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4th Quarter 2017 Social Weather Survey

SWS SPECIAL REPORT

29 December 2017, page 1 of 11

52 Malingap St., Sikatuna Village, Quezon City

Website: www.sws.org.ph

Tel: 924-4456, 924-4465

Fax: 920-2181

Erratum: The fieldwork dates indicated at the footer of the charts and tables should have been December 8-16, 2017 instead of

December 8-16, 2016. Our apologies for the confusion.

pr20171229 - SWR 2017-IV New Year Hope_New Year Resolution (Special Report).docx

SWS December 8-16, 2017 Survey:

Record-high 96% of Filipinos Enter 2018 with Hope

• 46% of Pinoys made New Year's resolutions for 2017

• 18% say at least most of their New Year's resolutions

have been, or will be, fulfilled

• Higher New Year hope among those who expected a

happy Christmas

Social Weather Stations

A new all-time high 96% of adult Filipinos are entering 2018 with hope rather than with fear,

according to the Fourth Quarter 2017 Social Weather Survey conducted on December 8-16, 2017.

This surpassed the previous record of 95% achieved in 2002, 2011, and 2016 [Chart 1, Table

1].

On the other hand, 4% will enter the New Year with fear, the lowest since the 4% in 2011.

This is one point below the 5% in 2016.

Hope for the New Year has always been high, starting at 87% when SWS first surveyed it in

2000. It went to 88% in 2001, and reached 95% in 2002 before easing to 90% in 2003, 81% in 2004,

and 85% in 2005. It ranged from 91% to 92% from 2006 to 2008, before falling to 89% in 2009. It

recovered to 93% in 2010, and has since then been at 90s levels, reaching a record-high 96% in 2017.

46% of Pinoys made New Year's resolutions for 2017

The December 2017 survey also found that 46% answered YES to the question, "Last year, did

you make a New Year’s Resolution or a list of things you want to do or change in 2017? (Noong

nakaraang taon, kayo po ba ay gumawa ng isang New Year’s Resolution o listahan ng mga gustong

gawin o baguhin ngayong 2017?)" [Chart 2].

The proportion of those who made New Year's resolutions in 2017 was highest in Mindanao at

53%, followed by Metro Manila at 47%, Visayas at 45%, and Balance Luzon at 43% [Chart 3].

http://www.sws.org.ph/


SWS SPECIAL REPORT


It tended to be higher among the upper classes than the lower classes: it was highest among

classes ABC at 56%, followed by class D, or the masa, at 47%, and class E at 42% [Chart 4].

It also tended to be higher among those with more years of formal schooling: it was highest

among college graduates at 53%, followed by high school graduates at 50%, elementary school

graduates at 42%, and non-elementary graduates at 40% [Chart 5].

18% say at least most of their New Year's resolutions have been, or will be, fulfilled

Of the 46% who made New Year's resolutions in 2017, 6% said all or almost all of their New

Year's resolutions have been or will be fulfilled, 12% said most of them, 23% said a few, and 4% said

almost none or none. The remaining 1% did not give an answer.

The proportion of those who reported that at least most (% all or almost all and % most) of

their New's Year's resolution have been or will be fulfilled was highest in the Visayas at 22%,

followed by Mindanao and Metro Manila, both at 20%, and Balance Luzon at 17%.

It was highest among classes ABC at 25%, followed by class E at 19%, and class D at 18%.

By educational level, it was highest among college graduates at 26%, followed by high school

graduates at 20%, elementary school graduates at 16%, and non-elementary school graduates at 14%.

New Year hope widespread in all areas

New Year hope continues to be widespread in all areas: it was highest in Balance Luzon at

97%, followed by Metro Manila at 96%, Mindanao at 95%, and Visayas at 95% [Chart 6, Table 2]

The 1-point rise in the overall New Year hope from 2016 to 2017 was due to increases in the

Visayas and Metro Manila, combined with steady high scores in Balance Luzon.

New Year hope stayed at 97% in Balance Luzon, an all-time high score for this area that was

first achieved in 2013.

It stayed at 95% in Mindanao, also an all-time high for this area that surpassed the previous

record of 94% in 2011. Except in 2003 and 2004, New Year hope has customarily been lower in

Mindanao compared to other areas.

It rose by 1 point in Metro Manila, from 95% in 2016 to 96% in 2017. This is the highest since

the 96% in 2011.

It rose by 3 points in the Visayas, from 92% in 2016 to 95% in 2017. This is the highest since

the 96% in 2011.


SWS SPECIAL REPORT


New Year hope high in all classes

Hopefulness for the New Year remained high across socio-economic classes.

It rose by 1 point among class D, from 95% in 2016 to 96% in 2017. This is the highest in 15

years, since the all-time high 97% in 2002 [Chart 7, Table 3].

It also rose by 1 point among class E, from 93% in 2016 to 94% in 2017, an all-time high for

this area that was first achieved in 2013.

It stayed widespread among classes ABC, although down by 2 points from 99% in 2016 to

97% in 2017. Except for the 83% in 2000, 73% in 2005, and 88% in 2007, New Year hope among

classes ABCs has been at 90s and above, reaching as high as 100% in 2012.

Higher New Year hope among those who expected a happy Christmas

New Year hope among those who expected a happy Christmas is greater than New Year hope

among those who expected a sad Christmas.

Compared to last year, New Year hope rose by 2 points among those who expected a happy

Christmas, from 96% in 2016 to 98% in 2017 [Chart 8].

However, it fell by 3 points among those who expected a neither happy nor sad Christmas,

from 93% in 2016 to 90% in 2017.

It fell by 4 points among those who expected a sad Christmas, from 92% in 2016 to 88% in

2017.

The SWS December 8-16, 2017 Survey findings on Christmas happiness was reported on

December 23, 2017.

New Year hope in Germany

In Germany, where the survey question was originally asked by the Institut für Demoskopie

Allensbach, 46% of Germans entered 2017 with hope [Chart 9, Table 4].

From 1991 to 2016, German hope in the coming New Year ranged from a low 31% to a high

58%. The 56% score in 1991, 2010 and 2014 was the third highest since the German reunification in

1990, following the record-high 58% in 1994 and 57% in 2013. It has been at 50s levels in 9 out of 25

surveys since 1991.

Survey Background

The survey question on hope versus fear about the coming year was patterned after the polls

conducted annually by the Institut für Demoskopie Allensbach (IfDAllensbach), often referred to more


SWS SPECIAL REPORT


simply as the “Allensbach Institute” (www.ifd-allensbach.de), one of the most well-known and

respected opinion and market research institutes in Germany today. Surveys are completed in

December each year in the Federal Republic of Germany, until 1989 in West Germany including West

Berlin, with maximum 2,000 respondents (16 years old and above) per survey.

The December 2017 Social Weather Survey was conducted from December 8-16, 2017 using

face-to-face interviews of 1,200 adults (18 years old and above) nationwide: 300 each in Metro

Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao (sampling error margins of ±3% for national

percentages, and ±6% each for Metro Manila, Balance Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao).

The area estimates were weighted by Philippine Statistics Authority medium-population

projections for 2017 to obtain the national estimates.

The Social Weather Survey items on New Year hope and New Year's resolution are non-

commissioned. They are included on SWS's own initiative and released as a public service.

The survey question on hope in the coming year is as follows: “Ang darating na taon ba ay

inyong sasalubungin ng may pag-asa o may pangamba? (SASALUBUNGIN ANG DARATING NA

TAON NG MAY PAG-ASA; SASALUBUNGIN ANG DARATING NA TAON NG MAY PANGAMBA)

[Is it with hopes or with fears that you enter the coming year? (ENTER THE COMING YEAR WITH

HOPE; ENTER THE COMING YEAR WITH FEAR)].”

On New Year's resolution, the questions were:

a) Noong nakaraang taon, kayo po ba ay gumawa ng isang New Year’s Resolution o listahan

ng mga gustong gawin o baguhin ngayong 2017? (OO, HINDI) [Last year, did you make a New

Year’s Resolution or a list of things you want to do or change in 2017? (Yes, No)]

b) Ilan po sa inyong New Year’s Resolutions ang inyong natupad na o matutupad na?

(SHOWCARD: LAHAT O HALOS LAHAT, KARAMIHAN, MGA ILAN, HALOS WALA O WALA)

[How many of your New Year’s Resolutions have you fulfilled or will be fulfilled? (SHOWCARD: All

or nearly all, Most, A few, Almost none or none)]

SWS employs its own staff for questionnaire design, sampling, fieldwork, data-processing, and

analysis, and does not outsource any of its survey operations.

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