sustainable development of a geothermal project · 2013. 11. 15. · sustainable development of a...
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Sustainable development of a geothermal project
Fausto Batini
Magma Energy Italia
Pisa , October 10th, 2013
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Topics • Introduction
• Sustainable geothermal development • Geothermal project development • Evaluation and ranking of green field projects. • Conclusions
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P.R. Mensano P.R. Roccastrada
Magma Energy Italia A subsidiary of Alterra Power Corp.
Headquartered in Siena with Italian staff supported by Alterra Power Corp. international experts
Two exploration leases in Tuscany:
Mensano 215 km² Roccastrada 272 km²
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Alterra Power Corporation
Total MW: 566
191 147 147
185 222
310
510 94
94 94 94
94
156
156
73 73 73
153
153
153
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Net
MW
GEOTHERMAL HYDRO WIND SOLAR
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Environment sustainability :
No air emission
Low visual impact
Total reinjection of fluid into the geothermal reservoir
No groundwater interference
Resource sustainability:
Social responsibility:
Communication
Transparency
Consultation
Sustainable geothermal development
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Zero emission geothermal system
Sustainable geothermal development
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Integrated use of geothermal resources
Greenhouses
District heating
SPA Thermal park
Electricity generation
Fish farming
Sustainable geothermal development
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Esploration
Drilling
Construction
Operations
Architecture
Earth Science
Engineering
Physics
Economic
science
Law
Chimistry
Science of Communication
Employment oppotunities
Sustainable geothermal development
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EXPLORATION WELL FIELD
DEVELOPMENT POWER BLOCK
ERECTION OPERATION
Environmental impact assessment, mitigation and monitoring
Geothermal Project development
5 - 7 years > 30 years
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Geothermal project development
GREEN FIELD PROJECT WORK FLOW
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Application of competitive proposal
4 years + 2 (ext.)
Exploration lease: Authorization process 90 (min.) or 150 or 270 days
Environmental Impact Valutation
APPLICATION - Work program
- Technical report - Environmental report
- Geothermal experience & skills - Maps
- Balance sheets To: Region, Energy dept.
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATION
- Technical report - Environmental report
- Geothermal experience & skills - Maps
To: Region, Environment dept. Cc: Municipalities – Provinces –
Authorities (archeological, landscapes, environmental)
Evaluation of application Comparison with
competitors, if any
Exploration lease
Execution of explorations Phase 2
: drilling & test
Execution of explorations Phase 1 : surface exploration -
assets excluded from the process of subjection
NO GO
30 years + 30 (renew.)
Exploitation lease
60 days
ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATION
- Technical report - Environmental report
- Geothermal experience & skills
- Maps To: Region, Environment dept. Cc: Municipalities – Provinces –
Authorities (archeological, landscapes, environmental)
Environmental Impact Evalutation
90 (min.) or 150 or 270
days
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Communication by the owner of the
exploration permit of discovery of
geothermal fluids to the competent
authority (Region)
Pubblication on the BURT, on the BUIG and on the
Authority web site
Submitting the application for exploitation lease to the competent authority
60 days
If the exploitation lease does not cover the entire area of the original research permit, other operators may request concession areas covering part or the entire surface remaining, after the expiry of the exploration lease
Application submitted in due time
If the documentation is not filed within the deadline, the concession may be required in COMPETITION
30 years + 30 (renw.)
Exploitation lease
Unique process with the approval of the work program, the geothermal project and the environmental impact assessment
90 (min.) or 150 or 270 days
Selection of the competent authority based on the following parameters: -Completeness and rationality -Modalities for carrying out work program -Guarantees
60 days
Exploitation lease: Authorization process
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Gantt chart for 5 MW project
Geothermal Project development
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Green field project decision stree
Geothermal Project development
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Main criteria
• Geo-resource characteristics (Temperature, Reservoir depth,
potential,…)
• Power plant characteristics (technology, size MW, cooling water
availability,..)
• Market (energy price, competition, Incentives )
• Associated risks
• Natural hazards (seismic, hurricane, landslides, …)
• Value at Risk ($)
• Country (Political, Economic, Regulatory)
• Regulatory compliance
– Permitting processes
– electricity transmission lines (available capacity,..)
– exploitation rights (private owners, state,)
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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Input parameters
• Reservoir extension • Reservoir thickness
• Fluids temperature
• Rocks porosity (F)
Recovery Factor
Geothermal potential estimate
Thermal energy within a
specific volume
(single block)
Monte Carlo
Simulation
Volumetric Estimation
Input parameters
randomly sampled
between min – max “n” years project life 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Potencia (MW)
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
Fre
cue
nci
a R
ela
tiva
MW
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Reservoir performance evaluation
PProduction capacity estimate
10
00
20
00
30
00
Well logging and testing
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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Selection of the approriate technology
Dry steam
Binary cycle
plant
“zero
Emissions”
Flash
Two phases
fluid
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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Environmental compliance The main environmetal issues to be evaluated are :
air emissions noise pollution, water usage, land usage, waste disposal, subsidence, induced seismicity, impacts on wildlife and vegetation.
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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Policy related issues
Strategic plan for renewable energy development
Rules and procedures for permitting process approval
Economic incentives
– Domestic • Incentives (FIT, Tax Credits, etc.) • Renewable Portfolio Standard • Small Power Grid Solutions • Green Pricing programs
– International • Clean Development Mechanism • Carbon Financing Mechanisms • Global Environmental Fund
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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Economic evaluation M
illio
ns
Mill
ion
s
Equity
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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Risk analysis and decision making process
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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0
50
100
0 50 100
Consequence (%)
Pro
ba
bili
ty (
%)
Low permeability
High Gas Content
Volcanic hazard
Inadequate resource
Low Temperature
Seismic hazard
Cold w ater ingress
Rapid reinjection return
Self seiling
Scaling
Subsidence
Slope instability
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
Technical risk matrix
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Risk matrix
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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Geothermal Project Development: Decision processes
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Military and Police Authorities
Land Owners
Media (Local/Regional)
Industry Associations, Trade Unions
Environmental Associations
Schools
Ministry for Economic Development
Superintendence bodies of architectural heritage
13 Municipalities:
3 Provinces
Tuscany Region Universities
MAGMA ENERGY ITALIA
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Stakeholders and Targets
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
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0%
50%
100%
0% 50% 100%
AA
II
CC
DD
EE
FF
GG
HH
LL
RESOURCE PROBABILITY
VIA
BIL
ITY
P
RO
BA
BIL
ITY
Evaluation and ranking of green field projects.
Score matrix for the ranking of green field project portofolio
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The sustainable development of a geothermal project requires: 1. to evaluate the performance of the project according to the
most suitable technology that maximize the environmental compliance and the economic attractiveness
2. to assess, mitigate and manage the risks associated to development and operation of the geothermal project
3. involve local stakeholders since the early stage of the project development in order to obtain the social acceptance
CONCLUSIONS
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Thank You! Fausto Batini
VISIT GEOELEC.EU
mailto:[email protected]