tearing the social fabric: terrorists attack civilians and diplomats nato bombs kosovo to end ethnic...

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Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure September 11 Enters History of the Earth

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Page 1: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Tearing the Social Fabric:

Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats

Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing

Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

September 11 Enters History of the Earth

Page 2: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Major disasters that engage us powerfullyOften correlate with big deviations

Page 3: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

The Buddhas of Bamiyan

Before March 12 2001

After

Page 4: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

The destruction of a world treasureApproximate time, noon in Afghanistan

Page 5: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

The World Trade Center

Fall, 2001

Carol M. Highsmith Al Dove

Page 6: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

The World Trade Center

September 11 2001

Tamara Beckwith

Page 7: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

The destruction of the World Trade TowersSept 11 2001

A 50-hour trend followed the attacks

Page 8: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

What is there to say?

Page 9: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Sept 11 Formal prediction: Inter-egg Variance Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom

Page 10: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Context: Variance on Sept 10 - 12Departure begins ~4 hours before attack

Page 11: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Independent AnalysesRadin: Odds against chance

For variance excursion on Sept 11The real data vs pseudorandom data

Data from EGG network Pseudorandom clone data

Page 12: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Shoup: examining a larger contextComparing Sept 11 vs four months of days

Page 13: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Bancel: Autocorrelation on Sept 11Structure where there should be none

Page 14: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Treating the nodes like EEG electrodes we reduce 35 dimensions to 3

and plot the combination

Real data

Pseudo data

Page 15: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Summary of statistical measures for Sept 11

Measure Probability estimate Comparison standard

Composite deviation 0.003 Resampling: 400 days

Inter-node correlation 0.0002 Student t: 400 days

Device variance peak 0.0009 Permutation: control p = 0.756

Autocorrelation 0.001 60 control days: p > 0.05

News correlation 0.002 Student t: 365 days

Diurnal variation 0.30 Time series: 365 days

 

Page 16: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Repairing the Social Fabric:

MeditationsPrayer VigilsCeremonies

Holidays

Page 17: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Chicago, Moment of Silence

September 14 2001

Page 18: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Three Minutes of Silence

September 14 2001

Page 19: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

Focused Siddhi Meditation

September 23 to 27, 2001

Page 20: Tearing the Social Fabric: Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure

A Substantial Agreement on

Getting our Ecological Act Together