the role of competition policy to increase competitiveness ...€¦ · the role of competition...
TRANSCRIPT
Key messages
Mexico can achieve higher competitiveness by fostering economic policy oriented to competition and market efficiency
There are developments in one of two pillars of competition policy - the deterrence of anticompetitive conduct of economic agents
The next challenge is to achieve improvements in the market structures - the second pillar of competition policy
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Mexican economic growth has lagged compared
with other emerging economies
3Source: World Bank, CFC estimation
China
Russia,
Brazil, India
and S. Africa
Mexico
10%
2%
9%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 2011
Share of Global GDP (BRICs & México %)
Mexican economy faces a burden (real and perceived) of
being labeled as an inefficient and crony economy…
4
"There are three 'economic Mexicos'. The first one is under the old control style of government. The second is
the Mexico of vested interests, with power groups and firms that seek to capture rents from domestic
consumers, mainly due to lack of domestic or international competition. The third one is a modern and
progressive Mexico. This Mexico blossomed with NAFTA and still has great potential, but it is forced to pay rents
to the other two 'Mexicos‘."
Sources: Claudio Loser y Harinder Kohli (coords.), Futuro para todos: acciones inmediatas para México, p. 48-49; Foro Económico Mundial, The global competitiveness report 2012-2013, p. 33;
Ruchir Sharma, Breakout Nations, 2012, p. 73-83; Daron Acemoglu y James A. Robinson, Why nations fail: The origins of power, prosperity, and poverty, p. 39, 396;
OCDE, México: Mejores políticas para un desarrollo incluyente, p. 44
"The lack of competition and excessive regulation have represented a burden to the Mexican economy for
several years and has contributed to great income disparities. The product market regulation in Mexico is
among the most restrictive and it obstaculizes competition. This, in consequence, reduces productivity and puts
a brake in economic growth."
“Mexico still faces persistent structural challenges that will need to be addressed in order to continue improving
the competitive edge of the economy. The lack of effective competition, especially in some key strategic sectors,
also hinders the efficient allocation of resources that spills over into most sectors of the economy.”
“Every nation has its big tycoons, but to a rare degree Mexico is owned by them. Cornered markets mean the
oligopolists have little incentive to invest and innovate: domestic productivity growth has been virtually
stagnant since the financial crisis of 1994. If competition increases and undermines the abnormally high profit
margins of the large companies, that could lower consumer prices, raise overall productivity, and boost the
country’s growth potential.”
“If you’re a Mexican entrepreneur, entry barriers will play a crucial role at every stage of your career. These
barriers can be either insurmountable, keeping you out of lucrative areas, or your greatest friend, keeping your
competitors at bay. The difference between the two scenarios is of course whom you know and whom you can
influence – and yes, whom you can bribe.”
… that damages the poor and worsens income
distribution
6.9 6.8 6.76.9
5.85.4
4.8
4.0
3.3
1.9
6.3 6.36.1
5.55.2
4.5
3.9
3.4
2.7
1.4
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X
Consumer welfare loss from competition
problems in 7 goods markets*
% of total household expenditure by decile
Rural population
Urban population
* Corn tortilla ; soft drinks, juice and water ; beer; medicines; milk; proccesed meat; chicken and eggs.
Source: CFC analysis based on Carlos M. Urzúa (2008). “Evaluación de los efectos distributivos y espaciales de las empresas con poder de
mercado en México”, ITESM, CCM and INEGI, National Survey of Households’ Income/Spending , 2006.
Potential
income
increase by
promoting
competition in
these markets
5
The impact of CFC’s interventions illustrate the
potential of a pro-competition policy …
3.00
1.711.33
Dic 2007 Dic 2008 Dic 2012
Savings of 688.7 million
pesos of Mexican workers
657
538499
Televisa Dish Yoo
Source: CFC estimation with SCT-DGAC data,
1998 – 2011. 2012 projected with data
from june.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Aeroméxico
Mexicana
Others
Low cost
carriers
In 2012, 9 million more
passengers flew per year than
in 1998
Mx$158 gap between the
highest and lowest price
Elimination of commission
on flows
Pensions
Technological convergence
Telecommunications
Authorization for low cost
airlines
Airlines
Average commission Annual percentage rate on balance
Price of triple play package Pesos/month
Domestic flights passengers Millions
Source: CONSAR, Situation of the pensions
system, April 2009
Source: El Semanario, Audiencia, vienen
buenas noticias, 21/5/2009, p.7
… and CFC’s defeats cases show the impact to
consumers derived from lack of competition
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
190
200
Prices of freight transport
National Producer Price Index (NPPI)
Index Dec. 2003=100
Rail
Motor
NPPI
Maritime
Air
Merger
Ferromex/Ferrosur
Nov. 2005:
Rejected by the CFC,
decision overruled in
courts
7Source: Banxico
Prices have grown
twice as fast as the
national price index
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8
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Key messages
Mexico can achieve higher competitiveness by fostering economic policy oriented to competition and market efficiency
There are developments in one of two pillars of competition policy- the deterrence of anticompetitive conduct of economic agents
The next challenge is to achieve improvements in the market structures - the second pillar of competition policy
The two pillars of competition policy: agents’
conduct and market structure
Conduct of economic agents Market structure
Anticompetitive practices of
agentsUneven playing field
Competition
problem
• Dominance ⇒ displacing
• Collusion ⇒ raising prices
• Underlying factors� E.g. economies of scale, networks
• Anticompetitive regulation� Artificial entry barriers
� Distortions
� Discretionality
Root causes
• Economic agents
• Competition authority
• Government (Exec., Congress)
• Economic agents (rent-seeking)
Stakeholders
Enforcement of competition law • Removal of artificial barriers and
distortions
• Pro-competitive regulation
Policy tools
Competition conditions ⇒⇒⇒⇒ Productivity and growth
9
There was a profound reform to Competition
Law in 2011 …
10
Initiative Congressmen Senators Enactment
April 5, 2010 April 14, 2011 April 28, 2011 May 10, 2011
The Executive
presents the
initiative
327 in favor
9 abstentions
0 against
91 in favor
0 abstentions
0 against
Publication in the
DOF (official
newspaper)
Legal certainty
• Technical criteria
• Specialized courts
…which had the goal of effectively discourage
anticompetitive conducts…
Legal
conduct
Illegal
conduct
Facilitate
compliance
• Early
termination
Increase expected costs of
illegal activity
• Fines
• Criminal sanctions
• Inspection visits
• Precautionary measures
Competition in markets
• Higher growth
• Increased
competitiveness
• Better income
distribution
11
The reform places Mexico at the same
level of international best practices
Increase
costs of
illegal
activity
Facilitate
compliance
Legal
certainty
Topics
Higher fines and criminal sanctions
Surprise inspection visits
Precautionary measures
Substantial power of more than one firm
Early termination of investigations
Oral proceedings
Simpler merger notices
Better transparency and accountability
Creation of specialized courts
Exists in(examples)
(in process)
12
0
23 3
7
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
20
It would be premature to make evaluation,
although early signs are encouraging
Number of applications to CFC’s
leniency program
Leniency
included in
legislation
Relevant cases• IMSS medicine
procurement
• Fees for fuel
adjustments
Legal certainty Credible threat Real cost
Higher fines+
Criminal
sanctions
26
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14
�
Key messages
Mexico can achieve higher competitiveness by fostering economic policy oriented to competition and market efficiency
There are developments in one of two pillars of competition policy- the deterrence of anticompetitive conduct of economic agents
The next challenge is to achieve improvements in the market structures - the second pillar of competition policy
State control
Barriers to entrepreneurship
Barriers to trade and investment
There are still challenges in the second pillar:
a market structure …
0.789
1.619
2.551
0 1 2 3
UK
USA
Ireland
Netherlands
Canada
Spain
Denmark
Iceland
Finland
Switzerland
Japan
Norway
Hungary
Australia
Sweden
Estonia
Germany
New Zealand
Italy
Portugal
Belgium
Eslovenia
Austria
France
S. Korea
Luxembourg
Eslovak Rep.
Czesch Rep.
Chile
Mexico
Turkey
Poland
Greece
Israel
15
Average
OECD=1.35
Product Market Regulation Index
Source: OECD (2011), Product Market Regulation Database 2008
Better
Worse
Regulatory and admin. opacity
Red Tape for start-ups
Barriers to competition
Explicit barriers
Other barriers
…
Component
Mexico
rank
of 34
33%
33%
33%
33%
33%
33%
50%
50%
Gap Mx-OECD
Score
12
31
28
1
34
34
34
1
-0.39
0.87
0.93
-1.06
2.22
1.45
0.93
-0.28
…that distorts its normal function in an
horizontal way…
10000
7445
6382
5994
4025
2233
1721
1684
1358
363
3043
1059
1858
1297
1147
1445
0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000
Oil
Electricity
Telecommunications
Media
Road transportation
Travel by Air
Construction
Banking
16
Concentration in selected economic
sectors, 2010
Herfindahl-Hirschmann Index
Source: CIDAC, ¿Qué tan abierta es en realidad la economía mexicana? (data); CFC analysis (restrictions)
Perfect
competition
Mono-
poly
Mexico
USA
Constitutional restraint
Constitutional restraint
Weak regulator
Underuse of spectrum
Closed to FDI, local barriers
Slots, closed skies
Local regulatory restraints
Inequal access to switches, ratings
Regulatory restrictions EXAMPLES
… and affects the perception of international
competitiveness of Mexico
52 5260 60
6658
53
64
96
7968
116
100
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
17Source: World Economic Forum, The global competitiveness report, 2006-2007, 2007-2008, 2009-2010, 2010-2011, 2011-2012, 2012-2013.
Mexico in the World Economic Forum competitiveness ranking
Rank of MexicoBetter
Worse
6. Efficience of goods
markets
6A. Competition
General
Reforms to
Competition Law
The reforms needed to improve market
structures are complex …
18
Reform
strategy
• Macroeconomic adjustments
• Smaller government
• End of statism and protectionism
• Institutionalization
• Impelling competitiveness
• Reforms in education, health, etc.
Number of
actors
• President and ministers
• Central bank
• Investors and private sector
• President and ministers
• Congress
• Bureaucracy
• Judiciary branch
• Unions
• ...
Political
impact
• “Temporary adjustments”
• Atomization of effects
• Permanent elimination of
privileges for specific groups
First generation reforms
Source: Naím, Moisés, “Latin America: The second stages of reform”, Journal of Democracy 5, no. 4, 1994
Second generation reforms
… and vested interests have vetoed actions
that affect them
19Sources: Grupo Huatusco, Hacia una Política de Estado: Crecimiento con equidad, 2005
Levy, Santiago y Michael Walton (eds.), No Growth without Equity, Palgrave Macmillan/The World Bank, 2009.
How can we overcome the resistance of vested interests
in context with multiple actors?
Huatusco
Group
The Mexican State has been captured by rent-seeking power groups
and has lost its hability to lead the economy through a path of growth
with equality
6. Conclusions6. Conclusions6. Conclusions6. Conclusions
The “Pact for Mexico” shows politicians’
commitment with competition
20Source: Pact for Mexico
Economic competition will intensifyin all sectors of the economy, with
special emphasis in strategic sectors such as telecommunications,
transport, financial services and energy
(…) competition allows the generation of products and services with better quality at lower prices, incentivizing economic growth, helping alleviate
poverty and inequality, and jumpstarting the innovation processes
that foster economic, social and cultural dynamism of nations.
The “Pact for Mexico” intends to deepen the procompetitive effort …
… through a State Policy that would lead to higher productivity and growth
State Policy
To deepen the economic competition in Mexico, a State Policy shall be instrumented
Institutional framework
The institutional framework must give force and permanence to the competition policy
“Pact for Mexico” reforms:
Telecom
Achievements
Shortcomings
• More autonomy to the regulator• Removal of regulatory barriers to technological
convergence• New broadcast TV networks• Must offer & must carry• Accelerated transition to digital TV• Less limits to foreign investment in sector
�
The path ahead
• Undefined extent of public firms’ participation in broadband markets
• Law implementing constitutional reform still pending• New regulator must be created (IFETEL)
“Pact for Mexico” reforms:
Competition
22
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Achievements
Shortcomings
• More autonomy to the competition authority• Additional tools to ensure access to essential facilities• Faster judiciary by creation of specialized courts• Total renovation of commissioners, ensuring new ones will
be elected using technical criteria
The path ahead
• Competition matters will be resolved by telecom regulator, not the competition authority
• Law implementing constitutional reform still pending• New competition authority must be created
“Pact for Mexico” reforms:
Financial system
23
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Achievements
• Enhancements to consumer protection and mobility• Less limits to foreign investment• More credit options targeted to sectors lacking access to
financial services• Increased role of development banking• Enhanced regulatory framework for provision of
financial services to low income population• Additional tools for the CFC to foster competition in the
sector
The path ahead
• Still has to be approved by congress, currently under study
The Australian experience is a showcase of
how a sustained pro-competition effort pays
in the short run
=
2003: $58,000
2009: $73,590*
annual pesos
per household
Source: OCDE,Economic Survey of Australia, OECD Policy Brief, march 2003, p. 5. Available at http://www.oecd.org/dataoecd/4/6/2497195.pdf
* Inflation update (INPC)