thinking minnesota june 2020 statewide voter survey · thinking minnesota: june 2020 poll | 7...
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THINKING MINNESOTAJUNE 2020 STATEWIDE VOTER SURVEY
KEY FINDINGS FROM A MINNESOTA STATEWIDE SURVEY OF 500 REGISTERED VOTERS CONDUCTED JUNE 15-17, 2020
RESEARCH METHDOLOGYMeeting Street Research is pleased to present Center of the American Experiment with the results of a baseline survey conducted among registered voters in Minnesota.
Interviews were completed June 15-17, 2020 among 500 registered voters with a mix of cell phone (40%) and landline interviewing (60%).
The margin of error for a sample size of N=500 is ±4.38%.
2THINKING MINNESOTA: JUNE 2020 STATEWIDE POLL |
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53%
32%
11%3%
A Great Deal Of Confidence A Fair Amount Of ConfidenceNot Too Much Confidence No Confidence At All
“Thinking about the police in your own community, how much confidence, if any, do you have in the police in your
community to act in the best interest of the public?”
Minnesotans are largely confident that the police in their community are acting in the public’s interest and make them feel mostly safe.
85%
12%
2%
Mostly Safe Mostly Anxious Don't Know
“And, how would you describe your feelings about the police in your community? Would you say they make you
feel mostly safe or mostly anxious?”
Confident85%
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58%
86% 90% 90%97%
42%
13% 10% 10%3%
Minneapolis - St.Paul Twin Cities Suburbs Northeast South West/Northwest
Total Confidence Total Not Confident
Confidence In Police To Act In Public’s Interest By Region
+16 +73 +80 +80 +94
55% 87% 86% 92% 94% % Who Say They Feel Safe
Majorities in every region of the state have confidence in their police and say the police make them feel mostly safe, this is noticeably lower in the Twin Cities.
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29%
55%
9%5%
Very Likely Somewhat Likely Not That Likely Not Likely At All Don’t Know/Refused
Likely85%
“How likely is it that we are going to see real police reform and policy changes as a result of the death of George Floyd? Do you think it is very likely, somewhat likely, not that likely or not likely at all likely?”
Most expect reforms and policy changes to occur as a result of Floyd’s death.
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27%20%
68%
76%
5% 3%
Minneapolis Police Department Your Police DepartmentSupport Oppose Don't Know
“As you may have seen, read, or heard, a majority of members on the Minneapolis City Council have come out in support of a
plan to defund and disband the Minneapolis Police Department. Is that a plan you would SUPPORT or OPPOSE?”
There is strong opposition to defunding and disbanding the police.
“And, would you SUPPORT or OPPOSE a plan to defund and disband your local community police department?”
-41 -56
14% Strongly
54% Strongly
11% Strongly
67% Strongly
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Support Oppose
Minneapolis – St. Paul 56% 38%
Twin Cities Suburbs 27% 68%
Northeast 16% 78%
South 24% 69%
West/Northwest 14% 81%
Defunding & Disbanding The Minneapolis Police Department
Defunding & Disbanding Your Police Department
Outside of the Twin Cities, most voters oppose defunding and disbanding the police department in Minneapolis and in their community.
Support Oppose
51% 41%
18% 78%
6% 90%
18% 77%
11% 87%
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12% 15%9% 11%
4%
72% 71%77%
66%
82%
12% 10% 10% 13% 13%
Overall Twin Cities Suburbs Northeast South West/Northwest
More Likely Less Likely No Difference
“And, if the City of Minneapolis did away with their police department, how would that impact your likelihood to want to travel to Minneapolis to eat out or attend an athletic event or other gathering? Would that make you more likely or less likely to travel to Minneapolis?”
(Asked Only Among Non-Minneapolis Voters)
Nearly three-in-four say they would be less likely to travel to Minneapolis if the police department is disbanded.
-60 -56 -68 -55 -78
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51%
4%
26%17%
21%
78%
2% 1%
Protests & Demonstrations Burning & Looting
Fully Justified Partially Justified Not At All Justified Don't Know
“Do you think the protests and demonstrations in Minneapolis were fully justified, partially justified
or not at all justified?”
Most Minnesota voters believe the protests were justified, while most don’t believe the burning and looting were.
Do you think the burning and looting of buildings and businesses in Minneapolis were fully justified,
partially justified or not at all justified?
Justified77%
Justified21%
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26%
49%
29%
12% 14%19%
73%
51%
71%
86% 85%78%
1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 1%
Overall Minneapolis -St. Paul
Twin Cities Suburbs Northeast South West/Northwest
Total Worried Total Not Worried Don't Know
“How worried were you about your own personal safety during the riots, protests, and demonstrations? Were you very worried, somewhat worried, not that worried or not at all worried?”
Most Minnesotans were not concerned about their own personal safety during the demonstrations, though opinions in the Twin Cities are noticeably different.
6%Very
Worried
-47 -2 -42 -74 -71 -59
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65%
91%
66%
42%32%
7%
28%
55%
3% 2% 4% 4%
Overall Republicans Independents Democrats
Yes No Don't Know
“After the third straight night of protests, the Governor of Minnesota deployed the National Guard to the streets of Minneapolis. Do you think the National Guard should have been deployed sooner and in greater numbers?”
By a two-to-one margin, voters statewide think the National Guard should have been deployed sooner and in greater numbers.
+33 +84 +38 -13
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Voters are split between having the state pay part of the damages or not paying for anything at all.
“More than 500 shops and restaurants in Minneapolis and St. Paul have reported damage when protests turned violent over the death of George Floyd. Experts estimate the costs of the damage could exceed 500 million dollars. Should the state of
Minnesota use taxpayer dollars...”
39%
8%
5%
39%
7%
To Pay For Part Of The Damages, With The Rest Covered By The City, The Federal Government, And Private Donors
To Loan The Twin Cities The Money To Pay For The Damages
To Pay For All Of The Damages To The Twin Cities
To Not Use Minnesota Taxpayer Dollars At All
Don’t Know
Minneapolis – St. Paul
Twin Cities
SuburbsNortheast South West/
Northwest
46% 47% 25% 38% 26%
10% 7% 13% 8% 2%
10% 6% 0% 7% 4%
21% 32% 48% 40% 65%
11% 7% 12% 5% 3%
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34%
20%
20%
13%
10%
6%
6%
4%
3%
3%
5%
5%
DisgustedAngry
SadHopeful
SatisfiedHappy
AnxiousRelieved
SafeFearful
None Of TheseSomething Else
Minnesotans are mostly disgusted, angry or sad about the pulling down of the Christopher Columbus statue.
“And, as you may have seen, a group of protestors and rioters pulled down a statue of Christopher Columbus outside the Minneapolis State Capitol without any legal consequence. Knowing this, does that make you feel…”
Voters were able to choose more than one option, which is why all the
responses total more than 100%.