the future car will be electric and autonomous...the future car will be electric and autonomous the...

CenexCentre of excellence for low carbon and fuel cell technologies

The Future Car will be Electric and

Autonomous

The Transition to Low Emission Vehicles –

Trends and supply chain opportunities

1st December 2016

LEVEL Event, Emtec, Ruddington

Robert Evans

CEO, Cenex

LEVEL: The Future Car will be Electric and Autonomous

© Cenex 2016

Contents

• Why the future car will be electric

• Why the future will be autonomous

• What does that mean for supply chain opportunities


© Cenex 2016

Why should the future be electric and Autonomous?

• Why electric?• Societal benefits

• Reduced GHG and air pollutant emissions (regulatory compliance)

• Pathway to breaking dependence on fossil fuels

• Strong and aligned global policy drivers for low emission vehicles

• Economic benefits

• Lower operating costs

• Why Autonomous?• Societal benefits

• Reduced road accidents

• Mobility solution for old, young, disabled

• Reduced congestion

• Economic benefits

• Productivity


© Cenex 2016

Sources: Tesla, IB Times

Tesla – Electric and Autonomous – The Future Car is

already with us?!


© Cenex 2016

HEV

PHEV

FCEV

Source: www.toyota-global.com/sustainability/environment/challenge2050/6challenges/pdf/presentation_1e.pdf

Future Forecast of Next Generation

Powertrains (Passenger Car)

BEV


© Cenex 2016

Sources: insideevs.com/magna-reveals-maker-extremely-lightweight-composite-bmw-i3-liftgate/, Cenex-LCV2016,

cartype.com/pages/5811/ford_ecosport__2012, http://www.intelligent-energy.com/our-focus/automotive/overview/

Electrification presents a wide range of supply chain opportunities

http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=YFpI2Kis8dxw8M&tbnid=BSyZnvK6ajcFPM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http://prodrive-technologies.com/&ei=unZ6U7GaOqOd7gai9YD4CQ&bvm=bv.66917471,d.ZGU&psig=AFQjCNH0UncdrxCemFnWv8X-XVmHqvdlBQ&ust=1400621098508412


© Cenex 2016

Conventional Vehicles New Mobility Concepts

Driverless Logistics

Autonomous Vehicles - Key Target Areas for Adoption

+ military + industrial workhorses

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Gladiator_240G.jpg


© Cenex 2016

Framework for Defining Autonomy


© Cenex 2016

CAV Roadmap & CAV Applications


© Cenex 2016

The Mercedes-Benz F 015 Luxury in Motion self

driving concept car being road tested in San

Francisco (March 2015).

www.sfgate.com/cars/article/Insane-Mercedes-self-driving-concept-car-spotted-6116761.php#photo-7610843; Nick Blakes, Mercedes Truck (2015)

Company Activities: Mercedes

Sources:

Future Truck 2025 from Mercedes-Benz – a self-driving truck capable of

50mph on highways

http://www.sfgate.com/cars/article/Insane-Mercedes-self-driving-concept-car-spotted-6116761.php#photo-7610843


© Cenex 2016

"The key element is safety. We need to

keep the driving pleasure for the driver, but

we also want to keep the driver safe. We

have the technologies [to make a driverless

car], but the problem is making it affordable

– and legal responsibility is a big issue. This

is not a game. You aren't playing on a

PlayStation with a second or third life."

Didier Leroy, chief executive of Toyota

Europe.

cars.stanford.edu/Affiliates%20News%20Stories/Attached%20Documents/2014-03-27S-innov_introduction%28Toyota%29.pdf

Sources:

Stage 1 (2010-2013): Development of sensing/control devices and prototype vehicle completion.

Stage 2 (2014-2016): System improvement based on Field Operational Tests and preparation for commercialization

Stage 3 (2017-2019): Commercialization and automobile market penetration. Collaboration and proposals towards

global standard.

University collaboration with the Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology (TUAT) and the University of Tokyo

Toyota Autonomous Vehicle Roadmap

Company Activities: Toyota

http://cars.stanford.edu/Affiliates News Stories/Attached Documents/2014-03-27S-innov_introduction%28Toyota%29.pdf


© Cenex 2016

JLR ADAS testing at Horiba MIRA

Volvo DriveMe Trials in Gothenburg

A fully autonomous Ford Fusion Hybrid research vehicle

under test

media.ford.com/content/fordmedia/fna/us/en/news/2015/01/06/ford-at-ces-announces-smart-mobility-plan.html

Sources:

Autonomous Vehicle testing on the Sagami Expressway in

Kanagawa prefecture

Company Activities: JLR, Ford, Volvo, Nissan

www.autoexpress.co.uk/car-tech/85183/driverless-cars-the-ultimate-guide-to-self-driving-vehicles


© Cenex 2016

Nissan’s IDS concept has been presented as a successor to the Leaf

Its 60 kWh battery pack provides a 500kW range and the IDS concept has

autonomous driving features

Next Generation Electric Vehicles


© Cenex 2016

The Low-carbon Urban Transport Zone

(LUTZ) Pathfinder autonomous electric

vehicle has 22 sensors in total

including panoramic cameras, laser

imaging, and radar, which it uses to

build very detailed virtual (3D) maps of

the world around it.

Lutz Pathfinders are commencing trials

in Milton Keynes

UK Progressing Autonomous Pods

Lutz Pathfinder Westfield Electric Pod

The Westfield Electric Pod will be demonstrated in 2

flagship projects; the Venturer project in Bristol and the

GATEway project in London.


© Cenex 2016

Autonomous Vehicles present a wide range of supply chain

opportunities

+ Inductive Charging if EV operation

+ artificial intelligent + test and validation (digital and physical) + new business models + other


© Cenex 2016

www.iriweb.org/sites/default/files/2016GlobalR%26DFundingForecast_2.pdf

According to Thomson Reuters:

Patent data from 2009 through July

2014 show that activity in propulsion

technology grew from fewer than 2,000

patents to nearly 12,000

There were more than 22,000 unique

self-driving inventions from January 2010

through October 2015

An Era of Motor Industry Innovation


© Cenex 2016

Conclusions

• Strategic drivers for electric and for autonomous vehicles

• Low carbon and intelligent mobility represent twin drivers for innovation in the motor industry and associated supply chain

• Clear evidence of motor industry commitment

• Time of great opportunity with new supply chains forming from vehicle development through to aftersales service and maintenance support

• Role for initiatives like the LEVEL initiative to help support the development of the innovation ecosystem through Enterprise and Learning

CENEX

Holywell Park

Loughborough University

Ashby Road

Loughborough

LE11 3TU

www.cenex.co.uk

01509 635750

18

Thank you for listeningRobert EvansCEO

[email protected]

www.cenex.co.uk

blocked::http://www.cenex.co.uk/

mailto:[email protected]