the general linear model (for dummies…) carmen tur and ashwani jha 2009

The General Linear Model (for dummies…)

Carmen Tur and Ashwani Jha 2009

Overview of SPM

RealignmentRealignment SmoothingSmoothing

NormalisationNormalisation

General linear modelGeneral linear model

Statistical parametric map (SPM)Statistical parametric map (SPM)Image time-seriesImage time-series

Parameter estimatesParameter estimates

Design matrixDesign matrix

TemplateTemplate

KernelKernel

Gaussian Gaussian field theoryfield theory

p <0.05p <0.05

StatisticalStatisticalinferenceinference

What is the GLM?

• It is a model (ie equation)• It provides a framework that allows us to

make refined statistical inferences taking into account:– the (preprocessed) 3D MRI images– time information (BOLD time series)– user defined experimental conditions– neurobiologically based priors (HRF)– technical / noise corrections

How does work?

• By creating a linear model:

Collect Data

X

Y

Data

How does work?


Collect Data

Generate model

X

Y

Data

Y=bx + c

How does work?


Collect Data

Generate model

Fit model

X

Y

Data

Y=0.99x + 12 + e

e

N

tte

1

2 = minimum

How does work?


Collect Data

Generate model

Fit model

Test modelX

Y

Data

Y=0.99x + 12 + e

e

GLM matrix format

Y = β1 X1 + C + e 5.9 1 2 15.0 2 0 18.4 3 5 12.3 4 4 24.7 5 8 23.2 6 8 19.3 7 0 13.6 8 9 26.1 9 1 21.6 10 5 31.7 11 2

• But GLM works with lists of numbers (matrices)

Y = 0.99x + 12 + e

GLM matrix format

• But GLM works with lists of numbers (matrices)

Y = β1 X1 + β2 X2 + C + e 5.9 1 2 15.0 2 2 18.4 3 5 12.3 4 5 24.7 5 5 23.2 6 2 19.3 7 2 13.6 8 5 26.1 9 5 21.6 10 5 31.7 11 2

Y = 0.99x + 12 + e

‘non-linear’We need to put this in… (data Y, and design matrix Xs)

sphericity assumption

GLM matrix format

=

e+y X

N

1

N N

1 1p

p

eXy ),0(~ 2INe

fMRI example (from SPM course)…

Passive word listeningversus rest7 cycles of rest and listeningBlocks of 6 scanswith 7 sec TR

Question: Is there a change in the BOLD response between listening and rest?

Stimulus function

One sessionA very simple fMRI experiment

Time

BOLD signal

Time

A closer look at the data (Y)…

Look at each voxel over time (mass univariate)

BOLD signal

Time = + erro

r

e

2+

x2

1

x1

The rest of the model…

exxy 2211

Instead of C

The GLM matrix format

eXy

= +

e

2

1

y X

),0(~ 2INe

…easy!

• How to solve the model (parameter estimation)

• Assumptions (sphericity of error)

• Actually try to estimate

• ‘best’ has lowest overall error ie the sum of squares of the error:

• But how does this apply to GLM, where X is a matrix…

^

Solving the GLM (finding )

Y=0.99x + 12 + e

e

N

tte

1

2 = minimum

^

…need to geometrically visualise the GLM in N dimensions

= +

e

2

1

y x1 x2

N

^

^

…need to geometrically visualise the GLM

031

01

2

121

= +e

2

1

y x1 x2

N=3

x2

x1

Design space defined by y = X

^

^^What about the actual data y?

…need to geometrically visualise the GLM

= +e

2

1

y x1 x2

N=3

x2

x1

Design space defined by y = X

^

^^

y

031

01

2

121

Once again in 3D..

• The design (X) can predict the data values (y) in the design space.

• The actual data y, usually lies outside this space.

• The ‘error’ is difference.

ye

Design space defined by X

x1

x2 ̂ˆ Xy

^

eXy

Solving the GLM (finding ) – ordinary least squares (OLS)

• To find minimum error:

• e has to be orthogonal to design space (X). “Project data onto model”

• ie: XTe = 0XT(y - X) = 0 XTy = XTX

eXy

ye

Design space defined by X

x1

x2 ̂ˆ Xy

N

tte

1

2 = minimum

yXXX TT 1)(ˆ eXy

Assuming sphericity

• We assume that the error has:– a mean of 0, – is normally distributed– is independent (does not

correlate with itself)

),0(~ 2INe

e

526

97

51

21

e

=

e

frequency

Assuming sphericity

• We assume that the error has:– a mean of 0, – is normally distributed– is independent (does not

correlate with itself)

),0(~ 2INe

e

526

97

51

21

e

=te

1te

x

Solution

Half-way re-cap…

eXy

= +

e

2

1

Ordinary least squares

estimation (OLS) (assuming i.i.d.

error):yXXX TT 1)(ˆ

y X

GLM

GLM

Methods for dummies 2009-10London, 4th November 2009

II partCarmen Tur

I. BOLD responses have a delayed and dispersed form

HRF

Neural stimulus hemodynamic response

time

Neural stimulus

Hemodynamic Response Function: This is the expected BOLD signal if a neural stimulus takes place

expected BOLD response = input function impulse response function (HRF)

expected BOLD

response

Problems of this model

I. BOLD responses have a delayed and dispersed form Solution: CONVOLUTION

HRF

Transform neural stimuli function into a expected BOLD signal with a canonical hemodynamic response function (HRF)

t

dtgftgf0

)()()(


II. The BOLD signal includes substantial amounts of low-frequency noise


WHY? Multifactorial: biorhythms, coil heating, etc…

HOW MAY OUR DATA LOOK LIKE?

IntensityOf BOLD signal

Time

Real dataPredicted response, NOT taking into account low-frequency drift

II. The BOLD signal includes substantial amounts of low-frequency noise


Solution: HIGH PASS FILTERING

discrete cosine

transform (DCT) set

STEPS so far…Interim summary: GLM so far…

1. Acquisition of our data (Y)2. Design our matrix (X)3. Assumptions of GLM 4. Correction for BOLD signal shape: convolution5. Cleaning of our data of low-frequency noise6. Estimation of βs

But our βs may still be wrong! Why?

7. Checkup of the error… Are all the assumptions of the error satisfied?

III. The data are serially correlated Temporal autocorrelation:

in y = Xβ + e over time

0

It is…

t

e

e in time t is correlated with e in time t-1


It should be…

0 t

e


in y = Xβ + e over time

WHY? Multifactorial…



in y = Xβ + e over timeet = aet-1 + ε (assuming ε ~ N(0,σ2I))


autocovariance function

Autoregressive model

in other words: the covariance of error at time t (et) and error at

time t-1 (et-1) is not zero





et = aet-1 + ε

et = a (aet-2 + ε) + ε et = a2et-2 + aε + ε

et = a2(aet-3 + ε) + aε + ε et = a3et-3 + a2ε + aε + ε…

et -1= aet-2 + εet -2= aet-3 + ε…

But a is a number between 0 and 1


in other words: the covariance of error at time t (et) and error at time t-1

(et-1) is not zero

time (scans)

time(scans)

ERROR:Covariance

matrix

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10



autocovariance function



This violates the assumption of the error e ~ N (0, σ2I)

in other words: the covariance of error at time t (et) and error at

time t-1 (et-1) is not zero

III. The data are serially correlated Solution:

1. Use an enhanced noise model with hyperparameters for multiple error covariance components


It should be… It is…

et = aet-1 + εa ≠ 0 a = 0

et = aet-1 + εet = ε But…a? ?

et = εOr, if you

wish


1. Use an enhanced noise model with hyperparameters for multiple error covariance components


It should be… It is…

et = aet-1 + εa ≠ 0 a = 0

et = aet-1 + εet = ε But…a? ?

We would like to know covariance (a, autocovariance) of error

But we can only estimate it: V V = Σ λiQ i

V = λ1Q1 + λ2Q 2 λ1 and λ2:

hyperparameters

Q1 and Q2: multiple error covariance

components


1. Use an enhanced noise model with hyperparameters for multiple error covariance components 2. Use estimated autocorrelation to specify filter matrix W for whitening the data

et = aet-1 + ε (assuming ε ~ N(0,σ2I))

WY = WXβ + We


Other problems – Physiological confounds

• head movements

• arterial pulsations (particularly bad in brain stem)

• breathing

• eye blinks (visual cortex)

• adaptation affects, fatigue, fluctuations in concentration, etc.

Other problems – Correlated regressors

Example: y = x1β1 + x2β2 + e

When there is high (but not perfect) correlation between regressors, parameters can be estimated… But the estimates will

be inefficiently estimated (ie highly variable)

• HRF varies substantially across voxels and subjects

• For example, latency can differ by ± 1 second

• Solution: MULTIPLE BASIS FUNCTIONS (another talk)

Other problems – Variability in the HRF

HRF could be understood as a linear combination of A, B and C

A

BC

Model everythingImportant to model all known

variables, even if not experimentally interesting:

effects-of-interest (the regressors we are actually interested in)

+head movement, block and subject

effects…

subjects

globalactivity or movementconditions:

effects of interest

Ways to improve the model

Minimise residual error variance

• The aim of modelling the measured data was to make inferences about effects of interest

• Contrasts allow us to make such inferences

• How? T-tests and F-tests

How to make inferences

REMEMBER!!

Another talk!!!

Using an easy example...

SUMMARY

Given data (image voxel, y)

Y = X . β + ε

Different (rigid and known) predictors (regressors, design matrix, X)

x1

x2

x3

x4

x5

x6 Time

Y = X . β + ε

Fitting our models into our data (estimation of parameters, β)

x1 x2 x3 x4 x5 x6

Y = X . β + εY = X . β + ε

Y = X . β + ε HOW?


Minimising residual error variance

Minimising residual error variance

e (error) = yo - ye

Minimising the Sums of Squares of the Error differences between your predicted model and the observed data

y = x16 + x23+ x31+ x42+ x51+ x636 + e

Y = X . β + ε


y = x1β1 + x2β2 + x3β3 + x4β4 + x5β5 + x6β6 + e

We must pay attention to the problems that the GLM has…

Y = X . β + ε

Making inferences:our final goal!!

The end

REFERENCES1. Talks from previous years2. Human brain function

THANKS TO GUILLAUME FLANDIN

Many thanks for your attentionLondon 4th Nov 2009

GENERAL LINEAR MODEL – Methods for Dummies 2009-2010

the general linear model (for dummies…) carmen tur and ashwani jha 2009

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