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Repairing Liberalism: The Welfare State and “global governance” The logic and practice of embedded liberalism

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Page 1: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

Repairing Liberalism: The Welfare State and “global governance”

The logic and practice of embedded liberalism

Page 2: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

Why the great depression? What would have to happen to prevent another one?

“when it comes to the all-too-human problem of recessions and depressions, economists need to abandon the neat but wrong solution of assuming that everyone is rational and markets work perfectly. The vision that emerges as the profession rethinks its foundations may not be all that clear; it certainly won’t be neat; but we can hope that it will have the virtue of being at least partly right.”

Page 3: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

Keynes: Embedded Liberalism

• Could a Marxist explanation and liberal solution be combined?

• Modified Liberalism: Create a climate for a tamed liberal economy to thrive

• Government intervention and the welfare state

Page 4: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

Keynes repair of classical liberalism

• Theory of macroeconomics grew out of the Great Depression• Classical liberal models built on assumptions of individual

behavior (rationality)

• This might work for individuals but not for whole economies

• Why not?

• Economic stability is not assured through market forces

• And market forces that lead to economic downturns create political instability

• Political stability requires state intervention to achieve economic stability

Page 5: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• ↓ employment -> ↓ Demand - No Market correction and spiral downward Why no market correction?

• ↓ employment -> ↓ Demand - Govt. intervention ↑ Employment

Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong!

Keynes and the Limits of the Market

Page 6: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

Keynes’ views bolstered by Expansion of Political Liberalism:

Four Freedoms• The Four Freedoms are goals famously articulated by United States President Franklin D.

Roosevelt in the State of the Union Address he delivered to the United States Congress on January 6, 1941. In an address also known as the Four Freedoms speech, FDR proposed four points as fundamental freedoms humans "everywhere in the world" ought to enjoy:

• Freedom of speech and expression• Freedom of religion• Freedom from want• Freedom from fear• His inclusion of the latter two freedoms went beyond the traditional American Constitutional

values protected by the First Amendment, and endorsed aright to economic security and an internationalist view of foreign policy that have come to be central tenets of modern American liberalism. They also anticipated what would become known decades later as the "human security" paradigm in social science and economic development.

Page 7: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

The split among liberals comes down to preferences the first two freedom vs. preferences for all four freedoms that could encompass equality and

community (individual freedom can produce social “bads”)

• Freedom and efficiency preferred to equality and community

• Every time governments tamper with the market, they make markets less efficient and participants less free– Freedom and efficiency lead to

growth and welfare for all

• Markets don’t promise equal allocation of resources—in fact, that would be contrary to the idea of competition as the key to efficient market allocation

• They are not good at providing public goods or getting rid of externalities

• Equality and citizenship in the community is essential to the liberal idea

• Economic inequality can be tolerated but not if it leads to political inequality

• Provision of public goods enhances the sense of community

• All agree that the state should provide security to citizens and market actors---that means they should provide economic security as well—protection from externalities, social safety nets,

Page 8: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

aggregate demand, credit and regulation

• Social insurance

• bank guarantees

• Govt. created demand

• Adds up to this: Government intervenes in the “trough” of the business cycle to bail out or even take over financial institutions and even industry

Page 9: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• Social insurance: Insures against inability to work, whether from unemployment, disability or old age

• Health insurance: Universal health insurance or access to health care

• Education: Free primary, secondary and university education or access to training and continuing education

• Child care: Child care before primary school to support labor market entry

• But there are three kinds of welfare states:

The Welfare State

Page 10: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• Low benefits: Relatively meager unemployment and retirement benefits

• Unequal benefits: Poor rely on (low) public benefits, middle-class rely on (higher) private benefits

• Private sector priority: Pension, health care supplied by employer, requires participation in the market

The Liberal World of Welfare

Page 11: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• High benefits: Generous unemployment insurance, retirement pensions

• Equal benefits: Both lower and middle classes rely on the same social policies

• Public sector administration: Many benefits (child care, health care) are administered by the state

The Social Democratic World of Welfare

Page 12: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

The U.S. came close to this kind ofwelfare state: The New Deal in the United States, Domestic Embedded

Liberalism + regulation

• WPA

• Social Security

• Minimum Wage

• Banking regulations

• FDIC, Glass-Steegal Act

• SEC

Page 13: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• A source of solidarity: Workers (and the middle class) rely on the same welfare state

• Labor power resources: The welfare state creates jobs (health care, child care) and a solid voting bloc

• Contesting corporate control?: Pension funds as significant actors in Scandinavian financial markets

The consequences of Social Democratic Welfare State

Page 14: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• Limited Choice: Very little discretionary income in Denmark, Norway and Sweden

• Limited Democracy: Trade union influence is not always democratic

• Challenging Conservative Beliefs: Non-traditional role for women and mothers

The Dark Side of the Socialist Welfare State

Page 15: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• High benefits: Generous unemployment insurance, retirement pensions

• Unequal benefits: Unequally distributed depending on occupation and contributions

The Conservative (Communitarian) World of Welfare

Page 16: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

• Reinforces traditional gender roles: Emphasis on contribution history punishes labor market exit

• Reinforces occupational distinctions: More generous benefits for some occupations, civil servants

The Consequences of the Conservative (Communitarian) Welfare State

Page 17: The EU and the Welfare State - University of California ...bev.berkeley.edu/ipe/IPE 2010/13 Embedded Liberalism welfare state... · Liberal Business Cycle Model is Wrong! Keynes and

Three models of the welfare state and health care

• Japan's Obesity-Fighting Tactic (this is 2 minutes and 30 seconds):

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/health/2008/06/23/kyung.fat.busters.cnn?iref=allsearch

The Swedish "Stockholm" Model (4 minutes and 8 seconds):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=muSd9xw1qwo

General Comparison of US health care via statistics such as $ spent on individuals/year, infant mortality, life expectancy (3 minutes and 3 seconds):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nz05zOo4WPw&feature=related

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The End