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Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation November 2011

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Page 1: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation November 2011

Page 2: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

2

Table of contents 1. This is Swedbank 3

2. The Swedish economy 7

3. Swedish housing and mortgage market 13

4. Financial performance 23

5. Liquidity and funding 36

6. Swedbank’s cover pool 46

7. Appendix 55

Page 3: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

1. This is Swedbank

3

Page 4: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

The Bank for the many people, households and businesses

4

Latvia Population 2.2m Private customers 1.0m Corporate customers 70 000 Branches 59 ATMs 376 Cards 0.9m Employees 1 763

Lithuania Population 3.3m Private customers 3.3m Corporate customers 103 000 Branches 93 ATMs 467 Cards 1.8m Employees 2 239

Estonia Population 1.3m Private customers 1.3m Corporate customers 112 000 Branches 63 ATMs 535 Cards 1.1m Employees 2 577

Sweden Population 9.3m Private customers 4.1m Corporate customers 262 000 Organisations 66 000 Branches 319 ATMs 658 Cards 3.8m Employees 8 329

This is Swedbank

Source: Swedbank Fact book Q3, 2011

Page 5: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Sweden Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Mortgage lendingCorporate lending

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Sweden Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Deposits Private

Deposits Corporate

Market leading retail franchise in all home markets

5

% %

Source: Source Sweden: Statistics Sweden (SCB) Source Estonia: Estonian Central Bank Sources Latvia: Association of Commercial Banks of Latvia (ACBL) & The Financial and Capital Market Commission (FCMC) Source Lithuania: Association of Lithuanian Banks (LBA)

This is Swedbank

Market shares, Deposits Aug 2011

• Largest retail bank and fund manager in Sweden

Market shares, Lending Aug 2011

Page 6: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200

Other* 3.1%

Lithuania 2.5%

Latvia 2.5%

Estonia 4.0%

Sweden 87.9%

Mortgage loans (private+corp)

Other corporate (incl. LC&I, Sweden)

Credit institutions

Sweden – the dominating home market • Total lending amounts to SEK 1,387bn (as per Q3 2011), out of which around 88% is

originated in Sweden

• Estonia makes up 44% of total lending in the Baltics

6

Source: Swedbank Fact book Q3 2011

This is Swedbank

* Russia & Ukraine, Norway, Finland and NY Branch

Total lending distributed by business area (Q3 2011)

SEK 1 219bn

Page 7: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

2. The Swedish economy

7

Page 8: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

A balance sheet in favourable condition • Sweden’s financial assets continue to exceed its liabilities

8

General government net financial liabilities % of nominal GDP

The Swedish economy

Source: OECD Economic outlook 89 (table 33), June 6, 2011

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

2010 2011F 2012F

Page 9: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Sep-11 2011F 2012F 2013F

• Kingdom of Sweden rated Aaa/AAA/AAA • GDP growth 4.9% in Q2 2011 • Balanced budget FY 2010

9

Continued strong fiscal position

Source: OECD Economic outlook 89, May 25, 2011

Swedish government debt

The Swedish economy

SEKbn

Maastricht definition* of general government gross public debt as a percentage of nominal GDP

Source: Swedish National Debt Office, Feb 2, 2011 and Statistics Sweden

Source: Swedish National Debt Office, Oct 2011

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Sweden

Denmark

United Kingdom

Germany

France

Euro area

*General government gross debt according to the convergence criteria set out in the Maastricht Treaty comprises currency, bills and short- term bonds, other short- term loans and other medium- and long- term loans and bonds, defined according to ESA 95.

• CPI/CPIF 3.2%/1.5% (Sep Y/Y)

Page 10: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0123456789

10

0

20 000

40 000

60 000

80 000

100 000

120 000Imports

Exports

Positive macro trend sustained

10

The Swedish economy

Unemployment rate 2000 – Sep 2011, %

Source: Statistics Sweden, Oct, 2011

Exports and imports trend per month, SEKm

Source: Statistics Sweden, Sep, 2011

Data up to and including August 2011

Page 11: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Q1 09

Q2 09

Q3 09

Q4 09

Q1 10

Q2 10

Q3 10

Q4 10

Q1 11

Q2 11

Continued recovery of foreign trade

11

The Swedish economy

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

45%

13%

12%

11%

11%

8%EngineeringChemistryOther goodsForestryMineralsEnergy

Export – distribution by important commodity groups

Source: Statistics Sweden, Feb 28, 2011

Top 10 export countries 2010 Current account balance as % of GDP

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F

SwedenGermanyDenmarkFinlandCanadaUKFranceItalyUS

Source: OECD – Economic outlook 89, May 25, 2010

Current account net, Sweden, SEKbn

Source: Statistics Sweden , Aug 31 2011

Page 12: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Sweden has shown resilience through turbulent times

12

5 year Sovereign CDS

The Swedish economy

Source: Bloomberg, Oct 20, 2011

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

Italy

France

United Kingdom

Germany

Sweden

Page 13: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

3. Swedish housing and mortgage market

13

Page 14: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

14

Swedish household financial assets and liabilities

Healthy household balance sheets Swedish housing and mortgage market

Source: Statistics Sweden “Hushållens ställning och transaktioner“ Q2 2011

SE

Kbn

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

Total household debt Total financial assets excl property assets

Page 15: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Structural interest rate decline key to affordability

15

Household debt and interest expenses after tax as percentage of disposable income

Source: Riksbanken, Financial Stability Report (2:7), May 31, 2011

Swedish housing and mortgage market

% %

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

220

82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09 12 15

Debt ratio (left scale) Interest ratio (right scale)

Page 16: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

16

Housing investments at a conservative level • New household formations have between 1995 and 2008 exceeded the actual new

dwellings produced by 80,000 units

Housing completions, apartments in Multi-family dwellings and Single-family houses in Sweden

Housing investments as a percentage of GDP

Swedish housing and mortgage market

Number of apartments

Source: Statistics Sweden, Dec 31, 2010

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

70 000

80 000

1975

1976

1977

1978

1979

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Apartment buildings Single-family dwellings

Source: Reuters Ecowin, Mar 7, 2011

Source: Statistics Sweden, Mar 3, 2011

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

SpainEurozoneSwedenUKUSADenmark

Page 17: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Population growth far exceeds housing unit growth

17

Source: Statistics Sweden October 2011

Swedish housing and mortgage market

Number of Population growth and housing starts

010 00020 00030 00040 00050 00060 00070 00080 00090 000

Population increase New housing units

Page 18: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

1 600

1 800

2 000

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008

Average production cost per sqm for a single family house, SEK (LHS)Average price for a single family house, SEKth (RHS)

House prices are moving in tandem with production costs

18

Average house production cost & average house price development 1980-2008

Source: “Bostads- och byggnadsstatistisk årsbok 2010”, published Feb 15, 2010 by Statistics Sweden; page 128 and 156

SEK SEK, thousands

Swedish housing and mortgage market

Page 19: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Pace of household borrowing declines

19

Swedish housing and mortgage market

Source: Riksbanken stability report 2011:1

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

Monthly change on an annual rate in borrowing %Annual percentage change %

Page 20: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

20

• Mortgage LTV- cap of 85% in Sweden

• Higher interest rates

• Small decline development during the last 12 months with some regional variations

Single-family housing - a selection of counties in Sweden

Price development of single-family houses

Source: www.maklarstatistik.se, Oct 2011

Swedish housing and mortgage market

Jul-Sep 2011* 12 months PP/ATVWhole of Sweden -2% -2% 1,56

AB Stockholm county -3% -1% 1,51

O Västra Götaland county (Gothenbourg) -3% -2% 1,55

M Skåne county (Malmoe) -2% -3% 1,53

Z Jämtlands county 9% 9% 1,92

E Östergötland county -2% -3% 1,52

Y Västernorrlands county -2% -2% 1,69

C Uppsala county -3% 1% 1,62

D Södermanlands county -2% -3% 1,48

U Västmanland county -1% -1% 1,46

T Örebro county -3% -2% 1,54

H Kalmar county -6% -9% 1,65

*compared to Apr-Jun 2011

PP/ATV = Purchase price / Assessed Tax Value

Page 21: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

21

Tenant owner rights – a selection of counties in Sweden

Price development of tenant-owned apartments • Mortgage LTV- cap of 85% in Sweden

• Higher interest rates

• Country-wide slow down during Q3 2011 with some regional variations

Swedish housing and mortgage market

Source: www.maklarstatistik.se, Oct 2011

Jul-Sep 2011* 12 months SEK per Sq. meter

Whole of Sweden -1% -1% 21 480

AB Stockholm county -1% 1% 34 159

O Västra Götaland county (Gothenbourg) 0% 3% 18 130

M Skåne county (Malmoe) 1% -3% 15 463

D Södermanlands county -5% -1% 8 874

C Uppsala county 9% 6% 23 437

Z Jämtlands county -12% 5% 12 978

T Örebro county 3% 5% 8 009

E Östergötland county 6% 9% 11 404

Y Västernorrlands county -3% 0% 5 662

H Kalmar county -19% -17% 7 863

U Västmanland county -7% -4% 7 981

*compared to Apr-Jun 2011

Page 22: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Swedish mortgage market • No securitization (on balance sheet)

• No sub-prime market

• No 3rd party origination

• No buy-to-let market

• 70% home ownership1

• Rental market is regulated – First hand contracts difficult to obtain – Rents need to be negotiated with the Swedish Union of Tenants

• Transparent credit information (credit information agency, www.uc.se) – Publicly available information regarding income, debt, payment track record etc

• Consumer credit legislation requires affordability calculations including stress test of higher interest rate

• Very limited debt forgiveness possibilities (full recourse)

• Strong social security and generous unemployment benefit system

22

Swedish housing and mortgage market

1 Source: Boverket, , 2009

Page 23: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

4. Financial performance

23

Page 24: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Stable result but increased macro uncertainty • Net profit of SEK 3 475m

• Core Tier 1 capital ratio of 15.1 per cent

• Return on equity of 14.4 per cent in Q3

• Pause in buy-backs

24

Financial performance

Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

Profit for the period

Page 25: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Well prepared to meet increased uncertainty • Increased macro uncertainty – lower growth

• Income pressure likely – Interest rates – Lower activity

• Intensified cost focus

• Strong position capital and liquidity

25

Financial performance

Page 26: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Increased cost of doing banking • Lower leverage

– Governments, banks, businesses and households

• Reshaping of savings market

• Long-term regulatory changes – Demarcation line tax payers/shareholders – Cost of senior funding – Ring fencing of certain banking activities – Increased cost for cross border banking

• Increased cost of doing banking will affect all stakeholders

26

Potential long-term effects

Page 27: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Solid performance • Improved NII

• Stable asset quality

• Good cost control

• High interest rate sensitivity

• Transaction to relation (T2R)

27

Retail

SEKm Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

Net interest income 2 499 2 752 2 925 3 026 3 143

Net commission income 1 019 1 132 1 073 1 051 1 089

Total income 3 981 4 349 4 395 4 593 4 683

Total expenses 2 100 2 223 2 193 2 237 2 082

Profit bef impairments 1 881 2 126 2 202 2 356 2 601

Total impairments -3 136 5 5 106

C/I ratio 0.53

0.51

0.50

0.49

0.44

0

400

800

1 200

1 600

2 000

2 400

2 800

Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

Profit before impairmentsSEKm

Page 28: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Turbulent market conditions

• Poor capital markets income

• Strong customer related income

• Continued re-pricing

• Increased volumes

28

Large Corporates & Institutions

SEKm Q1 11* Q2 11 Q3 11

Net interest income 850 884 778

of which LC & FI** 450 485 557

of which Capital markets 370 378 184

Commission income 505 412 399

of which LC & FI** 289 202 225

of which Capital markets 215 211 174

Total income LC&I 1 755 1 344 1 311

of which LC & FI** 781 731 827

of which Capital markets 943 589 415

Total expenses, excl variable pay 776 778 772

Variable staff costs 83 50 6

Profit bef impairments 896 516 533

of which LC & FI** 514 473 594

of which Capital markets 364 31 -127

Credit impairments -105 -19 -66

C/I ratio 0.49 0.62 0.59

* Excluding Lehman one-off ,**Large corporates and Financial institutions

-100

300

700

1 100

Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11* Q2 11 Q3 11

Profit before impairmentsSEKm

Page 29: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Stable development • Slowing deleveraging

• Continued recoveries

• Increased activity

• High interest rate sensitivity

29

Baltic Banking

SEKm Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

Net interest income 919 1 168 997 1 017 994

Net commission income 386 383 317 365 392

Total income 1 561 1 632 1 472 1 568 1 606

Total expenses 624 697 658 653 649

Profit bef impairments 937 935 814 915 957

C/I ratio 0.40 0.43 0.45 0.42 0.40

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

Profit before impairmentsSEKm

Page 30: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Solid core development • Lower asset management and

corporate finance fees

• Negative funding related valuation effects in Treasury

• Good cost control – One-off cost of SEK 100m

in Ukraine – Cost increase in Ektornet

• Deposit growth

30

Group results

SEKm 9M 10 9M 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

Net interest income 11 802 14 124 4 740 4 857

Net commission income 6 987 6 837 2 244 2 292

Net gains and losses 2 043 1 025 511 259

Other income 2 254 3 011 860 782

Total income 23 086 24 997 8 355 8 190

Total expenses 13 052 13 060 4 345 4 331

Profit before impairments 10 034 11 937 4 010 3 859

Total impairments 3 524 -1 733 - 309 - 454

Profit for the period 4 694 10 779 3 452 3 475 Return on equity, % 6.9 15.0 14.4 14.4

Cost-income ratio 0.57 0.52 0.52 0.53

Core Tier 1 capital ratio, %* 13.4 15.1 14.8 15.1

Risk-weighted assets, SEKbn* 560 497 509 497

Deposits and borrowings from the public 524 555 529 555

* Basel 2

Page 31: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Uncertain regulatory demand – Swedbank well positioned • Still large regulatory uncertainty

regarding minimum CT1 ratio and different buffers

• Basel 3 – CT1 ratio impact 100bp – LCR 212% – NSFR 92%

31

Capital management – Core Tier 1 ratio

13%

Risk appetite (ICAAP buffer, SEK 14.9bn)

Minimum requirement (SEK 34.8bn)

Excess capital (SEK 10.4bn)

10%

7%

Extra buffer due to prevailing circumstances (SEK 14.9bn)

15.1%

Page 32: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Improvement but increased macro uncertainty • Improved asset quality

– Decreased impaired loans – Continued recoveries – Positive rating migration – Improved loan-to-value developments in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania

• Increased macro economic uncertainty – World economy slowing – House market in Sweden slowing down

32

Risk highlights

Page 33: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Net recoveries of SEK 441m in Q3 • Continued recoveries in CEE

– Positive development in the Baltic corporate portfolio

– Mortgage provisions in Ukraine

• Solid Swedish performance

33

Asset quality

120

-483

-972

-324

-441

Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

Credit impairments, SEKm

Retail LC&I Baltic Banking Russia & Ukraine Other

Page 34: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Continues actions to ensure proactive risk management

• Review of potentially exposed sectors in Retail and LC&I – Proactive work – Ensure customers’ buffers

• Complementary stress tests shows strong resilience – Prudent mortgage lending in Sweden

• Ukrainian and Latvian mortgage books most exposed – Limited total impact

Asset quality

34

Page 35: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Focus on risk-weighted assets Risk-weighted assets

35

• Future focus areas – Review of small and mid-sized

corporates Sweden – Advanced IRB

• Potential regulatory development – Mortgages

4.8

-8.0

-4.8

-2.1

-2.2

509.3

497.1

495

500

505

510

515

2011Q2

Volume (EAD)

Def inition change*

Rating migration

Other credit risk

Marketrisk

2011Q3

SEKbn

RWA development

* Corporate size definition

Page 36: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

5. Liquidity and funding

36

Page 37: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

FY 2008 Q3 20110

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

FY 2008 Q3 2011 FY 201X

Significantly reduced risk level

37

Liabilities*

Source: Swedbank, Dec 31, 2008 and Sep 30, 2011 * Simplified balance sheet assets and liabilities

Liquidity and funding

Assets*

-116

-11

+88

-55

CEE lending Estonia

Other corporate lending, Sweden & other Nordic

Other private, Sweden

Swedish mortgage loans

Central bank + Government guaranteed

+11

+218

-218

+11

Senior

Covered bonds

Deposits

Core T1 Suppl. cap

Q3 2011 FY 2008 FY 201X Q3 2011 FY 2008

-46

Page 38: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Q1 08

Q2 08

Q3 08

Q4 08

Q1 09

Q2 09

Q3 09

Q4 09

Q1 10

Q2 10

Q3 10

Q4 10

Q1 11

Q2 11

Q3 11

Private Corporate

Positive trend in deposits as overall savings increase • Quarterly deposit growth in all home markets • Market leader in deposits in all home markets • Share of private deposits at 58%

38

Deposits from the public excluding repos Savings and investments, Swedbank Group, SEKbn

Source: Swedbank Fact book, Sep 30, 2011

Liquidity and funding

SEKbn SEKbn

644

471

29

724

492

27

677

543

230

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Asset mgmt Deposits f rom the public, excl. repos

Retail bonds

Q3 2009

Q3 2010

Q3 2011

Page 39: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Covered bond strategy

39

*e.g. Registered covered bonds

Source: Swedbank, Sep 30, 2011, Nominal amounts

Liquidity and funding

Maturity, years

< 5Y 3-7Y > 7Y

Today: SEK ~325bn

Sweden: SEK 300-375bn

Today: SEK ~175bn

Today: SEK ~26bn

EUR/USD SEK 150-200bn

Other* SEK 50-85bn

Sweden SEK 300-375bn

>7Y

Page 40: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Funding development during Q3

40

Long-term debt issued in Q3 Outstanding short-term debt

• SEK 60bn of long-term debt issued in Q3, YTD SEK 210bn – full year maturities SEK 180bn

• Demand for Swedbank short-term paper continued

• USD-funding need covered for more than 12 months

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

50 000

60 000

Domestic CP ECP USCP Yankee CD

SEKmQ2 11Q3 11

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

Domestic CB

Euro CB USD CB (144A)

Other CB Senior unsecured

SEKm

Liquidity and funding

Page 41: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

25

50

75

100

Q1

2010

Q2

2010

Q3

2010

Q4

2010

Q1

2011

Q2

2011

Q3

2011

Q4

2011

Q1

2012

Q2

2012

Q3

2012

Q4

2012

Q1

2013

Q2

2013

Q3

2013

Q4

2013

Q1

2014

SEKbn

Term funding at a slower pace going forward

41

• Over SEK 600bn term funding issued since Q3 2009 • Significantly lengthened maturities • All government guaranteed debt pre-funded

Term funding issuance

Liquidity and funding

Average term funding issuance

Pre-funded term maturities

Average term funding need

Page 42: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

-75,0

-25,0

25,0

75,0

125,0

175,0

225,0

-75

-50

-25

0

25

50

75

100

Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10 Jan-11 Apr-11 Jul-11 Oct-11

Nominal SEK 479bn term funding issued in 21 months…

42

• …with around SEK 238bn of maturities during the same period

• Issued around SEK 425bn in covered bonds • 7 EUR-denominated covered bond benchmark deals, EUR 8.0bn

• 3 USD-denominated covered bond benchmark deals, USD 3bn

• 12 CHF-denominated covered bond benchmark deals, CHF 2.3bn

• Increased domestic SEK covered bond outstanding, SEK 60bn

• 1 EUR-denominated senior unsecured benchmark deal, EUR 1.25bn

(nom

inal

SE

Kbn

)

Source: Swedbank, Sep 30, 2011

2010 Term funding Issued & matured as per Sep 2011 (LHS)

2011

Acc. Net funding (RHS)

Liquidity and funding

Page 43: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

50

100

150

200

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017-

Senior unsecuredGuaranteed bonds

0

50

100

150

200

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017-

Covered bonds

43

Chosen term funding maturity profile taking shape

• Maturities for the remainder of 2011 amount to nominal SEK 69bn, of which SEK 42bn government guaranteed debt

• Total government guaranteed debt remaining of SEK 117bn

43

Liquidity and funding

Long-term funding maturity profile, SEKbn

Page 44: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

Other pledgeable and/or liquid assetsAdditional liquidity reserve assetsCentral bank deposits

Next 12-month term funding maturities

Commercial papers/ Certificate of deposits and net interbank funding

Conservative liquidity levels • Short-term funding mainly a tool for cash management

• More than 15 months pre-funded

44

SEKbn

Source: Swedbank 30 Sep 2011

Liquidity and funding

Page 45: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Liquidity reserve*

45

Liquidity and funding

SEKm

AAA-rating**

**100% of the securities in the liquidity reserve per Q3 2011 are rated AAA

Cash and holdings in central banks 190 843Deposits in other banks available overnight 759Securities issued or guaranteed by sovereigns, central banks or multilateral development banks 32 854Securities issued or guaranteed by municipalities or Public sector entitiesCovered bonds 54 383 - Issued by other institutions 54 383 - Own issuedSecurities issued by non-financial corporatesSecurities issued by financial corporates (excl. covered bonds) 929Other

Total 279 768

*According to the template defined by the Swedish Bankers' Association

Additional liquid assets, Group 57 287Other, over-collateralisation in the cover pool 130 000

Total 467 055

Page 46: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

6. Swedbank’s cover pool

46

Page 47: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

47

Rating AAA/Aaa by S&P and Moody’s Total pool size SEK 660.9bn Geographic distribution Sweden 100% Current OC-level 24.5%

Weighted average seasoning 2 59 months Average LTV 3, 4 – WA LTV on property level (Max LTV) 57% Non-performing loans 5 None

Fixed /Floating interest loans 6

– Fixed 38% – Floating 62%

Repayment structure 7 – Amortising 53% – Interest only 47%

Average loan size SEK 425 807 Number of loans outstanding 1 565 019 Number of borrowers 1 148 388 Number of properties 750 429 Dynamic pool Yes

1 As per Sep 30, 2011

2 Public sector loans not included

3 Index valuation as per Sep 30, 2011 4 Maximum LTV: Residential 75%, Commercial 60%, Forest and Agriculture 70% 5 Past due loans > 60 days are not eligible for the cover pool 6 Floating interest loans < 365 days 7 Property level of cover pool

Cover pool data1

Source: Swedbank Fact book, Sep 30, 2011

Swedbank’s cover pool

Page 48: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Residentials91,2%

Public1,8%

Commercial0,1%

Forest & Agricultural

6,9%

Cover pool data

48

Source: Swedbank, Sep 30, 2011

Swedbank’s cover pool

* Excluding public sector loans

Loan size distribution by volume

14%

33%

20%9%

3% 2% 18%

0%5%

10%15%20%25%30%35%

SEK Thousands

Type of loans

North7%

Middle (incl. Stockholm)

32%

East16%

West (incl. Gothenburg

21%

South (incl. Malmoe)

24%

Geographical distribution*

Page 49: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Cover pool loan-to-value distribution

49

Swedbank’s cover pool

Source: Swedbank, Sep 30, 2011

*LTV distribution as defined by the Association of Swedish Covered Bond Issuers (www.ascb.se)

21% 19% 17%14%

12%9%

6% 1%0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0-10% 10-20% 20-30% 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-75%

LTV distribution by volume*

Page 50: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Cover pool loan-to-value distribution by property type

50

Swedbank’s cover pool

Source: Swedbank, Sep 30, 2011 (excluding public sector loans)

*

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Single-family homes

Tenant owner rights

Multi-family housing (incl. Tenant owner

ass.)

Commercial Forestry & Agricultural

Total all types

WA LTV per property type (property level)

Page 51: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

House price sensitivity of the cover pool • Resilient LTV-structure with an approximate 2-to-1 relationship between house price

drops and cover pool size

51

Swedbank’s cover pool

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

House price drop

OC

Overcollaterlisation

Page 52: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Cover pool past due loans distribution • In total, past due loans represent approx. 0.13% of the assets in the cover pool

• 99% of total past due loans are past due 30 days or less

• Past due loans > 60 days are not eligible for the cover pool

52

Swedbank’s cover pool

Past due loans distribution by property type

Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2011

SEKm

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Q1 09

Q1 10

Q1 11

Home owners

Tenant-owner rights

Tenant-owner ass.

Multi-family Commercial F&A Private F&A Corporate

Total all types

46 - 60 days

31 - 45 days

0- 30 days

Page 53: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

53

Source: Swedbank

• Total accumulated losses since 1982 of SEK 7.3bn

• Main part incurred during the years of 1992 and 1993

• Less than 20% in the private segment

Insignificant historical loan losses in Swedbank Mortgage Swedbank’s cover pool

-0,10%

0,00%

0,10%

0,20%

0,30%

0,40%

0,50%

Residential Forest & Agriculture

Page 54: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

• Total mortgage loan book of SEK 700bn

Turnover of Swedbank Mortgage AB’s total loan book

54

Swedbank’s cover pool

SEKbn

Source: Swedbank, Mar 31, 2011

Gross – Net changes in the total loan book

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

2007 2008 2009 2010 Q1 2011

New lendingPrepayment/RedemptionAmortisationExtra amortisationProvisions Net change

Page 55: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

7. Appendix

55

Page 56: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Solid macro recovery

56

The Swedish economy

Source: Eurostat, Mar 8, 2011

-8%

-6%

-4%

-2%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F

European Union (27 countries) Sweden United States

Real GDP growth rate

Page 57: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Real estate prices – Sweden 2011

57

Swedish housing and mortgage market

Single-family homes Tenant owner rights

Purchase price / assessed tax value* 12M Δ Price (SEK) per Sqm* 12M Δ

Jan/11 1,58 1% 21 909 8%

Feb/11 1,59 1% 22 074 7%

Mar/11 1,59 0% 22 004 7%

Apr/11 1,6 0% 21 884 5%

May/11 1,6 -1% 21 584 4%

Jun/11 1,6 -1% 21 286 3%

Jul/11 1,58 -2% 21 196 1%

Aug/11 1,56 -2% 21 264 -1%

Sep/11 1,56 -2% 21 480 -1%

*3 months moving average

Source: Mäklarstatistik (www.maklarstatistik.se)

Page 58: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

58

Real estate prices – Baltic countries

Source: Swedbank, Estonian Land Board

Source: Swedbank, State Enterprise Centre of Registers

Source: Swedbank

1 616

939

0200400600800

1 0001 2001 4001 6001 800

Jan-

05

May

-05

Sep

-05

Jan-

06

May

-06

Sep

-06

Jan-

07

May

-07

Sep

-07

Jan-

08

May

-08

Sep

-08

Jan-

09

May

-09

Sep

-09

Jan-

10

May

-10

Sep

-10

Jan-

11

May

-11

Sep

-11

Tallinn

Nr.of deals EUR/m2

1 762

598

0200400600800

1 0001 2001 4001 6001 8002 000

Jan-

05

Aug

-05

Mar

-06

Oct

-06

May

-07

Dec

-07

Jul-0

8

Feb-

09

Sep

-09

Apr

-10

Nov

-10

Jun-

11

Riga

Nr.of deals EUR/m2

1 731

1 068

0200400600800

1 0001 2001 4001 6001 8002 000

Jan-

05

Aug

-05

Mar

-06

Oct

-06

May

-07

Dec

-07

Jul-0

8

Feb-

09

Sep

-09

Apr

-10

Nov

-10

Jun-

11

Vilnius

Nr.of deals EUR/m2

Baltic housing market

Page 59: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Impaired loans decreasing

• Excluding FX effect down SEK 2.5bn in Q3

• Minor increase in Retail in Q3

59

Asset quality

29 657

6 113

4 362 1962 391 -4 088

-3 853

-3 031-1 078

-1 92629 657

35 770

40 132 40 32842 719 38 631

34 778

31 747

30 669 28 743

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

40 000

45 000

Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

SEKm

1 704 400

4 532

9 079

5 810

1 378

5 840

Q3 11

Ukraine 63%

Russia 22%

Lithuania 15%

Lativa 23%

Estonia 7.9% LCI 0.12% Retail 0.19%

Share of impaired loans, gross

Page 60: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Credit impairments by category

60

Asset quality

120

- 483 - 972

- 324- 441

-1 500

-1 000

- 500

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

SEKm

Portfolio provisions Individual provisions Recoveries Write-offs net

Page 61: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Provisions – well provided for • Individual provisioning rates maintained • Work-out portfolios slowly declining • Positive rating migrations

61

Asset quality

21 068

18 49416 598 15 952

14782

3 606

3 2972 769 2 436

2 409

1 4492 099 4 373

5 2046 306

63.9%

62.7%

61.0% 60.0% 59.8%

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

SEKm

Individual provisions Portfolio provisions Write-of fs, gross, cum f rom 2010 Provision ratio

Provision ratios, % Q3 11

Retail 87

LC&I 103

Baltic Banking 54

Russia 62

Ukraine 67

Group 60

Page 62: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Repossessed assets

62

Asset quality

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

6 000

7 000

Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11

SEKm

Real Estate Residential Real Estate Commercial Passenger & Commercial Transport Shares Other

Page 63: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Loans past due 60 days – performance Q/Q

63

Asset quality

-150

-130

-110

-90

-70

-50

-30

-10

10

30

Q3

10Q

4 10

Q1

11Q

2 11

Q3

11

Q3

10Q

4 10

Q1

11Q

2 11

Q3

11

Q3

10Q

4 10

Q1

11Q

2 11

Q3

11

Q3

10Q

4 10

Q1

11Q

2 11

Q3

11

Q3

10Q

4 10

Q1

11Q

2 11

Q3

11

EURm

Estonia Latvia Lithuania RussiaUkraine

Page 64: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Scenario: “Eastern slowdown – Western standstill”

64

ICAAP 2011 – adverse scenario

• Chinese housing market collapses • The export led recovery in the US halts as

Asian demand dries up • US protectionism and US economic

pessimism turns world growth negative • US enters into a “Japanese” scenario • A weak EU is severely hit by falling

demand in China and the US

Sweden • Negative GDP for three consecutive years, 2012-

2014 (a drop of 7% relative 2011) • Unemployment rate rises from 8.4% in 2010 to

16.9% in 2014 • Residential real estate price drop of 33% until 2014 • Swedish krona strengthens 31% against the USD • Interest rates remain low (treasury bill rate of 0.3%)

Baltic countries • 30% devaluation in Latvia and Lithuania early 2012,

Estonia affected by contraction of external demand • Negative GDP growth in all three countries during

2011-2014 (drops of 9%-11% relative 2010) • Unemployment rates peak in 2013-2014: EE 19.5%,

LV 21.5%, LT 20.0% • Residential real estate price drops. Trough in 2014

EE -24%, LV -15%, LT -21%

Triggers Outcome

Adverse scenario 2011 - GDP development

GD

P in

dex

(201

0=10

0)

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Sweden, base caseSweden, adverseUS, base caseUS, adverseEU-27, base caseEU-27, adverse

Source: Swedbank, Jun 30, 2011 interim report

Page 65: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Scenario model results Income statement (SEKm) 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F Total

2011-2016

Profit before impairments 12 485 13 233 13 766 7 666 7 287 7 150 7 610 56 712

Credit impairments 3 005 5 972 19 318 15 359 10 231 6 734 4 290 61 904 Profit for the year 7 084 5 033 -5 696 -7 694 -2 944 146 1 971 -9 184

(SEKm) 2010F 2011F 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F Risk-weighted assets, full Basel 2 541 327 519 839 524 279 464 569 434 894 413 542 399 855

Core Tier 1 capital 75 470 77 815 69 084 55 936 52 981 53 069 54 043 Core Tier 1 capital ratio, % 13.94 14.97 13.18 12.04 12.18 12.83 13.52

65

ICAAP 2011 – adverse scenario

• Core Tier 1 capital ratio troughs in 2013

• Low interest rates combined with lending volume decline during the scenario period decrease NII and risk-weighted assets

NB: Not adjusted for the buy-back programme or any additional regulatory changes.

Source: Swedbank, Jun 30, 2011 interim report

Page 66: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Macroeconomic assumptions ICAAP 2011 – base scenario and adverse scenario

66

Sweden Baltic countries

80

90

100

110

120

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

GDP growth

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Unemployment

60

70

80

90

100

110

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Real estate price index

Sweden, base case Sweden, adverse

5%

10%

15%

20%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Unemployment

708090

100110120130140150

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Real estate price index

Estonia, base case Estonia, adverseLatvia, base case Latvia, adverseLithuania, base case Lithuania, adverse

8090

100110120130140

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

GDP growth

Source: Swedbank, Jun 30, 2011 interim report

Page 67: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Limited unsecured funding need

67

Liquidity and funding

Lending to the public, less deposits, covered bond pool and retail bonds

SEKbn

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

200

Q4 2008

Q1 2009

Q2 2009

Q3 2009

Q4 2009

Q1 2010

Q2 2010

Q3 2010

Q4 2010

Q1 2011

Q2 2011

Q3 2011

Page 68: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211 Q311

Short-term + interbank deposits Short-term, guaranteed

Stable short-term funding development • Replacement of government-guaranteed short-term paper

• Increased demand, especially in US short-term programs (USCP and Yankee CD), but also in the ECP program

– Total short-term program out standings increased from SEK92bn (Q2 2011) to approx. SEK 118bn(end September 2011)

Source: Swedbank

Liquidity and funding

68

SEKbn

Short-term funding - outstanding volumes 31 Dec 2009-30 Sep 2011

Page 69: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Structure of the Swedish domestic covered bond market • Benchmark system established in early 1990s

• Tap issuance enhances liquidity and reduces execution risk – Continuous daily issuance – Buy-backs against issuance of longer tenors – Total issue size often peak at SEK 40-60bn

• Market making at pre-set bid/offer spreads

69

Source: Swedbank

Liquidity and funding

Page 70: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

70

Natural domestic wholesale funding market Liquidity and funding

Swedish households’ financial assets

Source: Statistics Sweden “Hushållens ställning och transaktioner“ Q2 2011

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 Q2 2011

Deposits and retail bonds Equities

Pension savings and mutual funds Other f inancial assets

Page 71: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Dec 11 Jun 12 Jun 13 May 14 Mar 15 Sep 15 Jun 16 Mar 17 May 20

SPI 181 SPI 176 SPI 177 SPI 166 SPI 182 SPI 183 SPI 184 SPI 185 SPI 180

2009-12-31 2010-12-31 2011-09-30

Swedbank’s domestic covered bonds

71

Source: Swedbank, Sep 30, 2011

Liquidity and funding

SEKbn

Page 72: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210 Q310 Q410 Q111 Q211

Total SEK denominated outstandings

The Swedish covered bond market

72

Swedish Domestic Covered Bonds, in SEKbn Public debt projections 2010-2014, in SEKbn

Source: Government budget statement, Oct 25, 2011

• Domestic covered bonds represent approximately 1/3 of GDP and 1/2 of the total Swedish bond market

Source: www.ascb.se Oct 2011

Liquidity and funding

1168 11191189 1 151 1 086 1 061 1 032

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

0

200

400

600

800

1 000

1 200

1 400

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011F 2012F 2013F

Government Debt 2007-2013F % of GDP

Page 73: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0

20

40

60

2011 2012 2013 2014

USDSEKEURCHFHKDJPY

73

Remaining government guaranteed debt • Exited the programme on 30 April 2010

• No issuance under the programme since summer 2009

• SEK 39bn of government guaranteed debt matured during the first nine months of 2011

• Maturities of SEK 41bn for the remainder of 2011

73

Liquidity and funding

Maturity profile as per Q3 2011, SEKbn

Page 74: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Funding sources

74

Swedbank AB Swedbank Mortgage AB*

*100% guaranteed from parent company - Irrevocable - Unconditional - Timely

100% owned

Program LimitLong Term

Global MTN USD 40bnDomestic MTN SEK 60bn

Short TermDomestic CP SEK 80bnEuropean CP/CD EUR 6bnUS CP USD 15bnYankee CD USD 10bnFrench CD EUR 4bnFinnish CD EUR 4bn

Source: Swedbank

Program LimitLong Term

Domestic Benchmark CB Unlimited*EMTN CB EUR 25bn144a US Covered bonds USD 15bnDomestic MTN CB SEK 150bnNorwegian Benchmark CB Unlimited*

Registered CB (stand alone doc.)

Short Term

Domestic CP SEK 50bnEuropean CP EUR 6bn

* Limited by cover pool size

Liquidity and funding

Page 75: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Origination process – mortgage loan application Customer

START of process

Application

Initial Risk analysis with

recommendation

Product incl. prel. pricing

Detailed evaluation of cost of living,

risk analysis etc

Detailed collateralpreparation

Collateral, property valuation,

recommendation

Final risk-adjusted pricing negotiation

Credit decision

Printout, order collateral, payment, compiling credit

file etc

Signing

Printout, order collateral, payment, compiling credit file

etc

Branch officer

"Credit System"

Decision making body

Back office

11

Price negotiation

Credit origination process - TIME

12

10

8

7

65

4

3

2

1

9

13

Scoring and assessment of internal and external

payment records, income. social data, credit

behaviour etc.

Swedbank’s lending process in Sweden

Source: Swedbank

Page 76: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Origination practices – summary • Assessment of customer

– Income is always verified • Direct access to tax authority filings

– UC AB (Upplysningscentralen) – Sweden’s largest credit information agency • Owned by the major Swedish banks. Supports more than 10 million credit- and commercial decisions

annually • The credit information agency also contains track record of delinquencies and defaults • Direct access to full tax authority filings

– Credit scoring • Is used on all customers with specific score cards for private individuals, SME’s large corporate etc.

– Affordability analysis carried out on all private individuals • 5Y fixed mortgage interest rate +300 bps, in addition 100bps in amortization of mortgage is applied • Minimum level of remaining cash-flow when all costs are included

• Assessment of collateral – Valuations of single-family houses and cooperative apartments are based on

market values. Value of a property is collected by an independent data provider and then affirmed by an internal or external appraiser

76

Swedbank’s lending process in Sweden

Source: Swedbank

Page 77: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

• Customer contacts bank: Various channels

• Assessment of customer: See origination practices

• Application of loan promise: Written form, 6 month validity, size limit based on customer assessment

• Open tender offer process on property: Broker obliged to track offer process and provide list to property purchaser

• Purchase: Purchase agreement signed with bank, buyer, seller and broker; Confirmation of customer assessment and complete property valuation by bank; Down payment on property purchase by customer

• Effective date, access to property: i) Complete financing of purchase; ii) Mortgage deed, release and registration (lantmäteriet.se for houses and denotation to the condominium association for condominiums); iii) Signing of loan agreement with bank 1 loan agreement per interest rate fixing period, includes amount, borrower, mortgage deed owner, property details, appendix on mortgage deed describing collateral rights backing the loan and loan conditions; iv) Information of total loan size sent to UC

• Loan seasoning, contract renewal: Interest re-fixing: automatically renewed to same interval for variable rate mortgagees (3M); customer informed prior to reset date of fixed rate mortgages

• Loan pre payment: interest settlement on difference

77

Home loan purchase process – summary Swedbank’s lending process in Sweden

Page 78: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Day 0 •Credit overdraft or payment overdue

Reminder mail 1 (Day 10) •Automatic reminder mail to customer.

Reminder mail 2 (Day 20) •Automatic reminder mail to customer + collection unit mail to customer responsible.

Case selection •Decision on further customer contact.

Follow up •Follow up from collection unit to customer responsible for current status of customer contact.

Loan in arrears (Day 60) • (removed from

cover pool)

Loan is defaulted (Day 60) •Risk memo with recommendation for provisioning.

Provisioning booking •Portfolio provision at portfolio level, not individually assessed

Customer Credit law threshold •Once aggregate overdue amount > 5% of current loan balance the following steps against the customer may commence:

Debt demand (Day 30 after default) •Formal letter sent : If claim not paid within 30 days loan will be terminated

Loan is terminated (Day 60 after default) •Credit can not revert to performing unless decision is taken by credit committee.

Order to pay by enforcement authority (Day 60) •Voluntary or forced sale of property

Foreclosure process •approximately 6 months

Realized loss •Approx 3-6 months after completed foreclosure process

NPL process – performing to realized loss Swedbank’s lending process in Sweden

78

Page 79: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

• Eligible: Minimum 480 hours of work in last 6 months

• Compensation: Income related compensation or base compensation: – Member of unemployment benefit fund > 12 months income related compensation, – Not a member of benefit fund or less than 12 months base compensation

• Details of compensation: – Monthly compensation for 5 day income week. – Maximum payout time: Unlimited – Income related compensation: 80% of previous income for first 200 days; 70% of income for

100 days; beyond 300 days at 65% of unemployment benefit income under first 300 days – Family considerations: Parent to child under 18: 200 days at 80% of income, 250 days at 70%

of income; beyond 450 days at 65% of unemployment benefit income under first 450 days – Maximum compensation is SEK 680 per day = income related compensation – Minimum compensation is SEK 320 per day = Base compensation – Grace period until first compensation payment: 7 business days after filing for unemployment,

45 business days if a voluntary resignation.

79

Social security – unemployment compensation Swedbank’s lending process in Sweden

Page 80: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110%

Q1 2011

Q4 2009

SEK 621 bn (---SEK 583 bn)

Growth in mortgages primarily in LTV < 75% brackets

80

75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 105% 110% 115%

Q1 2011Q4 2009

SEK 28bn (---SEK 30bn)

LTV

Exposure with LTV above 85% has decreased even in absolute numbers

• By Q1 2011 the portfolio had grown by SEK 38bn since Q4 2009 to SEK 621bn* • The portfolio with LTV above 75% has decreased from 5.1% to 4.5%

* Includes First mortgages in Swedbank Mortgage AB and Second mortgages in Swedbank AB

Souirce: Swedbank, March 31, 2011

Swedbank’s lending process in Sweden

Page 81: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

The Covered Bond Act entered into force on July 1, 2004 and is over-sighted by the Swedish FSA. Its main characteristics are: Dual recourse to the issuer and cover pool Dynamic, regulated pool of assets – frequently monitored by the Swedish FSA via

appointment of an independent inspector Regulated valuation of cover pool assets

The cover pool may consist of certain mortgage credits, public credits and supplemental assets

Maximum LTVs: Residential 75%, Agricultural 70%, Commercial 60%

Maximum 10% commercial loans and 20% supplemental assets in cover pool

Regular monitoring of the property values (reviewed on a monthly basis by Swedbank)

The cover pool value shall always exceed the aggregate value of claims (including derivatives)

A sound balance in terms of FX, interest rates and maturities must be achieved. It is deemed to exist when the present value of the cover pool at all times exceed the present value of liabilities (including derivatives), even on a stressed basis

Non-performing assets in the cover pool which are more than 60 days overdue must be disregarded for the purposes of the matching tests

Holders of covered bonds and relevant derivative counterparties benefit from a priority claim over the cover pool should the institution be declared bankrupt

Holders of covered bonds and relevant derivative counterparties rank pari passu ahead of unsecured creditors and all other creditors of the Institution in respect of assets in the cover pool

The assets in the cover pool, the covered bonds and any relevant derivative contracts that have been entered into the Register are required to be maintained as a unit and kept segregated from other assets and liabilities of the bankruptcy estate of the Institution

The administrators-in-bankruptcy are then required to procure the continued timely service of payments due under the covered bonds and any relevant derivative contracts

Overview of the Swedish covered bond legislation

81

Swedish covered bond legislation

Loan-to-value Ratios and Other Limitations

Matching Requirements

Benefit of a priority right over the cover pool

Administration in event of bankruptcy

The Covered Bond Act

Source: www.ascb.se

Page 82: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

Administration of the cover pool in the event of bankruptcy • Should an Institution be declared bankrupt, at least one administrator-in-bankruptcy would be appointed by the bankruptcy court and

one administrator-in-bankruptcy would be appointed by the Swedish FSA. The administrators-in-bankruptcy would take over the administration of the bankruptcy estate, including the Cover Pool.

• Provided that (and as long as) the Cover Pool meets the requirements of the Covered Bond Act (including the matching requirements), the assets in the Cover Pool, the covered bonds and any relevant derivative contracts that have been entered into the Register are required to be maintained as a unit and kept segregated from other assets and liabilities of the bankruptcy estate of the Institution. The administrators-in-bankruptcy are then required to procure the continued timely service of payments due under the covered bonds and any relevant derivative contracts. Consequently, the bankruptcy would not as such result in early repayment or suspension of payments to holders of covered bonds or to counterparties to derivative contracts, so long as the Cover Pool continues to meet the requirements of the Covered Bond Act.

• If, however, the Cover Pool ceases to meet the requirements of the Covered Bond Act, and the deviations are not just temporary and minor, the Cover Pool may no longer be maintained as a unit and the continuous payment under the terms and conditions of the covered bonds and derivative contracts will cease. The holders of covered bonds and counterparties to derivative contracts would in such case instead benefit from a priority claim over the proceeds of a sale of the assets in the Cover Pool in accordance with general bankruptcy rules. This could result in the holders of covered bonds receiving payment according to a schedule that is different from that contemplated by the terms and conditions of the covered bonds (with accelerations as well as delays) or that the holders of covered bonds are not paid in full. However, the holders of covered bonds and derivative counterparties would retain the benefit of the right of priority to the assets comprised in the Cover Pool. Any residual claims of the holders of covered bonds and derivative counterparties remain valid claims against the Institution, but will rank pari passu with other unsecured and unsubordinated claims.

82

Swedish covered bond legislation

Source: www.ascb.se

Page 83: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

83

Swedbank – contacts and financial calendar

Jonas Erikson, Head of Group Treasury

[email protected] +46 767 6550 88

Gregori Karamouzis, Head of Debt Investor Relations

[email protected] +46 8 585 930 31

Peter Stenborn, Debt Investor Relations

[email protected] +46 8 585 909 30

Cecilia Mattsson, Debt Investor Relations

[email protected] +46 8 585 907 43

Ulf Jakobsson, Head of Funding

[email protected] +46 8 700 90 61

Martin Rydin, Head of Long-Term Funding

[email protected] +46 8 700 90 62

Ingela Saarinen-Kindbom, Money Markets and Short-Term Funding

[email protected] +46 8 700 98 10

Q4 Interim report 14 February 2012

AGM 30 March 2012

Q1 Interim report 25 April 2012

Q2 Interim report 18 July 2012

Q3 Interim report 23 October 2012

[email protected]

www.swedbank.com/investor-relations

Swedbank Group Treasury Regeringsgatan 13

SE-105 34 Stockholm, Sweden

Contact debt investor relations:

For further information, please contact: Financial calendar

Postal address: Visitors:

Appendix

83

Page 84: Swedbank Debt Investor Presentation

84

Disclaimer

• Certain statements made in this presentation are forward looking statements. Such statements are based on current expectations and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results and performance to differ materially from any expected future results or performance, express or implied, by the forward looking statements. Factors that might cause forward looking statements to differ materially from actual results include, among other things, regulatory and economic factors. Swedbank AB assumes no responsibility to update any of the forward looking statements contained herein.

• No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of Swedbank AB or its directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in this presentation. None of Swedbank AB or any of its directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

• This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Swedbank AB, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.