ten key trends bob pearson march 1, 2017 - sysomos march 1 2017... · storytizing with social...
TRANSCRIPT
The advertising era is ending
• Traditional segmentation is not effective
• 5 vs. 5000 personas
• Primary research is not enough
• Conscious vs. subconscious
• Paid media is no longer a strong stand alone
• Earned, shared and owned are more impactful
• Email was never the right model for conversion
• .5% vs. 5-15%
• Lack of speed is a major issue
• Campaigns are too slow, trends are missed
The Storytizing era is beginning
• Audience architecture leads to real alignment
• We can follow our exact audience and listen/learn
• Shaping our reputation is based on relevance
• If our customers don’t care, muscle won’t make up for it
• The 1,9,90 model is the new “media platform”
• Media, influencers, interpreters and shapers
• Social channels are more powerful than most traditional media
outlets
• We can reach 1MM+ MDs in Facebook alone
• Patients and Providers are the new “cousins”
• They follow, learn and discuss health daily
3 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
#1 – Human patterns never lie
Machine learning will only accelerate this
potential
4 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
Our Brains Operate in Finite Terms
• A finite # of Q&A’s answers majority of queries
• Assume an average of 200-400 per brand
• A finite # of questions are asked about any issue
• Approximately 77
• A finite # of words drive the majority to your story
• Normally 15 words or phrases max
• A finite # of influencers drive share of
conversation
• Never more than 50
5 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
#2 – The 1,9,90 model is alive
We can reach all three groups as part of a
normal media strategy and understand how to
listen in different ways to each group
6 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
The 1,9,90 Model for Earned & Shared Media
1% CREATE Content
InfluencersIndividuals who drive ideas that fuel
conversations and are sharing with
current/potential customers.
Focus content and relationships here.
9% SHARE & REPACKAGE
9
AdvocatesIndividuals who carry a trend, and where
top influencers source ideas.
Important to surround with paid & earned
media.
90% LISTEN & LEARN
90
EnthusiastsConsumers who read, search and
consume trends online every day.
Important to listen, educate, share and
provide unique experiences.
1
#3 – We listen and align to our
actual audience
The emergence of Audience Architecture
8 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
Audience Architecture – Three Key Areas
FUTURE CUSTOMERSKNOWN AUDIENCE FINITE SET OF CUSTOMERS
9 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
Professional
With 100% accuracy, we know who we are
listening to. It is a finite audience and we can
listen to the entire audience or a statistically
valid panel.
A Specific Group Like-Minded
This is a specific group we care about and
want to understand how they think.
We define the audience and then build the
audience architecture to listen to them
We build the profile of who we are trying to
reach and then identify who fits this profile.
We then track, learn from and align with this
audience (current and future customers)
Travel journalists
Travel & Tourism
boards
Technology journalists
Key customers
Airline Partners
Industry groups
Travel Industry
Key influencers are often different than who we
view as important
WHAT IS POSSIBLE WHEN YOU KNOW YOUR AUDIENCE
Target GroupCRM
Demographics
Social Followers
Professional
Background
Psychographics
• Start with a verified group of people in
social media
• Improves signal/noise ratio
• Novel & unexpected findings/insights
Conversations Behavior
• Like a “custom search engine”
• Can look a all trending
conversations/topics– not just
those directly related to the
brand
• Identify new attitudes and
opinions
• IDs media, content, and
influencer networks
• Supports content-based
analytics/segmentation
• Reveals interests & intent that
might not be “socially desirable”
#4 – If you flip a model on its
head, you often find the new
model
How to deconstruct search and listen to the
right people
12 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
Precommerce Summit| March 2016
This network graph represents
an Algorithmic approach to
identifying topics and emerging
themes in Organic Search.
Each node in this graph
represents an organic search
keyword and the connections
denote clusters of keywords with
shared search results.
Color coding indicates similarity
between keyword phrases and
identifies common search
behaviors exhibited by users.
Showing the top 157 organic search keywords in the hyper-converged infrastructure space
and their relationships composed through shared search results.
SEARCH NETWORK
ANALYSIS
Precommerce Summit| March 2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Causes and Treatment/Side Effects Early Stage/Treatment
Late Stage/Survival Rate Lung surgery
New Treatments Small Cell Lung Cancer
Smoking State of Cure
SEARCH OUTLET
DISCOVERY
This stacked bar chart
represents an Algorithmic
approach to identifying content
outlets, their areas of focus,
and their visibility in Organic
Search.
Visibility scores are based on
keyword volume and rank
position for each outlet.
Color coding for each outlet
describes areas of focus by
leveraging the topical
segmentation established by
network analysis.
Showing the top domains ranking in organic search for a sample of ~4,000 keywords in the
lung cancer space.
Precommerce Summit| March 2016
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Causes and Treatment/Side Effects Early Stage/Treatment
Late Stage/Survival Rate Lung surgery
New Treatments Small Cell Lung Cancer
Smoking State of Cure
SEARCH INFLUENCER
DISCOVERY
This stacked bar chart
represents an Algorithmic
approach to identifying
influencers, their areas of focus,
and their visibility in Organic
Search.
Visibility scores are based on
keyword volume and rank
position for each outlet.
Color coding for each influencer
describes his/her areas of focus
by leveraging the topical
segmentation established by
network analysis.
Showing the top influencer mentions in organic search results for a sample of ~4,000
keywords in the lung cancer space.
#5 – The arrival of multi-
dimensional algorithms
Reality is not linear. Neither is listening
16 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
Key drivers of change in polling
• Subconscious behavior more important to measure in highly
emotional/partisan issues
• The “non-behavior” e.g. silence, apathy, decrease in intensity is
often more important than what we say
• Narrowcasting is leading to overinterpretation of what real trends
actually are
• Highly partisan and/or even fake news has a cumulative impact
even if we think it does not
• A new set of peers are emerging as influencers (the
interpreters)
17 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
The Trump Algorithm
• Trump – his followers
• Appointees & Surrogates – their followers
• Congress & Staffers – same
• Normative Data Sets – 1MM twitter users; journalists,
healthcare policy experts, Wall Street leaders, African
American pastors, NGOS for X issue
• Antagonists
• Media
A multi-dimensional view centered on subconscious behavior
18 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
#6 – We can understand the
language of the neighborhood
What are the “new cookies” and new alerts?
19 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
#7 – The era of
microsegmentatation has
started
The era of BS has ended
21 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
DISCOVERING NEW ADDRESSABLE AUDIENCESBased on social content-based segmentation
ENTREPRENEURIALLY-MINDED WATER FILTER CUSTOMERS WINE-DRINKING SPORTS FANATICS
#8 – Content is undergoing a
makeover
Data science is exposing what is really
happening
23 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
DISCOVERING “HUMAN TRUTHS” FOR EACH AUDIENCE
“…and I have the
same problem”
“you'll be okay I promise”
“Sometimes you have to
accept the truth that love's
just from one side”
“Just wish you would say something..”
“That is totally me...”
“Yes, I’m in love with him, I
don’t want him to know I
care. Not again.”
“Damn I hate this kinda
feeling”
20% Teen Toxins are openly navigating their emotional teenage journeys. They
don't just wear their hearts on their sleeves, they wear them online.
0 4
NATURAL LOOK ARTISTIC LOOK
EVERYDAY
CLASSIC
NEUTRAL
CONVENTIONAL
ARTISTIC
EDGY
COLORFUL
UNCONVENTIONAL
LEGENDNATURAL / NUDE
LOOK
EVENING GLAM
LOOK
ARTISTIC COSPLAY
LOOK
0 4
SCORE = 2
+1 Heavy
+1 Colorful
SCORE = 4
+1 Artistic
+1 Edgy
+1 Colorful
+1 Unconventional
SCORE = 0
0 = Everyday
0 = Classic
0 = Neutral
0 = Conventional
Methodology
FINDING HIGHLY RELEVANT PARTNERSHIP OPPORTUNITIESM
EN
TIO
NS
01
00
,000
1 #health budget #climatechange flavor
2 #fitness deal #solarenergy refreshing
3 #healthy discount #electricpower practice
4 #nutrition savings #alternativeenergy tasty
5 #weightloss affordable #green refresh
HEALTH VALUE ENVIRONMENT WATER TASTE
36K
19K
10.2K
72*
Hydration conversation
makes up slightly less 1%
of the overall health
conversation, and sugary
drinks and sports drink
conversation comprises just
over 1%.Plastic and recyclable bottle
conversation makes up 0.5%
of environmental conversation.
Broader recycling
conversation makes up 10%.
Spokesperson Audience Conversation on Key Messaging Pillars
#9 – Historical listening is
driving predictive
Patterns over time tell us what is likely to
happen
27 Contents are proprietary and confidential.
FORECASTING MARKET TRENDS
Digital and social metrics provide
predictive value, often above and
beyond traditional market research and
brand tracking…
… and influencers provide the strongest
predictive signals
29
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
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Influencer Monitoring (tracking influencer commentary +
malware pilot e.g. Vulnerability OR Malware OR Hack)
TAG Monitoring (once Signal Analysis highlights viable
word DEDICATED word tracking deployed)
DEPLOY TAG
INVESTIGATE TRIGGER
Tracking mentions by influencers on Vulnerability + Malware + Hack. Anything
above a base threshold is investigated for semantic footprint and then specific
TAG track is deployed.
MOBILE SECURITY
1
23
Trend Tracking Through Data Deviation Analysis
False Positive
(No semantic TAG found)
1
WireLurkerStagefright
XcodeGhost
Future language learned by Listening to the Influencers todayComparing Top 25 Influencers to Top 25-100 Influencers:
Trend for Top 10 influencers is opposite to that of the Bottom 50 influencers. Top 100
influencers produce similar content at the beginning and then diverges into different
topics over time.
Comparing Words Used by Top 25 Influencers to Bottom 50 Influencers:
With Greek yogurt terms, it took around two months for words used by the Top 25
influencers to be adopted by the Bottom 50 influencers.
• Predict the exact time when a topic will peak in conversation amongst the follower population
by analyzing the top influencer’s topical conversation and cadence
IDENTIFYING CATEGORY INFLUENCERS
Partner with a fitness expert (Claudia Molina or other identified
influencer) and have her do a few special classes, making them at times
that people can do with friends and family
Geo-location insights Associated
Tactics:
Influencers
@molinaclaudia
Periodista,Nutricionista y Experta
Entrenamiento Fisico en Univision
139k followers
@Basheerah_Ahmad
Fitness Expert on Dr. Phil
368k followers
Find a class that is super popular with
this group, and have a local sports
team member (from Dodgers or
Kings) come in and join the work out
as a surprise
Have a fitness influencers (TBD) host
a work out on Venice beach, and
tweet out to her followers. Give away
Secret deodorant at this event?
@Tony_Horton
Creator of P90X
158K followers
Santa
Monica
Beach
Angle City Personal Training, Burn Fitness
TWITTER ACTIVITY HOUSEHOLD -vs- WORK/PLAYLatina
Millennial
Twitter Activity
Hispanic
Households
Latina Millennial
Geotagged tweet