3.1. Ethical considerations137
Ethical considerations are essential to any form of data collection in a humanitarian operation.138
Collecting information for any purpose, including monitoring, assessments or surveys, can put139
people at risk not only because of the sensitive nature of the information collected, but also140
because simply participating in the process may cause people to be targeted. The risks can141
range from physical violence to social marginalization and are often unknown to the individual142
soliciting the information. Prior to filling the questionnaire, informed consent was obtained.143
Participants were treated fairly and with dignity. Because the research involved an intrusion into144
the private lives of the participants, the Principal Researcher and field investigators (FIs) were145
always be respectful, polite and reliable to the respondents. This helped to built rapport between146
interviewer and respondents.147
148
The fieldworkers were required to sign a statement that they would not reveal identifying149
information to anyone outside the research. Furthermore, code names were used in all field150
notes. A master key was retained for un-coding the personal data at the end of the study, at151
which time all keys were destroyed. In some cases, interviews were take place in a quiet152
confidential area in a mutually convenient location particularly for roaming population. Possible153
precautions were taken to minimize the risks during the survey.154
155
3.2. Research design156
An interpretive hermeneutic phenomenological research approach was adopted in order to157
provide an understanding of the subject population’s beliefs and perceptions. Within this158
framework, ethnographic data were collected using observation, formal and informal dialogue159
and third person listening techniques. Where possible, interviews were formally prearranged,160
but informal opportunities were also taken, at times and place where the participant’s interest161
could be obtained and retained.162
163
3.3. Selection of study group164
Based on the socio-economic circumstances in the study area, initial observation suggested165
that a number of significant and distinct groups of people are affected due to drought in the166
selected study areas such as;167
UNDER PEER REVIEW
168
a) ultra-poor169
b) marginalized people170
c) middle income population, and171
d) high income172
173
However, other consequence was considered to identify the subject people such as;174
e) educated population175
f) illiterate176
g) ethnic community177
178
3.4. Determination of Sample Size179
Having identified these potentially significant groups, each group was sampled according to a180
sampling plan appropriate to that type of population. Sample size refers to the number of181
subjects to be included in the study. These were sampled according to 95% confidence intervals182
using a Population Proportionate to Size (PPS) stratified plan considering the study subjects.183
The sample size was allocated to different groups on a PPS basis, with redistribution of the184
sample to ensure that the minimum sample size required for any group in both of the Upazila. A185
total of n = 210 participants were surveyed across the selected groups by purposive and186
authoritative sampling technique. Each participant was given a unique code number with sex187
(Rs1- Rs210). Various factors including gender, age, access to irrigation water, occupation,188
income, ethnicity and land holding size were considered during sampling.189
3.5. Data collection190
3.5.1. Observational approach191
An observational approach reduces the impact of the data collection process on the behaviours192
of the observed population. The principal investigator watched the actions and behaviours of193
selected participants in their usual settings, noting the routine aspects of daily life and nature of194
work activities.195
196
3.5.2. Third Person Listening Approach197
A third person listening approach was used to develop an understanding of the interaction198
between two or more individuals within the pragmatic social and cultural environment of their199
daily livelihoods as described by Patwary et al, (2011). In this listening approach, the researcher200
concentrated on the interactions between two or more speakers and, as well as noting key201
UNDER PEER REVIEW
aspects of the conversation, observed other signals such as fleeting facial expressions, how the202
tone of voice shifted, and body language accumulated as unfocused impressions and in later203
stages, more focused data.204
205
3.5.3. Formal interview206
A number of formal semi-structured interviews were arranged, as judged appropriate in each207
individual circumstance, including demographic information, occupational activity, questions208
dealing with agricultural activities and finally adaptation with drought in the changed climate and209
coping strategies.210
211
3.5.4. Informal dialogue212
An informal dialogue approach was also applied where formal techniques were not being judged213
appropriate. The dialogue approach involved face-to-face interviews between the researcher214
and selected informants at times and places where the participant’s interest could be obtained215
and retained. Interviews may be conducted in tea-stalls or in a local restaurant, close to a216
roadside or in an agricultural land, at any free time, during the day or at night, in good weather217
or bad.218
219
3.5.6. Focus Group Discussion220
Focus Group Discussions (FGD) were conducted to generate information on the perception of221
the farmers on climate change, its related hazards, vulnerable groups of the community and222
existing coping strategies with volunteers from each of the various subject groups.223
Focus group methodology was adopted to collect qualitative descriptive data to identify224
and explore the attitudes and beliefs about livelihoods stress and circumstances. These225
focus groups were explored attitudes, beliefs, and social/cultural norms and values in a226
group-discussion format. This group setting has provided a forum that encouraged the227
participants to disclose their personal experiences with droughts, to reveal their228
attitudes and beliefs to brainstorm about climate related hazard identification and229
characterization, identification and prioritization of coping mechanisms. The FGD was audio-230
recorded and subsequently transcribed by a professional transcript writer and later for231
accuracy.232
233
3.6. Setting and participants234
UNDER PEER REVIEW
General beliefs about drought related to coping strategies by food habit change were extracted235
with several open-ended questions. Examples of questions were asked as: “Why do you feel to236
change your agricultural activities for food consumption?” “What do you think causes this237
change?” The FGD and informal dialogue approach were progress by asking more specific238
questions about their personal experiences with the daily livelihoods circumstance: “How do you239
know that you need to change your agricultural activities?” “How has drought affected you in the240
agricultural environment?” “How has it affected your daily life?” and then began to target how241
participants chose to manage their change: “How do you usually cope with this change?” “What242
strategy preferences do you have in coping with drought related change?” “What experiences243
have you had seeking strategies for coping with change?” Probes were utilized by the facilitator244
to gain a deeper understanding into individual responses.245
246
Tools such as food habit identification and characterization, food habit behavior story telling247
(time-line), food habit ranking matrix were used to acquire information on subject populations’248
perception on agree or disagree of food habit changes, priority and finally satisfaction on249
changes. The different coping strategies used by the community were also identified and250
analyzed for their effectiveness. Effectiveness was rated as satisfactory Likert Scale ranked as251
very satisfactory-satisfactory-neither satisfactory or nor dissatisfactory-not satisfactory and the252
rating number converted to percent to assess satisfaction level.253
254
The study procedure was conducted in Bangla and than transcribed verbatim and translated255
into English. Most interviews were tape-recorded. The interviews were coded and categorized256
by the researcher, himself as a native person, several time to create a system of thematic257
classification (Allen and Jensen, 1990). A process of theoretical validation was undertaken to258
ensure that the units of classification (themes, issues, concepts) was sensitive to the informants’259
narratives.260
261
3.7. Data analysis262
Data were analysed by using six activities for conducting hermeneutic phenomenological263
research as described by Brysiewicz (2007). Hermeneutic phenomenology is chosen for its264
ease of interpretation. Hermeneutic phenomenological research approach was adopted in order265
to provide an understanding of study subjects beliefs and perceptions.266
267
UNDER PEER REVIEW
Finally, these were combined in a grounded theory approach following Glaser and Strauss268
(1967). Manual line-by-line in-vivo microanalysis of the interview data was conducted. Each line269
of text was read and assigned a code utilizing the respondents' own words. The researcher270
examined the interview narratives and field notes looking for indications of categories. With271
each category, it was coded on the document, and after several read-throughs, the codes272
developed into a name that described the event or issue. Each code was then transferred into a273
separate document in which consistent categories could be again compared. For example,274
when respondents expressed their views about “nature of the agricultural activities leading to275
drought and food habit change”, the instance would be labelled “drought, agriculture and food,”276
and the content was transferred to the “food habit change as an adaptation due to drought”277
document. Subcategories were arranged when needed. Categories of data were then combined278
to create over-arching themes. This process was repeated several times, as the codes were279
needed to be re-organized and re-named after further comparisons with other events. Once the280
categories became more firm, the core themes became the central focus of the research. The281
results section of this manuscript was developed based on the categories of central focus.282
283
4. Results and discussions284
General beliefs about drought related to coping strategies by food habit change were extracted285
in summarized form as follows.286
287
Study revealed through qualitative discussion among the subject populations that some288
changes are occurred in the nature which may define as climate change. One of the respondent289
(Rs 24, male; aged 38) stated when asked about the changes that;290
291
“...it has been observed that there are clear differences in the seasons between when292
we were young and nowadays. There is a many of confusion, it gets cold in the night293
during the summer when it is not supposed to and gets hot when it wants, rains are no294
longer well... but it is not common nowadays because of hotness...seasons are295
confusing nowadays...”296
297
Another respondent (Rs 73, male; aged 62) claim;298
“At the present time rain just comes in a messy manner, whenever it wants and goes at299
anytime… sometimes it rains continuously that we cannot do any work and sometimes300
UNDER PEER REVIEW
instead of the rains reducing and stopping, it continues and falls heavily devastating our301
crops that were ready for harvesting. It is confusing to understand the rains nowadays...”302
303
The in-depth question such as “why do you feel to change your agricultural activities for food304
consumption?” a respondents (Rs 61, male; aged 56) replied due to the previous stated reason;305
306
“…therefore, we need to change our life style such as cropping pattern, food habit307
consumption, daily dietary and frequency of the daily diet.”308
309
About the changes some of the respondents (Rs 20, male, aged 38; Rs 89, male, aged 35, Rs310
102 aged 43) among many define in another way and revealed the answer when asked “what311
do you think causes this change?” replied one of them (Rs 20, male; aged 38)312
313
“This is the changes of modern world. People are practicing technological irrigation and314
disturb the nature like soil, so that water goes down as a result weather are changing.”315
316
A few number of respondents (Rs 109, male aged 30; Rs 145, male, aged 46; Rs 110, male317
aged 48 ) out of the sampled populations believed that climate change is a natural and normal318
process as reflected one of the respondents (Rs 109, male aged 30) with intellectuality from319
many;320
321
“Nature keeps changing since human civilization. It is a cycle of nature.”322
323
Another (Rs 201 male aged 51) added with him that,324
“…nature is normal but we are experiencing climate change in a short time frame.”325
326
These qualitative findings are consequently observed in the structural analyses which are327
presented in the following graphical distribution.328
329
Figure 1 shows the occupational situation of the respondent’s in the study area. Non-farm330
economic activities are found to be higher than farm economy for both of the study area. But the331
situation was different before 50 years stated a number of respondents. As the farm economic332
activities are disturbed due to drought, people are occupied themselves nowadays in non-farm333
UNDER PEER REVIEW
economy. Consequently, this has influences crop diversity and finally people are changing their334
food habits which have observed in the sampled area.335
336
Figure 1: Occupational situation of the respondent’s in the study area337
338
339
340
The consequent result has reflected on the economic activities which are shown in figure 2. In341
the Chilmari, non-farm economic activities are significantly higher than farm economy (X2 test).342
This may be due to drought. In the field survey, it was observed that people are suffering of343
water scarcity. Therefore, some of them are not interested about agricultural activities due to344
weather constraints. In that particular area, the main source of water for irrigation is ground345
water or rain water. However, due to the decreasing water level and increased temperature346
people cannot do their normal agricultural activities. In a particular time, people experience on347
water from rain and river. Due to the scarcity of water at present time, farmers have to pay more348
for agricultural activities from before. Therefore, people are switching in non-farm activities and349
the rate of non-farm economic activities are increasing. They don’t need to wait for natural350
blessing. They can earn more money to survive. If they earn good amount of money, they351
believe it may help to solve any problem such as food consumption. They have got the352
ownership on their food choice and can change their daily dietary.353
354
Figure 2: Economic activity in the study area355
05
1015202530
Bhurungamari
Chilmari
UNDER PEER REVIEW
356
357
358
Figure 3 shows the perception of the respondents on patterns of temperature change in the359
study area. Consequently figure 4 shows the patterns of rainfall in the study area. In both of the360
figure shows the changed behaviour of climate which is the indication of drought.361
362
Figure 3: Respondents' perception on patterns of temperature change in the study area363
364
Figure 4: Respondents' perception on patterns of rainfall change in the study area365
01020304050607080
0
0102030405060
357
358
359
Figure 3 shows the perception of the respondents on patterns of temperature change in the362
study area. Consequently figure 4 shows the patterns of rainfall in the study area. In both of the363
figure shows the changed behaviour of climate which is the indication of drought.364
363
Figure 3: Respondents' perception on patterns of temperature change in the study area364
365
Figure 4: Respondents' perception on patterns of rainfall change in the study area366
1 2 3
Farm economy
Non farm economy
Bhurungamari
Chilmari
358
359
360
Figure 3 shows the perception of the respondents on patterns of temperature change in the365
study area. Consequently figure 4 shows the patterns of rainfall in the study area. In both of the366
figure shows the changed behaviour of climate which is the indication of drought.367
364
Figure 3: Respondents' perception on patterns of temperature change in the study area365
366
Figure 4: Respondents' perception on patterns of rainfall change in the study area367
Bhurungamari
UNDER PEER REVIEW
366
367
Figure 5 shows the perception on drought in the study area where significant number of368
respondents is experiencing on increasing drought and most of them are aware about it.369
Similarly most of them are thinking that it affects in their daily livelihood.370
371
372
Figure 5: Respondents' perception on drought in the study area373
374
375
376
377
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Decreaserailfall
Increaserainfall
Changedrainfall
Nochange
Don’tknow
Bhurungamari
Chilmari
0102030405060708090
100
Bhurungamari
Chilmari
UNDER PEER REVIEW
Figure 6 shows the impact of drought on daily livelihood of the subject population in the study378
area according to their perception. Self-reported perception analysis was applied to assess the379
prevalence of impact of drought on daily livelihood among the subject population in the study380
area. The survey was conducted simultaneously in Chilmari and in Bhurungamari to eliminate381
the confounding effect of seasonal variation on livelihood response. Since many respondents382
were illiterate and poorly educated, the investigators explained the drought related questions.383
Self-reported perceptions were scored by using the pseudo-score system (SSC, 2001). This384
system was chosen for its ease of interpretation. The respondents were asked to prioritize the385
impact which affected them and to rank daily livelihood according to priority. A phenomenon386
which was given first priority was allocated 11, second priority was allocated 10 and third priority387
was allocated 9 and so on. The first priority was allocated 11 because the highest number of388
phenomena was found to be 11 among all the respondents. Finally the analysed summaries of389
data are presented by the graphical arrangement.390
391
It was observed that a number of daily activities are impacted where the prevalence of the392
impact was observed to be higher on cropland, food consumption and finally on food habit393
change indicates that the target populations have already been adapted with changed food394
habit. This result also reflected on the other analysis presented in figure 7.395
396
Figure 6: Respondents' perception on drought impact in the study area397
398
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Food habit change
Food consumtion
Fishery
Poultry
Livestock
Crop storage
Homestead gardening
Crop harvesting
Cropping diversity
Cropping pattern
Crop land
UNDER PEER REVIEW
Figure 7: Respondents' perception on food habit change in the study area399
400
401
Figure 8 shows the respondent’s perception on food habit change in daily dietary using Likert402
scale. This results are also indicates that most of the people are agreed then disagree to403
change their food habit which may help them to adapt in the changed climate. However, a few404
of number respondents have found with no comments and not concerned.405
406
407
Figure 8: Respondents' perception on food habit change in daily dietary in the study area408
409
0
10
20
30
40
50
Verychanged
Moderatechanged
No change
Bhurungamari
Chilmari
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
No comment
Don’t know
Strongly disagree
Disagree
Neither agree nordisagree
Agree
Strongly agree
UNDER PEER REVIEW
Figure 9 shows the final analysis of the satisfaction on food habit change among the studied410
population using satisfaction Likert scale. The analyzed data shows that most of the studied411
populations are happy and satisfied about their food habit change in both of the study area. This412
may suggest that peoples have already received the ‘food habit change’ as an adaptation413
process. However, the results show that food habit change in daily dietary can be a suitable414
adaptation process due to climate change. This may be an effective adaptation process in the415
area where local crop is affected due to climate change. But the farmers need to be habituated416
with the diversified crop and farmland.417
418
419
Figure 9: Respondents' perception on satisfaction about food habit change in the study area420
421
422
423424425426
5. Discussion427The review of literature shows that climate change will have a significant impact on428
agriculture, primarily through its effect on crop yields. While climate influences429
pragmatically all aspects of life, the impact on agricultural production and consequently430
food consumption is likely to be particularly important. Because food demand is431
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
No comment
Don’t know
Strongly dissatisfied
Dissatisfied
Neither satisfied nordissatisfied
Satisfied
Strongly satisfied
UNDER PEER REVIEW
inelastic, the reduction of agricultural production from the direct impact of drought can432
induce more increase in agricultural price and raise people’s food habit change.433
434
Researchers have pointed out that rural people are particularly vulnerable to climate435
change, especially in the case of extreme weather events such as droughts. In the dry436
regions of northern districts in Bangladesh such as Kurigram, a reduction in rainfall and437
an increase in the incidence of drought in recent years have been shown to affect local438
farming activities and farmer income.439
440
In the future, if not adopting adaptation measures such as adjusting crop varieties or441
improving farm management, it would be difficult to change food habit as an adaptation442
process. In order to improve adaptation capacities by food habit change through443
agricultural production, it is not only the role for government to undertake actions such444
as improving irrigation strategy and adoption of improved technology or farm445
management, but also necessary for farmers to make appropriate responses such as446
cropping patterns change. If these actors are able to adapt adequately, it is possible447
that Bangladesh’s agricultural sector can actually take advantage of changes in drought.448
Future agricultural crop pattern will depend on the ability of these actors (population of449
drought area) to make effective responses.450
451
In the present study a few options were examined to know the attitudes of farmers on452
crop cultivation in responding to drought regarding food habit change. Crop choice453
based on empirical analysis of the selected respondents in the study area, showed that454
farmers in drought places are more likely to produce peanut, cereals, potatoes, oil455
crops, spice crops, strawberries and maize and less likely to grow rice, wheat, jute, and456
sugar. These results indicate that they have already started to make crop planting shifts457
according to local climatic conditions. Field studies in both Upazilla have showed similar458
behavior among farmers. Ju et al. (2008) indicates that, farmers faced with drought are459
inclined to choose a crop that is more adaptive, multi-functional and high yielding, with460
better economic returns under such conditions.461
462
UNDER PEER REVIEW
However, the analysis of the respondent’s perceptions and attitudes also suggests that463
the marginal effects of climate change on irrigation choice depend on the distribution of464
seasonal rainfall and temperature. As a result, irrigation choice will vary from place to465
place.466
467
Despite the importance of improving adaptation capacity to mitigate the impacts of climate468
change on agriculture sector, the current level of knowledge on climate change and its impacts469
such as drought is not adequate to support the implementation of strategic plan on adaptations470
in the study area. The implementation of adaptation plan is constrained by the institutional,471
socio-economic, attitudinal and behavior barriers and the availability of resources and building472
adaptive capacity are particularly important for developing countries. How to identify these473
constraints or barriers is one of the key steps to facilitate the adoption or implementation of474
suitable adaptation options in the study area. In addition, understanding the effectiveness and475
cost-benefit of adaptation options are also particularly important for policy makers to design476
suitable adaptation strategies. Presently, although some scientists have applied the top-down477
approach (mainly crop model) to examine the effectiveness of some adaptation options (Xiong478
et al. 2009; Tao and Zhang 2011), the bottom-up approach to evaluate the effectiveness and479
cost-benefit of adaptation practice are still in their infancy. Until now, only a few studies (e.g.,480
Wang et al. 2010) quantitatively analyze the farmers’ adaptive responses to climate change481
(such as adjusting cropping patterns or changing irrigation choice). While Ju et al. (2008)482
analyzed farmers’ responses to drought and proposed actions of changing crops or varieties in483
Ningxia, China, most existing studies are based on macro-level and qualitative analysis (Wang484
et al. 2008; Xia et al. 2008). As Mirza and Burton (2005) pointed out, adaptation measures and485
implementations face challenges due to a lack of micro- and empirical social and economic486
analysis.487
488
According to the scholars climate change might force changes in diets around the world as489
certain staple foods become harder to produce. The present study revealed the similar results in490
the study area. This may be a suitable adaptation process for the people who are affected due491
to drought. However, future shortfalls could be balance by diversifying to crops which can thrive492
in those altered climates. Important crops like maize and wheat produce less grain at493
temperatures above 30 degrees Celsius. These temperatures are being reached on a regular494
basis and more frequently in many countries now.495
UNDER PEER REVIEW
However, growing-season temperatures are not the only factors affected by climate change.496
Rainfall patterns are changing, too. Water level is also strained in some areas, while others will497
see more floods. In the study area, droughts are more likely as the climate changes, which498
could impact crops such as rice. Climate change is also altering habitats for pests and diseases499
and for some crops, particularly crops really local value, such as potatoes, are really likely to500
increase and change in their patterns in the future. Other local verity of crops will not be spared501
either.502
503
Some crops in the northern region of Bangladesh are able to adapt. It is an emerging time to504
have to think about switching out of growing some crops entirely. For example, by later this505
decade the drought prone area will no longer be suitable for growing some crops such as millet506
(local name ‘coun’), some oil corps (local name teel, tishi, kalijira) and some rice varieties.507
Potatoes, maize, and peanuts are becoming better options. When we start thinking through all508
that, it means changes in people’s diets and these are fairly fundamental cultural changes due509
to drought. A number of studies have been outlined the predicted impacts of climate change on510
food production, and also on food safety.511
512
But not all the news from climate change is bad. Many farmers are adapted through crop513
diversity which will open up in what used to be drought area. It suggests overall, the food supply514
may not suffer in near future through food habit change as an adaptation process. But, the515
question is what will happen most to people is what occurs when local crops begin to fail? Are516
we going to deal with that by greater global interconnectivity so that people can shift out of517
agriculture but buy their food from somewhere else, or do we deal with it by major changes in518
how people are growing food, and eating?519
520
In next future, there will need to expand wide range of trade, and adapt local farms to the521
realities of climate change. It is now emerging issue to produce different crops which may522
struggle in the farmland due to climatic changes, loss of biomass and over-irrigation.523
524
Food habit change is not the complete solution. This may be an adaptation to the changes that525
are real, controllable and within their reach. This has been doing since the first human being526
started to grow his own crops. This will help a verity of uncommon food products, from farmers527
that want to optimize, safeguard and maintain their and our future existence, without having to528
worry about environmental issues.529
UNDER PEER REVIEW
There is still debate that the evolution theory of Charles Darwin no longer applies to us as530
because human beings species is on the top of the food chain. What’s forgotten in this point is531
that our food chain itself is definitely still part of Darwin’s theories on the natural selection and532
adaptation of species through the environment. Therefore, people have to adapt to climate533
change such as drought and do that by producing and promoting fresh, sustainable, cost534
effective crops that can withstand environmental changes though food habit change.535
536
6. Conclusion537
Climate-friendly food consumption seems to be challenging for farmers. Adaptation to climatic538
changes requires a combination of various individual responses at the farm-level and assumes539
that farmers have access to alternative practices and technologies available in their area. But it540
mainly involves changes in agricultural management practices in response to changes in541
climate conditions for agrarian community. Adaptation of people to different hazards vary from542
household to households and region to region based on existing support system to increase the543
resilience of affected individuals. Despite growing literatures on the impacts of drought in the544
northern part of Bangladesh due to climate change on food habit change, there are still several545
research gaps that need to be addressed by the scholars in the near future.546
547
548
References549
Ahsan, M.N. and Warner, J., 2014. The socioeconomic vulnerability index: A pragmatic550approach for assessing climate change led risks–A case study in the south-western coastal551Bangladesh. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 8, 32–49.552
553Allen, M.N., Jensen, L., 1990. Hermeneutical inquiry, meaning and scope. Western Journal of554Nursing Research 12 (2), 240–253.555
556APF, 2007. Climate Change and Africa. 8th Meeting of African Partnership Forum, Berlin,557Germany, 22-23 May, 2007.558
559Brammer, H., 2012. The Physical Geography of Bangladesh. The University Press Limited560(UPL), Dhaka 1000, Bangladesh. ISBN 978 984 506 049 3. Pp 312-345.561
562Brysiewicz, P., 2007. The lived experience of working in a mortuary. Accident and Emergency563Nursing 15, 88–93.564
565Glaser, B.G., Strauss, A., 1967. Discovery of Grounded Theory: Strategies for Qualitative566Research. Sociology Press.567
568Ju H, Conway D, Li Y, Harvey A, Lin E, Calsamiglia-Mendlewicz S. 2008. The Impacts of569Climate Change on Chinese Agriculture – Phase II, Adaptation Framework and Strategy Part 2:570
UNDER PEER REVIEW
Application of the Adaptation Framework: A Case Study of Ningxia, Northwest China. Report to571DEFRA (now DECC) and DFID, ED02264, Issue 2.572
573Karim M. F. and Mimura, N., 2008. Impacts of climate change and sea-level rise on cyclonic574storm surge floods in Bangladesh. Global Environmental Change, 18 (3), 490-500.575
576Mbugua, A., 2011. Research Report on Water Scarcity in Northern Bangladesh.577http://www.vsointernational.org/Images/water%20scarcity%20in%20Bangladesh%20report_tcm57876-35607.pdf [April to May].579
580Mirza M, Burton I. 2005. Using Adaptation Policy Framework to Assess Climate Risks and581Response Measures in South Asia: The Case of Floods and Droughts in Bangladesh and India.582Balkema Publishers, London.583
584Patwary, M.A., O’Hare, W.T., Sarker, M.H., 2011. Assessment of occupational and585environmental safety associated with medical waste disposal in developing countries: a586qualitative approach. Safety Science, 49 (8-9), 1200-1207.587
588Roberts, J.T., 2001.Global inequality and climate change. Society and Natural Resources, 14,589501–509.590
591Ruane, A. C., Major, D. C., Yu, W. H., Alam, M., Hussain, S. G., Khan, A. S., Hassan, A.,592Hossain, B. M. T., Goldberg, R., Horton, R. M., Rosenzweig, V., 2013. Multi-factor impact593analysis of agricultural production in Bangladesh with climate change. Global Environmental594Change, 23 (1), 338-350.595
596Tao F L, Zhang Z. 2011. Climate change, wheat productivity and water use in the North China597Plain: a new super-ensemble-based probabilistic projection. Agricultural and Forest598Meteorology, 17, 146-165.599
600Wang J X, Li H, Xia J, Ren G. 2008. Water scarcity in the Hai River Basin when climate601changes and analysis of adaptation policies. Advances in Climate Change Research, 4, 336-602341.603
604Wang J X, Mendelsohn R, Dinar A, Huang J K. 2010. How chinese farmers change crop choice605to adapt to climate change? Climate Change Economics, 1, 167-185.606
607Xia J, Tanner T, Ren G, Cheng X, Wang J, Wang Z, Yan M, Liu X, Holman I. 2008. The608potential impacts of climate change: screening for adaptation and management. Advances in609Climate Change Research, 4, 215-219.610
611Xiong W, Conway D, Lin E D, Xu Y L, Ju H, Jiang J, Holman I, Li Y. 2009. Future cereal612production in China: the interaction of climate change, water availability and socio-economic613scenarios. Global Environmental Change, 19, 34-44.614
615
UNDER PEER REVIEW