the skf group
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The SKF Group. Nine-month results 2007 Tom Johnstone, President and CEO. Major events during the third quarter 2007. SKF signed an agreement to acquire the magnetic bearing company S2M. The acquisition is subject to approval by relevant authorities. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
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16 October 2007
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The SKF Group
Nine-month results 2007
Tom Johnstone, President and CEO
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16 October 2007
3Major events during the third quarter 2007
• SKF signed an agreement to acquire the magnetic bearing company S2M. The acquisition is subject to approval by relevant authorities.
• SKF and Meridium, Inc. signed an agreement allowing SKF to license and distribute Meridium’s software and to provide consultation, implementation and training services for asset management using Meridium APM software applications.
• SKF has been selected to be a member of Dow Jones' Sustainability World Indexes (DJSI World) and the pan-European sustainability benchmark (DJSI STOXX) for the eighth year in succession.
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SEKm 2007 2006
Net sales 14,155 12,544
Operating profit 1,803 1,538
Operating margin 12.7% 12.3%*
Profit before taxes 1,646 1,422
Net profit 1,174 966
Basic earnings per share, SEK 2.48 2.06
Cash flow after operating investments before financial items 1,274 -143
Cash flow after operating investments before financial items, excluding acquisitions
1,237 1,380
Third quarter 2007
* 11.9% excluding Ovako
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SEKm 2007 2006
Net sales 43,489 39,206
Operating profit 5,708 4,849
Operating margin 13.1% 12.4%*
Profit before taxes 5,428 4,541
Net profit 3,662 3,175
Basic earnings per share, SEK 7.76 6.81
Cash flow after operating investments before financial items 1,509 597
Cash flow after operating investments before financial items, excluding acquisitions
2,212 2,265
Nine months 2007
* 11.7% excluding Ovako
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6Operating margin
%
0123456789
1011121314
2005 2006 2007
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7Operating margin
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2005 2006 YTD September2007
%
* excluding income from the jointly controlled company Oy Ovako Ab
12.6
10.8
13.1
10.4*11.3*
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0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Operating margin per division
Industrial
Service
Automotive
%
2005 2006 2007
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9Sales in local currencies (excl. structural changes)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16% change y-o-y
2005 2006 2007
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16 October 2007
10Growth development / local currency
% Y-o-Y
02468
101214
2005 2006 YTD September2007
Acquisitions / Divestments
Organic growth
7.3* 7.5*
14.2
* Excluding effect from Ovako: 200510.4%2006 10.1%
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11Net sales development per quarter
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
8.3 7.6 5.1 1.3 6.0 2.5 3.3 8.8 7.9 6.9 9.0
2.3 0.2 -2.9 -3.7 -4.9 -0.5 1.1 4.6 4.0 4.6 3.7
3.6 3.6 2.1 2.6 2.9 2.0 2.0 2.3 1.8 2.7 2.0
14.2 11.4 4.3 0.2 4.0 4.0 6.4 15.7 13.7 14.2 14.7
-3.2 0.2 3.2 9.4 8.0 1.0 -2.1 -5.8 -5.6 -2.3 -1.9
11.0 11.6 7.5 9.6 12.0 5.0 4.3 9.9 8.1 11.9 12.8
Percent y-o-y
Volume
Structure
Price / Mix
Sales in local currency Currency
Net sales
2005 2006 2007
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12Cash flow, after operating investments before financial items
-700
-500-300
-100
100
300500
700
9001 100
1 300
1 500
1 700
2005 2006 2007
SEKm
Cash out from acquisitions (SEKm): 2005 4192006 2,129YTD September 2007 703
Cash in from Ovako (SEKm):2006 Q4 1,2172007 Q2 46
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13Net cash (Short-term financial assets - loans)
-6 000
-5 000
-4 000
-3 000
-2 000
-1 000
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
SEKm
AB SKF, dividend paid (SEKm):
2005 Q2 1,3662006 Q2 1,8212007 Q2 2,049
2005 Q2, redemption 2,8462007 Q2,redemption 4,554
2005 2006 2007
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18
19
20
21
22
23
Inventories as % of annual sales
%
2005 2006 2007
Target, end 2007: 18%
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15Return on capital employed
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
2005 2006 YTD September2007
ROCE: Operating profit plus interest income, as a percentage of twelve months average of total assets less the average of non interest bearing liabilities.
%
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16September 2007: Outlook for the fourth quarter 2007(compared to the third quarter 2007)
The market demand for SKF's products and services in the fourth quarter of 2007 is expected to be higher for the Group. The demand is expected to be higher in Europe, significantly higher in Asia and Latin America and relatively unchanged in North America. The demand is expected to be higher in all divisions.
The manufacturing level for the fourth quarter 2007 will be unchanged compared to the third quarter 2007, while higher in absolute terms due to normal seasonality, and significantly higher than the fourth quarter 2006.
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17Volume development
Daily volume trend for: Q3 2007 Q4 2007
Net sales2006
Europe 54%
North America
20%
Asia Pacific 18%
Latin America
5%
Total
Outlook Q42007 vs
2006
++
=
+++
+++
++
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18Financial targets – long term
Operating margin, level 12%
Growth in local currencies, per annum 6-8%
Return on capital employed 24%
Gearing around 50%
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19Guidance 2007
• Tax level: around 32-33%
• Financial netAround minus SEK 130 million per quarter
• Exchange rates on operating profit versus 2006Q4: a negative effect of approximately SEK 130 million Full year: a negative effect of approximately SEK 630 million
• Additions to property, plant and equipment: slightly above SEK 2 billion
Guidance based on current assumptions and exchange rates
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20New automotive business
Ford Motor Company
Front and rear wheel bearings for the new Ford Focus
Shanghai Automotive Industry Corporation Front and rear wheel bearings for a new car platform
Fiat Group Automobiles Rear wheel bearing for a new Alfa Romeo platform
Gigant Group Integrated truck hub unit
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21New railway business
Bombardier Transportation
a special tapered roller bearing design to the Ile de France suburban trains
Photo: Bombardier Transportation
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22Cautionary statement
Cautionary statement
This report contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations of the management of SKF. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic, market and competitive conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in SKF's latest annual report (available on www.skf.com) under the Board of Directors' Report; "Most important factors influencing the financial result", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis", and in this quarterly report under "Risks and uncertainties in the business."
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