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2009 Internet Advertising Revenue Report Rethinking the Market Opportunity April 7, 2010 Terence Kawaja GCA Savvian Advisors

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Page 1: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

2009 Internet Advertising Revenue Report

Rethinking the Market Opportunity

April 7, 2010

Terence Kawaja

GCA Savvian Advisors

Page 2: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

$8.1 $7.1 $6.0$7.3

$9.6$12.5

$16.9

$21.2$23.4 $22.7

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35

$40

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

$ B

illio

ns

Online Ad Spend ($Bn)

CAGR = 12%

Notes:Source: IAB / PricewaterhouseCoopers internet advertising revenue reports.

Interactive Advertising is on a Long Term Growth Pa th…

Page 3: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Online

Magazines

Radio

Newspapers

TV

% ad spending by media % of time households spend by media

Media Consumption vs. Ad Spend, 2009

Notes:Source: Wall Street research, 2010.(1) As a percentage of ad spending on the media channels indicated above only: TV, Newspaper, Radio, Magazines and Online.

…But Has Much More Upside Potential

Page 4: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

The Crowded Display Ad Tech Landscape

Targeted

Video / Rich Media

Horizontal

Yield Optimization

Ad Networks

Vertical

Performance

Mobile

PUBLISHERS

PUBLISHERS

Data Exchanges / Aggregators

Creative Optimization

Data Optimization

AUDIENCE

ADVERTISERS

ADVERTISERS

Ad Exchanges

DSPsMedia Buying Platforms

Agencies

Publisher Tools

Data Suppliers

Ad Ops / Infrastructure

Ad Servers Ad Servers

Verification / Attribution

Sharing Data / Social Tools

Analytics

Trading Desk

Page 5: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

Deals are Back and Consolidation is Coming

RecentDigital MediaAcquisitions:

$10 $9 $10

$4 $3$4

$7$8

50 4954

3034

45

20

30

$0

$4

$8

$12

$16

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

2008 2009

Tra

nsac

tion

Vol

ume

($B

n)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Num

ber

of T

rans

actio

ns

Global Tech Transactions $10MM - $1.0Bn (1)

Notes:(1) Source: FactSet as of 2/28/10; Includes global announced acquisitions in the specified range of transaction sizes; excludes minority investments, JVs etc.; includes all transactionswith target in Electronic Technology, Technology Services, and Communications sectors as defined by FactSet.

Transaction Volume ($Bn) Number of Transactions

Page 6: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

Convergence in the Purchase Funnel

Purchase Funnel Metric Example Companies

CPM

CPC

CPL

CPA

Transaction

Customer

Search

Lead

Impression

Sale

Data

Page 7: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

Going After the Elephant in the Room: TV

• Online video is currently a fraction of total TV and online spending

• The holy grail is achieved when digital video is part of the television budget

• Much of the media optimization techniques honed in online can be applied to TV audiences

• Shift in agency dynamic and marketer mindset is key

Notes:Source: VSS Communications, August 2009; eMarketer, December 2009.

$0.5$6.7

$73.2

Television

Display & In-Page Video

In-Stream Video

US Video & Display Advertising, 2009 ($MM)

Page 8: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

Achieving the Holy Grail: Solving for Attribution

� Several links in the attribution chain are missing:– Online to online (the last click phenomenon)– Online to offline– Offline to online

� Technology is improving data collection and analysi s which will allow for the discovery of “digital foot prints”

� Once attribution is achieved, there is no reason al l media cannot be optimized

� Already, several interesting technologies have been deployed:

– TV set top box measurement– Mobile location-based services

TELEVISION

DIGITAL

RETAIL

Page 9: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

Rethinking the Market Opportunity

� Forecasts show the interactive channel growing to $ 50+ billion in 5 years

– Represents an linear, evolutionary approach– The challenge is to think revolution, not evolution– How does interactive get to a $100 billion marketpl ace?– Think new definition for “interactive” to go beyond online

• Digitally-addressable video (aka TV)• Offline commerce enablement• Mobile

� Several reasons for a revolution– Innovation (eg. media optimization, real time pheno menon)– Simplification (less point solutions)– Consolidation (entry of larger players)– Attribution (eg. TV, offline retail)

Page 10: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

Putting $100 Billion in Perspective

� Healthcare reform for one year

� War in Iraq and Afghanistan for a year

� Cost of recent bank failures to the FDIC

� A controlling stake in Google (at market)

Page 11: Terence Kawaja Pw C Presentation

GCA Savvian’s Digital Media Advisory Business

� Leading investment banking firm with over 200 professionals worldwide

� Services include advice on mergers and acquisitions , private capital finance and restructurings

� Advised on over $60 billion in transactions since 2 006

� Advisor to media companies new and old

TOKYO • SAN FRANCISCO • CHICAGO • NEW YORK • LONDON

Terence KawajaManaging Director+1 [email protected]

John LambrosManaging Director+1 212.999.7083 [email protected]

Steven FletcherManaging Director+1 [email protected]