trends in nanoelectronics: microchips and...
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Trends in Nanoelectronics: Microchips and More
Tom Morrow Chief Marketing Officer
SEMI
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Welcome to NACK’s Webinar
Moderator: Michael Lesiecki
Tom Morrow Executive Vice President Global Emerging Markets and Chief Marketing Officer, SEMI [email protected]
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Agenda
• About me and my organization
• What makes the iPad so successful? – Semiconductors
– High Brightness LEDs
– MEMS or Micro Machines
– Printed Electronics
• Solar PV
• Lessons learned about high technology
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About SEMI
• Global industry association
• ~1800 members
• Established in 1970 to serve the semiconductor supply chain
• Today serves members interests in the following industries:
– Semiconductor
– Flat Panel Display
– Photovoltaic/Tech-Energy
– Nanotechnology
– MEMS
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The Next Big Thing?
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Innovations in Today’s Tablet Computers
High-brightness
LEDs Backlighting
Flat Panel Display
High-Definition LCD
MEMS Accelerometer
Gyroscopes
Semiconductors Microprocessor
Memory
3G/SIM card
WiFi
Bluetooth
GPS
Flexible Electronics
Multi-touch screen
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The Electronics Miracle
1975 Cost=$1 Billion Size= House
2011 Cost=$200 Size= Handheld
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Moore’s Law: An Industry
Agreement to Work Together
“Initially, just an observation to
predict [that] this was a way to
cheap electronics... but the
industry made it a self-fulfilling
prophesy… Excerpts from A
Conversation with Gordon Moore:
Moore’s Law Intel 2005
Moore's Law: The long-term trend in which the
number of transistors that can be placed
inexpensively on an integrated circuit has doubled
approximately every two years.
Source: Electronics, Volume 38, Number 8, April 19, 1965
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Evolution of Chip Demand
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The Power of Moore’s Law
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AWcV-eoJqT8
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Evolution of Semiconductor Device
Technology
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Materials Era Architecture Era Optical Era
• Shorter
Wavelengths
• Illumination
Methods
• Phase Shift
Masks
• Driven by Optics
• Resists
• Immersion
Lithography
• Cu
interconnect/Dual
Damascene
• Low k dialetrics
• Extended CMOS
• More-than-Moore
• Beyond CMOS
• New Devices
Scaling driven by the advancement of process and materials
technology while keeping the same device structure
Innovation in device
structure
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Challenges
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EUV Lithography 450 mm Wafer Processing
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Semiconductors, MEMS, LEDs,
PV, Printed Electronics
• Similarities in
– Materials
– Processes
– Process Integration
– Equipment
– Yield
– Innovation
– Learning Curve
Acceleration
Photo Credit: Hemlock, Sandia Labs, Aixtron, Spire
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Light Emitting Diodes (LEDs)
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LED Market Growth
-1000
1000
3000
5000
7000
9000
11000
13000
15000
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Market Size ($Millions)
Source: Strategies Unlimited, SEMI
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Solid State Lighting (SSL)
• American consumers spend roughly $50B per year on artificial lighting. SSL could save the US about 620 billion kilowatt-hours per year (or approximately 50-70 power plants) by the year 2025.
• “Renewable energy-based solid state lighting is arguably the most important agent of change available to the developing world in the past 100 years!”
– (LUTW 2008)
Over 1/3 of the electricity for
lighting could realistically be
saved: nearly 900 billion
kWh or 450 million tons of
CO2 (OSRAM)
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Industry Transformation
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Haitz’s Law
Source: DOE 2008 Multiyear Program Plan, referencing Roland Haitz and Lumileds.
Haitz's Law: Every decade, the cost per lumen falls by a factor of 10, the amount of
light generated per LED package increases by a factor of 20, for a given wavelength
(color) of light
Haitz’s Law
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Revolution in Smart Lighting
• Fully integrated systems with sensors and controls
• Any color, any time
• Data with illumination
• Illumination with video
• Pollution and health monitoring
• Biochemical sensing and mitigation
• Circadian corrected lighting
• Adaptive lighting
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MEMS
Nintendo Wii Apple iPhone
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What are MEMS
• Micro-Electro-Mechanical
Systems, or MEMS
technology are
miniaturized mechanical
and electro-mechanical
elements (i.e., devices and
structures) that are made
using the semiconductor
fabrication techniques.
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MEMS Gyroscope (iMicronews)
MEMS Accelerometer (Sensors Magazine)
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MEMS in Mobile Phones
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Source: Yole Developpment
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MEMS in Automotive
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Source: iSupply
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MEMS Market
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Sensors Everywhere
“Our HP Labs team has a vision for this called CENSE—Central Nervous System for the Earth—a really far-reaching vision about all the different ways of gathering information from the environment, from traffic, from [a person’s] physical health, from structural health [of buildings and bridges], and taking that data and using it to make decisions.”
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The End of Keyboards?
• Global touch screen
shipments are expected
to reach 1.75 billion in
2013, up 17.2% on year.
• Multi-point, capacitive
touchscreen panel
consists of an insulator
such as glass, coated
with a transparent
conductor such as
indium tin oxide (ITO). Source: iDigitimes Research
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Printed and Flexible Electronics
• The use of printing methods to create electrical devices
• Organic and inorganic materials
• Sheet-based and roll-to-roll-based approaches
• Inkjet and screen printing used for low-volume, high-precision work
• Gravure, offset and flexographic printing more common for high-volume production
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Printed Electronics in Action
New Solar Powered
Touch Screen Notebook
(AUO)
Solar Shingles from Dow;
DuPont in planning.
Amazon Kindle eBook OLED Display
Creative Labs OLED Lighting (Fraunhofer IMPS)
RFID Tag
Kovio
Printed Batteries
Eufucell
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Large, Area Flexible Electronics
26, 45%
17, 29%
2, 3%
8, 14%
5, 9%
Display Solar Lighting Logic/Memory Other
* Source: iNemi Roadmap, 2011, Nanomarkets, IDTechEx
Large Area, Flexible Organic Electronics
$58 Billion Market Size by 2020*
(Billions)
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Thin Film Solid State
Batteries
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OLED Displays
• OLED (organic light emitting
diodes) are solid-state devices
composed of thin films of
organic molecules that create
light with the application of
electricity.
• Common in mobile handset
screens
• Samsung, LG have introduced
55” TVs
• Estimated $35 billion in sales
by 2018 (DisplaySearch 2012)
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Demonstration of a 4.1" prototype flexible display from Sony
LG OLED TV, CES Show 2012
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A Day in the Life of Glass
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHqrrki47ec
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Printed Electronics Technical Barriers
• Inks: conductive, dielectric, semiconductor, resistive, lighting emitting, photovoltaic
• Substrates: polymer films (PEN, PET), metal, paper, textile, ceramic, glass
• Packaging Barriers: films, barrier films, coatings
• Electrical design, layout, simulation, workflow
• Manufacturing Platforms: screen, gravure, inkjet, flexography, thermography, lithography, electrophotography, et.
• In line, Offline Metrology, Test, Characterization Source: Heliatek
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Solar Photovoltaics
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PV and Solar Energy
1.3%
4.6%
8.5%
10.8%
0.2%
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Insta
lled
Cap
acit
y (
GW
)
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
PV
Sh
are
of
Glo
bal
Ele
ctr
icit
y
Gen
era
tio
n
Off-grid Capacity
Utility Capacity
Commercial Capacity
Residential Capacity
Share of global electricitygeneration in %
• According to the International Energy Agency, PV will provide around
1.3% global electricity production in 2020 and will go up to 11% by 2050.
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How Industry’s Scale
• Innovation
• Specialization
• Global Markets
• Standards
• Industry Collaboration
LED Cost Per Lumen
Cree, 2011 DOE SSL R&D Workshop
PV Module Prince Index
EuPD Research 2010
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Webinar Recordings
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February 22: Nanotechnology Demos & Simulations Webinar
March 22: Trends in Nano: Program Development Webinar (Three Part Series)
April 15-18: Course Resource Workshop I: Workshop Safety, Processing & Materials April 26: Successful Models for Nano Outreach Webinar
Visit www.nano4me.org/webinars for more details about these and other upcoming webinars.
2013 Events Calendar
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Thank you for attending the NACK Network webinar
Trends in Nanoelectronics:
Microchips and More
Thank You!