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MILITARY PSYCHOLOGY, 7(3), 141-164 Copyright O 1995, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Inc. Toward Theoretically Based Principles of Training Effectiveness: A Model and Initial Empirical Investigation Janis A. Cannon-Bowers and Eduardo Salas Naval Air Warfare Center Training Systems Division Scott I. Tannenbaum Department of Management State University of New York at Albany John E. Mathieu Department of Psychology Pennsylvania State University Increasingly stringent demands are being placed on operators in many military systems due to recent advances in technology and rapid changes in the world order. In the modem military combat environment, operators require skill levels that are more varied and are of a higher order than in the past. Coupled with current fiscal constraints, this situation demands an optimization of training resources-a return on investment that results in an uncompromisingly high level of readiness at the lowest possible cost and in the shortest time. The purpose of this research was to advance understanding of effective training system design by investigating factors that may affect the success of training significantly in terms of performance improvement in the operational environ- ment. To accomplish this goal, a comprehensive model of training effectiveness was first developed and used as a basis to specify testable hypotheses. A large-scale data collection effort to test portions of the model was then con- ducted with Navy recruits. Results indicated that several nontechnical trainee- related factors had a significant impact on training outcomes in this setting: Requests for reprints should be sent to Janis A. Cannon-Bowers, Code 4.9.6.1, Naval Air Warfare Center Training Systems Division (formerly the Naval Training Systems Center), 12350 Research Parkway, Orlando, FL 32826.

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MILITARY PSYCHOLOGY, 7(3), 141-164 Copyright O 1995, Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Inc.

Toward Theoretically Based Principles of Training Effectiveness:

A Model and Initial Empirical Investigation

Janis A. Cannon-Bowers and Eduardo Salas Naval Air Warfare Center Training Systems Division

Scott I. Tannenbaum Department of Management

State University of New York at Albany

John E. Mathieu Department of Psychology

Pennsylvania State University

Increasingly stringent demands are being placed on operators in many military systems due to recent advances in technology and rapid changes in the world order. In the modem military combat environment, operators require skill levels that are more varied and are of a higher order than in the past. Coupled with current fiscal constraints, this situation demands an optimization of training resources-a return on investment that results in an uncompromisingly high level of readiness at the lowest possible cost and in the shortest time. The purpose of this research was to advance understanding of effective training system design by investigating factors that may affect the success of training significantly in terms of performance improvement in the operational environ- ment. To accomplish this goal, a comprehensive model of training effectiveness was first developed and used as a basis to specify testable hypotheses. A large-scale data collection effort to test portions of the model was then con- ducted with Navy recruits. Results indicated that several nontechnical trainee- related factors had a significant impact on training outcomes in this setting:

Requests for reprints should be sent to Janis A. Cannon-Bowers, Code 4.9.6.1, Naval Air Warfare Center Training Systems Division (formerly the Naval Training Systems Center), 12350 Research Parkway, Orlando, FL 32826.

142 CANNON-BOWERS ET AL.

self-efficacy, task-related attitudes, expectations for training, training fulfill- ment, and pretraining motivation. These results are discussed in terms of their implications for future research and for improving training system design.

There is little doubt that military readiness, safety, and performance depend largely on the extent to which training systems impart crucial knowledge and skills. Current fiscal constraints demand further that military training re- sources are optimized-that is, that they accomplish required training objec- tives at the lowest cost and in the shortest amount of time. It is generally agreed, therefore, that attention must be directed toward understanding the factors that foster and inhibit training effectiveness and transfer of training so that the highest payoff in terms of performance improvement is achieved.

Typically, the study of training effectiveness and training system design in past research has focused on a relatively small set of variables such as training method, content, media, and equipment (Tannenbaum & Yukl, 1992). Although this research is important-training variables are a critical part of the effectiveness equation-we maintain that training effectiveness is a complex phenomenon. In fact, there are numerous factors that can have an influence on training effectiveness quite apart from training quality. As Goldstein (1980) noted, "we must consider training as a system within work organizations rather than simply treating instruction as a separate technol- ogy" (p. 263). We need to understand better the many factors that may contribute to or detract from training effectiveness.

Recently, several researchers in the training area have contended that a host of factors not typically considered in training design research may have a significant impact on training effectiveness (Noe, 1986; Noe & Schmitt, 1986). In general, these factors can be characterized as those that a trainee brings to the training situation, those related to the training system itself, and those stemming from the organizational or operational context in which the training occurs. Research in this area has suggested that factors such as job involvement, performance expectations, training fulfillment, career plan- ning, and organizational favorability can have an impact on training effec- tiveness (Mathieu, Tannenbaum, & Salas, 1992; Noe & Schmitt, 1986).

Another area of interest to the current research relates to the need to define the concept of training effectiveness. Specifically, it has been typical in past work to treat training effectiveness as a relatively simple, uni- dimensional construct. A notable exception is the theorizing of Kirkpatrick (1976), which decomposed the concept of training effectiveness into several separate outcomes: reactions, learning, behavior, and organizational results. According to Kirkpatrick, training can have an impact on any or all of these outcomes. With respect to the current research, it is our contention that specifying and assessing various components of training effectiveness is crucial to a full understanding of how and why training is successful. More- over, it is reasonable to hypothesize that particular training system features

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 143

will have a differential impact on various outcomes. For example, trainees may respond favorably to a training program (reactions) without actually learning targeted material, or they may learn targeted concepts but be unable to apply these to the job (see Alliger & Janak, 1989).

The purpose of the current research was to extend past work in the training effectiveness area by specifying a comprehensive model of training effectiveness and directly studying the impact of selected individual and situational factors on various training effectiveness components in a Navy training environment. Of particular interest was the study of individual factors that trainees bring to the training program, their ability to acquire and apply targeted skills, and how these factors affect important training out- comes.

MODEL CHARACTERISTICS

A review and synthesis of the training literature was conducted to generate a comprehensive model of training effectiveness (see Figure 1). Inspection of Figure 1 reveals that the model of training effectiveness adopts a longitudinal, systems-oriented perspective that considers events that occur before, during, and after training. In this sense, it is broader than typical models of instruc- tional design that tend to limit their focus to factors that occur only during training (e.g., Merrill & Wood, 1975). Instead, the proposed model focuses on characteristics of the organization and work environment and characteristics of the individual trainee as crucial input factors. A more comprehensive presentation of the model and its implications can be found in Tannenbaum, Cannon-Bowers, Salas, and Mathieu (1993).

Turning first to organizational and situational characteristics, past work has shown that these can have an impact both before and after training. Prior to training, organizational and situational factors should have a direct influ- ence on training expectations and desires and on training motivation, and thereby they should have an indirect effect on training effectiveness. Organ- izational culture, history, and policies can shape trainees' expectations about training. After training, organizational and situational variables are hypoth- esized to influence trainees' motivation to transfer what they learned and their subsequent job performance. Factors such as transfer climate and su- pervisor support are hypothesized to affect motivation, whereas issues such as resource availability are hypothesized to influence job performance di- rectly.

The model of training effectiveness shown in Figure 1 also includes several individual characteristics, for example, cognitive ability, locus of control, self-efficacy, and organizational commitment, expectations, and pretraining motivation. Research concerning several of these variables is summarized next.

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 1 45

Many studies have examined the effects of cognitive ability in training environments. For example, Nee1 and Dunn (1959) found a relation between intelligence test scores and course exam scores. Tubiana and Ben-Shakhar (1982) noted the connection between an intelligence test and officers' ratings of potential at the conclusion of training. Mobley, Hand, Baker, and Meglino (1979) found a significant difference between recruit training graduates and those who failed to complete training on the Armed Forces Qualification Test (AFQT; a form of scoring the Armed Service Vocational Aptitude Battery [ASVAB]). Fox, Taylor, and Caylor (1969) also reported a relation between the AFQT and training effectiveness as measured by training time and passing training, respectively.

Self-efficacy, which can be defined as self-perceived competence on the task, is also considered an important training variable in the model. Self-ef- ficacy has been shown to be related to subsequent task performance in numerous studies (Barling & Beattie, 1983; Locke, Frederick, Lee, & Bobko, 1984; Mathieu, Martineau, & Tannenbaum, 1993; Travillian, Baker, & Cannon-Bowers, 1992). In the present context, pretraining self-efficacy may be an important predictor of learning and training performance. Re- cently, Gist, Schwoerer, and Rosen (1989) demonstrated a connection be- tween pretraining self-efficacy and subsequent training performance in computer software training. Eden and Ravid (1982) manipulated trainees' expectations of their performance by having a psychologist tell some mili- tary trainees that they had high success potential. They found that self-ex- pectations of performance were related to subsequent trainee performance.

Trainees' work-related attitudes also can affect their receptiveness to training. In particular, their level of commitment to the organization is likely to predispose them to view training as more or less useful, both to them- selves and to the organization. Attitudinal organizational commitment is defined as

the relative strength of an individual's identification with and involvement in a particular organization. Conceptually, it can be characterized by at least three factors: 1) a strong belief in and acceptance of the organization's goals and values; 2) a willingness to exert considerable effort on behalf of the organiza- tion; and 3) a strong desire to maintain membership in the organization. (Mow- day, Porter, & Steers, 1982, p. 27)

It follows that current employees who are more committed to the organi- zation would be more likely to (a) perceive that training would be beneficial, (b) be willing to exert a great deal of effort to be successful in training, and (c) want to do well in training to solidify their position in the organization. Related to this, Mobley et al. (1979) found that intention to remain with the military was related to completion of recruit training. Noe and Schmitt (1986) found that job involvement was related to learning but not to behavior change or motivation to transfer.

146 CANNON-BOWERS ET AL.

Another variable of interest is training motivation. Motivation to learn may depend on attention, relevance, confidence, and satisfaction. These variables are closely aligned with variables specified in the current model (e.g., self-efficacy, training reactions). Conceptually, expectancy theory pro- vides a useful framework for examining training motivation (see Lawler, 1973, and Vroom, 1964, for details on expectancy theory). In the training context, expectancy theory would suggest that trainees consider the utility of the training in attaining desired outcomes. Trainees consider this in deciding whether to attend training, to expend effort to learn, and to persist in attempt- ing to apply what they have learned.

Despite the centrality of motivation to most conceptions of learning performance, there has not been a great deal of empirical research that has examined the role of trainee motivation in training effectiveness. Hicks (1984) reported a significant correlation between motivation to learn and self-reported learning. Mobley et al. (1979) found an expectancy-based motivation measure to be related to training completion. Biersner, Ryman, and Rahe (1977) also found trainee motivation predictive of the completion of diver training.

In contrast, Noe and Schmitt (1986) found no relation between pretraining motivation to learn and posttraining learning, behavior change, or motiva- tion to transfer. Unfortunately, a small sample size and some psychometric problems required them to collapse motivation, expectation, and situational variables together. Their resulting motivation measures are difficult to inter- pret. The lack of research on training motivation is a serious gap in improv- ing our understanding of training effectiveness.

The model of training effectiveness developed in the current research also reconsiders and extends Kirkpatrick's (1976) hierarchy of training evalua- tion. As noted, Kirkpatrick hypothesized that training can lead to several separate but related training outcomes. The present model builds on this work by considering behavior change at two levels: performance in training and performance on the job. The rationale is that a trainee may be able to demonstrate targeted skills at the conclusion of training but be unable to apply these on the job for a variety of reasons (e.g., unfavorable organiza- tional conditions or differences between the training and operational envi- ronment). In fact, transfer of training has been hypothesized to be a function of several factors (see Baldwin & Ford, 1988) that would militate against successful application of training to the job. This has obvious implications for training effectiveness research because the training program itself could be sound but considered unsuccessful because trainees are unable to apply the skills they have learned due to external factors.

The model also departs from typical conceptions of Kirkpatrick's criteria as being a hierarchy, and it removes the causal link between trainee reactions and learning. Specifically, in keeping with Alliger and Janak's (1989) con-

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 147

tentions, we hypothesize that trainee reactions on the one hand and learning, performance, and results on the other are affected by different training program components and input factors. Reactions are affected by pretraining motivation and by the extent to which the training fulfills the trainee's expectations for training (called training fulfillment in the model). The implication of this contention is that assessing trainee reactions to training (which is a common practice) will not allow inferences to be drawn regard- ing the extent to which trainees have learned targeted material or to which they can or will apply it to the job.

THEPRESENTSTUDY

An empirical data collection effort was conducted to begin to test key variables in the model of training effectiveness shown in Figure 1. We had two purposes in mind: (a) to identify or develop scales to measure key variables in the model, assessing their psychometric qualities and providing suggestions for their future use; and (b) to perform an initial test of key constructs and relations from the training effectiveness model in a longitudi- nal field training environment, assessing the potential value of the model for improving our understanding of training effectiveness.

Many variables were revealed in the literature review to be important to training effectiveness, and we selected several of the more promising ones for investigation, including motivation, self-efficacy, and expectation vari- ables. There have been no research studies that have simultaneously exam- ined these variables in such a way as to assess their relative impact on training effectiveness. The most expansive related research effort to date was by Noe and Schmitt (1986). Their study provided stimulation for this re- search effort and yielded some interesting and informative results. As pre- viously noted, however, sample size and psychometric limitations forced them to collapse several motivation, expectation, and situational variables together. This resulted in difficulty in interpreting their motivational vari- able and precluded the examination of expectations and motivation sepa- rately. In addition, their study did not include self-efficacy or ability measures and was based on a relatively small sample. The present effort was designed to overcome such limitations.

Due to the magnitude of the data collection effort and number of variables assessed, parts of the analyses associated with this effort were reported elsewhere (see Tannenbaum, Mathieu, Salas, & Cannon-Bowers, 1991). Spe- cifically, Tannenbaum et al. (1991) focused on the impact of training fulfill- ment (as described in the next section) on the development of posttraining commitment, self-efficacy, and motivation. The analyses that we report include only those that were not reported in the earlier article.

148 CANNON-BOWERS ET AL.

METHOD

Participants

The study was conducted at Recruit Training Command (RTC) in Orlando, Florida. This is an 8-week process designed to train new recruits in general Navy procedures. As a longer (i.e., several weeks or more) program, it is different from most corporate training efforts. However, the U.S. and foreign militaries use longer term training quite extensively (e.g., Drakeley, Herriot, & Jones, 1988; Gopher, 1982; Hogan & Hogan, 1985).

Participants were 1,037 trainees participating in recruit training. Their average age was 19.98 (SD = 2.66 years). Data were available from 666 trainees at all three data collection points as described next.

Procedure

Within 1 hr of their arrival, all trainees were asked to complete a pretraining questionnaire that assessed a variety of individual variables, including expecta- tions, attitudes, self-efficacy, and pretraining motivation. Participation was vol- untary, and no names appeared on the questionnaires. Social security numbers were collected to match surveys with performance and cognitive ability mea- sures. However, participants were assured of anonymity, and no individual responses were revealed. The ASVAB, a measure of cognitive ability, was administered as part of the enlistment process prior to recruit training.

During training, recruits were involved in classroom and field learning experiences and completed academic and physical tests, received numerous inspections, and received honors and demerits indicative of their perfor- mance during training. At the conclusion of training, trainees completed a posttraining questionnaire that assessed posttraining motivation, attitudes, training perceptions, self-evaluations, and training reactions.

Pretraining questionnaires were completed by 932 trainees, and posttrain- ing questionnaires were completed by 753 trainees (some of whom had not received the pretraining questionnaire). "Hard card" data (i.e., archival train- ing performance and cognitive ability measures) were available for 855 of the trainees. This resulted in the final sample of 666 participants, from whom data had been collected at all three times. The average age of the final sample members was 19.84 (SD = 2.43 years). The final sample consisted of 368 men and 298 women.

Because the tests of the model require training performance and posttrain- ing data, the majority of analyses were conducted on a final sample that consisted only of those trainees who completed training. The exception to this was an analysis to examine factors that influenced attrition, which included samples of recruits who did and did not complete the training.

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 149

Measurement Scales

Except where otherwise noted, all measures were based on 7-point Likert- type scales ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree) with 4 (neither agree nor disagree) as the midpoint. Some items were worded negatively and reverse coded in later analyses. As part of the development process, the surveys were pilot tested with a small sample of recruits to ensure clarity of wording and instructions.

Some of the measures represent existing scales, whereas others were developed specifically for this study. All new scales were subjected to factor analysis (principle axis utilizing oblique [Oblimin] rotation) to assess their factor structure based on the total sample (N = 1,037). Initially, the number of factors was determined based on eigen values greater than 1.0. The resulting factor structure was examined for clarity of interpretation (i.e., items with high factor loadings on only one factor and conceptual similarity of items that loaded on the same factor).

In some instances, the initial solution demonstrated complex loadings (i.e., items demonstrating factor loadings of greater than .40 on two or more factors) or items that failed to load on any factor (i.e., no factor loading greater than .40 on any factor). In these cases, interitem correlations were examined, problematic items were eliminated, and additional factor analyses were conducted to establish a structure with the best fit both psychometri- cally and conceptually.

Finally, Cronbach's alphas were computed to assess scale reliability. For uniformity, Cronbach's alphas were computed for all multi-item scales based on the final sample of 666 recruits. On the basis of these analyses, some items were dropped and some scales were revised. Summarized in Table 1 are the number of items, mean, standard deviation, and Cronbach's alpha for each measure.

Attitudes. Two trainee attitudes were measured-organizational com- mitment and intent to remain. They were measured prior to training and again at the completion of training.

The organizational commitment attitude was assessed using 11 items adapted from Mowday, Porter, and Steers' (1982) 15-item scale. The full- length scale has demonstrated high reliabilities in previous research (average alpha = .88 across 80 samples with a total sample size of more than 24,000; see Mathieu & Zajac, 1990). The 11 items used in the present study were selected based on their relevance to the Navy training environment, and they demonstrated sufficient alphas at both administrations (i.e., .82 and 33) .

Intent to remain was assessed using a two-item scale loosely based on Martin's (1979) work. Martin used two items, one referring to intentions to remain with the organization within the next year and one referring to longer

TABLE 1 Means. Standard Deviations. and Cronbach's Alohas

Measure No. of Items M SD Alpha

Individual variables (pretraining) Ability

Cognitive ability (ASVAB) Attitudes

Organizational commitment Intent to remain

Self-efficacy Academic Self-Efficacy Physical Self-Efficacy

Demographics Sexa Age Family history (No. of military relatives)

Training motivation variables Pretraining motivation

Instrumentalities Training performance Valences Pretraining motivation

Posttraining motivation Instrumentalities Performance expectations Valences Posttraining motivationC

Expectation/desire variables Training expectations

Overall Controlled learning environment Challenge Interactions with company members Training method

Training desiresb Overall Controlled learning environment Challenge Interactions with company members Training method

Training performance expectations Expectation fulfillment variables

Expectation fulfillmentd Perceptions of training

Individual variables (posttraining) Attitudes

Intent to remain Organizational commitment Physical self-efficacy Academic self-efficacy

NIA

.82

.91

.87

.85

NIA NIA

.89

.92

.88

.96

.90

.95

.86

.97

.82

.80

.76

.83

.46

.84

.83

.84

.86

.53

.83

.70

.81

.89

.83

.87

.87

Note. Sample sizes range from 651 to 666 due to missing responses. ASVAB = Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery.

"Female = 1; male = 2. b ~ c a l e can range from -3 to +3. "Scale can range from 1 to 343. d ~ c a l e can range from -1 8 to +18.

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 1 51

term career plans. Because recruits do not have a true decision point within the next year, we revised our scale accordingly. Thus, the two items we used were "I plan to reenlist after my first tour" and "I plan to make a career out of the Navy." Alphas were .91 and .89 for the pre- and posttraining adminis- trations.

Self-efficacy measures. These scales were based on the work of McIntire and Levine (1984). Because their scales were originally designed for a college population, some rewording was necessary. The Academic Self-Efficacy scale assessed trainees' beliefs in their ability to accomplish academic tasks. A factor analysis of the 10 academic self-efficacy items yielded a three-factor solution. However, neither this solution nor forced two- or four-factor solutions produced interpretable results. A close exami- nation of interitem correlations and item content suggested that participants were having a problem with the two negatively worded items. These two items were dropped, yielding an eight-item scale with acceptable alphas at both administrations.

The Physical Self-Efficacy scale measured perceived competence on physical tasks. A factor analysis of the 10 items relating to physical self-ef- ficacy yielded a single-factor solution. The scale demonstrated acceptable alphas at both administrations.

Training motivation variables. Training motivation was assessed using a valence-instrumentality-expectancy approach (cf. Lawler, 1973; Vroom, 1964). Specifically, trainees' perceptions of the relation between performance in training and future job performance were assessed using a six-item scale. A sample item is, "If I am successful in recruit training it will better enable me to perform my job in the Navy." The average of trainees' responses to these items will be referred to as training-performance expec- tancies.

Trainees also provided ratings of the extent to which they perceived that higher performance in Navy jobs would lead to a set of 12 outcomes (here- after referred to as instrumentalities). These outcomes include such things as money, prestige, respect from family and friends, and an opportunity to serve the country. Finally, trainees provided separate ratings of the importance of each of the 12 outcomes (hereafter referred to as valences). Although the instrumentalities and valences were responded to on a 7-point scale, the scale anchors were recoded to a -3 to +3 range to reflect both positive and negative values. This recoding was necessary to maintain the motivating direction of combining instrumentality and valence scores of different signs (cf. Mathieu, 1987).

Training motivation scores were calculated by first multiplying each outcome's instrumentality by its valence, then multiplying the product by the

trainees' training-performance expectancy score. This process yields 12 composite scores, each reflecting a perceived motivation consequence of performing well in training. Combining the 12 composites yields a total training motivation score. The combined scale exhibited high reliabilities at both times.

Expectation Variables and Expectation Fulfillment

Expectation fulfillment was computed as a function of expectations, desires, and (posttraining) perceptions:

Ef = = (Pi - Ei)Di i= l

where Ef = total expectation fulfillment score, i = item, j = the number of perception-expectation item pairs, P = perceptions (ranges from 1 to 7), E = expectations (ranges from 1 to 7), and D = desires (recoded to -3 to +3 to reflect the positive or negative nature of the desire), yielding an expectation fulfillment score that could range from -18 to +18. The multiplicative function in the formula is included to address the relative desirability of the factor. For example, perceptions of challenge exceeding expectations would be positive for someone who desires challenge, negative for someone who does not desire it, and neutral (i.e., zero) for someone who does not care about it one way or another.

Training Reaction and Performance Measures

Shown in Table 2 are the number of items, mean, standard deviation, and Cronbach's alpha for each of the reaction and performance measures along with the correlations among them. Twelve training reaction items were written to assess various components of trainees' reactions to training. Some were designed to tap beliefs of relevance and value, whereas others were more affective in nature. Factor analysis of scale items led us to drop three items (due to complex loadings), yielding a clean two-factor solution with seven items loading on Factor 1 (labeled RelevunceNalue) and two items loading on Factor 2 (labeled Affect/Happiness).

Measures of learning or training performance were limited to those cur- rently used in the RTC environment. Although academic tests were adminis- tered, there was no true measure of learning possible because no pretests were conducted. As such, all the measures are discussed under the heading of training performance, although they do not fit neatly into the categories identified in the review. The following measures were used:

TAB

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5 6

7

8

9

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15

2.23

N

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-

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sa

1 1.

06

.24

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9 -

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ction

sb

21

1.81

.I

0

.52

-.74*

.0

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42

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4 -.2

8*

-.01

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12

5.98

.8

8 .9

1

.02

.01

-32

-.1

5*

-

6. R

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ion-

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e 7

6.28

.8

3 .8

8 .0

1 -.0

2 -.0

2 -.

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-

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ion-

happ

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s 2

5.10

1.

46

.84

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.03

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elf-

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90

1.13

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.05

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.22*

-

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elf-

rate

d ov

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l per

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5.19

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154 CANNON-BOWERS ET AL.

1. Academic Training Performance. Recruits were tested four times during training on information regarding shipboard procedures, Navy proto- col, damage control procedures, appropriate behaviors, and other naval pro- cedures. Scores on the four tests were averaged, yielding an overall academic performance measure.

2. Physical Performance. Throughout training, recruits take physical fitness tests. Unfortunately, the manner in which these data are maintained precludes their use as a measure of training performance.

3. Inspections. Various levels of senior personnel conduct inspections of uniforms, beds, and lockers throughout training. Recruits are expected to conform to standards taught during training, and each inspection (there were 21 of them) results in a rating of satisfactory or unsatisfactory. These were averaged to yield an overall inspection score.

4. Honors. Recruits who perform well during training may be assigned a position of responsibility (e.g., lead recruit). These are referred to as honors, and each recruit was coded as either receiving an honor or not receiving an honor.

5 . Demerits. Demerits are assigned to recruits for poor behavior (e.g., failure to follow procedure). A higher score indicates poorer performance. Demerit scores ranged from 0 to 18.

6. Self-Rated Performance. Five items assessed self-rated performance in a manner similar to those that assessed performance expectations. The five items addressed physical performance tests, academic tests, uniform inspec- tions, room inspections, and overall performance. Factor analysis yielded a one-factor solution, and the five items were averaged to yield an overall self-rating. In addition, the single item pertaining to physical performance tests was used independently because the archival physical test scores were unusable.

7. Attrition. As an indicator of the results category of training effective- ness, we included a measure of attrition. This was defined simply as whether the recruit completed training.

RESULTS

Analytic Strategy

A series of hierarchical regressions were computed to test the relations within the model and to allow for an assessment of the relative effects of several independent variables. The choice of variables for each equation was based on the overall model. In a hierarchical model of this type, variables may be independent in some equations and dependent in others. In addition, some variables were included in equations that did not reflect links in the

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 155

model. This was done to assess the possibility that nonhypothesized relations might exist.

We used simultaneous entry within steps-a more conservative approach than stepwise entry-and hierarchical regression between steps whenever a theoretical or temporal determination of order was possible (cf. Cohen & Cohen, 1983, for a detailed discussion of this analytic strategy).

Moving from left to right in the model, we first tested for predictors of expectations and desires and pretraining motivation, and then we examined factors that might influence training reactions and training performance.

Expectations and Desires

According to the model, several individual characteristics included in this study were hypothesized to affect expectations and desires. Therefore, we regressed the training expectation and desire scales on all the individual characteristics, including cognitive ability. Presented in Table 3 are the results for performance expectations and training expectations. The regres- sion equations accounted for 39% and 24% of the variance, respectively.

Academic and physical self-efficacy and organizational commitment were positively related to performance expectations. Physical self-efficacy and organizational commitment were positively related to training expecta- tions; cognitive ability was negatively related to training expectations.

The results for training desires are presented in Table 4. The adjusted R~ for the equation was .28. Physical self-efficacy and organizational commit- ment were positively related to training desires.

TABLE 3 Results of Simultaneous Regressions of Pretraining Performance Expectations

and Training Expectations on Individual Pretraining Ability and Nonability Variables

Dependent Variable

Statistic Performance Training Expectations Expectations

--

R' (adjusted) .392* .235* Beta weights

Family history -.050 ,000 Academic self-efficacy .200* ,000 Sex ,000 -.060 Intent to remain ,040 -.OOO

Age ,020 ,040 Physical self-efficacy .460* .110* Cognitive ability ,070 -.210* Organizational commitment .170* .360*

* p = .05.

156 CANNON-BOWERS ET AL.

TABLE 4 Results of Simultaneous Regression of Training Desires on

Individual Pretraining Ability and Nonability Variables

Statistic Training Desires

R~ (adjusted) .284* Beta weights

Family history .020 Academic self-efficacy ,020 Sex .OOO Intent to remain .030 Age .040 Physical self-efficacy .210* Cognitive ability -.070 Organizational commitment .400*

*p < .01.

Pretraining Motivation

Pretraining motivation was regressed on training desires and expectations and all the individual variables. Presented in Table 5 are the results of this analysis. The equation accounts for 46% of the variance. Training desires and training expectations were positively related to pretraining motivation, as were physical self-efficacy and organizational commitment.

Training Reactions

Expectation fulfillment was hypothesized to predict training reactions. It was uncertain whether training motivation should be related to training reactions. To assess the relative effects of these two variables, they were simultaneously entered into the equation as the first step in the regressions. Individual variables were hypothesized to relate to training reactions only indirectly and thus were entered simultaneously as the second step in the equation after the direct effects of expectation fulfillment and motivation were removed. Shown in Table 6 are the results for relevancelvalue and for affectlhappiness. Both steps were significant in each equation. Step 1 ac- counted for more than 30% of the relevance/value variance and 10% of the affectlhappiness variance. Individual variables added 3% for rele- vancelvalue and 5% for affectlhappiness.

Expectation fulfillment and pretraining motivation were positively re- lated to both training reaction measures. Physical self-efficacy was related positively to both, and intent to remain was related positively to affectlhap- piness reactions. Age was negatively related to both reaction measures.

TABLE 5 Results of Hierarchical Regression of Pretraining Motivation on

Training Desires, Expectations, and Individual Variables

Statistics --

Pretrainina Motivation

Stage 1 R2 (adjusted)

Beta weights Training desires Training expectations

Stage 2 R2 change

Beta weights Training desires Training expectations Family history Academic self-efficacy Age Intent to remain Sex Physical self-efficacy Cognitive ability Organizational commitment

TABLE 6 Results of Hierarchical Regression of Training Reactions on Expectation Fulfillment,

Pretraining Motivation, and Individual Variables

Dependent Variable

Statistic Training Reactions: Training Reactions:

RelevanceNalue Affect/Happiness

Stage 1 R2 (adjusted) .311* .097*

Beta weights Expectation fulfillment .360* .190* Pretraining motivation .480* .280*

Stage 2 R2 change .034* .050*

Beta weights Expectation fulfillment .350* .190* Pretraining motivation .400* .NO* Family history -.020 -.030 Academic self-efficacy -.020 -.030 Age -.loo* -. 140* Intent to remain ,000 .080* Sex -.060 -.050 Physical self-efficacy .loo1 .140* Cognitive ability -.070 .040 Organizational commitment ,060 .090

* p < .01.

Training Performance

Ability was hypothesized to be a strong predictor of training performance. Expectation fulfillment, pretraining motivation, and all individual variables were simultaneously entered into the regression equation for each perfor- mance measure. Presented in Table 7 are the results for each of the four training performance measures (i.e., academic test scores, demerits and inspection scores, self-reported physical test performance, and self-reported overall performance).

Forty-eight percent of the variance was accounted for in academic perfor- mance with the vast majority of it attributable to cognitive ability. Cognitive ability was strongly and positively related to academic performance. Older trainees and women also performed better. Academic self-efficacy was re- lated positively and physical self-efficacy was related negatively to aca- demic performance. Only 4% of the variance in demerits and inspection performance was accounted for; cognitive ability was related positively and expectation fulfillment was related negatively to these variables.

Because the physical test measures were unusable, we had to rely on self-ratings of physical performance. Twenty percent of the variance was accounted for, with physical self-efficacy accounting for the largest share. Physical self-efficacy, pretraining motivation, and expectation fulfillment all exhibited positive relations with physical performance. Older and female trainees reported lower physical performance. Academic self-efficacy was negatively related to physical performance.

TABLE 7 Results of Simultaneous Regressions of Training Performance Indices on Expectation Fulfillment, Pretraining Motivation, and Individual Variables

Dependent Variable

Training Performance Self-Reported Perjormance

Demerits and Physical Statistic Academic Inspections Test Overall

R' (adjusted) .484** .043** .204** .267** Beta weights

Pretraining motivation ,050 ,010 .110* .060 Expectation fulfillment -.020 -. 1 00* .080* .1 lo** Family history -.020 ,030 ,000 .OOO Academic self-efficacy .loo** ,050 -.090* .360** Age .120** ,040 -. 1 lo** .040 Intent to remain .030 ,030 -.050 ,020 Sex -.090** .OOO .130** -.030 Physical self-efficacy -.080** -.010 .440** .230** Cognitive ability .610** .190** ,040 ,060 Organizational commitment ,050 -.010 .OOO .090*

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 1 59

Twenty-seven percent of the variance was accounted for in self-rated overall training performance. Academic and physical self-efficacy were strongly and positively related to overall performance. Expectation fulfill- ment and organizational commitment evidenced positive relations with over- all performance.

Posttraining Self-Efficacy, Motivation, and Attitudes

Expectation fulfillment was hypothesized to influence posttraining self-effi- cacy, motivation, and attitudes. Pretraining individual characteristics were hypothesized to indirectly influence the same posttraining variables. The analyses associated with these variables are reported elsewhere (see Tan- nenbaum et a]., 1991).

Attrition

In addition to regression analyses, a discriminant function analysis was computed to determine whether it was possible to predict which trainees would complete training based on their initial responses to questionnaire items. Statistically, discriminant function analysis seeks to find the best linear combination of predictor scores that can most effectively predict group membership. Of the total sample, data were available on 175 recruits who did not complete training. To conduct this analysis, a random sample of 150 recruits who completed training was randomly drawn from the 666 recruits used for other analyses; they were then compared to the 175 recruits who left training. A discriminant function analysis was then conducted, with simultaneous entry of variables. Results indicated that four variables ap- peared to be significant predictors of attrition: expectations, p < .05; self-ef- ficacy, p < .01; commitment to the Navy, p < .01; and pretraining motivation, p < .02; all were related positively to attrition. Also, ~ ' ( 4 , N = 340) = 12.07, p < .02, which indicated that the amount of variance predicted in attrition scores (16%) was statistically significant.

DISCUSSION

This study was designed as an initial empirical test of some of the key constructs and relations in the model of training effectiveness developed here. It was meant to assess the usefulness of the measures and the model for understanding training effectiveness. In particular, the study focused on trainee attitudes, expectations, and motivational variables and attempted to determine if they demonstrate sufficient utility to warrant further examination.

160 CANNON-BOWERS ET AL.

Expectations, Desires, and Motivation

Physical self-efficacy and commitment were consistently related to expecta- tions and desires. Trainees who possessed higher levels of physical self-effi- cacy and who were more committed had greater performance expectations and expected and desired more from the training. This is logical; it implies that trainees who feel they can perform well and are more committed to the organization want more from the training. Interestingly, trainees with higher cognitive ability had lower training expectations. They did not show any differences with regard to desires. Thus, "smarter" trainees hoped for the same things in training but had lower expectations than other trainees. Perhaps these individuals did not expect to be challenged sufficiently during the training.

Physical self-efficacy, commitment, desires, and expectations were all related positively to pretraining motivation with expectations demonstrating the largest effect. Again, this makes sense because those trainees who be- lieve they can do well (physical self-efficacy), who are committed to the organization, or who have greater desires or expectations are also more motivated.

Training Reactions

Expectation fulfillment and pretraining motivation were strongly and posi- tively related to training reactions. Several individual variables also demon- strated small effects. It is encouraging that expectation fulfillment was so strongly related to training reactions. When the training meets or exceeds trainees' expectations and desires, they view the training as more relevant and feel more positively about the training (Tannenbaum et al., 1991). This is support for using the "met expectation" approach to studying training expectations as suggested by research in the turnover literature.

Training Performance

As predicted, cognitive ability was a strong predictor of academic perfor- mance and of self-rated overall training performance. Pretraining motivation was positively related to both self-rated measures of performance. The self-efficacy measures demonstrated good discriminability. Academic self- efficacy was positively related and physical self-efficacy was negatively related to academic performance and vice versa for physical performance. Both measures were also related positively to self-rated overall training performance.

Older trainees and women demonstrated better academic performance than younger trainees and men, respectively. Surprisingly, pretraining moti-

TRAINING EFFECTIVENESS 1 6 1

vation was negatively related to academic performance. Because academic performance was not a true measure of learning (i.e., it did not assess change in knowledge), we would have expected little or no effect for motivation.

Attrition

Although the results from this study regarding attrition cannot be considered definitive, it is reasonable to conclude that some nonability individual fac- tors can have an impact on whether a trainee completes training. In the present case, expectations, self-efficacy, commitment, and motivation were all significant factors. These results require replication and extension, and they suggest that pretraining assessment of certain factors may help identify trainees who are at risk of not completing training. Options at that point may include remedial programs and, depending on the situation, denial of entry into training.

CONCLUSIONS

It can be concluded from this research that several nontraditional variables have a significant impact on training outcomes (reactions and performance) in the sample tested. These included expectations, self-efficacy, motivation, cognitive ability, and commitment to the Navy. Further, this research sup- ports the conclusion that preexisting training factors are related to comple- tion of training. Taken together, these results suggest that no matter how well a training system is designed, it may not be maximally effective because of incompatibility with trainee attitudes or expectations or because of low trainee motivation.

The benefits of this research are twofold. First, it provides a more sys- tems-oriented theoretical basis for training design and measurement by spec- ifying factors that are predicted to affect training success. From this perspective, the current work has contributed by specifying a comprehensive model of training effectiveness that identifies and links factors hypothesized to be related to training outcomes. More work is needed to test more fully the relations laid out in the model.

A second benefit of the present research is to provide a basis for generat- ing principles of training system design that will maximize the chances that training will be successful as suggested by Cannon-Bowers, Tannenbaum, Salas, and Converse (1991). From the current findings, the following initial principles can be offered in this regard:

1. Trainees' self-efficacy levels should be assessed prior to training. 2. Remedial training to raise self-efficacy levels prior to training may

enhance training outcomes.

3. Trainees should be led to have realistic expectations for training. 4. Interventions designed to increase trainee commitment to the organi-

zation may enhance the likelihood of successful training. 5. Efforts to improve trainee motivation prior to training may lead to

better training outcomes.

Further research is needed to validate these propositions in other training settings. In addition, research that tests other relations in the model, particu- larly those stemming from organizational and situational characteristics, would advance understanding of how training systems can be designed to ensure optimal results.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

Portions of this article were presented at the 14th annual Interservice/Indus- try Training System and Education Conference, November 1992, San Anto- nio, Texas.

The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not represent the official positions of the organizations with which they are affiliated.

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