towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · undp framing policies for the...

30
United Nations Statistics Division Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital economy High Level Seminar on The Digital Economy: A Policy and Statistical Perspective Beijing, China 15-17 November 2018

Upload: others

Post on 31-Mar-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

United Nations Statistics Division

Towards an integrated framework for measuring the

digital economy

High Level Seminar on The Digital Economy:

A Policy and Statistical Perspective

Beijing, China

15-17 November 2018

Page 2: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Outline of presentation

Background

What benefits have the digital economy brought?

What costs have the digital economy brought?

What are the outcomes?

Components of policy framework for the digital economy

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

Conclusions

2

Page 3: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

3

Background

Time

WW2Computer

Internet

Smartphone

Big Data

Internet of Things

Artificial Intelligence

Blockchain

Cloud computing

?

Use o

f Technolo

gy a

nd

Data

Many economies around the world are undergoing a digital revolution – fast evolving technologies

Page 4: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

4

Cost

Time

Use of Technologyand Data

We are here

Available timeframe to create a framework

Page 5: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

5

What benefits have the digital economy brought?

Page 6: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What benefits have the digital economy brought?

Digital economy can make a significant contribution to the realization of the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development

6

Page 7: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What benefits have the digital economy brought?

Wide variety of goods and services

7

Page 8: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What benefits have the digital economy brought?

Innovations in financial markets and new methods of payment

8

Page 9: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What benefits have the digital economy brought?

Rising automation

9

Page 10: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

10

What costs have the digital economy brought?

Page 11: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

11

Time

What costs have the digital economybrought?

Digital divides within and between countries

Infrastructure (broadband, devices, speed)Accessibility and use of internet

byFirms (by size and innovation)Persons (by age, education, literacy, gender and income)…

Source: United Nations E-Government Survey 2018

Impact

Page 12: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What costs have the digital economy brought?

A few firms and countries dominate innovation in many frontier technologies

12

Source: World Economic and Social Survey 2018

Page 13: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What costs have the digital economy brought?

Erosion of privacy

13

Source: Wall Street Journal, 8 Nov 2018

Page 14: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

14

What are the outcomes?

Page 15: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What are the outcomes?

Polarized labour markets

15

Source: World Economic and Social Survey 2018

Page 16: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What are the outcomes?

Rising share of capital income and falling sharing of labour income resulting in income and wealth inequality

16

Source: World Economic and Social Survey 2018

Page 17: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

What are the outcomes?

Digital trust deficit

17

Note: Trust surplus/deficit is defined as the gap between users’ digital trust environment experience and their tolerance for friction of digital commerce engagement. A higher trust surplus level suggests that users are more patient online and willing to engage with new technologies.

Source: World Economic and Social Survey 2018

Page 18: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

18

Components of policy framework for the digital economy

Page 19: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Components of policy framework for the digital economy

Policy making process has to be integrated

A flexible, forward-looking and integrated policy framework that cuts across policy silos is needed

19

Page 20: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

20

Source: OECD Going Digital UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia

Components of policy framework for the digital economy

Leadership and

Coordination

Strategic Choices onPlatforms

Effective Digital

Governance

Measurementand

Goal Setting

Page 21: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

21

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

Page 22: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

Consistent, timely and reliable statistics on the digital economy are needed

An integrated statistics approach can help to ensure harmonization

22

Page 23: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

Common conceptual framework

Institutional arrangements (legislative, organizational, budgetary, managerial and customer relationship arrangements) further support the environment for integration

Statistical production process as an integrated production chain from the collection of basic data to the dissemination of statistics

23

Building blocks

Page 24: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

24

Institutional arrangements

Institutional

settingManagement and internal policy

Information, Communication Technology (ICT)

Standards and methodsConceptual

framework

Data collection

Data processing

Data integration

Frames and registers Surveys

Inp

uts

Digital economy

and satellite account

Household and

demographic

statistics

Economic &

environmental

statistics

Ou

tpu

ts /

Dis

sem

ina

tio

nStatistical

operations

Page 25: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

25

Standards and methods

Conceptual framework

Digital economy

and satellite account

Ensures the consistency of theconcepts, definitions andclassifications

Page 26: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

26

Institutional arrangements

Institutional setting

Management and internal

policy

Information,

Communication

Technology (ICT)

Statistics Act

Committees

Latest

ICT

Coordination

and collaboration

Page 27: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Components of statistical framework for the digital economy

27

e-Commerce

ICT

Innovation

Household

Labour

R&D

Price

Surveys

Big data

Administrative data

Other data sources

Inp

uts

Ou

tpu

ts

Data collection

Data processing

Data integration

Statistical

business

registers and

frames

Surveys

Household and

demographic

statistics

Economic &

environmental

statistics

Statistical operations

Other data

sources

Demography

Activity

Size

Ownership

Type

SBR

Page 28: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

Conclusions

Benefits, costs and outcomes

• The digital economy can bring great economic and societal benefits

• Digital divides within and between economies

• Polarized labor markets, inequalities, lack of trust

Policy

• A flexible policy framework is needed to determine how to maximize the benefits, while mitigating its negative effects

Statistics

• An integrated statistical framework for the digital economy is needed to complement the policy framework

Way forward

• New global user-centered consultation mechanism complementing domain specific regional and international consultation mechanisms (such as for national accounts, business and trade statistics and prices)

28

Page 29: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

29

Email [email protected] if you have any questions

Page 30: Towards an integrated framework for measuring the digital ... · UNDP Framing Policies for the Digital Economy UNIDO Technology Foresight in Asia Components of policy framework for

30

Thank you

谢谢