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Trends in FMCG sector Changes in shopper behavior. How to influence FMCG shoppers in the retail stores/shops

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Page 1: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

Trends in FMCG sector

• Changes in shopper behavior.

• How to influence FMCG shoppers in the retail stores/shops

Page 2: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

OMG VIETNAM STRATEGIC BUSINESS UNITS & BRANDS

MEDIA & COMMUNICATION

ACTIVATION & MERCHANDISING

MEMBERSHIP MARKETING

CONTINUITYLOYALTY

Page 3: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

We are a shopper marketing agencyWhat does that mean to you?

• We are accountable for brand and shopper/consumer inter action at the decision moment: disruptive media, Trial, grab, conversion, sales and repeat sales, shopper data insights based on real facts, loyalty.

• We are not just into : awareness, reach, consideration, likes, promotion, number of clicks, downloads, intention to buy……

Page 4: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

Retail environment is changingIn how many stores/shops can you

reach/influence shoppers?Retail Main Formats 2014 2015 2016 estim 2018

Modern Trade (super) 816 892 898 960

Convenience stores 847 1,093 1,740 2,500

Health Beauty 47 82 94 140

Traditional trade 1,300,000 1,260,000 1,240,000 1,200,000

Wet markets 8,546 8,530 8,460 8,150

Shopping Malls 66 92 118 121

Electronic stores 91 140 232 260

Pharmacy drug stores 182 210

In more than 1,212,000 stores/shops

Page 5: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

MT EVOLUTION IN VIETNAM 2013 - 2018

Super/minimarkets

From

600 to 820stores in 2018

Source: retailer meeting/slide share/specialized press

Page 6: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

FAST GROWTH OF CVS CHANNEL

New actors are expected to invest in CVS channelFrom

1000 to 2700 stores

in 4 years?

Source: retailer meetingEconomic press

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

2014 No. of Stores

2015 No. of Stores

Estim 2016 No. of Stores

Estim 2018 No. of Stores

Page 7: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

HEALTH & BEAUTY CHANNEL EXPANSION

Within a span of 4 years, H&B MT stores grow

from 27 to 140 and expanding

outside big cities, with only 3 players.

Page 8: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

URBAN DEVELOPMENT IN VIETNAM

75%75%Of country GDP will be coming from 6 cities 870870Urban areas accommodating a

population of 35 million in 2016

1K1KUrban areas by 2025 accommodating 52 million people (=50% of National Population)

High concentration of citizens in building area leading to shopper behavior changes.

2424Million inhabitants in 6 cities by 2018

Source: economic press/ministry of Land/construction/urban develop agency

Page 9: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

EXPECTED CONSEQUENCES ON MT CHANNEL AND SHOPPER BEHAVIOR

• Less time for shopping: average time spent in a store might decrease

• Convenience will become key: need to find easily a store for weekly groceries and daily needs

• Proximity format: pop and mom shops will be gradually replaced by small supermarket/convenience stores in urban areas (MT format to replace TT format)

• Demand for better or high quality purchases (food safety, origin of product/tracebility) will generate more shoppers in MT channel

Page 10: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

• Choice of retailer based on: price/location, quality, loyalty program, e commerce platform

• Demographic fragmentation: Over-40‘s‖and under-30‘s‖dividing VN into two different shopping behavior (also urban versus rural)

• In store brand choice still expected to be influenced by most effective pre and in store marketing/communication

• Need for an understanding of your consumer/shopper in super and convenience formats: Data Analytics, Insight-driven programs

EXPECTED CONSEQUENCES ON MT CHANNEL AND SHOPPER BEHAVIOR

Page 11: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

HOW TO MAXIMIZE YOUR SALES AND BRAND EQUITY ?

Aware

Understand

Believe

Want

Find

select

Buy

Like

Prefe

r

Revenue

Profit loyal users

Point OfConnection

decision

Experience

AboveThe Line

Awareness/Trial

Repeat

Every interaction with shoppers should be about positively influencing the key POC driversThe POC strategy creates the agenda and priorities for those interactions

Intent to Purchase

Cost New users

TV, Radio,Print, digitalViral Mktg, PR, Online

BTL Activations, Merchandising,Promotion, POCM,

Merchandising, Online

Events, Sponsoring, social, Online

InfluencersInfluencers

Page 12: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

D O Y OU K NOW?

70%Up to of purchase decisions being made in-store

Average 3 mins Shoppers spend at Modern Trade Shelf

versus merely 1.5 mins in Traditional Trade store

68% in-store purchases being impulseand

The Modern Trade Store is an Ideal Marketing Canvas

Page 13: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

91% Product/ Range related80% Convenience76% Promotion Related68% Quality Related61% Service Related33% Price related25% Habitual

Shopping frequency and spend

4 times & 1.2 mil/ month in Supermarket8 times & 0.4 mil/ month in Grocery store

WHY DO THEY CHOOSE MT STORES?

Page 14: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

Accompanied

63%

44% shoppers visit at least once

a week

On average: 4 times/month

77% planned trip

Base: All Shoppers n= 225

Two wheeler

94%

3.04 km avg distance from home

On average, they spend 58 minutes in the

store

76% depart from

home

Majority of shoppers plan ahead the trip & store to visit, go shopping with others, travel from home to the store by motorbike, spend one hour & 270k/trip.

spend 1.2 Mil VND per month

and 272 K VND per trip

90% planned store

20% carried shopping list

PATH TO PURCHASE IN MT

Source: Quanti exit in Big C Thang Long, Big C Mien Dong and LotteN=225 shoppers visiting MT at least once/ month.

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CommunicationCommunication OfferOffer

AvailabilityAvailability

SHIFTS IN SHOPPER BEHAVIOR

• What message is critical to influence the shopper?• Which barriers to shopper engagement do we need to overcome?• Where and how should the message be strategically delivered?• Which media is likely to work in this environment?• How much time do we have to deliver a message?

Page 16: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

Many POCM stimuli in each store!!

Which one is really disruptive?Right place / right time

Page 17: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

POCM efficiency in FMCG

• What do shoppers see?

• What do shoppers remember?

• What/when they touch and grab?

• What is really influencing them to consider and purchase a brand?

Page 18: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

SHOPPER APPROACH & INFLUENCERS

Shopper Behavior/Insights from Client

Outside of store

Selling Area entrance

Categoryentrance

Main Aisle

Main Shelf

StorewidePromotion

Decision Corridors/Areas where shoppers browse

Pre

Sh

op

pin

g

PURCHASE DECISION

Influencers/ Point of Communication Materials executed per corridor

Behavior of Shoppers of Brands/Category client

Page 19: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

8

25

12

32

IN-STORE POSM EVALUATION BASED ON REACH – RESONANCE – REACTION

Trigger immediate purchase

IMPACT ON BRAND AFFINITY

(Q3j)

REACH RESONANCE REACTION

Promotion Island

SV/SVB

Gondola End

Category Gate

Column

Entrance gate

Shelf Surround

POSM RECALL(Q3e/ Q3i)

INFORMATION COVERAGE

(Q3d)

CORRECTBRAND RECALL

(Q3o)

0

0

11

6

14

13

0

0

31

75

65

68

IMPACT ON PURCHASE (Q3k)

45%

48%

29%

49%

38%

30%

26%

Small sample

response size

LIKEABILITY(Q3g)

46%

45%

29%

28%

44%

30%

27%4

3

9

17

12

21

26

30

31

35

45

58

63

65

Seen Remember most

15

3

8

14

8

15

9

29

15

21

17

14

23

19

LOCATION IDENTIFICATION

(Q3h)

Product

Brand

88

97

85

87

94

95

72

0

0

2

0

2

1

27

Related to Promotion

Related to ProductSource: Quanti exit in Big C Thang Long, Big C Mien Dong and Lotte HN. N=225 shoppers visiting MT at least once/ month

Like the brand much more

Like the brand a bit more

SV/SVB & Promotion Island are top 2 most effective in-store POSMs:- SV/SVB helps shoppers navigate product/brand location and strengthens brand affinity- Promotion island provides info on promotion and triggers immediate purchase

Small sample

response size

Like a lot/ Slightly

Page 20: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

IMPACT ON BRAND AFFINITY

(Q3j)

REACH RESONANCE REACTION

Shelf Top Board

LCD

Main gate / shopping gate

Ceiling Banner

Wobbler

Standee

POSM RECALL(Q3e/ Q3i)

INFORMATION COVERAGE

(Q3d)

CORRECTBRAND RECALL

(Q3o)

IMPACT ON PURCHASE (Q3k)

Small sample

response size

LIKEABILITY(Q3g)

18%

23%

19%

15%

14%

23%

LOCATION IDENTIFICATION

(Q3h)

Small sample

response size

Source: Quanti exit in Big C Thang Long, Big C Mien Dong and Lotte HN. N=225 shoppers visiting MT at least once/ month

18%

23%

19%

15%

14%

23%

Small sample

size

IN-STORE POSM EVALUATION BASED ON REACH – RESONANCE – REACTION

- SV/SVB helps shoppers navigate product/brand location and strengthens brand affinity- Promotion island provides info on promotion and triggers immediate purchase

Page 21: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

0

20

40

-20 0 20 40 60 80 100

Standee

Category Gate

SV/SVB

Gondola End

Promotion Island

Column

Entrance Gate

Shelf Surrounds

WobblersLCD

Shelf Top BoardCeiling Banner

Main gate / shopping gate

NOTICEABILITY OF POSM AND BRAND RECOGNITION

Source: Quanti exit in Big C Thang Long, Big C Mien Dong and Lotte HN. N=225 shoppers

Noticeability of POSM

Co

rrec

t b

ran

d r

eco

gnit

ion

Low High

HighLow noticeability, high brand recallLow noticeability, high brand recall

High noticeability, high brand recall

High noticeability, high brand recall

Low noticeability, low brand recallLow noticeability, low brand recall

High noticeability, low brand recall

High noticeability, low brand recall

SV/SVB, promotion island, gondola end and category gate are the top effective stimuli generating both noticeability and brand recall.

Page 22: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

Lower noticeability, higher impactLower noticeability, higher impact

Higher noticeability, higher impact

Higher noticeability, higher impact

Lower noticeability, lower impactLower noticeability, lower impact

Higher noticeability, lower impact

Higher noticeability, lower impact

Noticeability of POSM

Imp

act

on

pu

rch

ase

Lower Higher

Higher

Source: Quanti exit in Big C Thang Long, Big C Mien Dong and Lotte HN. N=225 shoppers

promotion island has a big impact on shopper decision & trigger immediate purchase.

NOTICEABILITY OF POSM AND IMPACT ON PURCHASE

Page 23: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

How many unique shoppers have not tried your brand?

No active consumer recruitment = No trial = No Repeat Purchase

SALES =

Awareness Building x Distribution x TRIAL x Repeat

Purchase

Page 24: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

Contact Clout Factor: accuracy: contacts which provide good information ;appeal : contacts which are appealing ;

importance: contacts which are important

Page 25: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

activation , sampling

Page 26: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence
Page 27: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

IN-STORE (measurable ROI)

Page 28: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

OUT OF STORE (partly measurable ROI)

Page 29: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

GT & WET MARKET (partly measurable ROI)

Page 30: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

MOBILE TEAM (measurable ROI)

Page 31: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

What about measurable results and proven ROI?

• Performance evaluation after the activation = space renting costs + activation costs + samples

cost/ trial and sales during the activation period. • Real ROI = Cost per sold SKU (and future potential

repeat purchase)• As a marketing tool demos/activations are the most

influential contact towards purchase decision and the most expensive! (one to one marketing)

Page 32: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

Example on how to grow a brand without ATL or social media

BrandsProduct category

Demo date Retailer

Number of

StoresDemo Days

Consumer Trial

Consumer

purchases in units

Conversion rate in

%

Sales Week before

Sales Week during

Sales Week after

Sales uplift

during in %

sales per

store week

during

Sales week

before per

store

sales week

bef per store

Total 2010 Fruit juice 2010 Metro/Big C 10 96 75,588 4571 6% 463.72 3550 1647 766% 1410 4.83 46.4

Total 2011 Fruit juice 2011 Metro/Big C 98 630 349,612 32512 9% 9805 31306 11604 319% 319 15.56 100

Total 2012 Fruit juice 2012 Metro/Big C 27 185 113,851 11140 10% 2798 8128 3090.5 290% 301 15.12 104

Page 33: Trends in FMCG sector - CEEC - Central and Eastern ...ceecvn.org/.../12/Trends-in-FMCG-sector-Dec-6th-2017.pdfTrends in FMCG sector • Changes in shopper behavior. • How to influence

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

sale

s w

eek b

efo

re in

un

its

Fish in can activation 2011: unknown brand no ATL only demos

June Jul/Aug September Oct/November December

• When activation started in June nearly no stable sales.

• After 6 activations waves the regular sales increased 7 times