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The Path to 1000x IEEE DySPAN 2012 Rajesh Pankaj, Sr. VP, Engineering

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Page 1: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

The Path to 1000x IEEE DySPAN 2012

Rajesh Pankaj, Sr. VP, Engineering

Page 2: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

Fortune 500 Company

25+ years of driving the evolution of wireless

Making wireless more personal, affordable and accessible to people everywhere

World’s largest fabless semiconductor company, #1 in wireless

Page 3: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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A Technology Enabler for the Entire Mobile Value Chain Qualcomm’s Unique Business Model

Page 4: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Qualcomm Research Organization

Santa Clara, CA

Bridgewater, NJ

Vienna, Austria

Beijing, China

Seoul, S. Korea

San Diego, CA

Nuremberg, Germany

Bangalore, India

Hyderabad, India Raleigh, NC

Cambridge, UK

Page 5: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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The Biggest Platform in the History of Mankind Approximately 1.6B New 3G Connections to be Added by 2016

3G Connections Now

3G Connections by 2016

Wireless Connections Worldwide Now

Source: Wireless Intelligence (Jul. ’12)

Page 6: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Mobile Data Traffic Growth

Mobile data traffic projected to grow

from 2010–2011*

Preparing for

Data Traffic Growth

*Global growth, some regions grew more/less

Page 7: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Evolve 3G/4G/Wi-Fi

HetNets Interference Mgmt/SON

Intelligently Utilize Best Accesses

Higher Efficiency

Rising to Meet the 1000x Mobile Data Challenge

More Spectrum In Low and High Bands

More Small Cells Everywhere!

More Indoor Cell Majority of Usage Indoors

1000x

Page 8: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Still ways to improve system capacity

We Can Reach The Air Link Limit—Shannon’s Law

Capacity ≈ n W log2(1+ ) Signal Noise

Number of Antennas

More Spectrum E.g. Mitigate

interference

Page 9: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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The Biggest Gain—Re-Use Shannon’s Law Everywhere!

Capacity ≈ n W log2(1+ ) Signal Noise

Number of Antennas

More Spectrum E.g. Mitigate

interference

Page 10: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Extreme Densification—3G/4G+Wi-Fi Small Cells Everywhere Low cost, small size and ease of deployment

Note: Shows 3G version.

Page 11: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

Imagine Small Base Stations Basically Everywhere

Page 12: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Open Neighborhood Small Cells Indoor Small Cells (Femto) also Providing Outdoor Coverage

High Quality – Licensed Spectrum

Low Cost Deployment

Existing Backhaul

Macro Network

Operator Controlled

Page 13: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Tests Show Indoor Small Cells Providing Coverage Outside

-55 to -65*

-65 to -75

-75 to -85

-85 to -95

-95 to -105

-105 to -115

Signal Strength [dBm]

Small Cell

Page 14: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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1000x ~ 20% Household

Penetration

Neighborhood Small Cells is One Enabler Towards 1000x

Dense Indoor Deployment

Negligible loss in coverage and capacity at high small cell density

10Mhz for

macros @ 2GHz

Example With Higher Band:

100MHz dedicated to femtos @ 3.6GHz1

Add 10x Spectrum

500x ~ 9% Household

Penetration Median throughput gain versus

Macro only baseline Example for LTE FDD, 2x2 MIMO. Assumptions: 70% indoor users, 200 Active users per macrocell, femtos randomly dropped in households in a mix of 2 to 6 story apartments.1Small cells on dedicated spectrum used in this example, but we envision future neighborhood small cells also sharing the spectrum with macro and other small cells. 20% household penetration equals ~ 144 femtos, and 9% penetration equals ~ 65 femtos.

Page 15: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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At high density gains saturate because each small cell serves only one mobile

Capacity Gains with Neighborhood Small Cells

0x

200x

400x

600x

800x

1000x

1200x

1400x

1600x

1800x

2000x

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

25 UEs/ Macrocell200 UEs/ Macrocell

Note: Simulation configuration: Macro-10MHz@2GHz, Small cell: [email protected]

DL

Med

ian

Thro

ughp

ut G

ain

Small Cell Penetration

10 + 100 MHz BW

Downlink Median Throughput Gain Relative to Macro only Baseline

72 SCs 216 SCs 360 SCs

Total capacity increase 1000x for 200 users and 144 small cells (20% penetration)

Use 100MHz of bandwidth, instead of 10MHz

Page 16: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

More Spectrum

Page 17: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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More Indoor, Higher Spectrum Bands Dense Small Cell Deployment Makes Higher Bands Attractive1

Indoor Hotspot

Seamless Ubiquitous 3G / 4G

3G / 4G + Wi-Fi

3G / 4G + Wi-Fi

3G/4G in licensed where 3.4GHz-3.8GHz could be a key addition esp. for small cells. Wi-Fi in unlicensed such as 2.4GHz, 5GHz, 60GHz. 1Comparing e.g. 2GHz and 3.6GHz shows negligible loss in coverage/capacity at high density.

~300 MHz

60GHz

~3GHz

Wide Area Spectrum

Indoor/ Hotspot

Very High Bands enable Access in Every Room

Page 18: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Multiple Efforts are Required to Access More Spectrum

Auctions of Cleared Spectrum

Traditional Approach

Unlicensed Approach Dedicated to Wi-Fi et al

Complementary License Model:

Authorized shared access to underutilized spectrum

Exclusive Use Shared Use

ASA—Shared Exclusive Use

Notes: Spectrum Aggregation Across bands, ASA spectrum (carrier aggregation), as well as unlicensed spectrum. Supplemental Downlink: Aggregate paired with unpaired spectrum.

Spectrum Aggregation

Supplemental Downlink

When spectrum can’t be cleared within a reasonable timeframe, or at all locations

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Authorized Shared Access(ASA) is Optimal for Small Cells

3G/4G Macro Base Station

3G/4G Macro Base Station

Regular Multi-band Device1

Incentive-Based Cooperation Model Satellite Public Safety ….

3G/4G Small Cells

Military Radar

Exclusive Use At given locations, times ensures predictability for long-term investments

Optimal for Small Cells Small cells can be closer to incumbent than macros

Protect Incumbents Binary use—either incumbent or rights holder Protection zone

Incumbent user

1No device impact due to ASA, just a regular 3G/4G device supporting global harmonized bands targeted for ASA. Carrier aggregation would be beneficial to aggregate new ASA spectrum with existing spectrum, but is not required.

Page 20: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

LTE Broadcast

Page 21: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

21 Source: Qualcomm Research

Multicast/Broadcast Improves Spectrum

Utilization

5 Users Per Site

Sharing Content

7x Throughput Gain

Page 22: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

22 Source: Qualcomm Research

Multicast/Broadcast Improves Spectrum

Utilization

2 Users Per Site

Sharing Content

3x Throughput Gain

Page 23: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

23 Source: Qualcomm Research

Multicast/Broadcast Improves Spectrum

Utilization

1 User Per Site

Sharing Content

1.7x Throughput Gain

Page 24: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

24 Source: Qualcomm Research

! !

!

!

!

!

! !

!

Page 25: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

Game Time

eMBMS

Delivery of events and popular eMedia content to unlimited audiences through efficient multicast-enabled LTE networks

Dynamically allocate broadcast bandwidth and coverage as needed Fully integrated option for LTE networks and devices Based on 3GPP Rel 9; applicable to any LTE spectrum bands

eMBMS Enables “Broadcasting” on LTE

LTE

Page 26: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Cache Casting During Off-Peak Hours

LTE Broadcast Cache Casting

Pre-load content during OFF-PEAK

Page 27: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

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Higher Efficiency

There are Multiple Ways to Reach 1000x

Different Mixes of Spectrum, Types of Small Cells, Indoor, Outdoor to Reach 1000x

More Spectrum In Low and High Bands

More Small Cells Everywhere

More Indoor Cell Majority of Usage Indoors

1000x

Page 28: The Path to 1000x - dyspan2012.ieee-dyspan.org · Mobile data traffic projected to grow from 2010–2011* Preparing for . Data Traffic Growth *Global growth, some regions grew more/less

For more information on Qualcomm, visit us at: www.qualcomm.com & www.qualcomm.com/blog

Follow us on: ©2012 Qualcomm Incorporated. All rights reserved. Qualcomm, Snapdragon, and Gobi are trademarks of Qualcomm Incorporated, registered in the United States and in other countries. Mirasol is a trademark of Qualcomm Mems Technologies, Inc., registered in the United States and in other countries. Atheros is a trademark of Qualcomm Atheros, Inc., registered in the United States and in other countries. 2Net is a trademark of Qualcomm Incorporated. Other product and brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners. QUALCOMM Incorporated, 5775 Morehouse Drive, San Diego, CA 92121-1714

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