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“Eco-Mobility 2012”
The Role of Automotive Supply Companies for
the Development of Alternative Mobility
System
Dr. Jean-Luc di Paola-Galloni
Corporate Vice-President for Sustainable Development and
External Affairs, Valeo
ERTRAC Vice-Chairman
11th and 12th of December 2012, Tech Gate Vienna
With the internal combustion engine, before electrification : what has the automotive industry achieved in 20 years
• Progress:
- Pollution divided by 20% in 20 years
- Since 30 years : + 20% power
+ 40% acceleration
- 40% consumption
- Gain in energy efficiency : + 50% minimum
UE USA ASIEEngine/liter 1,7 3,7 1,9Gasoline 50 95 80Diesel 50 5 20
Market situation – Regulation ImpactsCurrent CO2 emissions and 2020 objectives
g CO2/kml 100/kmmpg
23
25
27
29
32
36
40
46
53
64
11,5
10,7
9,8
9,0
8,1
7,3
6,4
5,6
4,7
3,8
A CO2 regulation decided in all regions, with ambitious objectives for 2020 will
influence the OEMs choice on technologies to develop.
20202020
95 g CO95 g CO22/km/km
4 l/100 km4 l/100 km
20152015
130g CO130g CO22/km /km
5,5 l/100 km5,5 l/100 km
20252025
54,5 mpg54,5 mpg
4,3 l/100 km4,3 l/100 km
20202020
117 g CO117 g CO22/km/km
5.0 l/100 km5.0 l/100 km
Coexistence of powertrain technologies and energies
R&D shared guidance…
European Road Transport System in 2030:
50% more efficient than today
Indicator Guiding Objective
Decarbonization
Energy efficiency : urban
passenger transport +80%
Energy efficiency : long-distance
freight transport +40%
Renewables in the energy pool
schedules
Biofuels : 25%
Electricity: 5%
Reliability
Reliability of transport
schedules +50%
Urban accessibility
Preserve
Improve where
possible
SafetyFatalities and severe injuries -60%
Cargo lost to theft and damage -70%
Guidance objectives for 2030
… tailored to meet the driving challenges for the future: Clean, safe, connected mobility
� Neutral CO2 emission balance
� Lighter materials
� Hybrid / pure EV concepts
DRIVE ECO-FRIENDLY� Dialogue with
other vehicles/traffic infrastructure
� Intelligent traffic mgmt
� Automatic warning on tail-end traffic jams
DRIVE SAFE AND SMART
� Situational automation of driving systems
� Integration of mobile devices and onboard electr.
� Flexible exterior/interior configurations
� Modification car window transparency
EASY COMFORT
� Variable power engines
� Power to be chosen/paid via mobile devices
� Flexible set-up changes of basic features
� Integration/use of external intelligence
MODULARITY
� Adapted engine for each market type
� Interior reduction to basic and simple functionalities
JUST GOOD ENOUGH AND CHEAP
Decarbonization and Reliability
� Improve reliability of transport schedules
� Preserve and improve urban accessibility
Diversity of Mobility Needs
Diversity of Mobility
Solutions
� Increase the energy efficiency
� Use renewables in the energy pool
THE INDUSTRY IS INVESTING2020 World Electrical Systems market
>7 B€ >30 B€>15 B€
Conventional
+ Stop-Start
= FLAT MARKET
2010 ���� 2020 = at least >16%
COMPOUND ANNUAL
GROWTH RATE (CAGR)
e-Motor + 8,9 B€
x 10,7 (CAGR)
Power Electronic
+17,7 B€ (CAGR)
X 12
ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS 2010-20 Growth
>250 B€
TOTAL POWERTRAIN MARKET
What kind of powertrain in 2030 ? 2030
0%9%
29%
1%0%
8%
9%
4%2%
12%
15%
10%18%
17%
12%
26%17%
28%
18%
17%
60%
17%10%
36%
Deglobalisation Learning green SR dvt Liberal WorldDeglo-
balisationLearning
GreenSRDvt
LiberalWorld
Internal Combustion Engines without electrification will disappear
Range Extender, Plug-in Hybrid & Mild become the mainstream out of the EV story
Percent of vehicles with pure electric drive is most affected by scenarios
Joint Work: OEM
Impact of shale gas in the US ?
97% ICE
3%
5%
3%
45%
39%
6%
2%
Thermal engine
Stop-StartMild Hybrid
Full HybridEV
PHEV/EREV
Technologies diversity
LaunchStop-Start
69%
26%
2%
97%
3%
Stop-Start growth
Valeo market vision for China H&EVForecast 2012-2022 by segment
27
19
159
38
54
51
6
45
18
22
0
50
100
150
200
250
2020
World Electrical Systems market towards 2020The industry is investing.
Source: PTS Databook & MTP
Release October 2010
Products Market Size 2010 (M€)
Market Size 2015(M€)
Market Size 2020 (M€)
CAGR 10-20
Alternator 2 964 3 402 2 554 -1%
Starter 1 803 1 763 1 240 -4%
Stop-Start (ReStart) 101 525 684 21%
Stop-Start (iStARS) 49 243 454 25%
EEM 12 V S/S 61 261 310 18%
Total Conventional 4 977 6 194 5 242 0,5%
Mild e-Motor 115 620 1 840 32%
Mild Power Elect 239 1 160 3 815 32%
HEV/EV e-Motor 809 2 900 8 031 26%
HEV/EV Power Elect 1 361 5 274 15 457 28%
Total Hybrid 2 524 9 954 29 143 28%
7,5 B€ 34,4 B€16,1 B€
Conventional
+ Stop-Start
= FLAT MARKET
2010-20
Growth
16% CAGR
e-Motor + 8,9 B€
x 10,7
Power Electronic
+17,7 B€
X 12
ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS260 B€
Several steps need to be overcome to let the hybrid and electric
market grow faster
Electrification and Hybridization Challenges
• Current hybrid technologies are to expensive compare to thermal vehicles
• Up to -40% in CO2 emissions
1. The CO2 gram costs between 60€ and 80€ because of battery and rare earths costs
���� An important overhead for the user
• Infrastructures need to be developed to plug quickly and easily those type of vehicles
• Lack of information for the final user about the autonomy and the performance of electrical vehicles
Following an integrated approach is paramount
To ensure Innovation &
Sustainability deliverables
Consumer
Information
labeling
Public
procurement
Infrastructure
and traffic
managementEco-driving
and driver
behaviour
Fuels
&
Energy
Motor
vehicles
Taxation and
fiscal measures
Consumer
&
Real World
Driving
Fleet
renewal
The evolution of industrial challenges
COMPONENTS
LIGHT MATERIALSRARE MATERIALS
(SCARCITY)
PRICE COMPETITIVENESS
ADAPTED TECHNOLOGY TOMARKET DEMAND
MODULARITY
FLEXIBLE SET-UP BASICFEATURES
CONNECTIVITY
CONNECTED SYSTEMS
CHALLENGES FOR KEY TIER 1 INNOVATIVE
Tiers 2/3/4 Tier 1 OEM ����
Final customers
Users
Impacted population
Society
1-AFFORDABLE AND RELIABLE MANUFACTURING�UNPREDICTABLE RAMP-UP�NEW COMPETITORS�ALTERNATIVE COMMODITIES�MARKET VOLATILITY
SUSTAINABLE INNOVATION AND SUSTAINABLE INNOVATION AND
PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION
3- SUSTAINABILITY FOR �PRODUCTS�PROCESS�LOGISTICS
� AVAILABILITY/SCARCITY of materials (rare earths)
2-INTEGRATED APPROACH
�(=KEY FROM SMEs TO TIERS1 IN THE WHOLE SUPPLY CHAIN)�WORKFORCES IN A GLOBAL COMPETITIVE CONTEXT
� SKILLS
Expected adaptations within the automotive supply chain
RESEARCH AND INNNOVATION to�Assess �Anticipate �Predict�Deliver �Set up resilience
EXCELLENCE AND RELIABILITY IN PRODUCTION in order to
ensure sustainable mobility solutions :
�At the right level of cost �At the correct level reliability�With a coherent protection of talented workforce
� To ensure a market introduction/expansion� To ensure a consumer friendly approach� To deliver effectiveness in environmental progress
SUSTAINABLE INNOVATION SUSTAINABLE INNOVATION AND AND
PRODUCTIONPRODUCTION
Expected adaptations within the automotive supply chain
ITIT’’S A CONSTANT S A CONSTANT WORK IN WORK IN
PROGRESSPROGRESS
RESEARCH ASSESSMENT in the field of global productionThe whole supply chain towards GLOBAL PLATFORMS system of production (an important trend for Manufacturers)
ADVANCED RESEARCH in the field of MATERIAL COMPONENTSLooking for alternatives to rare/expensive materials Field reinforcing the link between research community and industry
RESEARCH and INDUSTRIAL POLICY to tackle the LOCALIZATION FACTOR (geography/competence/market) of the WHOLE SUPPLY CHAIN (with a particular focus on smaller and yet essential SUPPLIERS)
A WORLD TREND : Automotive sector : OEMs + Tiers1
• Innovation :
- 10% of gross turnover
- Top 20 paterns depositary in Europe
- Employers lab/universities
180
120
Distribution of R&D expenses in the automotive industry
2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
OEMs
Suppliers
100
What kind of multi-approach solutions for a Supplier Tiers 1 such as Valeo?
• Powertrain
• Visibility
• Thermal
• Connectivity
•Hybrid and electrics
Powertrain Systems
Electrical Systems(Starters & Alternators)
Transmissions Systems(Clutches & Torque converters)
Engine Management Systems(ECUs, Injectors, Ignition..)
Air Management Systems(EGR and Intake modules)
Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Systems(Inverters, Chargers, Motors, Systemcontrol units…)
Valeo Hybrid and EV products portofolioH&EV Market
MICRO MILD FULL
+ Kinetic Energy Recovery+ Engine Assistance
+ Electric Take-off
Peugeot 508
Mercedes S400
Peugeot 3008
Toyota Prius 3
Smart GM VoltRenault Fluence
Nissan Leaf
Honda Insight
Toyota Prius + Electric Drive
BEV
Valeo is proposing a range of electrical machines from 5 to 70 kW and
a full range of electronics (inverter, DC/DC converters, inverter
charger)
PHEV / EREV
Buick Lacrosse
+ Stop & Start
Valeo range of electrical machine
Valeo range of power electronics
Belt-driven starter-alternators i-StARS
Starters and alternators
Circular flat E-motors up to 70kW for full hybrids
and range extender generators
Cylindrical e-Motors up to 15kW for mild hybrids
Conventional Systems
Micro Hybrids
Mild / Full Hybrids
Reinforced starters: ReStartwith or without Reflex Start
Hybrids & EV Valeo products portofolioElectrical Systems Roadmap
Valeo Approach
Design approch to cost to offer the best ratio between system cost and CO2 gain
• Up to 15% of CO2 reduction
• A cost twice cheaper than Mild ISG solutions found on the market
• A plug and play solution (no need of gearbox redesign, electrical machine that replace alternator)
• Voltage : 48V (no security constraint)
• Electrical machine Machine électrique on the belt front
• DC/DC Converter 48 – 12 V (2,5 kW, bidirectionnel)
• Pack Ucap ou Lithium Ion*
Democar
* Developed by Partner
Focus Mild HybridHybrid4All
Visibility Systems
Front Lighting Systems
Rear Signaling Systems
Front Wiper Systems
Rear Wiper Systems
Valeo Visibility
Valeo thermal solutions for EVs
Electrical Driven Compressor Cabin Heating Solutions
Battery Thermal Management Thermo Accumulator
� Compactness & efficiency
� Range extension
• Heat pump systems: energy efficiency break through
� Full set of solutions for battery reliability and power availability
Inner condenser Condenser evaporator
���� Comfort, pre-heating/heating, electric engine cooling, air-
conditioning
Special EV Functions:Special EV Functions:
Check Battery Status & AutonomyCheck Battery Status & Autonomy
Valeo Connectivity
Start Preconditioning in charge Start Preconditioning in charge
modemode
• Smart Key/car link
Smart Car Key + pre-conditioning for increased range
Valeo Connectivity
• Automatic Vehicle Docking
(Dock4U)
� For battery replacement or plug-in station
– On-going Amare-ModuloWatt
public project with Valeo sensors
Soft infrastructure research
Image: Modulowatt Association
Take Away
� Constant market cautiousness
� The auto industry needs to better interface/liaise with energy/ grids/mobility management/ social/societal acceptance.
Multi-stakeholder and system approach :
� ERTRAC - European Road Transport Research Advisory Council
Gather stakeholders of the transport research community.
� European Green Vehicules Initiative - Public-Private Partnership
PPP with European Commission and EU Member States
To be developed and reinforced in the future...
���� Implement the innovative products in the market and always respects OEMs requests
Urban mobility has to improve the inter-connection between :
• public
• private transport
Vehicles of tomorrow could become
• a second office
• an alternative source of energy
Re-positioning of mobility in society
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
VIELEN DANK