the work programme in london: progress to june 2013
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The Work Programme in London: Progress to June 2013. Paul Bivand Inclusion. Comparison with earlier programmes. Work Programme measures. DWP contractual measure – flawed in concept but in contracts - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
The Work Programme in London: Progress to June
2013Paul Bivand
Inclusion
Comparison with earlier programmes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
35.0%
38.9%
0.320561471825748
Work Programme JSA 25+ Flexible New DealNew Deal 25+ Employment Zones
Months from programme start
Work Programme performance measure (estimated)
Work Programme measuresDWP contractual measure – flawed in
concept but in contractsDWP Business Plan measures –
proportion with a Job Outcome within 12 and 24 months of starting – much better
Cohort performance – same method but for each month on programme – we’ve averaged all starters to simplify charts
DWP Business Plan measure shows improvement
Jun
2011
Jul 2
011
Aug
2011
Sep
2011
Oct 2
011
Nov 2
011
Dec 2
011
Jan
2012
Feb
2012
Mar
201
2
Apr 2
012
May
201
2
Jun
2012
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
12.1
12.8
West London East London GB
Cohort measure shows progress to 25 months not
just 12
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
5
10
15
20
25
West London East London GB
Months since starting on programme
Pro
po
rtio
n w
ith
'jo
b o
utc
om
e'
0
5
10
15 0
5
10
15
20
Payment groups in London compared to GB
One chart per payment groupNot including ESA ex-IB, IS/IB
volunteers and Prison leavers as too few
Still, some groups so small that figures look odd
JSA 18-24
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
West London East London GB
Months since starting on programme
Pro
po
rtio
n w
ith
'jo
b o
utc
om
e'
JSA 25+
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
5
10
15
20
25
West London East London GB
Months since starting on programme
Pro
po
rtio
n w
ith
'jo
b o
utc
om
e'
JSA Early Entry
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
5
10
15
20
25
30
West London East London GB
Months since starting on programme
Pro
po
rtio
n w
ith
'jo
b o
utc
om
e'
JSA Ex-IB – too few to show London
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
GB
Months since starting on programme
Pro
po
rtio
n w
ith
'jo
b o
utc
om
e'
ESA Volunteers – too few to show London
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
GB
Months since starting on programme
Pro
po
rtio
n w
ith
'jo
b o
utc
om
e'
New ESA claimants
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 250
2
4
6
8
10
12
West London East London GB
Months since starting on programme
Pro
po
rtio
n w
ith
'jo
b o
utc
om
e'
01234567
ConclusionProgress being madeSevere financial pressureCohort charts may show providers
working to get the latest possible job outcome
First participants completed Work Programme in June 2013
Job Outcomes can be scored until 30 months from start so more job outcomes coming