the fall of commercial (wholesale) underwriting standards kevin m. blakely the risk management...

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The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

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Page 1: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting

Standards

Kevin M. Blakely

The Risk Management Association

Page 2: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association
Page 3: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

Purchase Price multiples

Copyright@2007 Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.

Page 4: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

Total debt to EBITDA multiples

Copyright@2007 Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.

Page 5: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association
Page 6: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

Spread per unit of leverage

Page 7: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

Factors Contributing to decline in Underwriting Standards

Low Interest Rates

Rise of Private Equity Funds

Page 8: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

Growth in private equity since 1992

Source: Merrill Lynch, Somerset Capital Limited, Watson Wyatt estimates.

Page 9: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

Factors Contributing to decline in Underwriting Standards

Originate to Distribute Model

CLOs

Low Interest Rates

Rise of Private Equity Funds

Page 10: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association
Page 11: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

The Fallout

Credit Crunch

Banks Tighten Internal Procedures

More Pain to Come

Increased Regulatory Interest

Page 12: The Fall of Commercial (Wholesale) Underwriting Standards Kevin M. Blakely The Risk Management Association

Summary 

Underwriting standards Slipped to Unprecedented Levels

New Forces at Work

Expect a strong regulatory response