Texas and Lubbock: Demographic Characteristics

and Trends

Lubbock Chamber of Commerce

December 13, 2011Lubbock, TX

2000Population*

2010Population*

NumericalChange

2000-2010

PercentChange

2000-2010United States 281,421,906 308,745,538 27,323,632 9.7%Texas 20,851,820 25,145,561 4,293,741 20.6%California 33,871,648 37,253,956 3,382,308 10.0%Florida 15,982,378 18,801,310 2,818,932 17.6%Georgia 8,186,453 9,687,653 1,501,200 18.3%

North Carolina 8,049,313  9,535,483  1,486,170  18.5%

Arizona 5,130,632  6,392,017  1,261,385  24.6%

15.7% of numerical change in U.S.

Note: Population values are decennial census counts for April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010.Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.

Growing States, 2000‐2010

Percent ChangeDue to

Year* PopulationNumerical

ChangeNatural

IncreaseNet

MigrationPercentChange

NaturalIncrease

NetMigration

1950 7,711,194 -- -- -- -- -- --1960 9,579,677 1,868,483 1,754,652 113,831 24.2 93.91 6.091970 11,196,730 1,617,053 1,402,683 214,370 16.9 86.74 13.261980 14,229,191 3,032,461 1,260,794 1,771,667 27.1 41.58 58.421990 16,986,510 2,757,319 1,815,670 941,649 19.9 65.85 34.152000 20,851,820 3,865,310 1,919,281 1,946,029 22.8 49.65 50.352009 24,782,302 3,930,484 2,124,124 1,781,785 18.8 54.04 45.33

*All values for the decennial dates are for the indicated census year. Values for 2009 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Note: Residual values are not presented in this table.Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center.

Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950‐2009

U.S. Gross Domestic Product, 1970‐2010

4

Population Change in Lubbock MSA, 1980‐2010

County  1980  1990  2000  2010 

Crosby 8,859 7,304 7,072 6,059

Lubbock 211,651 222,636 242,628 278,831

Total  220,510 229,940 249,700 284,890

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 1980 ‐ 2010 Census Counts. 

Components of Change for Lubbock MSA,2000 to 2009

CountyPopulation Births‐

DeathsMigration

2000 2009 Change Foreign Domestic

Crosby 7,072 6,109 ‐963 336 24 ‐1,308

Lubbock 242,628 270,550 27,922 18,852 2,636 6,674

Total 249,700 276,659 26,959 19,188 2,660 5,366

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 Census Count; 2009 Estimate 

Texas Total Nonfarm EmploymentQuarterly Growth

7

Texas and U.S. Unemployment Rate

8

Texas Residential Permits and Mortgage Rate, 1990‐2010

9

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

2000 to2001

2001 to2002

2002 to2003

2003 to2004

2004 to2005

2005 to2006

2006 to2007

2007 to2008

2008 to2009

InternationalState-to-State

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2009 Population Estimates.

Estimated Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000‐2009

Percent of Migrants to Texas by Race and Ethnicity, 2000‐2009

44%24%

33%

28%50% 40%

23%8% 15%

5%18% 12%

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

Net domesticmigration

Internationalmigration

Total

OtherBlackHispanicWhite

67% of all migrants

(848,702 migrants ) (933,083 migrants) 

52% of all migrants were international

Sources: Percentages of domestic and international migrants by race and ethnicity derived from the 2006‐2008 American Community Survey. Total numbers of domestic and international migrants between 2000‐2009 are from Table 4. Cumulative Estimates of the Components of Resident Population Change for the United States, Regions, States, and Puerto Rico: April 1, 2000 to July 1, 2009, U.S. Census Bureau.

States with Largest Estimated Unauthorized Immigrant Populations, 2010 

12

State Estimate (thousands) Range

California 2,550 (2,350 - 2,750) Texas 1,650 (1,450 - 1,850) Florida 825 (725 - 950)

New York 625 (525 - 725) New Jersey 550 (425 - 650)

Illinois 525 (425 - 625) Georgia 425 (300 - 550) Arizona 400 (275 - 500)

Source: Pew Hispanic Center estimates based on residual methodology applied to March Supplements to the Current Population Survey (February 1, 2011).

Estimated Domestic Migration (2000‐2008) as a Percentage of 2000 Population by County

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

-20 to -45%

-19 to -10%

-9 to -5%

-4 to 0%

1 to 5 %

6 to 20%

21 to 30%

31 to 65%

13

Legend0-1%

1-2.5%

2.5-3.5%

3.5-5%

5-10%

Estimated International Migration (2000‐2008) as a Percentage of 2000 Population by County

Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009. Map produced by the Texas State Data Center. 14

Texas Racial and Ethnic Composition, 2000 and 2010

NH White53%

NH Black11%

NH Other4%

Hispanic or Latino32%

2000

NH White45%

NH Black11%

NH Other6%

Hispanic or Latino38%

2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts. 

200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 years

90 years

95 years

100 to 104 years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Male Hispanic Male Black, Non‐Hispanic Male Asian, Non‐Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic

Female White, Non‐Hispanic Female Hispanic Female Black, Non‐Hispanic Female Asian, Non‐Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic

16

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1. 

200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 years

90 years

95 years

100 to 104 years

Male White, Non‐Hispanic Female White, Non‐Hispanic

17

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1. 

200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000Under 1 year

5 years

10 years

15 years

20 years

25 years

30 years

35 years

40 years

45 years

50 years

55 years

60 years

65 years

70 years

75 years

80 years

85 years

90 years

95 years

100 to 104 years

Male Hispanic Male Black, Non‐Hispanic Male Asian, Non‐Hispanic Male Other, Non Hispanic

Female Hispanic Female Black, Non‐Hispanic Female Asian, Non‐Hispanic Female Other, Non Hispanic

18

Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1. 

5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000    1 year

    6 years

    11 years

    16 years

    21 years

    26 years

    31 years

    36 years

    41 years

    46 years

    51 years

    56 years

    61 years

    66 years

    71 years

    76 years

    81 years

    86 years

    91 years

    96 years

105 to 109 years

Male Female

19

Population Pyramid , Lubbock County, 2010

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1. 

Total Population by County, 2010

20

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Count.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

p82 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,001

100,001 - 500,001

500,001 - 1,000,000

1,000,001 - 4,100,000

Numeric Change of Total Population by County, 2000‐2010

21

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000  and  2010 Census Counts.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

-3,200 - 0

1 - 10,000

10,001 - 50,000

50,001 - 100,000

100,001 - 700,000

Percent Change of Total Population by County, 2000‐2010

22

Population increase for Texas was 20.6%during this period.

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

-20%-0%

1%-10%

10.1-25%

25.1%-50%

50.1%-82%

Numeric Change in Hispanic Populationby County, 2000‐2010

23

-1,200 - 0

1 - 1,000

1,001 - 5,000

5,001 - 15,000

15,001 - 25,000

25,001 - 56,000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2000 and 2010 Census Counts.Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

Percent of Population That Is Foreign Born by County, 2005‐2009

0-5%

5-10%

10-15%

15-25%

25-35%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 5‐Year Sample 2005‐2009.

Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

Housing Characteristics, Texas and Selected Counties, 2010

25

Percent Vacant Housing Units

Owner‐occupied Housing Units

Average Household Size of Owner‐Occupied Units

Texas 9.4 63.8 2.87

Brazos  6.5 45.6 2.8

Lubbock  8 59.2 2.67

Midland  11.1 69.6 2.84

Nueces  10.3 61.3 2.91

Randall  4.7 70.3 2.65

Smith  8.4 69.7 2.67

Taylor  9.2 61.6 2.62

Wichita  9.1 62.3 2.56

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. 2010 Census Summary File 1. 

Percent of the Civilian Labor Force Employed

26

Webb

Harris

Bell

Ellis

Bexar

Hidalgo

Brazoria

Ector

Travis

Smith

Potter

Collin

Taylor

Dallas Parker

Denton

El Paso

Tarrant

Hays

Randall

Grayson

Midland

Lubbock

Jefferson

Williamson

McLennan

Nueces

Cameron

Fort Bend

Wichita

Johnson

Montgomery Brazos

Guadalupe

Gregg

Galveston Galveston

49-55%

55.1-60%

60.1-62.5%

62.6-65%

65.1-70.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 3‐Year Sample 2008‐2010.

Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

Percent of People with Health Insurance Over the Last 12 Months

27

Webb

Harris

Bell

Ellis

Bexar

Hidalgo

Brazoria

Ector

Travis

Smith

Potter

Collin

Taylor

Dallas Parker

Denton

El Paso

Tarrant

Hays

Randall

Grayson

Midland

Lubbock

Jefferson

Williamson

McLennan

Nueces

Cameron

Fort Bend

Wichita

Johnson

Montgomery Brazos

Guadalupe

Gregg

Galveston Galveston

63-65%

65.1-70%

70.1-75%

75.1-80%

80.1-85.6%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 3‐Year Sample 2008‐2010.

Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

$18,000-30,000

$ 30,000-35,000

$ 35,000-40,000

$40,000-50,000

$ 50,000-76,000

Median Household Income by County, 2005‐2009

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 5‐Year Sample 2005‐2009.

Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

Percent of Families Whose Income was Below Poverty in the Last 12 months

29

Webb

Harris

Bell

Ellis

Bexar

Hidalgo

Brazoria

Ector

Travis

Smith

Potter

Collin

Taylor

Dallas Parker

Denton

El Paso

Tarrant

Hays

Randall

Grayson

Midland

Lubbock

Jefferson

Williamson

McLennan

Nueces

Cameron

Fort Bend

Wichita

Johnson

Montgomery Brazos

Guadalupe

Gregg

Galveston Galveston

4.6-5%

5.1-10%

10.1-15%

15.1.20%

20.1-30.5%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey, 3‐Year Sample 2008‐2010.

Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

Race/Ethnic Composition by Education Level in the Labor Force (aged 25 years and more), Texas, 2009

19%

6%

71%

3%

30

67%

8%

15%

9%

Source: Derived from 2009 American Community Survey 1‐Year Estimates by the Office of the State Demographer.Less Than High School

College and Greater

Projected Percent of Labor Force by Educational Attainment in Texas, 2000 and 2040

Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 1.0 Migration Scenario.

18.8

29.0 28.7

18.2

5.3

30.128.7

23.9

12.9

4.4

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

30.0

35.0

No High School Diploma High School Graduate Some College Bachelor's Degree Graduate/ProfessionalDegree

Percen

t

2000 2040

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

2036

2038

2040

AngloBlackHispanicOther

Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections, 2000‐2007 Migration Scenario. 32

Projected Racial and Ethnic Population Percentages for Texas, 2000‐2040

Source: Texas State Data Center. 2008 Population Projections. 

Year

Projected Population Growth in Texas, 2000‐2040

33

36 - 1000

1001 - 10000

10001 - 50000

50001 - 100000

100001 - 500000

500001 - 1000000

1000001 - 8000000

Projected Population by Texas Counties, 2040

Source: Texas State Data Center. Vintage 2008 Population Projections,2000‐2007 Migration Scenario. 

Map produced by the Texas State Data Center.

Percent Projected Change of Total Population in Texas Counties, 2008‐2040

35

36

Demographics & Destiny

Contact 

Lloyd Potter, Ph.D.Office: (512) 463‐8390 or (210) 458‐6530Email: Lloyd.Potter@osd.state.tx.usInternet: http://osd.state.tx.us