test 2 solution sketches note for multiple-choice questions: choose the closest answer

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  • Slide 1
  • Test 2 solution sketches Note for multiple-choice questions: Choose the closest answer
  • Slide 2
  • Average Equity Risk Premium In 1985, the country of Urce had average bond returns of 2.5%, followed by 3.6% in 1986 and 1.6% in 1987. The average return on stocks in these years was 5.7%, -3.8%, and 10.5%. What was the average equity risk premium in Urce over this 3-year period? (Use the arithmetic mean.) Avg stock return=(5.7-3.8+10.5)/3 = 4.133% Avg bond return=(2.5+3.6+1.6)/3 = 2.567% Difference = 4.133 2.567 = 1.566%
  • Slide 3
  • PV of Stock with Dividends
  • Slide 4
  • PV of Stock with Growing Dividend Organ Power Chicken will not pay its first dividend until 5 years from today. This dividend will be $1, with each subsequent payment increasing by 8.5%. What is the PV of the stock if the effective annual discount rate is 15%? PV = [1 / (1.15) 4 ] * [1 / (.15-.085)] = $8.80
  • Slide 5
  • CAPM Expected Return Treehouse of Antacid stock has a beta value of 2.5 and an expected return of 10%. The risk-free rate of return is currently 1.25%. What is the expected return on the market? 10% = 1.25 + 2.5 * (X 1.25) 8.75 = 2.5X 3.125 X = 4.75%
  • Slide 6
  • Geometric Average Return A portfolio of stock is worth $500 today. It was worth $450 one year ago, $440 two years ago, and $435 three years ago. What is the geometric average rate of return over the last three years? (500/435) 1/3 1 = 4.75%
  • Slide 7
  • Lottery Payments The Saw Mill Gum lottery will pay Elianna $100,000 today. Each subsequent payment will be $10,000 higher than the one before. Her final payment will be $140,000. What is the PV of these payments if her effective annual discount rate is 14%? PV = 100,000 + 110,000/1.14 + 120,000/(1.14) 2 + 130,000/(1.14) 3 + 140,000/(1.14) 4 PV = $459,464
  • Slide 8
  • Profitability Index Bumble Bloop canned sardines buy a machine that costs $50,000 today. The machine leads to positive cash flows in the future, starting at $5,000 in one year and subsequent annual cash flows that increase by 5% forever. What is the profitability index of this machine if the effective annual discount rate is 15%? PV of cash flows = 5000/(.15-.05)=$50,000 P.I. = 50,000/50,000 = 1
  • Slide 9
  • Real Rate of Return with Inflation According to the CPI, a bundle that cost $1,000 in 2011 would cost $1,020.69 in 2012. If an investment received a nominal rate of return of 5% between 2011 and 2012, what is the real rate of return? Inflation = (1020.691000)/1000 = 2.069% (1 + real)*(1 + inflation) = 1 + nominal (1 + real)* 1.02069 = 1.05 Real =.028716 = 2.87%
  • Slide 10
  • Balloon Payment Clayton is taking out an interest-only home loan for $100,000 today. (His monthly payments will only cover the interest.) He will make 120 monthly payments starting in one month, and a final balloon payment 10 years from today.
  • Slide 11
  • Balloon Payment How much will this balloon payment be if the stated annual interest rate is 12%, compounded monthly? Balance at the beginning of each month is $100,000 Balloon payment is $100,000
  • Slide 12
  • Growing Savings Danica is trying to save up enough money for her sons racing lessons 10 years from now. The PV of the costs of the racing lessons is $10,000. She will save $X one year from today, and increase this amount by 5% each year for a total of 9 years. The total savings will be exactly enough to cover the racing lessons.
  • Slide 13
  • Growing Savings Find X if the effective annual discount rate is 8%. $10,000=X * 1/(r - g) * [1((1+g)/(1+r)) 9 ] $10,000=X * 1/(.08-.05) * [1(1.05/1.08) 9 ] $10,000=7.46499 * X X = $1,339.59
  • Slide 14
  • PV of Growing Annuity The current date is May 22, 2013. Today, Benson will deposit $500 into a bank account that earns 5% effective annual interest. In the future, he will make annual deposits on the same date each year. The next deposit will be $1,050, and each deposit growing by 5%.
  • Slide 15
  • PV of Growing Annuity In what year will Bensons account have a PV of $8,500? Growing annuity formula will not work (r=g) PV = 500 + 8*1000 = $8,500 Answer is May 22, 2021 2013Year 0PV = $500 2014Year 1PV = $1050/1.05 = $1000 2015Year 2PV = $1050*1.05/(1.05) 2 = $1000 2012Year 8PV = $1000
  • Slide 16
  • Stock Value Almond Tar Fireplaces will pay quarterly dividends of $5 every 3 months, starting 2 months from now. What is the PV of this stock if the effective annual discount rate is 15%? Quarterly rate = (1.15) 1/4 1 = 3.55581% Monthly rate = (1.15) 1/12 1 = 1.17149%
  • Slide 17
  • Stock Value If the first dividend were paid in 3 months: PV = $5/.0355581 = $140.62 Since the first dividend is in 2 months: PV = 140.62 * 1.0117149 = $142.26
  • Slide 18
  • Internal Rates of Return There is a potentially-profitable gold mine in the Purple Elephant Hills. The company would have to pay $200 million today to open the mine. One year from today, all of the gold extracted will be sold for $450 million. Two years from today, costs of $252 million must be paid to seal the mine. There are no other costs or benefits.
  • Slide 19
  • IRR: Part (a)
  • Slide 20
  • IRR: Part (b) For what discount rates should the mine be opened? Show all work to justify your answer. Answer: 0.05 < r < 0.20 Option 1: Equation for NPV (0=-100r 2 +25r-1) has a=-100