sustainable development - a major challenge to aviation industry
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT - A MAJOR CHALLENGE TO - A MAJOR CHALLENGE TO THE AVIATION INDUSTRYTHE AVIATION INDUSTRY
By: By: MAHMOOD MANZOORMAHMOOD MANZOOR
PRESENTED IN 9PRESENTED IN 9THTH IRANIAN SOCIETY OF QUALITY IRANIAN SOCIETY OF QUALITY MANAGERS/14MANAGERS/14THTH ASIA PACIFIC INTERNATIONAL ASIA PACIFIC INTERNATIONAL
ORGANIZATION CONFERENCEORGANIZATION CONFERENCEAUGUST 23-25 ,2008 - TEHRAN, IRANAUGUST 23-25 ,2008 - TEHRAN, IRAN
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENTSUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
MEET PRESENT NEEDS WITHOUT MEET PRESENT NEEDS WITHOUT COMPROMISING FUTURE NEEDSCOMPROMISING FUTURE NEEDS
NATURAL CAPITALNATURAL CAPITAL ‘‘UNSUSTAINABLE SITUATION’ UNSUSTAINABLE SITUATION’ CONSUMPTION SHOULD MATCH CONSUMPTION SHOULD MATCH
NATURALNATURAL REPLENISHMENT REPLENISHMENT LONG-TERM DEGRADATION IMPLIES LONG-TERM DEGRADATION IMPLIES
EXTINCT OF HUMANITYEXTINCT OF HUMANITY
AVIATION INDUSTRYAVIATION INDUSTRY
AN INNOVATIVE INDUSTRYAN INNOVATIVE INDUSTRY DRIVES GLOBAL PROGRESS & DRIVES GLOBAL PROGRESS &
FORGES LINKSFORGES LINKS 2000 AIRLINES, 23000 AIRCRAFT, 2000 AIRLINES, 23000 AIRCRAFT,
3750 AIRPORTS3750 AIRPORTS 2.2 B PAX, 35% OF TRADE GOODS2.2 B PAX, 35% OF TRADE GOODS 32 M JOBS WORLDWIDE32 M JOBS WORLDWIDE CONTRIBUTES 8% (US$ 3557B) TO CONTRIBUTES 8% (US$ 3557B) TO
WORLD GDPWORLD GDP
GROWTH FORECASTSGROWTH FORECASTS
PRESENT GROWTH TO CONTINUE PRESENT GROWTH TO CONTINUE TILL 2011TILL 2011
INT’L PAX AAGR OF 5.1%INT’L PAX AAGR OF 5.1% DOMESTIC PAX AAGR OF 5.3%DOMESTIC PAX AAGR OF 5.3% INT’L AIRFREIGHT AAGR OF 4.8%INT’L AIRFREIGHT AAGR OF 4.8% VOLATILITY EXISTS: SECURITY, FUEL VOLATILITY EXISTS: SECURITY, FUEL
PRICES & ECONOMYPRICES & ECONOMY
ENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMSENVIRONMENTAL PROBLEMS
PROBLEMS OF SUCCESSPROBLEMS OF SUCCESS GROWING ENVIRONMENTAL GROWING ENVIRONMENTAL
CONCERNSCONCERNS GLOBAL, REGIONAL & LOCALGLOBAL, REGIONAL & LOCAL AIRCRAFT NOISE EMISSIONSAIRCRAFT NOISE EMISSIONS LOCAL AIR QUALITYLOCAL AIR QUALITY AIRCRAFT ENGINE EMISSIONSAIRCRAFT ENGINE EMISSIONS END-OF-LIFE AIRCRAFT DISPOSALEND-OF-LIFE AIRCRAFT DISPOSAL
AIRCRAFT NOISE EMISSIONSAIRCRAFT NOISE EMISSIONS
PERCEPTION DEPENDS ON PERCEPTION DEPENDS ON INTENSITY, FREQUENCY & TIMEINTENSITY, FREQUENCY & TIME
30M PEOPLE EXPOSED TO ‘NOISE 30M PEOPLE EXPOSED TO ‘NOISE NUISANCE’ WORLDWIDENUISANCE’ WORLDWIDE
MITIGATION MEASURES REQUIREDMITIGATION MEASURES REQUIRED SOURCES: AIRCRAFT MAINT, T/O & SOURCES: AIRCRAFT MAINT, T/O &
LANDING, SERVICESLANDING, SERVICES FUTURE THREATS TO CONTINUEFUTURE THREATS TO CONTINUE
MITIGATION MEASURESMITIGATION MEASURES
AT SOURCE:AT SOURCE: TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESSTECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS LOW-NOISE COMPONENT LOW-NOISE COMPONENT
TECHNOLOGYTECHNOLOGY 75% NOISE REDUCTION ACHIEVED75% NOISE REDUCTION ACHIEVED STANDARDS MADE STRINGENTSTANDARDS MADE STRINGENT NNC, CHAPTER 2, 3 & 4 AIRCRAFTSNNC, CHAPTER 2, 3 & 4 AIRCRAFTS ADDITIONALADDITIONAL RESEARCH UNDERWAYRESEARCH UNDERWAY
MITIGATION MEASURESMITIGATION MEASURES
ALONG THE NOISE PATH:ALONG THE NOISE PATH: LAND-USE PLANNINGLAND-USE PLANNING NOISE ABATEMENT OPERATIONS NOISE ABATEMENT OPERATIONS
AT AFFECTED PLACES: AT AFFECTED PLACES: RESTRICTIONSRESTRICTIONS NOISE CHARGESNOISE CHARGES CONCEPT OF ‘BALANCED APPROACH’CONCEPT OF ‘BALANCED APPROACH’
LOCAL AIR QUALITYLOCAL AIR QUALITY
GROUND-LEVEL OZONE & SMOGGROUND-LEVEL OZONE & SMOG INCREASE RESPIRATORY PROBLEMSINCREASE RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS CONTRIBUTORS: NOX, VOC, CO & PMCONTRIBUTORS: NOX, VOC, CO & PM SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS MADESIGNIFICANT PROGRESS MADE TRADE-OFFs INHERENT IN AIRCRAFT TRADE-OFFs INHERENT IN AIRCRAFT
DESIGNDESIGN EMISSION RELATED CHARGESEMISSION RELATED CHARGES RESEARCH UNDERWAYRESEARCH UNDERWAY
AIRCRAFT ENGINE EMISSIONSAIRCRAFT ENGINE EMISSIONS
AIRCRAFT ENGINES PRODUCE AIRCRAFT ENGINES PRODUCE EMISSIONS AT ALTITUDESEMISSIONS AT ALTITUDES
CONTRIBUTE TO GHG LEVELS & CONTRIBUTE TO GHG LEVELS & GLOBAL WARMINGGLOBAL WARMING
CONDENSATION TRAILS PRODUCE CONDENSATION TRAILS PRODUCE CIRRUS CLOUDSCIRRUS CLOUDS
INCREASE IN CO2, CH4 & NOX INCREASE IN CO2, CH4 & NOX LEVELSLEVELS
FUTURE CONCERNS DUE TO FUTURE CONCERNS DUE TO CONTINUED GROWTHCONTINUED GROWTH
MITIGATION MEASURESMITIGATION MEASURES
TARGET: CARBON-NEUTRAL GROWTHTARGET: CARBON-NEUTRAL GROWTH
TECHNOLOGY: TECHNOLOGY: SHORT-TERM, MEDIUM-TERM & SHORT-TERM, MEDIUM-TERM &
LONG-TERM MEASURESLONG-TERM MEASURES
OPERATIONS:OPERATIONS: OPTIMAL CRUISE ALTITUDEOPTIMAL CRUISE ALTITUDE MINIMUM DISTANCE ROUTESMINIMUM DISTANCE ROUTES
MITIGATION MEASURESMITIGATION MEASURES
INFRA-STRUCTUREINFRA-STRUCTURE AIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENTAIR TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT ‘‘SINGLE-EUROPEAN SKY’ & ‘NEXT-SINGLE-EUROPEAN SKY’ & ‘NEXT-
GEN AIR TRANSPORT SYSTEM’GEN AIR TRANSPORT SYSTEM’
ECONOMIC MEASURESECONOMIC MEASURES EMISSION TRADINGEMISSION TRADING
NEW FUELS FOR TOMORROW’S NEW FUELS FOR TOMORROW’S AIRCRAFTAIRCRAFT
AVIATION INDUSTRY's PRIME AVIATION INDUSTRY's PRIME CONCERN: HIGH FUEL PRICESCONCERN: HIGH FUEL PRICES
ADDITIONAL CONCERNS: ADDITIONAL CONCERNS: ENVIRONMENT & ENERGY SECURITYENVIRONMENT & ENERGY SECURITY
FUEL PRICE IS 20% OF AIRLINE FUEL PRICE IS 20% OF AIRLINE OPERATING COSTOPERATING COST
‘‘BURNING’ ISSUE: SPIRALING FUEL BURNING’ ISSUE: SPIRALING FUEL PRICESPRICES
SOLUTION: ALTERNATIVE FUELSOLUTION: ALTERNATIVE FUEL
ALTERNATIVE FUELS - HISTORYALTERNATIVE FUELS - HISTORY
ALTERNATIVE FUELS NOT NEW ALTERNATIVE FUELS NOT NEW CONCEPTCONCEPT
EARLY JET ENGINES USED EARLY JET ENGINES USED HYDROGENHYDROGEN
SYNTHETIC FUELS DEVELOPED IN SYNTHETIC FUELS DEVELOPED IN LATE 70sLATE 70s
PROSENE DEVELOPED DURING 1980-PROSENE DEVELOPED DURING 1980-8484
SEMI-SYNTHETIC SASOL DEVELOPED SEMI-SYNTHETIC SASOL DEVELOPED IN SOUTH AFRICA IN SOUTH AFRICA
COMPLEXITY OF PROBLEMCOMPLEXITY OF PROBLEM
DEVELOPMENT NOT EASY TO DEVELOPMENT NOT EASY TO RESOLVERESOLVE
AVIATION FUEL HAVE SPECIAL AVIATION FUEL HAVE SPECIAL CHARACTERISTICSCHARACTERISTICS
KEROSENE – THE BEST SOLUTION KEROSENE – THE BEST SOLUTION AIRCRAFT SYSTEMS ARE 'KEROSENE-AIRCRAFT SYSTEMS ARE 'KEROSENE-
SPECIFIC‘SPECIFIC‘ 'DROP-IN' REPLACEMENT REQUIRED'DROP-IN' REPLACEMENT REQUIRED SHOULD ALSO OFFER SHOULD ALSO OFFER
ENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITSENVIRONMENTAL BENEFITS
AIRCRAFT-END-OF-LIFEAIRCRAFT-END-OF-LIFE
AIRCRAFT DEPRECIATES IN VALUE AIRCRAFT DEPRECIATES IN VALUE OVER TIMEOVER TIME
DEPRECIATE TO ZERO VALUE IN 30 DEPRECIATE TO ZERO VALUE IN 30 YEARSYEARS
FACTORS: MAINT COSTS, LLPs & FACTORS: MAINT COSTS, LLPs & REGULATIONSREGULATIONS
6000 AIRCRAFT WILL REACH END-OF-6000 AIRCRAFT WILL REACH END-OF-LIFE IN 20 YEARSLIFE IN 20 YEARS
ENVIRONMENTALLY-SAFE DISPOSAL ENVIRONMENTALLY-SAFE DISPOSAL ESSENTIALESSENTIAL
AVIATION INDUSTRY’s RESPONSEAVIATION INDUSTRY’s RESPONSE
INITIATIVES TAKEN-UP BY AVIATION INITIATIVES TAKEN-UP BY AVIATION INDUSTRY:INDUSTRY:
WINGNet FUNDED BY UK EPSRCWINGNet FUNDED BY UK EPSRC PRODUCT STEWARDSHIP (EXTENDED PRODUCT STEWARDSHIP (EXTENDED
PRODUCT RESPONSIBILITY)PRODUCT RESPONSIBILITY) AIRBUS INITIATED PROJECTS: AIRBUS INITIATED PROJECTS:
PAMELA & TARMACPAMELA & TARMAC BOEING INITIATED PROJECT: AFRABOEING INITIATED PROJECT: AFRA
NEW QUALITY ROLESNEW QUALITY ROLES
QUALITY MANAGERS SHOULD:QUALITY MANAGERS SHOULD: ENSURE ENVIRONMENT NOT ENSURE ENVIRONMENT NOT
SACRIFICED FOR GROWTHSACRIFICED FOR GROWTH MOVE FROM TACTICAL TO MOVE FROM TACTICAL TO
STRATEGIC THINKINGSTRATEGIC THINKING ACT AS ENVIRONMENTALISTSACT AS ENVIRONMENTALISTS ADAPT TO LIFE-CYCLE THINKING ADAPT TO LIFE-CYCLE THINKING
CONCEPTCONCEPT ENSURE AIRCRAFT LIFE-CYCLE IS ENSURE AIRCRAFT LIFE-CYCLE IS
ECOLOGICAL ECOLOGICAL
NEW QUALITY ROLESNEW QUALITY ROLES
QUALITY MANAGERS SHOULD:QUALITY MANAGERS SHOULD: ADDRESS ENVIRONMENT IN EARLY ADDRESS ENVIRONMENT IN EARLY
DESIGN STAGESDESIGN STAGES USE ECO-FRIENDLY PARTS IN USE ECO-FRIENDLY PARTS IN
AIRCRAFT DESIGNAIRCRAFT DESIGN ADHERE TO GOVERNMENTAL ADHERE TO GOVERNMENTAL
GUIDELINESGUIDELINES ENSURE AVIATION INDUSTRY ENSURE AVIATION INDUSTRY
MAXIMIZES USE OF 'ENVIRONMENTAL MAXIMIZES USE OF 'ENVIRONMENTAL CAPACITY' CAPACITY'
THANK YOUTHANK YOU