the namibian business and investment climate (nambic ... · compared to 52% of all namibian...
TRANSCRIPT
13.08.2013 Seite 1
The Namibian Business and Investment
Climate (namBIC) Survey 2013
Some highlights of the Hardap and !Karas
regions
Presented by
Klaus Schade (IPPR)
Institute for Public
Policy Research
13.08.2013 Seite 2 Page 2
Survey background
namBIC 2013…
Fourth consecutive annual survey capturing perceptions of business
people in Namibia concerning the business and investment climate.
Nation-wide survey covering all economic sectors and regions.
Substantially higher response rate allowed for regional analysis of most
questions.
Interviews of 200 informal (face-to-face) and 463 formal businesses
during October 2012 (telephonically) out of a sample of 800 formal
businesses. Hardap and !Karas: 50 responses out of sample of 68
formal businesses (74%).
Guided by a Steering Committee consisting of NCCI, NMA, IPPR and
GIZ, and funded by GIZ on behalf of the German Federal Ministry for
Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ).
Questionnaire design and data analysis carried out by the Institute for
Public Policy Research (IPPR).
Survey conducted by Business Intelligence Africa.
13 August 2013
2
13.08.2013 Seite 3 Page 3
Results – Economic condition
General economic conditions
Businesses in !Karas more optimistic
than in Namibia at large and in Hardap.
Contrary to global economic prospects,
Namibian businesses in general rated
the business conditions in 2012 more
positively than in 2011 and are even
upbeat about prospects for 2013.
Overall rating influenced by size with
large and medium businesses more
optimistic than small and micro
enterprises.
13 August 2013
3
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5
Namibia
Hardap
!Karas
economic conditions expected for 2013 economic conditions in 2012
13.08.2013 Seite 4 Page 4
Results – Investment
Investment decisions
Positive mood not resulting in
investment: Businesses in the South
less likely to invest than companies in
Namibia on average.
48% of companies in the south
indicated that they did not invest in 2012.
compared to 52% of all Namibian
companies.
Outlook rather bleak for 2013 since
companies in general intend to invest
less than average during 2013, with
businesses in Hardap and !Karas being
more cautious than Namibian
businesses on average.
Very little investment into Research &
Development.
4
13 August 2013
-1.0 -0.8 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0
Namibia
Hardap
!Karas
Replacement Expansion
13.08.2013 Seite 5 Page 5
Results – Labour market
Employment decisions
Stronger demand for labour in the south
with 56% of businesses having increased
workforce in 2012.
Businesses in the south do not intend to
reduce their workforce, but are also less
inclined to add labour during 2013.
About 38% of all Namibian firms intend to
employ more staff in 2013, while 2%
expect to lay off workers.
Labour relations are rated as being good
in Namibia (rating of 0.7). Businesspeople in
the south (0.86) rate the relationship even
better than the national average.
5
13 August 2013
0 10 20 30 40
Namibia
Hardap
!Karas
Reduce Increase
13.08.2013 Seite 6 Page 6
Results - Obstacles
Obstacles to business growth
Overwhelming agreement amongst
Namibian business people concerning the
most severe obstacles to business
development.
Access to and cost of finance, access
to land and cost of utilities are the top
three factors for all types of businesses.
Demand for products and services and
crime and theft follow on places four and
five.
Ranking of first three factors not
different in the south, except that
demand for products replaces cost of
utilities as third factor in Hardap.
Furthermore, distance to markets and
labour market regulations play a stronger
role in !Karas (rank 4 and 5).
6
13 August 2013
13.08.2013 Seite 7 Page 7
Regulatory business
environment
Ease of registration viewed as more
challenging than in previous years but
remains on the positive side. Businesses
in the south provide more favourable
rating than the national average.
Cost of registration not regarded as an
obstacle.
Business people from the south slightly
more critical about costs and required
documents.
7 Results - Regulations
13 August 2013
-0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4
Namibia
Hardap
!Karas
Cost of registration Time and complexity Ease of registration
Easy
13.08.2013 Seite 8 Page 8
Corruption, crime, enforcement of contracts & property
rights
8
Companies in the south regard the
control of crime and enforcement of
contracts as satisfactory.
Corruption not perceived as a
problem in Namibia in general and
neither in the south although average
rating slightly below last year (1.27
compared to 1.64).
Crime regarded slightly more
challenging by respondents in general
since the rating dropped from +0.13 to -
0.12.
Enforcement of contracts and
property rights also rated slightly
more difficult in Namibia on average
than last year.
Results – Corruption, crime…
13 August 2013
-0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4
Namibia
Hardap
!Karas
Perception of corruption Perception of crime Enforcement of contracts
No problem
13.08.2013 Seite 9 Page 9
Taxes
Only 16% of all respondents indicated
that they do not pay taxes.
Business people from Hardap and
!Karas less critical about tax issues
than national average, except for the
handling of tax returns in the Hardap
region.
Handling of tax returns by RoR rated
as neutral (neither difficult nor easy) in
Namibia in general and in the south.
Ease of paying taxes received a
slightly positive rating in the south,
contrary to the rest of Namibia
indicating it could be made easier.
Tax rates are overwhelmingly
considered as being too high in
Namibia (rating of -1.31) and the South.
9 Results – Taxes
13 August 2013
-1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5
Namibia
Hardap
!Karas
Level of tax rates Ease of paying taxes Satisfaction tax returns
High / difficult No problem
13.08.2013 Seite 10 Page 10
Cross-border trade
Business people from the South view
border procedures slightly less
critical (rating of -0.6 and -0.3) than
business people from other regions.
Rating by all respondents of
procedures on the Namibian side of
the border dropped dramatically
from +0.7 to -0.7.
All respondents rated on average
procedures on Namibian side worse
than the foreign side of the border
(-0.7 vs. -0.5).
10 Results – Cross-border trade…
13 August 2013
-1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0
Namibia 2012
Namibia 2013
North Central
North East
South
Procedures at Foreign border posts
Procedures at Namibian border posts
Difficult Not difficult
13.08.2013 Seite 11 Page 11
Access to Land
Demand for land dropped from 45%
of all respondents in Namibia to 32%.
Serviced land most in demand
(26% of all respondents), but only by
about 15% in the south.
Access to serviced land (-0.9) rated
more challenging than access to un-
serviced land (-0.3) in Namibia at
large.
Cost of land identified as main
obstacle in Namibia in obtaining land
followed by bureaucratic procedures
and availability.
11 Results – Access to Land
13 August 2013
-1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0
Namibia
North Central
North East
South
Obtain un-serviced land Obtain serviced land
Very difficult Neutral
13.08.2013 Seite 12 Page 12
Finance
Access to and cost of finance is of
most concern to the private sector.
Cost of finance is viewed as major
obstacle, but slightly less challenging in
the South than in the rest of Namibia.
The same can be observed for access to
credit.
Provision of collateral not regarded as
an issues in the South, while rated
slightly negative in Namibia at large.
12 Results - Finances
13 August 2013
-1.50 -1.25 -1.00 -0.75 -0.50 -0.25 0.00 0.25
Namibia
Hardap
!Karas
Providing collateral Cost of credit Access to credit
very difficult neutral
13.08.2013 Seite 13 Page 13
Public / Private Dialogue
Some public/private meetings were
organised by NCCI and LEDA in the south
and north of the country.
Only minority of respondents across
Namibia are aware of these meetings
(20% compared to 43% a year earlier).
However, 75% of those who knew about
meetings attended these.
Slight improvement in satisfaction with
these meetings (rating up from +0.60 to
+0.75) in Namibia at large.
Respondents, in particular from large
companies, not impressed by the way
concerns were addressed after the
meetings (rating of -0.56).
Results–Public/Private Dialogue 13
13 August 2013
-0.6 -0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4
All-2012
All-2013
Micro
Small
Medium
Large
Concerns addressed Satisfaction with meetings
Not satisfied Satisfied
13.08.2013 Seite 14 Page 14
Recommendation namBIC2013
Regular public-private sector meetings
Increase efforts to attract the targeted audience
Increase frequency of meetings
Provide proper feedback on plan of action
Establish high level Business Council chaired by Prime Minister
Identify and address cross-border issues
Conduct in-depth study in order to implement efficient procedures
Address availability of serviced land
Provide transparent and simple information of existing financing
programmes, requirements and costs (DBN, Fides and SME Bank
and commercial banks)
Strengthen linkages between SMEs and large businesses and
address supply side issues
14
13 August 2013
13.08.2013 Seite 15 Page 15 13 August 2013
15 Sponsorship
Be among the first to become a namBIC Sponsor…
Gold Sponsor
Silver Sponsor
… and find your logo and/or name prominently on all
publications, namBIC Public-Private Dialogues, media
announcements etc.
Bronze Sponsor
13.08.2013 Seite 16
Thank you very much!
Download the full report and the summary at:
www.ncci.org.na
www.nmanamibia.com
www.ippr.org.na
or contact for hard copies:
Institute for
Public
Policy Research