transforming the practice of medicine
TRANSCRIPT
TRANSFORMING THE PRACTICE OF MEDICINEJune 7-9th 2015, UBC, Vancouver, BC
Be part of the Personalized Medicine Revolution
personalizedmedsummit.com#PMSummit2015
1
Lee Hood UBC P4 Medicine Lecture
6-8-15
Systems Medicine and P4 Medicine: Transforming Healthcare through
Wellness—a Personal View
2
Companies I have co-founded and will mention in this lecture
• Integrated Diagnostics—a blood protein diagnostic company (2012)
• Indi Molecular—a peptide protein-capture company that will replace monoclonal antibodies (2014)
• Arivale—a consumer-based scientific wellness company (2014)
3
The grand challenge for biology and medicine is deciphering biological complexity
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6 Blind Men and an Elephant Systems Approach
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Paradigm Changes Drive Radical Changes in Science
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I Participated in Five Paradigm Changes in Biology Dealing with Complexity over 45 Years Leading to Systems Medicine and P4 Medicine
• Brought engineering to biology – Developed 6 instruments that led to high-throughput biology and big data in
biology (1970 - present) • The Human Genome Project
– Invented enabling technology, advocate, participant, applying genomics to P4 medicine (1990-2003)—complete parts list human genes
• Cross-disciplinary biology – Created 1st cross-disciplinary department: enabled technology development to
be driven by biology (1992-2000) • Systems biology
– Created 1st systems biology institute: deciphering the complexities of biology and disease (2000 – present)
• Systems medicine / emergence of proactive P4 medicine – Early advocate and pioneer of a P4 medicine that will transforming healthcare
(2001 – present) – Pioneered systems driven technologies and strategies for P4 – 100,000 person wellness project (2013—present)
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Central features of systems medicine
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Dynamical, dense personalized clouds of billions of data points—capturing both genetic and environmental contributions to wellness and disease
Transac9onal
11010100010101010110101010100100
0
Phenome
Na143 K 3.7 BP 110/70
HCT32 BUN 12.9 Pulse 110 PLT150 WBC 92
GCGTAG ATGCGTAGGCATGCATGCCATTATAGCTTCCA
Genome
Proteome
arg-‐his-‐pro-‐gly-‐leu-‐ser-‐thr-‐ala-‐trp-‐tyr-‐val-‐met-‐phe-‐
Transcriptome
UUAGUG AUGCGUCUAGGCAUGCAUGCC
Epigenome
110101000101010101101010101001000101101010001
Single Cell
11010100010101010110101010100100
iPS Cells
11010100010101010110101010100100
Social Media
110101000101010101101010101001000101101010001
TeleHealth
110101000101010101101010101001000101101010001
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Systems Medicine Biological networks carry information and mediate development, physiology and aging Disease-perturbed networks mediate disease
• Integration of patient data will reveal biological networks that specify health and are altered in disease
• Understanding differences in normal and disease-perturbed networks will provide fundamental insights into disease mechanisms
• These insights are essential for developing more effective diagnostic and therapeutic approaches
10
Evolution of the Vision for Systems Medicine and P4 Medicine 2001 - Present
• By 2006, the vision of Systems Medicine/P4 medicine had been clearly articulated by ISB – Key question: How to bring P4 to the healthcare system?
• In 2008, ISB formed a 5 year $100M strategic partnership with Luxembourg pushed us to a tipping point for medicine – Developed about 10 new systems-driven technologies and strategies – Placed P4 medicine in 2013 at a tipping point for transforming the
practice of healthcare
• In 2013, ISB first proposed the P4 pilot project to carry out a longitudinal, high-dimensional data study 100,000 well people – Bringing P4 medicine to the contemporary healthcare system – Initiated a 100 person wellness project (2014)—100 Pioneers
• Obama’s precision medicine initiative—presents a unique funding opportunity for the 100 K wellness project
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Systems-driven Novel and Emerging Technologies
• 3rd generation DNA sequencing – Nanopore/nanochannel, single molecule, electronic
detection (long reads, detect epigenetic marks, simple sample preparation, throughput)
• Peptide protein-capture agents – For sensitive protein quantification to replace antibodies
• Global mass spectrometry – Proteome analyses (SWATH) and the ability to identify
isoforms arising from mutation, splicing, editing, processing and chemical modifications
• Targeted mass spectrometry (SRM) – Analyze 100 proteins from complex samples like blood
• Single-cell highly multiplexed omic and phenotypic analyses – Detecting quantized cell populations and tipping points
12
Systems-driven strategies are transforming healthcare
• Provide fundamental insights into dynamical disease-perturbed networks – Enable mechanistic insights, diagnosis, therapy and prevention for the individual patient
• Transform blood into a window to distinguish health from disease – Disease diagnostics, assess drug toxicity, assess wellness – Human examples: lung cancer, PTSD, liver toxicity, liver hepatitis
• Family genome sequencing—identifying disease genes – Identify disease, wellness genes and drug-intolerant genes. For the identification for
each individual’s 300 or more actionable genes • Stratify diseases into their distinct subtypes
– For impedance match with appropriate drugs – Human example: various cancers
• Stratify patients drug adverse reactions, modifier genes to disease mechanisms, eg, early and late onset of Huntington’s disease, Variant genes increase mercury susceptibility in kids
• Enable a new computational approaches to pioneering drug reuse and drug target discovery – Re-engineer disease-perturbed networks to normalcy with drugs, Repurpose drugs. faster and cheaper, drugs that prevent networks from becoming disease-perturbed Longitudinal, individual high-dimensional data clouds, Framingham-like clinical trials for preterm birth (Inova), cardiovascular disease, wellness, neurodegeneration etc.
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Systems-driven strategies: dynamic approaches to prion-induced neurodegeneration in mice
• George Carleson McLaughlin Institute, Great Falls, MT
• Inyoul Lee—ISB • Dawhee Haung—Seoul • Hyuntae Yoo—Dallas Southwestern
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Global and Subtractive Brain Transcriptome Analysis Differentially Expressed Genes (DEGs)
Uninfected brain
Prion infected brain
Inoculate w/ Prions
Time-‐course array analysis: subtra7ve analyses to DEGs
Mouse Genome array: 45,000 probe sets
~22,000 mouse genes.
RNA from brain
homogenate
Prion strains: • RML • 301V
Mouse strains: § C57BL/6J § FVB/NCr § BL6.I § FVB/B4053
§ C57BL/6J-‐RML: 12 9me points
§ FVB/NCr-‐RML: 11 9me points
§ BL6.I-‐301V: 9 9me points
§ FVB/B4053-‐RML: 8 9me points
• 7400 DEGs -‐ Signal to noise issues, biological/technical, deep biology
• 300 DEGs -‐ Encode the prion neurodegenera9ve response
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Neuropathology Identifies 4 Major Disease-Perturbed Networks for Prion Disease PrP replica7on/accumula7on Microglia/astrocyte ac7va7on
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Synap7c degenera7on Normal Infected
Nerve cell death
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Prion accumula9on
Glial Ac9va9on
Synap9c Degenera9on
Neuronal Cell Death
Cholesterol transport
Sphingolipid synthesis
Lysosome proteolysis
Reac9ve Astrocytes Leukocyte
extravasa9on
Na+ channels Cargo
transport
Caspases
*Arachidonate metab./Ca+ sig.
Clinical Signs
Sequential Disease-Perturbation of the Four Major Networks of Prion Disease
0 wk 18~20 wk 22 wk 7 wk
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10 Disease-Perturbed Dynamical Networks in Prion Disease Explain Virtually all of the Pathophysiology of the Disease in Mice
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Mouse Model Diseases
• Prion-induced neurodegeneration • Frontal temporal dementia • Huntington’s disease • Post traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) • Liver toxicity • 4 models of glioblastoma—mimic Grade II, III,
and IV human disease
Examples that have been studied dynamically to reveal early disease-‐perturbed networks correla9ng with pathophysiology
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Making blood a window to distinguish health from disease
20 20
High-throughput technologies set the stage for information-rich systems medicine
• Key issues include:"– Many published, highly
promising results that don’t hold up for conversion to useful clinical assays"
– Need for systems analysis for extracting signal from noise--knowledge from data"
– Genetic diversity means must carry out assays in different geographical locations"
• Report on best-practices released in 2012"
21
Keys to Blood as a Window to Health and Disease Systems decoding health and disease signals (reflections) from the body and the proper technologies
– Blood is the key window: bathes all organs – Longitudinal analyses – Multiparameter panels – Quantitative analyses – Proteins may be the most effective
biomarker—closest to biology – Systems strategies address signal to noise
• Organ-specific blood proteins • Systems filtering of biologically relevant blood
proteins for biomarker identification • Others
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Using organ-specific blood proteins to detect disease perturbations
• Hyuante Yoo—Dallas Southwestern • Yong Zhou--ISB • Shizen Qin—ISB • Gustavo Glusman—ISB
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APLP1,SNAP25,LGI1,NACM1, CLSTN2
KINESIN,MAP1B,SYT3,CTN
ND1
CAMKII,PCLO,GRIA4,GLUR3,NSF,ANK2,ENO2,DOCK3
,SCG3,
L1CAM,CTF1, ARF3,ANK3,
MAP3K12,CTNNA2,KIF3A,GFAP,CNTN1,ENC1,
CRMP2, SYNAPSIN1
NEUROMODULIN,HUC,CAMKIIA,RIN,SYNAPSIN1,RGS4,PEA15,RASGRF1,NR1
GNAO1, GNA13, GABBR1, GLUR1,GRI
A1
MAP1A,SPTBN,
SPTBN4,FOXG1,EPHA5,N
CAM2, ELAVL3
TAU,MAP2, CAMKII, EPHA5,
UCHL1,NCAM1
RGS4,PEA15,CAMKII,RASGRF1,
NR1
Synap7c vesicle transport
Calcium mediated signaling
Synap7c Transmission
Neurogenesis
Cell surface receptor signaling
GPCR signaling
Cellular differen7a7on
Anatomical structure
development
Nerve growth factor signaling
200 Brain-Specific Blood Proteins Reflect Key Networks (SRM assays)
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15 Brain-Specific Blood Proteins Reflect the early Initiation and Progression of Prion Disease-Perturbed Networks
Prion accumula9on
Glial Ac9va9on
Synap9c Degenera9on
Neuronal Cell Death
Cholesterol transport
Sphingolipid synthesis
Lysosome proteolysis
Reac9ve Astrocytes Leukocyte
extravasa9on
Na+ channels Cargo
transport
Caspases
*Arachidonate metab./Ca+ sig.
Apod* Scg3*
Cntn2* Ttc3*
Gria3* Gfap* L1cam*
Mapt* Snap25* Myo5a* Kif5a*
Gria1* Bcas1*
Grin1* Prkar1b*
Clinical Signs 0 wk 18~20 wk 22 wk
* indicates brain-specific blood proteins
25
A systems approach to blood diagnostic for identifying benign lung nodules in human lung cancer Integrated Diagnostics—Paul Kearney, Xiao-jun Li, Nathan Price, etc. X. Li et.al. Science Translation Medicine: 5, 207, 2013
26
Lung Cancer: Indeterminate Pulmonary Nodules
Integrated Diagnostics
Is this cancer?
~3 million cases annually in the USA
Patrick Nana-‐Sinkham, MD Ohio State University
27
Lung cancer blood biomarker 13-protein panel
• Rule out for surgery about 40% of the benign nodules with 90% specificity—prevent 1/3rd of unnecessary surgeries
• Save the healthcare system in US about $3.5 billion per year
28
Panel of 13 human blood proteins that distinguished benign from neoplastic lung
nodules: 12/13 proteins map to 3 networks
29
Why Blood Biomarker Panels for Detecting Disease—to detect Seven Features
• Distinguish normal individuals from diseased individuals
• Early diagnosis • Follow progression • Follow response to therapy • Follow the reoccurrence of disease • Reveal disease-perturbed networks which suggest
mechanisms of disease and candidate drug targets • Stratification of disease into different subgroups for
impedance match against effective drugs—and proper prognosis
30
Peptide protein-capture agents will replace antibodies
Jim Heath Caltech
31
N 3 Protein catalyst library of alkynes
Very large (>106) azide library
“Click”
Protein target
C≡CH
Protein selec9vely couples only those pep9de library elements that fit onto its surface in just the right fashion
Circular 5-‐mer D amino acid pep9des are posi9oned on a protein and joined together with click chemistry
Form dimers or trimers—high affinity Very stable In vitro synthesis with Cu catalysis-‐-‐digital
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64Cu – PCC <hPSA> Biodistribution and Tolerability—PET Scanning
1 min 40 min 120 min
PET images superimposed over whole body CT of normal mouse
Enables in vivo dynamics—temporal and spa9al—to be studied
34
Data • reveals ~10:1 selec9vity for G12D vs wt • PCC Agent is cell-‐penetrant • PCC Agent is an inhibitor of RAS • Selec9vity for G12D variant unknown • Xtal structure of KRASG12D with PCC underway • Med-‐chem improvements of PCC underway
IndiPCC agent drugs RAS!
Nature Chemistry (2015). DOI: 10.1038/NCHEM.2223.
Earlier genera7on related approach: selec7vely drugging AktE17K
Ras
Α-‐Tubulin
RAS inhibi9on data in pancrea9c cancer cell line PCC Agent structural analogue 7b5
PCC variants
Cell recovery with proteosome inhibitor
35
Peptide Protein Capture Agents--Features
• Stable—send to Africa in an envelop • Sensitive—each monomer a log increase in sensitivity • Digital–synthesize unlimited quantities • May be precisely directed at epitopes—hence avoids
cross-reactivity problems that plague antibodies • May be adapted to large-scale production—easy to
produce • Functions
– In vitro diagnosis – In vivo diagnosis – Therapeutic reagents—possibly lacking cross reactivities
• Prediction—will replace monoclonal antibodies with 10-15 years
• Co-founded Indi Molecular in 2014 with Jim Heath
36
Three major thrusts from different fields started converging in 2012 or so leading to a more clearly defined P4 medicine that is predictive, preventive, personalized and participatory
37
The Emergence of P4 Medicine Predictive, Preventive, Personalize, Participatory
Converging Megatrends Driving the transforma9on of healthcare for pa9ents
Systems Biology & Systems Medicine
Consumer-‐Driven Social Networks
P4 MEDICINE
Digital Revolu9on Big Data
38
P4 medicine vs. contemporary medicine
• Proactive vs. reactive • Focus on individual vs. populations • Focus on wellness and disease vs. just
disease • Generate personalized data clouds • Use personalized data clouds rather than
averaged populations of patients for clinical trials (N-1 experiments)
• Employ patient (consumer) activated social networks for education, crowd sourcing and advocacy
39
Conceptual Themes of P4 Medicine
Disease Demys9fied Wellness Quan9fied
P4 Medicine Predic<ve Preven<ve Personalized Par<cipatory
Wellness Industry Disease Industry
40
Understanding Wellness is Key Developed World
If the trend of the last 10 years of increases in life
expectancy continue, more than half of all children
born today in developed countries can expect to
celebrate their 100th birthday.
Christensen, Ageing Populations: The Challenges Ahead, Lancet , 2009
41
A Framingham-like digital-age study of wellness in 100,000 (100K Project) patients longitudinally -- 20-30 years
2014 P4 Pilot Project Hundred Person Wellness Project (March-‐-‐December 2014) Nathan Price—ISB-‐-‐CoPI
42
Assays / Measurements
Gut Microbiome 3x Con7nual self-‐tracking & lifestyle monitoring
Whole Genome Sequencing
Detailed lab tests 3x (blood, urine, saliva)
Database of actionable possibilities that will grow exponentially over time
Crea9ng a dense, dynamical individual data cloud
43
Actionable Traits, Coaches and Positive Reinforcement • Integration and modeling of each individual dynamic data cloud will identify actionable possibilities for the individual.
• Actionable possibilities permit individuals to optimize wellness or avoid disease
• Actionable possibilities from single or integrated data types
• Coaches with MD advisors – Bringing actionable opportunities to each individual
• Positive reinforcement / immediate gratification – Individuals can see improvement of their high-
dimensional data clouds within a three-month period (from one blood draw or other sample to the next)
44
Health: What do we really want to understand from analyzing 100,000 well patients?
Wellness
Time
Wellness
Disease transi9on
45
Nature, Feb 2014
107 Individuals
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Preliminary stories about actionable possibilities for the 107 Pioneers Nathan Price--ISB
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New Discoveries: Five types of transitions from single and integrated data
Whole Genome
Sequencing
Lab Tests Blood, saliva,
urine
Gut Microbiome
Quan7fied Self/Traits
DISCOVERY Data
Integra7on & Correla7ons
Iden9fying five early transi9ons to op9mize wellness and avoid disease: • Less to more wellness • More to less wellness • Wellness to disease • Disease to wellness • Changes in response to ac9onable
possibili9es
48
Initial Clinical Labs Discovery: High Rate of Actionable Clinical Lab Results
• The 107 “well” par9cipants had a high rate of ini9al abnormal lab results
• 100% of the par9cipants had ac9onable recommenda9ons from their blood results
Baseline Blood Results
Cardiovascular
59%
Inflamma9on
68%
Nutrient Abnormali9es
91%
Diabetes Risk
54%
48
49
Actionable possibilities from two or more integrated data types
50
Disease to wellness transition: hemachromatosis
51
• Blood + Gene9cs illuminated the effects of increasing copies of the Hemochromatosis variant • Let untreated, this disorder could lead to car9lage damage, liver cancer, diabetes, and heart
disease: Easily treated by regular blood dona9ons to reduce the iron stores • One par9cipant ALREADY had car9lage damage from his undiagnosed disease • Subsequent family gene9c tes9ng detected other family members at risk 51
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
Zero copies of rare variant
(86 individuals)
One copy of rare variant
(12 individuals)
Two copies of rare variant
(2 individuals)
Ferri7n levels
Baseline 3 months
Genetics and Clinical Labs: Hemochromatosis Detected risk of a deadly disease in two participants
52
Vitamin D deficiency: arising from both genetics and environment
• Vitamin D—90/107 Pioneers are low • Six genetic variants from 3 genes block
Vitamin D absorption • Risks associated with low Vitamin D
• Ricketts—improper bone mineralization • Increased risk of death from cardiovascular
disease • Cognitive impairment in older adults—Alzheimer’s • Severe asthma in children • Cancer
53
Presence of risk alleles in vitamin D binding proteins is negatively correlated with vitamin D levels
28.75
31.64
35.71 36.25
41.07
43.85
25.00
30.00
35.00
40.00
45.00
50.00
Vitamin D vs. risk alleles in GC, DHCR7, CYP2R1 Round1 Round2
Wang, TJ et al. Common genetic determinants of vitamin D insufficiency: a genome-wide association study. Lancet 2010. 376(9736): 180-8.
4 or 5 risk alleles 8 par9cipants
3 risk alleles 15 par9cipants
1 or 2 risk alleles 15 par9cipants
25-‐OH D Co
ncen
tra9
on (n
g/mL)
54
Vitamin D is significantly increased across our participants
Round 1
Roun
d 2
μR1 = 33.6 ng/mL μR2 = 44.0 ng/mL psignedrank = 1.45E-‐9
Vitamin D
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
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80
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100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Vitamin D was the most significantly changed metabolite out of 189 for which data are available.
55
We can determine the individual risk for more than 50 diseases for which there are good statistical GWAS markers and these risks correlate with disease phenotypes in all 5 of the first studied disease examples
56
Es9mated risk for the disease or trait rela9ve to a popula7on
Enormous potential for genetics (GWAS variants) to estimate the genetic risk for each individual
Variant rs6827
Variant rs8572
Variant rs68883
Variant rs0994
Variant rs9769
Variant rs14445
Variant
Variant rs111393
Variant rs6837
Variant rs5837
Variant rs68279
Variant rs59583
Variant rs1352
Variant rs6827
Variant rs68883
Variant rs9769
Variant rs14445
Variant rs5837
Detrimental Variant Beneficial Variant
0
50
100
150
Cumula7ve Risk
Below average
Distribu9on from 2000 Genomes ADHD COPD Myopia
Alzheimer's disease Crohn's disease Obesity Anorexia Esophageal cancer Osteoarthri9s Asthma Gout Osteoporosis
Atrial fibrilla9on Grave's disease Ovarian cancer Breast cancer Hematocrit Pancrea9c cancer Bipolar disorder Hypertension Parkinson's disease Blood pressure Hypothyroidism Primary biliary cirrhosis
Bone mineral density Inflammatory bowel disease Prostate cancer Inflamma9on Iron levels Psoriasis
Calcium Lung Cancer Rheumatoid arthri9s Cardiovascular disease Lupus Schizophrenia
Celiac disease Macular degenera9on Stroke Cholesterol levels Magnesium levels Type 1 Diabetes
Chronic kidney disease Metabolic syndrome Type 2 Diabetes Colorectal cancer Migraine Ulcera9ve coli9s
Coronary heart disease Mul9ple sclerosis Urate levels
Ever increa
sing list of g
ene9c con
di9ons with
risk distribu
9ons =
Huge oppo
rtunity to im
prove welln
ess and pre
vent disease
57
Discovery and refinement of frequent genetic variants (GWAS) associated with lipid levels
Global Lipids Genetics Consortium. Discovery and refinement of loci associated with lipid levels. Nat Genet. 2013. 45(11): 1274-83.
• Study examined 188,577 individuals using genome-wide and custom genotyping arrays. – 94,595 in initial discovery set – 93,982 in validation set
• The study associates 72 loci with total cholesterol levels.
58
Individuals contain different subsets of the 72 variants that affect cholesterol levels
Variant rs68275
Variant rs8572
Variant rs68883
Variant rs099485
Variant rs97693
Variant rs14445
Variant rs65313
Variant rs111393
Variant rs86837
Variant rs6837
Variant rs583785
Variant rs68279
Variant rs59583
Variant rs13523
Each individual harbors a subset of the universe of possible variants that affect a trait. Although each variant alone has only a small effect, the cumula9ve effect of an individual’s variant set can add up to significant differences between individuals.
Small increase in overall cholesterol levels
Small decrease in overall cholesterol levels
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• Expected blood measurements can be computed from genomics
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
HDL Large Par9cle Co
ncen
tra9
on (n
mol/L)
Cumula9ve gene9c effect for each individual (std. dev.)
HDL Large Par7cle Concentra7on vs. Individual Gene7c Profile
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 LD
L Sm
all Par9cle Con
centra9o
n (nmol/L)
Cumula9ve gene9c effect for each individual (std.dev.)
LDL Small Par7cle Concentra7on vs. Individual Gene7c Profile
Low risk
59
Genetics and Clinical Labs Discovery Coaching to one’s genetic potential for HDL/LDL levels
High risk
Low risk
Correlation = 0.56 Correlation = -0.85, p<0.01
High risk
60
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
HDL Large Par9cle Co
ncen
tra9
on (n
mol/L)
Cumula9ve gene9c effect for each individual (std. dev.)
HDL Large Par7cle Concentra7on vs. Individual Gene7c Profile
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 LD
L Sm
all Par9cle Con
centra9o
n (nmol/L)
Cumula9ve gene9c effect for each individual (std.dev.)
LDL Small Par7cle Concentra7on vs. Individual Gene7c Profile
Low risk
60
Genetics and Clinical Labs Discovery Coaching to one’s genetic potential for HDL/LDL levels
High risk
Low risk
Correlation = -0.85, p<0.01
• Genes are NOT des9ny – behavior can modify drama9cally
High risk
Correlation = 0.56
61
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
HDL Large Par9cle Co
ncen
tra9
on (n
mol/L)
Cumula9ve gene9c effect for each individual (std. dev.)
HDL Large Par7cle Concentra7on vs. Individual Gene7c Profile
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 LD
L Sm
all Par9cle Con
centra9o
n (nmol/L)
Cumula9ve gene9c effect for each individual (std.dev.)
LDL Small Par7cle Concentra7on vs. Individual Gene7c Profile
High risk
Low risk
61
Genetics and Clinical Labs Discovery Coaching to one’s genetic potential for HDL/LDL levels
High risk
Low risk
Correlation = -0.85, p<0.01
• Genomes personalize proper interpreta9on of blood results
Correlation = 0.56
62
There are several par9cipants on sta9ns that drag down the LDL cholesterol average. Removing these individuals allows us to see the overall trend that correlates strongly with the gene9c cumula9ve risk. In fact, this may be highly predic9ve of who will need to be prescribed medica9on!
LDL cholesterol in our participants shows monotonic relationship with ‘genetic risk’
70#
80#
90#
100#
110#
120#
130#
140#
150#
160#
0#
10#
20#
30#
40#
50#
60#
Very#Low# Low# Medium# High# Very#High#
LDL#Ch
oleseterol#(m
g/dL)#
Num
ber#o
f#par8cipan
ts#in#th
is#risk#ra
nge#
Gene8c#Risk#
LDL#Cholesterol#Levels#vs#Gene8c#Risk#(59#variants)#Gene=c#Risk# Total#Cholesterol# Total#Cholesterol#(No#Medica=ons)#
63
Match your genetic risk against those of 2000 normal individuals
Individual genome
Mul9-‐genome reference models
2000 genomes Preliminary analysis
High-‐quality analysis
64
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
9.5 10
10.5
11
11.5
12
12.5
13
13.5
14
14.5
15
15.5
16
16.5
17
17.5
18
18.5
19
19.5
20
20.5
21
21.5
22
22.5
Gen
ome Co
unt
Cumula7ve Odds Ra7o
Risk for high cholesterol levels
Cumulative sum for an individual can give an estimate of risk relative to a population of 2000 normal individual genomes
Variant rs099485
Variant rs97693
Variant rs111393
Variant rs6837
Variant rs583785
Variant rs68279
Variant rs14445
Calculate the effects of all common variants within an individual
Es9mate the risk for high cholesterol rela9ve to a popula9on.
Below average
Above average
65
Relative disease risk in 2000 normal genomes Crohn’s
Obesity
Alzheimer’s (late onset)
Psoriasis
rela9ve risk
individu
als
44 GWAS 166 GWAS
57 GWAS 31 GWAS
66
The 100 Pioneer project has been a lens to view the “dark matter of human biology”
67
Sta9s9cal Correla9ons among Five Major Types of Pioneer Data—more than 35,0000 correla9ons—revealing the dark ma}er of human biology
choleostasis
68
The power of integrative analysis on multiple quadrants where N=100
We have calculated more than 30 thousand statistically-significant correlations between all of our five data quadrants for 107 individuals.
We have demonstrated that genome data can successfully predict risk for traits such as high LDL cholesterol, Crohn’s disease, vitamin D deficiency and type 2 diabetes. We believe it can predict risk for all GWAS diseases.
We have begun to identify the next generation of early-stage disease biomarkers and the first metrics for wellness.
75
85
95
105
115
125
135
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Very Low Low Medium High Very High
LDL Ch
olesterol
Gene7c Risk
69
107 Pioneers insights
• We are all less well than we think. All 107 Pioneers had multiple actionable possibilities.
• Your genome does not control your destiny—rather just your potential.
• “I can take control of my health with the proper data.”
• Almost all of the Pioneers want to continue the longitudinal wellness study in its next phase.
• 70% of the actionable possibilities were acted upon
70
100K Project: Transforming Healthcare • Identify vast array of actionable possibilities • Analytics to optimize wellness and avoid (reduce) disease for each
individual patient—optimize human potential • Create a data base of wellness measurements to mine for the
“multiparameter wellness metrics”—define fundamental human features of wellness—physiological and psychological
• Generate a data base from individuals that will allow us to follow early disease mechanisms in the transitions from wellness to disease for major diseases—diabetes, cardiovascular, cancer, neurodegeneration and diseases of pregnancy—enable early transition back to wellness
• Drive the development of improved old and new assays and analytics—parallelize, miniaturize, increase throughput, reduce cost, point of contact—digitalization through smart phone format
• Database of wellness and disease transitions catalyze innovation for the wellness industry industry
• Bring P4 medicine into the healthcare system – Improving the quality of healthcare – Decreasing the cost of healthcare – Promoting innovation in Healthcare
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The ISB Wellness Project Has Two Directions
• The 100,000 person wellness project—academic—discovery science—pioneer assays (to the smart phone) and pioneer the integrative and modeling analytics—seek Congressional funding—focus on both wellness and early disease transitions
• Arivale-a wellness sciences company—consumer directed—generate 10,000 individual data clouds in next 18 months—may really lead the large-scale adoption of P4 medicine and the democratization of healthcare
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Three big ideas
• Dynamical, dense personalized data clouds can be use to optimize individual human potential.
• Tens of thousands of personal data clouds will transform how pharma, biotech, nutrition, and diagnostic companies practice their art.
• The digitalization of medicine, the optimization of human potential and the identification and reversal of the earliest disease transitions for individuals will strikingly reduce the cost of healthcare—eventually leading to the democratization of healthcare for the poor as well as the rich.
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Project Leadership
• Leroy Hood, MD, PhD PI
• Nathan Price, PhD, Co-PI
• Sean Bell, Business Director
ISB Hundred Person Wellness Project – Team
Data Analytics
• Nathan Price, Analytics Lead
• Gustavo Glusman, Genomics
• Andrew Magis, Multi-Omics
• John Earls
Project Management
• Sean Bell, Business Director
• Kristin Brogaard, Project Manager
• Sara Mecca, Project Assistant
• Mary Brunkow, Project Coordinator
Medical Advisory Board
• Robert Green, M.D.
• Michael Raff, M.D.
• Sarah Speck, M.D.
External Relations
• Gretchen Sorensen, Consultant
Participant Engagement
• Jennifer Lovejoy, VP Clinical Affairs
• Sandi Kaplan, Wellness Coach
• Craig Keebler, M.D., Study Physician
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The gut microbiome
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Distribution of microbial phyla in our participants
Ra9o of bacteroidetes to firmicutes phyla spans a wide range in only 100 individuals. Some individuals have excess growth of proteobacteria and verrucomicrobia, which may be linked to excess inflamma9on or a result of recent an9bio9c treatment.
100%
75%
50%
25%
0% Each bar is one individual—no dis9nct entroptypes
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Genetics and Microbiome Discovery: Link between Gut Microbiome and Genetic Risk for Crohn’s Disease
0"
10"
20"
30"
40"
50"
60"
Very%Low% Low% Medium% High%% Very%High%
Num
ber%o
f%par6cipan
ts%in%th
is%risk%ra
nge%
Gene6c%Risk%
Microbial%Composi6on%vs.%Crohn's%Disease%Gene6c%Risk%(91%variants)%
77
78
Genetics and Microbiome Discovery: Link between Gut Microbiome and Genetic Risk for Crohn’s Disease
0"
10"
20"
30"
40"
50"
60"
Very%Low% Low% Medium% High%% Very%High%
Num
ber%o
f%par6cipan
ts%in%th
is%risk%ra
nge%
Gene6c%Risk%
Microbial%Composi6on%vs.%Crohn's%Disease%Gene6c%Risk%(91%variants)%
Verrucomicrobia 0%
Proteobacteria 3%
55% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes
Verrucomicrobia 1%
Proteobacteria 4%
56% Bacteroidetes
39% Firmicutes
Verrucomicrobia 2%
Proteobacteria 2%
54% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes Verrucomicrobia
3%
Proteobacteria 3%
54% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes
Verrucomicrobia 7%
Proteobacteria 10%
41% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes
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Verrucomicrobia and Proteobacteria are pro-inflammatory bacteria
79
0"
10"
20"
30"
40"
50"
60"
Very%Low% Low% Medium% High%% Very%High%
Num
ber%o
f%par6cipan
ts%in%th
is%risk%ra
nge%
Gene6c%Risk%
Microbial%Composi6on%vs.%Crohn's%Disease%Gene6c%Risk%(91%variants)%
Verrucomicrobia 0%
Proteobacteria 3%
55% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes
Verrucomicrobia 1%
Proteobacteria 4%
56% Bacteroidetes
39% Firmicutes
Verrucomicrobia 2%
Proteobacteria 2%
54% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes Verrucomicrobia
3%
Proteobacteria 3%
54% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes
Verrucomicrobia 7%
Proteobacteria 10%
41% Bacteroidetes
42% Firmicutes
Genetics and Microbiome Discovery: Link between Gut Microbiome and Genetic Risk for Crohn’s Disease
One par7cipant in study previously diagnosed with Crohn’s disease was iden7fied with high gene7c risk 79
Verrucomicrobia and Proteobacteria are pro-inflammatory bacteria