the 31 annual international conference …...1 conference agenda pre-conference training workshop...

THE 31st ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL

CONFERENCE

ON STATISTICS AND MODELLING IN HUMAN

AND SOCIAL SCIENCES

Agenda

March26-28, 2019

Cairo, Egypt

Faculty of Economics and Political Science,

Cairo University

Sawiris Hall (First Floor)

Conference Organization Committee General Supervisor

Prof. Mahmoud ELSaeed,Dean of Faculty of Economics and

Political Science Executive Secretariat

Prof. Mohamed Ismail, Chairman of Statistics Department

Committee Members Prof. Hussein A. Sayed Prof. TarekEmera

Prof. ZeinabSelim Prof. Abdel HamedNegm

Prof. Maged Osman Prof. Sanaa Ismail

Dr. Mahmoud Rashwan Dr. Rasha El Kholy

Dr. AyaAnas Dr. Nesma Saleh

Dr. Amira ElAyouty Ms. Heba El Deeb

Ms. Reham El-Shaer Ms. Mennat Gamal

Ms. Asmaa Ali Ms. EmanMahmoud

Ms. Aya Samir Ms. RawanArafa

Mr. Ahmed Ali Ms. HebaBasha

Reviewers (In Alphabetical Order)

Prof. Abdallah Ghaly Prof. Abdel Hamed Negm

Prof. Abdel Nasser Saad Dr. AlaaElshazly

Dr.Amira El Ayouty Dr. AzzaElNagar

Prof. Hanan Ali Prof. Heba El-Leithy

Prof. Hussein A. Sayed Prof. Laila El-Zeini

Prof. Nadia Makary Prof. Maged Osman

Prof. Mohamed Ismail Prof. Moshira Ismail

Prof. Tarek Morsy Dr. Sanaa ElGayar

Dr. Zakaria AbdelSamee Prof. ZeinabKhedr

Prof. Zeinab Selim

1

Conference Agenda

Pre-Conference Training Workshop

Sunday, MARCH24THand Monday, MARCH 25TH

“Data Science and Its Applications”

Day 1: Tuesday, March26TH

09:30-10:00 Registration

10:00-11:00 Opening Session

Prof. Mohamed Ismail,Chairman of the StatisticsDepartment

Prof. Mahmoud El Saeed, Dean of Faculty of Economics and

Political Science

Prof. Mohamed Osman El Khosht,President of Cairo

University

Major General Khairat Barakat, Chairman of the Central

Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS)

11:00-11:30 Coffee Break

2

11:30-12:30 Invited Talk:

"Data Sciencesand Environmental Challenges"

Chairman: Prof. Mahmoud Riad(Professor of Statistics,

Former Dean of ISSR, Egypt)

Speaker: Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi (Visiting

professor at Faculty of Economics and Political Science,

Cairo University)

12:30-14:00 Session (1): Theoretical Statistics

Chairman: Prof. Zeinab Selim (Faculty of Economics and

Political Science, Cairo University)

Discussant: Dr. Sanaa El Gayar(Faculty of Economics and


Moderator:Dr. Nevine ElZayat(Faculty of Economics and


1- "On some orderings of random variables obtained

by applying the RST and RSMTtransformations"

Ali, E.E(Department of Statistics and Operations

Research, Faculty of Science, Kuwait University)

2- "On Testing the need for random effects in the

nested-errorregression model"

Mohamed, Y. (Department of Mathematics, Insurance

and Applied Statistics, Faculty of Commerce, Hewlan

University)

3- "Bayesian Estimation and Prediction for

Exponentiated Generalized General Class of

3

Distributions Based on Dual Generalized Order

Statistics"

A. M. Abd AL-Fattah, G. R. AL-Dayian and A. A. EL-

Helbawy (Statistics Department, Faculty of Commerce,

AL-Azhar University (Girls’ Branch))


14:30-16:30Seminar (1)

Economic Census 2017-2018: Methodology

and Uses

: المنهجيه و اإلستخدامات 7102-7102التعداد اإلقتصادي

Chairman:Major General Abu Bakr El-Gendy (FormerMinister of Local Development)

Speakers: Prof. Hussein A. Sayed (Faculty of Economics

and Political Science, Cairo Universityand Overall

Supervisor for Economic Census 2017-2018)

Prof. Sherine ElShawarby (Faculty of Economics and


Dr. Nada Masoud(Economic Adviser to the Minister of

Planning)

4

Day 2: Wednesday, March27th

09:30-11:30 Session (2):Reliability

Chairman: Prof. AbdelHameed Negm (Faculty of

Economics and Political Science, Cairo University)

Discussant: Prof. Moshira Ismail (Faculty of Economics

and Political Science, Cairo University)

Moderator: Dr. Maram Salem(Faculty of Economics and


1- "Bayesian Estimation and Prediction of Discrete

Half Logistic Distribution " AL-Dayian, G. R., EL-Helbawy, A. A., Abd EL-Kader,

R. E. and HegazyM. A.(Department of Statistics,

Faculty of Commerce, AL-Azhar University (Girls’

Branch))

2- "Topp Leone-Inverted KUMARASWAM

Distribution: Properties, Estimationand Prediction"

Behairy, S. M., EL-Helbawy, A. A., Refaey, R. M. and

AL-Dayian, G. R. (Statistics Department, Faculty of

Commerce, AL-Azhar University (Girls’ Branch))

3- "Truncated Modified Weibull: Estimation and

Predication Based on Maximum Likelihood Method" EL-Helbawy, A. A., Mohammad, N. A., EL Gabrey, G.

(Statistics Department, Faculty of Commerce,AL-Azhar

University (Girls' Branch))

5

11:30-13:30 Session (3):Applied Statistics (1)

Chairman:Prof. Nadia Makary(Faculty of Economics


Discussant: Dr. Mona AbdelShafee(Faculty of Economics


Moderator: Dr. Sara Osama (Faculty of Economics and


1- "Detecting Nonlinearity in Egyptian Stock Market

Indices"

Morad, E. T., Amin, A.A. and El-Houssainy, A.R.

(Department of Business administration, Faculty of

Commerce, Cairo University)

2- "Forecasting Hourly Natural Gas Consumption in

Egypt using Prophet Function "

Ismail, M., Atta, M. and Mansour, M. (Department of

Qualitative Methods, Faculty of Commerce,Sohag

University, Egypt)

3- "Contextual Determinants of Hepatitis B and C

Viruses in Egypt: A Multilevel Approach "

Mounir, S. S.and Othman, L. (Statistics Department,

Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo

University)


6

14:00-16:00 Seminar (2)

Data and SocietiesBuilding

البيانات و بناء المجتمعات

يدير الندوه األستاذ الدكتور/ ماجد عثمان تصالت األسبق() األستاذ المتفرغ بقسم اإلحصاء ووزير ال

المتحدثون:

البيانات إلى السياسيات: مبادرة منتدى البحوث اإلقتصاديه إلتاحة من .1 البيانات الفرديه

(منتدى البحوث اإلقتصاديمدير قسم اإلحصاء بد. علي راشد )

. مؤشرات التنميه المستدامه في مصر2

أ. ريم السباعي ) إحصائي بالجهاز المركزي للتعبئه العامه و اإلحصاء(

3 .Data Overview: Knowledge for Change

اليونيسيف منظمة ممثل من

7

Day 3: Thursday, March28th

09:30-11:30 Session (4):Applied Statistics (2)

Chairman: Prof. Laila El-Zeini (Faculty of Economics


Discussant: Dr. Mai Mokhtar (Faculty of Economics and


Moderator: Dr. AyaAnas(Faculty of Economics and


1- "Exploring the changes in the decomposition

ofsocioeconomic inequality in under-five mortality

in Egypt (1995-2014)"

Shoieba, F.T., Hussein, M. A., Husseinc, M.A. and

Helmy, M. (Statistics Department, Faculty of

Commerce, South Valley University)

2- "Sensitivity Analysis Index for Shared Parameter

Models in Longitudinal Studies " Abd-ElWahab, H.A., Elkholy, R.B. and Gad, A.

(Statistics Department, Faculty of Economics and


3- "The Determinants of open access scholarly

publishing: Survey Evidence from Egypt " Nawar, A.H.(Faculty of Economics and Political

Science, Cairo University)

4- " On the Mixture of Flexible Weibull Extension and

Burr XII Distributions"

8

Mamdouh, R. and Ismail, M.(Faculty of Economics and



12:00-13:30 Session (5): Young Researchers

Chairman:Prof. Fatma ElZanaty(Faculty of Economics


1- "Road Accidents in Egypt during the period (2005-

2017)"

Amin, A., Abdelkader, N. and Ali, D. (CAPMAS)

2- "Hypertension & Diabetes in Egypt Survival Analysis

Approach " Asmaa Kamal, Aliaa Tarek, Shrouk Hamdy, Donia

Saed(Statistics Department, Faculty of Economics and


3- "Influence of parenting and child abuse on mental health

and adults well-being "

Mariam Maged, Salma AbdelGany, Caroline

Sherif(Statistics Department, Faculty of Economics and


4- "Determinants of overweight between children from 5 to

19 in Egypt "

Khaled Magdy, Nazih Mohab, Toka Taher (Statistics

Department, Faculty of Economics and Political

Science, Cairo University)

9

Previous proceedings and accepted papers for

presentation during this round of the conference are

available online at

http://feps.edu.eg/en/departments/statistics/conference/i

ndex.html

10

CALL FOR PAPERS

Cairo University

Faculty of Economics and Political Science

Department of Statistics

THE 32nd ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

ON STATISTICS AND MODELLING IN HUMAN

AND SOCIAL SCIENCES

24-26 March, 2020

Important Dates

Deadline for receiving abstracts: 1stDecember 2019

Deadline for receiving papers: 15thJanuary 2020

The conference announces the reward offered by Prof.

Nadia Makary that is granted for any research published

in the conference proceedings and accepted later for

publication in one of the international recognized

periodicals.

Correspondence

Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and

Political Science, Cairo University

Tel: 35728055 – 37744990 Fax: 35728055 - 37744990

e-mail: [email protected]

Website: http://www.feps.edu.eg/en/departments/statistics/conference/index.html

mailto:[email protected]

11

.همتفاني ه، و أستاذهنابه هعالمأمضت عمرها في محراب العلم ، الى روح

حاضره في وجداننا اعن دنيانا و لكن تبقى ذكراه تفقد غاب

هللا ارحمه روقيه سليماند. أ. نهدي مؤتمر هذا العام الي روح

the 31 annual international conference …...1 conference agenda pre-conference training workshop...

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