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THE NEXT WAVE OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
Michael E. Porter Harvard Business School
November 2020
2 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
Machine
Advantages:
• Physical power
• Consistency
• Resistance
to harsh environments
• Calculating power
Human
Advantages:
• Ideation/Creativity/
Innovation
• Broad sensory pattern
recognition
• Complex
communication
• Sophisticated
sensorimotor skills
MACHINE VERSUS HUMAN ADVANTAGES
Digital Advantages: • Calculating Power
• Data Processing
• Artificial Intelligence
3 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
1800s 1960s 1990s
Mechanical Products & Manual
Processes
Value Chain Automation
Value Chain Dispersion and
Integration
Smart, Connected Products (IoT)
IT automates processes and
information collection and
analysis of activities within the value chain
The internet enables coordination and integration across the value-chain,
across geography, and with customers
and business partners
IT is embedded in products themselves,
expanding the way products create
value and shifting the nature of competition
Products were mechanical/
electrical, and information
processing and storage was manual
2010s
WAVES OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
4 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
SMART, CONNECTED PRODUCT TECHNOLOGY STACK
Identity &
Security
External
Data
Sources
Network Communication
Product Data Database
Application Platform
Rules/Analytics Engine
Digital Twin
Product Hardware
Product Sensors and Software
Digital
Business
Systems CONNECTIVITY
PRODUCT CLOUD
PRODUCT
5 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
NEW CAPABILITIES ENABLED BY SCPs
Sensors and external
data enables monitoring:
• Product location
• Product operation
• Product condition
• Surrounding environment
Software embedded in
the product or cloud
enables:
• Expanded and remote
control of products
• Unprecedented
customization and
personalization
• Digital user interfaces
Algorithms and
analytics can optimize:
• Product operation
• Capacity utilization
• Diagnostics, allowing
for predictive service
and repair
The combination of other
capabilities enables:
• Autonomous operation
• Autonomous adaptation
and personalization
• Self-diagnosis and service
• Self-coordination with other
products and systems
1. Monitoring
2. Control
3. Optimization
4. Autonomy
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
EXPANDING INDUSTRY BOUNDARIES: PRECISION AGRICULTURE
Smart Product
Smart, Connected Product
Product System
System Of Systems Product
Weather Data System
Tillers Planters
Tractors
Farm Equipment
System
Combine Harvesters
Irrigation System
Seed Optimization System
Farm Equipment System
Precision Agriculture
System Platform
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
+ Shift rivalry away from
price
+ SCPs and systems subsume
functions of other productsThreat of Substitute
Products or Services
Rivalry Among
Existing Competitors
Bargaining
Power of
Buyers
Bargaining
Power of
Channels
Bargaining Power
of Suppliers
+ Less dependence
on mechanical
components
+ Expanded opportunities
for differentiation,
segmentation, switching
costs
+ Reduced
dependency
on channels/
service
partners
EFFECT ON INDUSTRY COMPETITION: OPPORTUNITIES
+ Higher barriers to entry
+/- Greater visibility of
customer value
+/- New product-as-a-
service business
models support
recurring revenue (but
must be renewed)
Threat of New Entrants
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
- Higher utilization and product sharing can
reduce unit volume
+ Shift rivalry away from price
+ SCPs and systems subsume functions of
other productsThreat of Substitute
Products or Services
Threat of New Entrants
Rivalry Among
Existing Competitors
- Add features customers
won’t pay for
- Higher fixed costs increase
discounting
Bargaining
Power of
Buyers
Bargaining
Power of
Channels
Bargaining Power
of Suppliers
+ Less dependence
on mechanical
components
- Greater power
of IT vendors
+ Expanded opportunities
for differentiation,
segmentation, switching
costs
+ Reduced
dependency
on channels
/ service
partners
EFFECT ON INDUSTRY COMPETITION: CHALLENGES
+ Higher barriers to entry
- New entrants can leapfrog
+/- Greater visibility of
customer value
+/- New product-as-a-
service business
models support recurring
revenue (but must be
renewed)
- Can enter without a product
- New entrants from systems of systems
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
Which product capabilities to pursue?
Functionality embedded in
the product vs. the cloud?
Open or closed
system?
Technology development: internal
or outsource?
What data to capture? Disintermediate distribution or service channels?
Change the
business model?
Sell data to
outside parties?
Expand product
scope to systems?
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10
5
2
4
1
3
SCP’S TEN NEW STRATEGIC CHOICES FOR MANUFACTURERS
How to manage data rights, access,
and security?
10 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
ANALYTICS DIGITAL
TWIN
Smart, Connected
Products
SCPs ADVANCE THE CAPABILITY OF MACHINES
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
* IDC's Digital Universe study, 2014
DATA GROWTH* (ZETTABYTES)
2013 4.4
2015
8.5 2017
16.4 2020
44.0
IOT
ENTERPRISE
WEB
SOCIAL
?
THE EMERGING CONSTRAINT
DELUDE OF OPTIONS
AND CHOICES
12 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
Smart, Connected People (AR)
Delivering digital information,
capabilities and choices to users and workers in context. Brings
humans into the digital age
2015s
WAVES OF DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
1800s 1960s 1990s
Mechanical Products & Manual
Processes
Value Chain Automation
Value Chain Dispersion and
Integration
Smart, Connected Products (IoT)
2010s
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
TODAY’S INTERFACES SEPARATE THE PHYSICAL AND DIGITAL WORLDS
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
A set of technologies that superimposes digital
data, images and control options onto a human’s view of the physical world.
WHAT IS
AUGMENTED REALITY (AR)?
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
AR INTEGRATES DIGITAL INTO THE PHYSICAL INTERFACE
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
SMELL TOUCH HEAR SEE TASTE
HOW HUMANS ACCESS AND PROCESS INFORMATION
17 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
ANALYTICS
HOW SCPs AND AR WORK TOGETHER
SMART CONNECTED
PRODUCT AR EXPERIENCE
Control/Optimize
Sensor Data
Interact
Visualize or Instruct/Guide
DIGITAL
TWIN
Computer Vision
Performance Metrics
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COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
THE NEW PRODUCT CAPABILITIES WITH AR
+ VISUALIZE INSTRUCT/GUIDE INTERACT SIMULATE
Enhance the user’s ability
to understand the
physical world by
overlaying relevant
real-time digital
information, or possible
choices and future states
Train or guide users to
perform tasks via
overlaying digital data
and instructions, or
enabling real-time expert
guidance
AR as an interface
enabling control of the
product, via overlaid
graphics or natural user
interfaces such as voice
commands, gesture
control, or sight tracking
Where needed, virtual
reality adds a fourth
capability to overcome
practical constraints
such as distance, time,
size, and hazardous
environments
AR substantially enhances the capabilities and impact of smart, connected products
19 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
ANALYTICS DIGITAL
TWIN
Smart, Connected
People
AR ADVANCES THE CAPABILITY OF WORKERS
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
IMPACT OF AR ON COMPETITION
Improving
Productivity in
the Value Chain
Differentiating
the Product
21 Copyright 2019 © Professor Michael E. Porter 20190319 – Golden Marketing Conference
AR and Product Differentiation
22 Copyright 2019 © Professor Michael E. Porter 20190319 – Golden Marketing Conference
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
[VALUE]
[VALUE]
[VALUE] [VALUE]
[VALUE]
Marketing / Sales
Manufacturing / Operations
Service / Support
Training Design
ADOPTION OF AR ACROSS THE VALUE CHAIN
Survey of PTC customers, FY 2019 Q1-Q3. n = 78
• Guided Work Instructions
• Service Inspection & Verification
• Remote Expert
• Customer Self-Service
• Knowledge Capture & Transfer
• Just-In-Time Training
• Expert Coaching
• Safety & Security Training
• Collaborative Design Review
• Fast Product & Component Lookup
• Augmented Design Review
• Maintenance Work Instructions
• Operator & Assembly Work Instructions
• Augmented Operator Manual
• Virtual Product Companions
• Augmented Brand Experience
• Interactive Consumer Products
Marketing and Sales Experience
Customer Self-Service
26 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
Logistics Guidance
Remote Expert Support
Vuforia Expert Capture_Knowledge Transfer_PPT.mp4
Manufacturing Knowledge Capture
Vuforia Expert Capture_Just in Time Training_PPT.mp4
Manufacturing Knowledge Transfer
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
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AR REQUIRES ADDITIONAL STRATEGIC CHOICES
What is the range of AR opportunities, and in what sequence should they be pursued?
Product Differentiation
Where will AR have the greatest impact on cost reduction?
Should the company make AR design and deployment a core strength, or will outsourcing or partnering be sufficient?
How will AR change broader communications with stakeholders?
Which Opportunities?
Shifting Communications Model
AR Talent and Resources
How will AR reinforce a company’s product differentiation?
Operational Effectiveness
31 COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
Smart, Connected
Products
OPTIMIZING THE WORK OF MAN AND MACHINE
ANALYTICS DIGITAL
TWIN
Smart, Connected
People
COPYRIGHT 2019 © MICHAEL E. PORTER AND JIM HEPPELMANN
CLOSING THOUGHTS
• The Digital Transformation has enabled a new, building set of capabilities that have dramatically increased the efficiency of machines and products, as well as people
– Enabling more effective training and guidance to address shortage of skilled front-line workers
– Enhancing worker productivity through better collaboration with machines
– Counterbalancing the shift to automation by empowering human workers
• Both IoT and AR change the competitive environment, requiring new strategic choices and organizational models. For example:
– What product capabilities to pursue?
– Change the business model?
– What business are we in?