tourism business index report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · accommodation business: factors positively...
TRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
TBCSA Tourism Business Index 1st Half of 2019 (January to June 2019)
![Page 2: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Contents Page 2
![Page 3: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Executive summary Page 3
![Page 4: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
Section 1: Foreword Page 4
![Page 5: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Section 2: Overview Page 5
❖
❖
❖
![Page 6: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Page 6
![Page 7: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Section 3: The Tourism Business Index Page 7
![Page 8: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Page 8
Source: SACCI
Source: RMB/BER
![Page 9: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Page 9
![Page 10: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Page 10
72.8
77.9
76.6
![Page 11: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Section 4: Balance Statistic Page 11
![Page 12: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
Page 12
![Page 13: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
Section 5: Factors Affecting Business Page 13
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 14: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
Page 14
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 15: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
Page 15
![Page 16: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
Page 16
0%
1%
1%
1%
2%
8%
12%
17%
4%
7%
13%
21%
31%
1%
1%
2%
3%
3%
4%
7%
8%
8%
8%
12%
12%
46%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Cost of finance
Cost of inputs
Cost of labour
Access to credit
Decreases in competitive supply
Good weather
Strong domestic leisure demand
Strong overseas leisure demand
Strong overseas business demand
Other (Please Specify)
Strong domestic business demand
A weak Rand exchange rate
None
Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation -1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul - Dec 2018)
1st 2019 2nd 2018
•
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 17: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
Page 17
0%
2%
0%
6%
2%
10%
0%
10%
15%
11%
4%
37%
15%
0%
1%
1%
4%
4%
6%
7%
7%
10%
15%
16%
32%
32%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Cost of inputs
Cost of labour
Cost of finance
Decreases in competitive supply
Access to credit
Strong overseas business demand
Strong domestic leisure demand
Strong domestic business demand
Other (Please Specify)
Good weather
Strong overseas leisure demand
None
A weak Rand exchange rate
Other Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation -1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul - Dec 2018)
1st 2019 2nd 2018
![Page 18: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
Page 18
![Page 19: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
Section 6: Topical Issues Page 19
![Page 20: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
Page 20
Section 7: Stakeholder Engagement
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 21: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
Page 21
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
![Page 22: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
Page 22
Appendices
Actual Forecast Actual Forecast Actual Forecast
May - Jul 111,1 100,7 119,5
Aug - Oct 87,6 81,0 91,3 84,9 84,6 77,7
QRT 4 89,4 89,4 85,7 91,7 92,4 87,6
2011 QRT 1 79,6 89,1 85,3 85,5 75,1 91,9
QRT 2 74,5 94,1 67,8 94,0 79,6 94,1
QRT 3 70,0 81,0 67,7 73,9 71,8 86,4
QRT 4 87,3 80,7 98,9 84,9 78,3 77,4
2012 QRT 1 101,9 82,2 92,2 85,8 109,3 79,4
QRT 2 88,2 93,2 89,9 79,8 86,9 103,5
QRT 3 101,0 99,8 98,1 89,6 103,3 107,6
QRT 4 104,6 103,1 108,4 103,1 101,6 103,2
2013 QRT 1 110,8 102,5 120,9 107,8 103,1 98,4
QRT 2 98,2 103,8 101,7 103,4 95,4 104,2
QRT 3 116,1 97,0 110,8 95,5 120,0 98,1
QRT 4 114,6 110,8 111,4 110,0 117,2 111,4
2014 QRT 1 112,4 111,3 116,1 107,3 109,6 114,4
QRT 2 94,7 103,6 105,8 103,2 86,2 103,8
QRT 3 105,3 98,9 108,9 102,4 102,5 96,3
QRT 4 108,3 109,8 113,3 110,4 104,4 109,4
2015 QRT 1 99,9 102,4 110,2 101,9 92,1 102,7
QRT 2 83,6 97,3 82,6 102,7 84,4 93,2
QRT 3 92,4 80,6 103,1 85,9 84,2 76,6
QRT 4 106,5 94,2 104,4 102,0 108,1 88,2
2016 QRT 1 97,8 94,6 119,3 100,8 81,2 89,9
QRT 2 78,9 86,2 92,2 101,6 68,7 74,3
QRT 3 92,6 84,7 109,0 105,0 80,0 69,0
QRT 4 104,5 87,1 89,5 109,4 116,1 69,9
1st Half 82,7 96,0 79,1 89,3 85,5 101,1
2nd Half 71,4 80,4 66,3 66,1 75,4 91,4
1st Half 57,9 72,4 57,6 66,2 58,2 77,1
2nd Half 69,0 59,2 67,8 62,6 70,0 56,6
1st Half 73,7 72,4 67,2 71,9 77,5 72,8
2nd Half 78,6 78,2 78,8
2019
Accommodation OtherOverall
2010 - Inception of index
2017
2018
![Page 23: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
Page 23 Page 24
![Page 24: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
![Page 25: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
Page 25
Accommodation Sector Other Sector
2011 QRT 1 -27,7%👎 13,0%👍
QRT 2 -40,2%👎 -5,4%👎
QRT 3 -70,3%👎 -3,2%👎
QRT 4 -53,0%👎 -16,9%👎
2012 QRT 1 -24,5%👎 17,2%👍
QRT 2 -11,7%👎 15,3%👍
QRT 3 -3,8%👎 10,5%👍
QRT 4 -0,6%👎 37,6%👍
2013 QRT 1 13,1%👍 29,7%👍
QRT 2 -12,7%👎 15,2%👍
QRT 3 -13,6%👎 34,5%👍
QRT 4 -22,4%👎 28,4%👍
2014 QRT 1 34,2%👍 47,3%👍
QRT 2 5,1%👍 20,0%👍
QRT 3 0,0% 15,5%👍
QRT 4 -6,3%👎 19,2%👍
2015 QRT 1 36,7%👍 5,0%👍
QRT 2 -19,3%👎 -18,0%👎
QRT 3 0,0% -3,9%👎
QRT 4 -33,2%👎 21,3%👍
2016 QRT 1 0,6%👍 14,0%👍
QRT 2 -47,6%👎 21,2%👍
QRT 3 -14,0%👎 39,0%👍
QRT 4 -22,5%👎 11,3%👍
2017 1st Half -31,3%👎 -15,2%👎
2nd Half -21,9%👎 10,3%👍
2018 1st Half -65,7%👎 -27,3%👎
2nd Half -80,4%👎 -21,5%👎
2019 1st Half -81,3%👎 -31,9%👎
2nd Half
![Page 26: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
Page 26
Accommodation Sector Other Sector
2011 QRT 1 -23,7%👎 -28,9%👎
QRT 2 -25,3%👎 -12,3%👎
QRT 3 -17,4%👎 1,8%👍
QRT 4 -15,4%👎 1,6%👍
2012 QRT 1 -17,3%👎 -3,0%👎
QRT 2 -3,9%👎 7,4%👍
QRT 3 6,4%👍 -0,6%👎
QRT 4 5,3%👍 -8,3%👎
2013 QRT 1 0,9%👍 12,5%👍
QRT 2 -0,2%👎 0,0%
QRT 3 8,7%👍 10,9%👍
QRT 4 -19,4%👎 8,8%👍
2014 QRT 1 -49,7%👎 12,1%👍
QRT 2 2,8%👍 8,6%👍
QRT 3 -4,5%👎 15,3%👍
QRT 4 35,3%👍 7,5%👍
2015 QRT 1 -1,8%👎 -4,1%👎
QRT 2 -3,6%👎 -21,5%👎
QRT 3 10,5%👍 -4,8%👎
QRT 4 28,0%👍 18,4%👍
2016 QRT 1 -1,1%👎 22,7%👍
QRT 2 -0,7%👎 13,5%👍
QRT 3 -1,1%👎 3,2%👍
QRT 4 -0,3%👎 2,8%👍
2017 1st Half 1,1%👍 11,1%👍
2nd Half -1,9%👎 11,1%👍
2018 1st Half -27,9%👎 -38,7%👎
2nd Half -8,4%👎 -27,1%👎
2019 1st Half -11,4%👎 -28,0%👎
2nd Half
![Page 27: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
Page 27
Accommodation Sector Other Sector
2011 QRT 1 14,3%👍 -11,1%👎
QRT 2 12,6%👍 9,3%👍
QRT 3 9,6%👍 24,8%👍
QRT 4 -3,3%👎 21,0%👍
2012 QRT 1 7,4%👍 20,7%👍
QRT 2 25,6%👍 7,2%👍
QRT 3 22,5%👍 30,3%👍
QRT 4 11,1%👍 26,1%👍
2013 QRT 1 2,0%👍 15,5%👍
QRT 2 -15,6%👎 22,4%👍
QRT 3 14,1%👍 27,4%👍
QRT 4 5,4%👍 40,7%👍
2014 QRT 1 37,5%👍 22,1%👍
QRT 2 7,1%👍 17,7%👍
QRT 3 3,9%👍 26,3%👍
QRT 4 61,6%👍 18,6%👍
2015 QRT 1 48,5%👍 -9,7%👎
QRT 2 27,2%👍 5,2%👍
QRT 3 -2,3%👎 20,7%👍
QRT 4 35,5%👍 25,1%👍
2016 QRT 1 -15,9%👎 31,4%👍
QRT 2 0,0% 27,5%👍
QRT 3 40,6%👍 40,9%👍
QRT 4 23,4%👍 14,8%👍
2017 1st Half 5,1%👍 12,5%👍
2nd Half -4,1%👎 1,1%👍
2018 1st Half -35,3%👎 6,5%👍
2nd Half 17,9%👍 7,2%👍
2019 1st Half 68,7%👍 16,3%👍
2nd Half
![Page 28: Tourism Business Index Report - tbcsa.travel€¦ · Accommodation Business: Factors Positively Affecting the Business Situation - 1st Half 2019 (Jan -Jun 2019) vs 2nd Half 2018 (Jul](https://reader036.vdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022062605/5fd781fea01cbe1d8a71647f/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
Page 28 30th Edition - January to June of 2019