- the next-generation processing units” dr. jon peddie, jon … · 2014. 4. 8. · the mobile...
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- the "Next-Generation Processing Units”
Dr. Jon Peddie, Jon Peddie Research
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Jon Peddie Research
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Agenda – Parallel Universes
The Mobile market overall
• (Handhelds to Tablets)
HTML5
• (You may be surprised)
Comments on future developments
• (S3D, AR, and more)
Applications for GPU Compute
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The Mobile Market
33%
25%
18%
14%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Smartphone Cell phones Tablet e-book reader
Plan to buy next 12 months
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Huge Markets & Potential
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tablets vs. Smartphone Market Value
Jon Peddie Research
Smart Phone ($B)
Tablet Market ($B)
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
E-Book Reader market ($B)Jon Peddie Research
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HTML 5
Web video playback (H.264) is now dominant with a 54% market share. This is a large increase from the 10% market share it had in January 2010. HTML5 is rapidly replacing Flash for video playback on web sites.
Patents owned by 12 different patent holders have already been found to be essential to VP8, MPEG LA said
WebM CCL is enabling member organizations to license patents they may have that are essential to WebM technologies to other members of the CCL –they are firmly committed to establishing an open codec for HTML5 video
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Video support in mobile browsers
HTML5
H.264
WebM/VP8
Flash
Currently VP8 is not as well supported in hardware as H.264 on mobile phones - so power will be higher and quality lower until hardware is added
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Future Developments
0%
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40%
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60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
S3D percentage in SmartphonesJon Peddie Research
2D Smartphones, CAGR 2010-2016: 0%
S3D Smartphones, CAGR 2010-2016: 198%
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Future DevelopmentsWhat are we, what can we, do with these devices?
3D UI
3D playback and 2D-to-3D conversion on Android with CyberLink’s PowerDVD for Android running on Nvidia Tegra platform.
Swindon-based Dialog Semiconductor created a chip that can perform real-time 2D to 3D conversion for mobile devices, including phones and tablets.
Smartphones will have three or four camera sensors
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Smartphone camerasJon Peddie Research
Four
Three
Two
One
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Future Developments
Seeing stuff that really isn’t there
By 2012 all smartphones and tablets will support augmented reality
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GPU Compute
LG Optimus 3D to get 2D to 3D conversion for apps with Gingerbread
• Render while you work
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Interesting sites
http://www.seeingwithsound.com/binocular.htm
More itmes
http://arstechnica.com/microsoft/news/2010/04/html5-video-in-internet-explorer-9-h264-and-h264-alone.ars
Jon P
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