greener by design aviation and the net zero emissions ... · greener by design aviation and the net...
TRANSCRIPT
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Greener By DesignAviation and the Net Zero Emissions Challenge
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Climate Change – where are we ?
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Aviation & Climate Change
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Aviation’s emissions
Aviation c.2% of global human CO2
emissions.
65% International - 35% Domestic.
80% CO2 flights > 1,500km – limited
alternatives
IAG capacity c. 7% Domestic, 26% European
and 67% International.
Sources CO2 emissions
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Global aviation CO2 emissions & forecast
• Aviation’s share global emissions will rise .
• Depending on decarbonisation path will range 3%-24% by 2050
• Aviation will come under increasing scrutiny.
• BA now 5% of total UK emissions
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Setting the strategic direction
1.5% annual average fuel efficiency improvement
from 2009 to 2020.
Stabilise net aviation CO2
emissions at 2020 levels with carbon-neutral growth.
Reduce aviation’s net CO2 emissions to 50% by 2050 over
2005 levels
GOAL
01PRE-2020AMBITION
GOAL
02CNG
2020
GOAL
0350% by
2050
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Sustainability is now firmly on everyone's agenda
Real, measurable commitments required
Airlines, airports, ATC, OEMs, … everyone!
Flying is and will be ok, but sustainably
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By 2030: 20% reduction in net CO2
By 2050: Net zero CO2
By 2025: 10% reduction in CO2 per passenger kilometre
Our new targets
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The flightplan to net carbon zero emissions
Infrastructure
Operations
Market-based measures
Technology & Sustainable Fuels
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11Sustainable Aviation, December 2016
UK carbon roadmap to 2050A4E / ATAG preparing Europe / global CO2 roadmaps
2005 levelnet CO2 emissions
(carbon neutral growth)
With
in-s
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ctio
nM
BM
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2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Va
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lative
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20
10
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
CO2 road-map for UK aviation
Operations / ATM
Imminent Aircraft
Future Aircraft
Demand Growth
Gross Emissions
Sustainable Fuels
Market-Based Measures
NET EMISSIONS
Hypothetical “no-improvements” scenario
Reduction in fuel-burn
Further CO2 reduction
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Exploring new technology to capture carbondirectly from the atmosphere
Contributing to UK Government’s goal of a net zero carbon economy by 2050
Incentivising managers to reduce carbon emissions
$400m investment in development of sustainable aviation fuel
First airline group worldwide to commit to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050 through a series of measures
Our journey has begun: Flightpath net zero
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www.enviro.aero/saf. Annual estimates
6billion
litres of SAF in forward purchase agreements
9airlines
with significant forward purchase
agreements
200,000commercial SAF flights
since 2011 3.000.000
6.000.000
9.000.000
12.000.000
15.000.000
Litres
Production ramp-up in sustainable aviation fuel is taking off...
20112012 2013 2014 2015
2016
20172018
Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) deployment
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What can be achieved?
14 Sustainable Aviation Fuel plants producing nearly 8% of total UK aviation fuel needs
Gross Value Added to the UK of £2.7bn per annum
Additional 5,200 UK jobs
By 2035
(Source:E4Tech).
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15(Source:E4Tech).
What can be achieved?
Up to 30% of UK aviation fuel using sustainable fuels
Limited opportunity for electric or hybrid aircraft to 2050
No long-term substitute for majority of UK jet fuel demand
By 2050
No threat of substitutes to Sustainable Jet Fuel
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British Airways project in the UK
We strongly welcome the UK Government announcement to create a level playing field of incentives for sustainable aviation fuels key to UK projects
Partnership with technology partner Velocys and Shell
Uses waste that would otherwise be destined for landfill – site announced –first fuel 2024
We believe there are significant opportunities for further waste to fuels plants in the UK and around the world
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100.5 99.797.5
95.6 94.892.3 91.5 90.6
88.086.3
84.582.0
80.2 79.6
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
gC
O2
/p-k
m
IAG
New flight efficiency target 2025: 80 gCO2/pkm - 10% improvement
Target
87.3
2020
Target
80.0
2025
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Mt CO2
Roadmap to 20302020
27 MT
2030
22 MT
Operational efficiencies
Fleet
Market-based measures
Biofuels
Voluntary offsets
2020-2030 total cumulative reduction: 160 Mt CO2
2020-2030 reduction in annual net emissions: 20%
IAG CO2 Roadmap to 2030
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Long Term Target – Net Zero Emissions by 2050
• Scientific evidence (1.5 degs) leads to a Net Zero Emissions target by 2050
• UK Government have committed to Net Zero Emissions 2050
• UK CCC advises UK Government that UK Aviation should be included in this target
• We believe target is achievable with a global MBM – the key is NET emissions
• We support committing to this target through ICAO by 2022 General Assembly
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Long Term Target – Net Zero
Emissions by 2050
IAG commitment – Oct 10th 2019
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22Sustainable Aviation, December 2016
UK carbon roadmap to 2050
2005 levelnet CO2 emissions
(carbon neutral growth)
With
in-s
ecto
r CO
2re
du
ctio
nM
BM
s
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Va
lue
re
lative
to
ye
ar
20
10
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
CO2 road-map for UK aviation
Operations / ATM
Imminent Aircraft
Future Aircraft
Demand Growth
Gross Emissions
Sustainable Fuels
Market-Based Measures
NET EMISSIONS
Hypothetical “no-improvements” scenario
Reduction in fuel-burn
Further CO2 reduction
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Questions?