The Vocational School Research Program of IEER

Ágnes Makó

http://www.gvi.hu/

HCCI Institute for Economic and Enterprise Research

Network of Observatories on Skills Needs and Mismatches

EU Skills Panorama, 3rd meeting

Brussels, Hotel Crowne Plaza

12 October 2012

23.04.19. 22:34 http://www.gvi.hu/ 2

Topics

• The Vocational School Research Program

• Employer Survey– Research method– Aims and objectives– Costs– Key findings– Policy making

• Graduate survey

• Plans for further research

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

The Vocational School Research Program

• One of the main research areas of IEER

• Decision support for vocational school quotas

• Annual employer survey from 2008

• Annual graduate survey from 2009

• Follow-up survey of graduates

• Website for young people (http://www.szakmavilag.hu), decision of choosing skills

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

Costs• 52,000 euros for IEER

– employer survey; graduate survey; follow-up survey of graduates; development of the website

– preparation of the fieldwork (sampling)

– mathematical – statistical analysis of the results

• 125,000 euros for the network of regional chambers (Hungarian Chamber of Commerce)– organization of the fieldwork

– fieldwork: 6000 interviews; 20 euros/interview

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

23.04.19. 22:34 http://www.gvi.hu/ 5

Employer Survey

The research method• Annual survey started in 2008• Included 4000 companies in 2012• Personal interviews with company managers• Standard questionnaire• Anticipating the company’s demand for skilled

workforce on a 1-year period and a 3-year period– quota of 2012: graduates will leave vocational school in 2015

– taking into account dropout tendencies

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

Aims and objectives

• Regional evaluation of expected labour demand for vocational school graduates

• Comparison with the expected number of recent graduates

• Identification of skills needs and mismatches• Decision support for regional development and

training committees (RFKBs) to establish the quota of different vocational trainings

• Building a forecast system on the long run

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

Key Findings I.• Over-supply of skilled workers with big regional

differences• Some skills can be characterised both by over-demand

and over-supply− quality problems of the knowledge (competences) of graduates

− low rate of mobility between local labour markets

− graduates choose job in another sector with higher wages

− Company managers are satisfied with the competences of the graduates

− But skilled labour force has a lack of general knowledge and work experience

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

Key Findings II.

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

4

3

21

14

64

66

11

16

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

2011

2012

Satisfaction with the preparedness of the graduates, %

Very poorNot suitableSuitableVery good

• Growing satisfaction

Policy Making• HCCI gets the annual results of IEER (supply-demand mismatches)

• Regional development and training committees establish the quota of vocational trainings being aware of the survey results

• Main problem with the utilisation of the results: vocational schools hardly follow the decisions when setting the size of the classes

− 508 decisions (2010)

− 46% of them were followed

− decisions of decreasing the quota were followed more rarely than the ones of increasing

• More effective motivation tools and sanctions would be needed

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

Graduate Survey

Graduate Survey• Annual survey started in 2009

• Includes 3000 vocational school graduates per year

• Personal interviews with young skilled workers who have left vocational school 9 months before

• Objectives– Observing career models

– Labour market status

– Opportunities of employment

– Finding a job in the own skills cluster or shifting to another cluster – high rate (two third) of leavers

• Pilot follow-up survey: 700 graduates

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

Further research

• Emphasis on follow-up surveys

• Building a panel database of 6-7000 graduates

• Features of the career models of vocational school leavers

• Qualitative research

Topics The VS Research Program Employer survey Graduate survey Further research

23.04.19. 22:34 http://www.gvi.hu/ 14

Thank you for your attention!

http://www.gvi.hu/