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Enterprise Wireless & IIoT Infrastructure Opportunities for Developers Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis TADSummit, November 2017 [email protected] @disruptivedean

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Page 1: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Enterprise Wireless & IIoT

Infrastructure Opportunities for DevelopersDean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis

TADSummit, November 2017

[email protected] @disruptivedean

Page 2: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Dean Bubley & Disruptive Analysis

Tech/telecom analyst & strategic consulting since 1991

Futurism, Forecasting, Anti-Forecasting, Policy

Cross-silo, contrarian, independent

Often provocative. Sometimes obscure. Occasionally wrong.

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Network Tech, Policy

& Business Models

Communications

Apps & ServicesTelecom-Futurism

Page 3: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley
Page 4: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley
Page 5: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Multiple dimensions for future wireless networks

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

bpd

bps

Gbps

10m

Non-

critical

Function-

critical

90%99%

99.9%

99.99%Long-life

battery

Rechargeable

battery

Mains

electricity

Generator

Harvested

Power

3DCoverage

Bandwidth

Kbps

ImportanceBusiness-

critical

Safety-

critical

Range

<1m

Mbps

And also:

Security model

Mobility

Integration

Bi-directional

Protocols etc

1km

>10km

100m

4G / 5G / LPWA /

Satellite

Managed spectrumWi-Fi

Page 6: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

On-site connectivity needed for new IoT & application types

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Sensors & controlsOnsite Employees &

collaboration

Tenants &

Contractors

Onsite Mobile IoT

Guests & visitors Safety & Security IoT

Page 7: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Every vertical sector has unique wireless requirements

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Page 8: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Not just industrial interest in enterprise cellular

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

In-room coverage, “unroaming” for guests

& “Free LTE” for conference guests

All-operator coverage, UC/meeting

integration, workgroup/team billing

Capacity density, Instant replays via MEC

nodes, Content rights protection, VIPs

Ultra-low latency, compliance/recording, data

sovereignty, private number/addresses

Page 9: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Key IoT network technologies, 2018-2022

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

High

Mobility

Low

Mobility

Traditional

MNOs

Non-MNO

SPs

Private &

Government

PMR / TETRA

Private LTE (rare)

Private MVNO

Satellite

Vertical-specific (eg auto)

4G / 5G MBB

LTE-Cat M1+

Legacy 2G/3G

Hybrids / Multi-Network

NB-IoT (esp. China)

4G / 5G MBB + M1

Legacy 2G/3G

Wi-Fi

Some LoRa, SigFox

Wi-Fi

Bluetooth, ZigBee etc

LoRa / LoRaWAN

CBRS / MulteFire

NB-IoT unlicensed?

Other LPWA & Industrial

SigFox, LoRa, other LPWA

NB-IoT unlicensed

Wi-Fi

MVNOs

Multi-Network

Satellite & HAPs

MVNOs

Page 10: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Intersection of multiple “edges”

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Page 11: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Dedicated spectrum enables limited business models

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017September 2017

National MNO licences

B2C Prepay &

Post-Paid

Subscriptions

IoT EmbeddedWholesale, eg

MVNO

Non-MNO licences

Government eg

Public Safety

Few corps, eg

utilities, rail

Page 12: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Shared & new unlicensed models gaining traction (slowly)

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Page 13: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Mobile industry already busy with 5G, NFV, SDN etc…

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Enhanced Mobile

Broadband

Low-Latency

IoTMassive

M2M / IoT

Enhanced Mobile

BroadbandLow-

Latency IoT

Massive M2M / IoT

Fixed Access

(pre-5G)

20202017-8 2019-20 2020-22

5G Use-Cases & Probable Timeline

Page 14: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Traditional MNOs address some verticals/sites, but not all

Limited domain expertise

Coverage challenges

Site access difficulties

Safety / other certification

Data security / ownership

IoT platform integration

Liability issues

Regulatory limits

Commercial model

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Also: Network-slicing in 5G solves different (wide-area) problems

Page 15: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Many possible stakeholders / models with shared spectrum

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Government

(Telecom

Ministry)

Spectrum

License Fees

+ Coverage

goals

Government

(Business /

Economy)

GDP & Tax

uplift from

Industry 4.0

Existing

MNOs

Cheaper

capacity +

vertical oppos

Venue

Owners

Higher rent /

happy visitors

& Neutral Host

$$

Industrial

companies

Owned &

controlled IoT

connections

(cost/risk

calculation)

Niche MNO

entrants

Geo-specific

license for

new service /

rev types

IoT solution

integrator

Embedded

WAN ability in

similar fashion

to WiFi / LoRa

Community /

decentralised

Improve off-

grid locations,

offer neutral-

host or mesh /

micropayment

Page 16: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Many “moving parts” to create private 4G/5G networks

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Shared &

Unlicensed

SpectrumIoT / MVNO

/ MVNE /

Slicing

platformsSmall

Cells,

WiFi,MEC,

DAS,

cabling

eSIM &

RSP

Virtualised

Core /

Transport

Network

Cloud OSS

/ BSS

Number

ranges &

MNCs

Roaming &

Inter-

connect

hubs

Devices &

chipsets

Voice, PTT,

video,

messaging

Physical

design,

integrate &

build

Page 17: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

Conclusions & Requirements

IoT & local networks critical for many industries

Need for wide/deep coverage & managed spectrum

Desire for ownership & control

Classical MNOs cannot do everything… and neither can WiFi

New SP types or private networks essential… but spectrum needed

Vendor solutions, integrators, XaaS providers needed

Huge new “telecom developer” opportunity

Needs awareness in government + industry training & skills

…but don’t underestimate complexity

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Page 18: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

A small plug

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017

Page 19: TADSummit, Enterprise & IIoT (Industrial Internet of Things) Mobile networks: The Networks They Are a Changin' Dean Bubley

www.disruptive-analysis.com

disruptivewireless.blogspot.com

@disruptivedean

[email protected]

Skype:disruptiveanalysis

appear.in/disruptiveanalysis

Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017November 2017