the impact of agri-business processing firms on the local economy mary carey teagasc rural economy...

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The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors: Prof. Cathal O’Donoghue, Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc; Prof. Aisling Reynolds-Feighan, School of Economics, University College Dublin

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Page 1: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy

Mary CareyTeagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme

School of Economics, UCD

Supervisors: Prof. Cathal O’Donoghue, Rural Economy Research Centre, Teagasc;

Prof. Aisling Reynolds-Feighan, School of Economics, University College Dublin

Page 2: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Outline

1. Introduction

2. Research objective

3. Literature

4. Overview of agri-business processing firms (location,

settlement type, firm size, ownership)

5. Economic linkages (inputs, labour, outputs)

6. Conclusion

7. Next steps

Page 3: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Introduction

• Strength of economic linkages between sectors – construction v. manufacturing

• Bio-sector and its impact on the economy - low import dependence, high local multiplier & low levels of profit repatriation (Riordan, 2012)

• Geographical Spread of the sector highlights significance of the location of agri-business processing firms (Carey & O’Donoghue, 2014) – high LQ in Border region

Page 4: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Research Objective

1.Provide an overview of the Irish agri-business processing sector Processing sector includes dairy processing, beef processing, other meat processing, poultry processing, functional ingredients preparation, sea food

processing and other consumer foods.

2.Understand the economic linkages of the agri-business processing sector Origin of firm and destination of inputs (upstream purchases), outputs (downstream purchases) and employment flows.

Page 5: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Literature• Net income theories – reduce leakage of income and

attract external income (Persky et al., 1993)

• Degree of ‘Local Economic Integration’ (Courtney et al., 2008)• Sectoral Characteristic - the construction sector is considered to be better

integrated than the manufacturing sector (Williams, 1994).

• Organisational Characteristics – firm size, ownership and age (Courtney et al., 2008).

• Locational (or contextual) Characteristics - settlement type/hierarchy and proximity to urban centres

Page 6: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Overview of agri-business processing firms • Teagasc Survey (2014) contains an array of information

including: • characteristics of the firm (location, number of employees,

turnover, year of establishment, ownership etc.), • inputs (labour, raw material, transport, water, energy,

communication, others across the 6 zones) and • outputs sold across 6 zones (A -> F).

Page 7: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Location of surveyed processing firms

• Geo-reference by Electoral District (ED).

• ED with agri-business processing firms are highlighted in red.

Table 1: Regional distribution of surveyed processing firms

Number of firms

Percentage

Border 31 13.8West 16 7.1Midland 11 4.9Mid-East 26 11.6

South-East 32 14.3

South-West 56 25.0

Mid-West 24 10.7

Dublin 28 12.5Total 224 100

Map by Mary Carey© Ordnance Survey of Ireland and Teagasc

Page 8: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Location by settlement type• Census 2011 data used to define the types of settlement based on the

population of the Electoral Divisions (ED). • Open countryside or village (less than 1,599 people); small towns (1600-4999

people), medium towns (5000-9999 people) and large towns (greater than 10,000 people and the 5 main cities.

• 50 per cent of agri-business processing firms are located in very rural EDs

Table 2: Processing firms by settlement type

  VillageSmall Town

Med Town

Large Town

City Total

Number of firms

111 17 30 21 45 224

Percentage 49.6 7.6 13.4 9.4 20.1 100

Cumulative 49.6 57.1 70.5 79.9 100 

Page 9: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Firm size and ownership by settlement type

Table 3: Percentage of firm by size by settlement type

  VillageSmall Town

Med Town

Large Town

City Total

Micro 34.2 41.2 16.7 33.3 35.6 32.6

SME 51.4 52.9 66.7 52.4 46.7 52.7

Large 14.4 5.9 16.7 14.3 17.8 14.7

Firm ownership•94 per cent of agri-business firms are Irish owned •The 5 main cities have the highest percentage of foreign owned agri-business firms.

Firm size by number of employees•32.6 per cent micro (less than 10 employees) •52.7 per cent SME (10 to 250 employees)•14.7 per cent large (more than 250 employees)

Table 5: Percentage of firm ownership by settlement type

VillageSmall Town

Med Town

Large Town

City Total

Irish 94.6 100.0 90.0 100.0 88.9 93.8

Foreign 5.4 0.0 10.0 0.0 11.1 6.3

Number of firms

111 17 30 21 45 224

Page 10: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Economic linkages of processing firms

• Teagasc Survey (2014)• 224 processing firms reported the distribution of the firm’s

inputs (labour and non-labour inputs) and outputs (customers & industry) across 6 zones (A-F).

Zone A: less than 10kmZone B: between 10-20kmZone C: between 21-40kmZone D: NUTS 3 regionZone E: elsewhere in the ROIZone F: international

1. Labour (distance employees travel)2. Non-labour inputs (raw materials,

transport, water, energy, communication, other)

3. Outputs (spatial distribution of customers)

Page 11: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Non-labour inputs by zoneZone and Distance Band

Non-Labour Input

A B C D E F

0-9km10-

20km21-

40kmRegion

Rest of ROI

Imports

Raw Materials16.3 8.6 10.9 14.7 27.0 23.0

Transport37.8 17.0 15.3 10.3 17.1 3.9

Water75.6 11.7 4.8 7.9 0.0 0.0

Energy43.8 8.2 16.8 10.9 18.8 1.5

Communication31.0 5.2 12.4 16.4 31.6 3.4

Other28.6 15.0 18.0 17.3 11.5 9.6

Average38.9 11.0 13.0 12.9 17.6 6.9

Cumulative Share

38.9 49.8 62.9 75.8 93.4 100

Note: rows sum to 100 and may not sum exactly to 100 due to rounding effects

• Origin of non-labour inputs

• Almost 40 per cent are sourced within 10km

• Almost 76 per cent are sourced within the region

• Less than 7 per cent sourced internationally

• Import (from outside the ROI) is higher for raw materials

Page 12: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Labour inputs by zone and by settlement type

Distance Travelled to Work by Zone and Distance Band

Labour

A B C D E F

0-9km10-

20km21-

40kmRegion

Rest of ROI

Imports

Village 72.5 17.5 6.8 1.5 0.6 1.1

Small town 84.5 10.7 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0

Med town 71.3 17.8 7.1 2.2 1.5 0.2

Large town 84.4 13.4 2.0 0.1 0.0 0.0

Cities 70.2 24.1 4.4 0.9 0.2 0.2

Average 74.0 17.8 5.8 1.2 0.6 0.6

Cumulative share

74.0 91.8 97.6 98.8 99.4 100

Note: rows sum to 1 and may not sum exactly to 1 due to rounding.

• Labour costs accounts for 26 per cent of overall total inputs in the agri-business sector.

• 92 per cent of agri-business’ employees travel less than 20kms.

• Settlement type (village to city) does not seem to impact the distance travelled by agri-business’ employees.

Page 13: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Outputs - Location of customersZone and Distance Band 

Output by Settlement type

A B C D E F

0-9km10-

20km21-

40kmRegion

Rest of ROI

Exports

Village 10.7 9.7 10.5 12.9 32.1 1.1

Small town 32.1 19.9 14.9 8.3 7.7 0.0

Med town 17.6 6.2 7.3 13.6 28.7 0.2

Large town 45.9 11.2 18.2 10.2 2.6 0.0

Cities 46.1 23.0 6.4 5.9 9.3 0.2

W. Average 23.8 12.8 10.3 11.0 22.4 0.6

Cum. 23.8 36.6 46.9 57.9 80.3 100

Note: rows sum to 1 and may not sum exactly to 1 due to rounding.

• Relatively high heterogeneity on main market for output depending on settlement type

• The agri-business firms in the open countryside and villages have lowest percentage within zone A and highest exports.

• Agri-business firms in cities reliance on zone A finding contrary to what the literature would suggest.

Page 14: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Conclusions• Importance for rural Ireland - 50 per cent of agri-business processing firms

are located in the open countryside/village.

• Agri-business processing firms in villages and the open countryside have a higher propensity to export and are less reliant on the local market to sell their produce.

• Regional significance - 76 per cent of non-labour inputs are sourced within the NUTS3 region and only 7 per cent are imported.

• Domestic ownership - 94 per cent of agri-business processing firms are Irish owned.

• Commuting patterns are relatively short - over 90 per cent of employees travelling less than 20km to work in an agri-business processing firm.

Page 15: The Impact of Agri-Business Processing Firms on the Local Economy Mary Carey Teagasc Rural Economy and Development Programme School of Economics, UCD Supervisors:

Next steps

•Appropriate modelling technique when dealing with shares…. Fractional multinomial/mixed logit?

•Estimate regional coefficient which measures the strength of ‘regional economic integration’

•Regional coefficient inserted into the Spatial Input-Output table generated by applying Cross-Industry Location Quotient (CILQ) to the national I-O tables.