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St. Johns River Water Management District C. Jacoby Supervising Environmental Scientist Estuaries Section Bureau of Water Resources

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Page 1: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

C. JacobySupervising Environmental ScientistEstuaries SectionBureau of Water Resources

Page 2: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

Questions

• What is the lagoon?• What is a shared challenge?• How are we doing?• What happened?• What have we learned?

St. Johns River Water Management District

Page 3: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What is the lagoon?• Valuable

(East Central Florida and Treasure Coast Regional Planning Councils)

Page 4: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What is the lagoon?• Complex

– 3 receiving waterbodies– long (156 mi)– shallow (~3' on average)– wind and tide driven

(not a river)– segmented

(flushing wks to mos)– sensitive– diverse

o ecologyo politicso challenges

Banana River Lagoon

Indian River Lagoon

Mosquito Lagoon

New Smyrna Beach

West Palm Beach

Page 5: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What is a shared challenge?

• Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL)• Basin Management Action Plans

– adaptive approach to uncertainty– seagrass a key indicator

Page 6: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

How are we doing?

Good management

Good luck Mini-drought

Vero WWTPdischarge ⇓

IRFWCDdischarge ⇓

‘04 hurricanessurge and flushing

Drought

TS Fayflushing

Drought

0

30,000

60,000

90,000

Seag

rass

are

a (a

cres

)

Mapping years(Historiccoverage)

~42%loss

~12%gain

~15%gain

Page 7: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

How are we doing?

• 2012–2013 manatee UME(115 mortalities due to undetermined causes in 2013)

• 2013 dolphin UME(Mar–Aug ⇒ 3× – 6× higher mortality than 9 year mean)

• 2016 fish kill in Banana River Lagoon(estimated > > 100,000 mortalities)

Page 8: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What happened?

Dec 24Oct 32010

Apr 1 July 32011

Sep14 Oct 23 Dec 8 Mar 182012

Initially two phytoplankton (microalgal) blooms

Superbloom in the north –record magnitude and duration

Other bloom in CIRL –lower magnitude and long duration

Page 9: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What happened?

D. Scheidt, IHAK. Young, Volusia County

2012 brown tide(Aureoumbra lagunensis)

Page 10: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What happened?

IRL across from Turkey Creek; 9/20/13; photo by T. Miller

Takayama tasmanica

Mouth Banana Creek; 9/6/13; photo by T. Miller

Aureoumbra lagunensis

IRL east shore by 528 Cswy; 9/6/13; photo by T. Miller

Other?

Banana River; 8/28/13; photo by D. Scheidt

Pyrodinium bahamense

4 ecl

Page 11: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

Page 12: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What happened?Eutrophication

progressionscheme

Increasednutrient delivery

Enhanced growthphytoplankton and

macroalgae

Increased shading andbenthic respiration

Seagrass lossAdapted fromC.M. Duarte (1995)

Page 13: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

What have we learned?

Page 14: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

50 56 52 78 124 139 99 139 164 181 145 160 168 168 168

Perc

enta

ge o

f sam

ples

Year and number of samples

13 stationsUnique bloom No bloom

Supe

rblo

om

Page 15: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%20

02

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

50 56 52 78 124 139 99 139 164 181 145 160 168 168 168

Perc

enta

ge o

f sam

ples

with

blo

om

Year and number of samples

13 stationsDiatom Dinoflagellate CyanobacteriaNanoeukaryote Brown tide Other

Superbloom

Page 16: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

• Players have changed• Smaller

(> 200 side-by-side across “.”)• Turn over faster• Other challenging behavior

Pyrodiniumbahamense

Pico-cyanobacteria

Chlorophyte

Diatoms

Dino-flagellates

Filamentous cyanobacteria

Mixed nano-flagellates

Aureoumbralagunensis

4 ecl

Newerdominants

Page 17: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

Use different types of N Use organic forms(also P)

Bypass microbial loop Faster cycling

Less loss Compete well

Relativepreference

index

> 1 ⇒preferred

0.01

0.1

1

10

100

Ammonium Nitrate AA

Pedino Pico

Amino acids

Chlorophyte Picocyanobacteria

Graph courtesy of J Papcek and P Inglett

Page 18: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

“Fix” N(pull it out of thin air)

+ correlations w/# of picocyanobacteria°C

– correlations w/[N][N]:[P]

[N] ⇓ or [P] ⇑⇒N fixation ⇑

Daily

Fix

atio

n Ra

te (n

g N

mL-1

d-1)

0.28-0.35 g N/m3/wk

Graph courtesy of J Papcek and P Inglett

Page 19: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

Mea

n TP

D (m

g L-1

)

ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017

0.0

0.4

0.8

1.2

1.6

Mea

n TK

ND

(mg

L-1)

ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017

Page 20: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

Mean % cover of seagrass (1994 – 2017)

0102030405060708090100

0

5

10

15

20

25

30Seagrass % cover

% c

over

Chlo

roph

yll a

con

c. (µ

g/l)

Compressed scale | Monthly (bi-annual sampling)

St. Johns River Water Management District

‘94 ‘96 ‘98 ‘00 ‘02 ‘04 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Page 21: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

Mean % cover of seagrass and drift macroalgae (1994 – 2017)

0102030405060708090100

0

5

10

15

20

25

30Seagrass % cover

Drift % cover

% c

over Ch

loro

phyl

l a c

onc.

(µg/

l)

St. Johns River Water Management District

Compressed scale | Monthly (bi-annual sampling)

‘94 ‘96 ‘98 ‘00 ‘02 ‘04 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Page 22: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

0102030405060708090100

0

5

10

15

20

25

30Seagrass % cover

Drift % cover

Chlorophyll a

Chlo

roph

yll a

(µg

l-1)

St. Johns River Water Management District

% c

over

Compressed scale | Monthly (bi-annual sampling)

‘94 ‘96 ‘98 ‘00 ‘02 ‘04 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Mean % cover of seagrass and drift macroalgae andmean chlorophyll concentrations (1994 – 2017)

Page 23: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

Page 24: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

What have we learned?

• Legacy loads ⇒ internal load(especially ammonium used by brown tide)

• Drift algae ⇒ key role in cycling(loss/lack of growth made nutrients available)

• Small phytoplankton ⇒ make their own N(fix nitrogen under certain conditions)

• Small phytoplankton ⇒ use organic N and P(e.g., amino acids)

• Small phytoplankton ⇒ more efficient blooms(growth rates and nutrient uptake)

Page 25: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

Take-home messages

• Nutrients ⇒ chlorophyll = the issue• Nutrient budget = “complex”• New sources of chlorophyll = “bad actors”• Value in information from≥ 1 level below level of management

Page 26: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management District

Take-home messages

• Events matter• Restoration underway and planned

– SJRWMD projects and cost share– IRL Council grants– Brevard County sales tax

• It took us a while to get here …it’ll take us a while to get where we want to go

Page 27: Supervising Environmental Scientist Bureau of Water Resources · 2018. 5. 29. · Mean TKND (mg L. 1) ML BRL NIRL 1996-2009 2010-2017. St. Johns River Water Management District. Mean

St. Johns River Water Management DistrictSt. Johns River Water Management District

Thank you