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The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices Kirk Skaugen Corporate Vice President, General Manager, Datacenter & Connected Systems Group • November 15, 2011

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Page 1: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices Kirk Skaugen • Corporate Vice President, General Manager, Datacenter & Connected Systems Group • November 15, 2011

Page 2: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Intel's Vision This decade we will create and extend computing technology to

connect and enrich the lives of every person on earth.

Page 3: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

The Compute Model Evolution

Mainframes Client/Server Web Cloud

Researchers Many

Pervasive

Ubiquitous

Page 4: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

1997

Intel® TeraFlop Supercomputers

ASCI Red Knights Corner

Source and Photo: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ASCI_Red

2011

Page 5: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

More Devices

1. IDC “Server Workloads Forecast” 2009. 2.IDC “The Internet Reaches Late Adolescence” Dec 2009, extrapolation by Intel for 2 015 2.ECG “Worldwide Device Estimates Year 2020 - Intel One Smart Network

Work” forecast 3. Source: http://www.cisco.com/assets/cdc_content_elements/networking_solutions/service_provider/visual_networking_ip_traffic_chart.html extrapolated to 2015

BY 2015

More Users More Data

>1 Billion More Netizen’s

15 Billion Connected Devices

>1,000 Exabytes

Internet Traffic

Page 6: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Cloud 2015 Vision

Automated IT can focus more on innovation and less

on management

Federated Share data securely

across public and private clouds

Client Aware

Optimizing services based on device capability

Workstations Desktops Intelligent Systems Smartphones Ultrabooks™ Tablets

Page 7: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Users Devices

Data

Page 8: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Emerging Market Growth Story

USA

PRC

Germany

Japan

2010

PRC

USA

Brazil

Russia

2015

Argentina

Indonesia

Poland

Turkey

>10MU TAM Top 4 Markets by TAM

Source: Based on Intel® research MS&F

2015

Page 9: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

200

400

600

800

1000

North

America

Europe South

America

Middle East Asia Africa

Source: www.internetworldstats.com

WW Internet Users MU

% of Population on the Internet

Page 10: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Devices

Users

Data

Page 11: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

2015: 15 Billion Connected Devices

Healthcare In Vehicle Infotainment

Energy

Tablets

Retail

Desktops

Ultrabooks™ Phones

Page 12: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

New

INTELLIGENT CONNECTIONS Are Emerging …

Page 13: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

New

INTELLIGENT CONNECTIONS Are Emerging …

Page 14: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

New

INTELLIGENT CONNECTIONS Are Emerging …

Page 15: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Intelligent Systems Intelligent systems are context aware,

high compute devices which are securely managed, connect seamlessly

to the cloud, and are capable of

complex data analysis.

Page 16: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Digital

UNINTELLIGENT

Secure

Sensors

INTELLIGENT

Connected

Analytics

Managed

Device Evolution

Predictive

Page 17: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Data

Users

Devices

Page 18: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Source: http://www.cisco.com/assets/cdc_content_elements/networking_solutions/service_provider/visual_networking_ip_traffic_chart.html Source:

http://www.cisco.com/assets/cdc_content_elements/networking_solutions/service_provider/visual_networking_ip_traffic_chart.html

150,000,000,000,000,000,000 Bytes*

Through 2009

245,000,000,000,000,000,000 Bytes*

In 2010 Alone

Total Data Crossing the Internet

*Exabytes

Page 19: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

IP Data

GROWTH

2015 Internet Traffic

>1,000 EXABYTES

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Source:

http://www.cisco.com/assets/cdc_content_elements/networking_solutions/service_provider/visual_networking_ip_traffic_chart.html extrapolated to 2015

Page 20: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

2000 2010 1995 2005 1995 2000

Source: IDC WW Server Tracker (1995-2004 systems data) & internal analysis;

2005-2010: Intel shipments 2011-2015: DCG Forecast

Datacenter Processor Growth

>2X in 10 YEARS

Page 21: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Traditional

1995 2000 2005 2010 20152010 2015 1995 1995 2000 2005

CPU Volume TAM

2010 2015

Networking*

Storage

High-Performance

Computing

Cloud

Small & Medium

Business

Infrastructure & Mission

Critical

Workstations

3%

10%

15%

35%

10%

15%

12%

8%

12%

12%

20%

26%

11%

11%

Forecast

Datacenter

Processor Growth

>2X in 5 YEARS

* Reported in ECG

Forecast

Page 22: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Source: Intel, IDC, Extrapolation of www.internetworldstats.com Cisco, Intel

>15B Connected Devices

>3B Internet Users

>1000EB Global IP Traffic

>$500B Datacenter Spend

Page 23: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Summary

• Emerging markets driving device and datacenter growth

• Double the number of internet users in 5 years

• Embedded is becoming intelligent and connected

• Datacenter growth: 2x from 2010 to 2015

Page 24: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Risk Factors The above statements and any others in this document that refer to plans and expectations for the third quarter, the year and the future are forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Words such as “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “believes,” “seeks,” “estimates,” “may,” “will,” “should,” and their variations identify forward-looking statements. Statements that refer to or are based on projections, uncertain events or assumptions also identify forward-looking statements. Many factors could affect Intel’s actual results, and variances from Intel’s current expectations regarding such factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements. Intel presently considers the following to be the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the company’s expectations. Demand could be different from Intel's expectations due to factors including changes in business and economic conditions, including supply constraints and other disruptions affecting customers; customer acceptance of Intel’s and competitors’ products; changes in customer order patterns including order cancellations; and changes in the level of inventory at customers. Intel operates in intensely competitive industries that are characterized by a high percentage of costs that are fixed or difficult to reduce in the short term and product demand that is highly variable and di fficult to forecast. Revenue and the gross margin percentage are affected by the timing of Intel product introductions and the demand for and market acceptance of Intel's products; actions taken by Intel's competitors, including product offerings and introductions, marketing programs and pricing pressures and Intel’s response to such actions; and Intel’s ability to respond quickly to technological developments and to incorporate new features into its products. The gross margin percentage could vary significantly from expectations based on capacity utilization; variations in inventory valuation, including variations related to the timing of qualifying products for sale; changes in revenue levels; product mix and pricing; the timing and execution of the manufacturing ramp and associated costs; start-up costs; excess or obsolete inventory; changes in unit costs; defects or disruptions in the supply of materials or resources; product manufacturing quality/yields; and impairments of long-lived assets, including manufacturing, assembly/test and intangible assets. Expenses, particularly certain marketing and compensation expenses, as well as restructuring and asset impairment charges, vary depending on the level of demand for Intel's products and the level of revenue and profits. The tax rate expectation is based on current tax law and current expected income. The tax rate may be affected by the jurisdictions in which profits are determined to be earned and taxed; changes in the estimates of credits, benefits and deductions; the resolution of issues arising from tax audits with various tax authorities, including payment of interest and penalties; and the ability to realize deferred tax assets. Gains or losses from equity securities and interest and other could vary from expectations depending on gains or losses on the sale, exchange, change in the fair value or impairments of debt and equity investments; interest rates; cash balances; and changes in fair value of derivative instruments. The majority of Intel’s non-marketable equity investment portfolio balance is concentrated in companies in the flash memory market segment, and declines in this market segment or changes in management’s plans with respect to Intel’s investments in this market segment could result in significant impairment charges, impacting restructuring charges as well as gains/losses on equity investments and interest and other. Intel's results could be affected by adverse economic, social, political and physical/infrastructure conditions in countries where Intel, its customers or its suppliers operate, including military conflict and other security risks, natural disasters, infrastructure disruptions, health concerns and fluctuations in currency exchange rates. Intel’s results could be affected by the timing of closing of acquisitions and divestitures. Intel's results could be affected by adverse effects associated with product defects and errata (deviations from published specifications), and by litigation or regulatory matters involving intellectual property, stockholder, consumer, antitrust and other issues, such as the litigation and regulatory matters described in Intel's SEC reports. An unfavorable ruling could include monetary damages or an injunction prohibiting us from manufacturing or selling one or more products, precluding particular business practices, impacting Intel’s ability to design its products, or requiring other remedies such as compulsory licensing of intellectual property. A detailed discussion of these and other factors that could affect Intel’s results is included in Intel’s SEC filings, including the report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended April 2, 2011.

Rev. 7/20/11

Page 25: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Legal Notices and Disclaimers INFORMATION IN THIS DOCUMENT IS PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH INTEL® PRODUCTS. NO LICENSE, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, BY ESTOPPEL OR OTHERWISE, TO ANY INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS IS GRANTED BY THIS DOCUMENT. EXCEPT AS PROVIDED IN INTEL’S TERMS AND CONDITIONS OF SALE FOR SUCH PRODUCTS, INTEL ASSUMES NO LIABILITY WHATSOEVER, AND INTEL DISCLAIMS ANY EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTY, RELATING TO SALE AND/OR USE OF INTEL® PRODUCTS INCLUDING LIABILITY OR WARRANTIES RELATING TO FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, MERCHANTABILITY, OR INFRINGEMENT OF ANY PATENT, COPYRIGHT OR OTHER INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHT. INTEL PRODUCTS ARE NOT INTENDED FOR USE IN MEDICAL, LIFE SAVING, OR LIFE SUSTAINING APPLICATIONS.

Intel may make changes to specifications and product descriptions at any time, without notice.

All products, dates, and figures specified are preliminary based on current expectations, and are subject to change without notice.

Intel, processors, chipsets, and desktop boards may contain design defects or errors known as errata, which may cause the pro duct to deviate from published specifications. Current characterized errata are available on request.

Any code names featured are used internally within Intel to identify products that are in development and not yet publicly announced for release. Customers, licensees and other third parties are not authorized by Intel to use code names in advertising, promotion or marketing of any product or services and any such use of Intel's internal code names is at the sole risk of the user.

Intel product plans in this presentation do not constitute Intel plan of record product roadmaps. Please contact your Intel representative to obtain Intel’s current plan of record product roadmaps.

Software and workloads used in performance tests may have been optimized for performance only on Intel microprocessors. Performance tests, such as SYSmark and MobileMark, are measured using specific computer systems, components, software, operations and functions. Any change to any of those factors may cause the results to vary. You should consult other information and performance tests to assist you in fully evaluating your contemplated purchases, including the performance of that product when combined with other products. For more information go to http://www.intel.com/performance

Intel, Intel Inside, the Intel logo, Centrino, Centrino Inside, Intel Core, Intel Atom and Pentium are trademarks of Intel Co rporation in the United States and other countries.

Material in this presentation is intended as product positioning and not approved end user messaging.

This document contains information on products in the design phase of development.

*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

Copyright © 2011 Intel Corporation, All Rights Reserved

Page 26: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Legal Notices and Disclaimers, cont. Security features enabled by Intel® AMT require an enabled chipset, network hardware and software and a corporate network connection. Intel AMT may not be available or certain capabilities may be limited over a host OS-based VPN or when connecting wirelessly, on battery power, sleeping, hibernating or powered off. Setup requires configuration and may require scripting with the management console or further integration into existing security frameworks, and modifications or implementation of new business processes. For more information, see http://www.intel.com/technology/manage/iamt.

WiMAX connectivity requires a WiMAX enabled device and subscription to a WiMAX broadband service. WiMAX connectivity may require you to purchase additional software or hardware at extra cost. Availability of WiMAX is limited, check with your service provider for details on availability and network limitations. Broadband performance and results may vary due to environment factors and other variables. See www.intel.com/go/wimax for more information.

Intel® My WiFi Technology is an optional feature and requires additional software and a Centrino® wireless adapter. Wi-Fi devices must be certified by the Wi-Fi Alliance for 802.11b/g/a in order to connect. See mywifi.intel.com for more details.

Hyper-Threading Technology requires a computer system with a processor supporting HT Technology and an HT Technology-enabled chipset, BIOS and operating system. Performance will vary depending on the specific hardware and software you use. For more information including details on which processors support HT Technology, see here

No system can provide absolute security under all conditions. Requires an enabled chipset, BIOS, firmware and software and a subscription with a capable Service Provider. Consult your system manufacturer and Service Provider for availability and functionality. Intel assumes no liability for lost or stolen data and/or systems or any other damages resulting thereof. For more information, visit http://www.intel.com/go/anti-theft

Intel® Turbo Boost Technology requires a PC with a processor with Intel Turbo Boost Technology capability. Intel Turbo Boost Technology performance varies depending on hardware, software and overall system configuration. Check with your PC manufacturer on whether your system delivers Intel Turbo Boost Technology. For more information, see http://www.intel.com/technology/turboboost

Requires an Intel® Wireless Display enabled PC, TV Adapter, and compatible television. Available on select Intel® Core processors. Does not support Blu-Ray or other protected content playback. Consult your PC manufacturer. For more information, see www.intel.com/go/wirelessdisplay

(Built-in Visuals) Available on the 2nd gen Intel® Core™ processor family. Includes Intel® HD Graphics, Intel® Quick Sync Video, Intel® Clear Video HD Technology, Intel® InTru™ 3D Technology, and Intel® Advanced Vector Extensions. Also optionally includes Intel® Wireless Display depending on whether enabled on a given system or not. Whether you will receive the benefits of built-in visuals depends upon the particular design of the PC you choose. Consult your PC manufacturer whether built-in visuals are enabled on your system. Learn more about built-in visuals at http://www.intel.com/technology/visualtechnology/index.htm.

Intel® Insider™ is a hardware-based content protection mechanism. Requires a 2nd generation Intel® Core™ processor-based PC with built-in visuals enabled, an Internet connection, and content purchase or rental from qualified providers. Consult your PC manufacturer. For more information, visit www.intel.com/go/intelinsider.

Viewing Stereo 3D content requires 3D glasses and a 3D capable display. Physical risk factors may be present when viewing 3D material

Page 27: The Cloud & The Path To 15 Billion Connected Devices · 2011-2015: DCG Forecast Datacenter Processor Growth >2X in 10 YEARS . Traditional 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 1995 2000 2005 201020151995

Communicate. Collaborate. Innovate.