trends 2013

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Marian Salzman Havas PR North America TRENDS 2013

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Marian Salzman (Havas PR CEO) presentation on trends to watch for in 2013.

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Page 1: Trends 2013

Marian SalzmanHavas PR North America

TRENDS 2013

Page 2: Trends 2013

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Cloning to create the perfect child, partner, pet ... Countries being acquired by for-profit entities or large,

wealthy universities ... End of higher education at 18—and the beginning of life apprenticeships that take people

from 19 to 29 to complete and prepare them for lifelong reinvention ... Domestic partnerships forged to secure

healthcare and tax benefits ... Flexible spaces that allow for all living under one roof ... Homeschooling by

Internet and SoMe ... Prestigious costly “passports” clearing an elite few for global citizenship ... Rebooting

absolutely everything ... Type talking replacing voice as the new small talk—and all talk being reduced to 140

characters of vibe and information ... Our new love affair with small houses

FOOD FOR THOUGHTSOME THINGS I’M MONITORING FOR THE NEXT

Page 3: Trends 2013

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THE BIGGEST

NEXTS

Page 4: Trends 2013

Life is a co-production, and collaboration is the hottest concept at work and home (especially there,

as multiple generations gather in the communal nest). All the “co-” words (co-creation, co-parenting,

commingle, coincide, copreneurs, even coincidence) take on bigger meaning because “you + me” is

somehow armor and protection against the wild world, and also brainfood to ensure that all the “i”

stuff (isolation is the worst, though infection sounds fairly vile …) doesn’t happen.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSYOU + ME = CO

Page 5: Trends 2013

The co- trend is actually two trends commingled: There’s the trend toward people deliberately

combining their efforts at work, at home and online; and there’s the related trend of pointing it out in

the words that are used. The same people who used to be colleagues are now co-workers; they used to

collaborate, but now they co-create.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSYOU + ME = CO

Page 6: Trends 2013

Politicians always say they have the solution, otherwise they get taken down. Negativity has never won

friends except when it’s dissing the other side. Take the subprime crisis: Nobody took notice of Nouriel

Roubini and others who were causing “problems” with their contrarian views of impending trouble.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSMAKE SOLUTIONS, NOT PROBLEMS

Page 7: Trends 2013

If negativity is bad, why is it so popular? There’s growing evidence that our interest in negativity isn’t

just a nasty habit created by sensationalist media and manipulative politicians; it’s the way our brains

work. Bad experiences create stronger impressions than good ones. Being sensitive to negative events

helps us beware of potential dangers, while expecting positive events in the future motivates us to

keep on keeping on.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSMAKE SOLUTIONS, NOT PROBLEMS

Page 8: Trends 2013

Consumerism will be replaced by collaborative consumption and an eye on less being more through

micro-ownership (1/12 of a car, 1/4 of a dog, 1/365 of a vacation home, etc.). It felt awkward when

we started buying only essentials, then the economy bit us a second time as the EU began to break

apart. Now, expect the global consumer class to reduce and reuse far ahead of shopping till they drop.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSAUSTERITY LIVING WITH DOUBLE-DIP FRUGALITY

Page 9: Trends 2013

As the economic crisis drags on, the shop-till-you-drop exuberance that drove the long boom has given way

to caution. For many people, big-ticket spending is out of style and not only because they don’t have the

money. It started with digital content: Why bother buying physical books, magazines, newspapers, CDs and

DVDs that take up space if you can get them in virtual formats when you need them?

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSAUSTERITY LIVING WITH DOUBLE-DIP FRUGALITY

Page 10: Trends 2013

New is now old. Old is next. Cashless economy fits in. But we find new marketplaces for trading

recyclables, experiments with local currencies—everything from the storage biz to Dumpster diving to

old houses and more.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSALTERNATIVE ECONOMIES

Page 11: Trends 2013

Barter trading is one quick and easy solution for people and small businesses with skills, goods and

time but limited cash. Bartering has a new lease on life because of the Internet, which can match

buyers and sellers and keep track of their trades.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSALTERNATIVE ECONOMIES

Page 12: Trends 2013

Photoshop can clean up all kinds of imperfections, cosmetic dentistry can repair someone’s smile and

the SAT tutor can prep the average student for test success. So how do we embrace and celebrate the

less-than-perfect people, places and things we revere as authentic? The yin (quest for perfection) and

yang (search for authenticity) lead to quite a juggle.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSRETHINKING IMPERFECTIONS

Page 13: Trends 2013

Witness the perfection of the unforgettable opening of the 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing. Four years

later, the opening ceremony of the 2012 London Olympics included sick children bouncing on hospital

beds, comedian Rowan Atkinson cheating in a running race and a solo by a choir boy whose left arm

ended at the elbow. London sought to reflect a big shift in attitudes toward perfection and imperfection.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSRETHINKING IMPERFECTIONS

Page 14: Trends 2013

In a post-mancession economy, dads are hunkering down, minding the kids and carving out new

traditions and mores for raising the family. They are also becoming a new stereotype; if ladies of the

house were the target consumers in the 1970s, daddy bloggers will be the men to watch by 2015,

setting the international shopping lists.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSDADS AS THE NEW MOMS

Page 15: Trends 2013

A lot of the gender-shifting trend is being driven by economic trends. The macho muscle-power jobs of

the 20th century are giving way to gender-neutral work that requires education and social skills,

tipping the balance toward women. Rather than being diminished by the rise of women, the growing

ranks of devoted and capable dads are likely to find their new role liberating.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSDADS AS THE NEW MOMS

Page 16: Trends 2013

Tomorrow, school will be continuous and only a clickstream away, and most industrious people will

look at education as a lifelong commitment to personal relevance: their own. College might cost

megabucks, but top-drawer instruction is now available for free online—and so it’s log in or lose out.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSCONSTANT SCHOOLING

Page 17: Trends 2013

Worldwide, wherever possible, young people are spending longer in education. Even so, just leaving

college with a good degree is no longer enough. We are expected to be adept at using online resources

to find things out; being digitally literate is now the equivalent of being able to read and write a

century ago. Educators and employers expect people to be proactive, self-directed, lifelong learners.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSCONSTANT SCHOOLING

Page 18: Trends 2013

Fatigue is übertrendy, in almost every format. There are all kinds of trendy diagnoses raging, but

none as talked-about as chronic fatigue syndrome. And even medical journals have reported on fad

diagnoses including adrenal fatigue. When we write history for 2013, it might be the year fatigue

set in and we all migrated back to a binary approach to living, with no outlets for overload because

everything is survival or reboot.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSNOT TIRED OF FATIGUE

Page 19: Trends 2013

All this fatigue—chronic fatigue, decision fatigue, donor fatigue, compassion fatigue, adrenal fatigue—

is mentally and emotionally draining, but it might also have deeper physical effects. It’s a response to

the stresses and strains of modern living. And either way, watch for the relentless spread of fatigue—

and tips to combat it.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSNOT TIRED OF FATIGUE

Page 20: Trends 2013

Slowing down the pace is a dream scenario for most, especially anyone who has benefited from

(and/or been injured by) the fast lane and the pace of change. More emphasis will be placed on slow

cooking and eating, on slowing down aging and courtships. We’ll chase homey vibes (slow colors,

scents, sensorial experiences) to offset the pace of mobile everything.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSQUALITY OF LIFE

Page 21: Trends 2013

Even before the crash, some people were already experiencing stress regarding the increasing speed

and complexity of life, fears about climate change, feelings of consumer overwhelm. Now that normal

life packs every moment with calls on attention, distraction and fast-paced entertainment, the quest

in 2013 and beyond is for unstressed, unpressured, uncluttered space and time. To relax. And breathe.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSQUALITY OF LIFE

Page 22: Trends 2013

SXSW made Austin the Texas capital of cool. Savannah benefited from Midnight in the Garden of Good

and Evil to become a home to young artists and young-at-heart retirees. Pittsburgh reinjected itself

with digitivity and is now thriving with modernity and energy (not of the steel kind). Solutions and

local placemakers believed that these places could.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSPLACEMAKING

Page 23: Trends 2013

There’s nothing new in the need for places to grow their appeal and maintain it. Throughout history,

attractive locations have acted as a magnet for people, economic activity and cultural life, which all

boosted their power and attractiveness. What has changed is that globalization has increased the

speed, geographical range and intensity of competition among locations.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSPLACEMAKING

Page 24: Trends 2013

This is becoming a trigger word in fashion and style, and the source of “ground zero reality” in

everyday life. After a spell of rooting for what feels real and authentic, native is becoming the

ultimate proof point. The native essence—knowing where something or someone is really from—will

become an obsession in this increasingly virtual world.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSNATIVE

Page 25: Trends 2013

As modern life accelerates into a future that gets more virtual with each passing year, consumers are

increasingly experiencing a sense of rootlessness. We listen for clues of rootedness; we feel the

attraction of people, places and things that seem connected with the authenticity of a disappearing

past. The call of more authentic native worlds returns in cycles, often heard most keenly by creative

types and pioneering thinkers.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSNATIVE

Page 26: Trends 2013

For decades, we wrote off Africa as the slow cousin of the modern world, but today we’re beginning to

see signs that this land of 1 billion people might become the new Asia. If African commodities continue

to boom, watch the continent take center stage in the next global economy.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSTHE RISE OF AFRICA

Page 27: Trends 2013

From 2001 to 2010, six of the world’s 10 fastest-growing economies were in Africa; the IMF predicts

that seven of the top 10 will be by 2015. Its middle class has grown from about 126 million people

(27 percent of the population) in 1980 to almost 350 million (34 percent) in 2010. It’s been estimated

that by 2040, Africa will be home to 20 percent of the globe’s young people and a working population

of 1.1 billion people overall, overtaking China’s or India’s labor force.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSTHE RISE OF AFRICA

Page 28: Trends 2013

New supercities are emerging, and the biggest cities will grow even bigger, with more than 15 million

in residence. New big problems will also emerge (from pollution to terrorism), but so will the potential

for new solutions. Most of these hot capitals will be in emerging markets.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSBIG, BIG CITIES

Page 29: Trends 2013

Around 5 billion of the world’s inhabitants will be urban by 2030—that’s around 60 percent of the

projected 8.3 billion population, compared with just 3 percent in 1800. Big cities aren’t an option that

we can take or leave; they’re inevitable. Megacities create megaproblems, but by offering buzz and

many opportunities for minds to meet, they also spur people to figure out megasolutions.

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THE BIGGEST NEXTSBIG, BIG CITIES

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FROM MACRO (WORLDVIEW) TO MICRO (THE HOME FRONT) …IT ALL HAS IMPLICATIONS FOR YOU AND YOUR BUSINESS