students game for technical analysis game
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TRANSCRIPT
To buy or, not to BuyYou start with 10 million pesos.You may invest a maximum of 10 million
per round. When presented an opportunity:
You may invest ZERO or 1 or 2 ... Up to 10.
>> For each round, how much can you invest ?
“Fundamental” Vs. “Technical”
3
Fundamental AnalysisFinancials & Economics
Technical Analysis• Trends (to continue?)• Turning points (reversals)
Sales – Costs = Net profits
Earnings per Share
Stock Price versus Company VALUE
Past prices vs Future prices
TIPS
Analysis: TEL is not looking good in the short-term as it continued to make a lower low in this week’s trading. Investors who are looking to enter should probably wait first before entering this stock as it may now fall back near its psychological 2,500 support. Support is seen at 2,506 while resistances are pegged at 2630 and 2700.
Trading PlanAVOID (short-term): 2,572.00
“PLDT” = telecoms
!
BUY at Support
Level
Buyers Buyers No more Buyers
SellersSellers
SellersSAMPLE CHART
Strong probability of going down
Looks Impres-sive? NO
Side-ways
Don’t judge a book by its cover.
Is this stock price ... going up ?Will it recover, ... going up ?
Thumbs up? Thumbs down?
This stock looks... hopeless ?? UP
Akala mo, down?
UP, some moreDon’t judge a book
by its cover.Is this stock price ... Going to stay down?Will it turn around ... And go down?
Thumbs up? Thumbs down?
Going down ??
Or Turn around
And Go UP?
Thumbs up? Thumbs down?
Down slightly
Will this stock
Continue
To go UP?
Thumbs up? Thumbs down?
50
PROCTER & GAMBLE.Will you buy shares, at $50 each? How much to Invest? 67
Sales are good.Profits are improving...
205
IBM. Will you buy shares, at $205 each? How much to Invest?
200
Sales are down, But the companywill recover.
24
COCA COLA.Will you buy shares, at $24 each? How much to Invest? 37
Sales are good.They are beating Pepsi Cola ...
25
CISCO SYSTEMS.Will you buy shares, at $25 each? How much to Invest?
15
Experiencing some Competition...
Here is the real contest
Watch out for TRENDS … “Support and resistance”
WATCH for CHANNEL formations.
PLDT
Buyers
Buyers
Sellers
Will you buy, at 2340? Invest how much?
If the price cuts above the Moving Average, BUY
2704
?
Philex MiningIf i see that the Price is ABOVE the Moving Average line, then i continue to buy.
3 17Money grew
3
17
Strong probability of going UP
Will you buy, at 3 per share?How much, to invest?
Can the airplane land? Yes.
70
Raised money from IPOBut then it has not yet gained revenues..to offset the expenses.
Will you buy, at 130? Invest how much?
130
METROBANK
Buyers
Buyers
SellersWill you buy, at 68? Invest how much?
91
21
8
AYALA LAND. Will you buy, at 8? Invest how much?
1000
1600Some marketing problems, Being beaten by the competition...
GLOBE Tel. Will you buy, at 1600? Invest how much?
25
15
Some bad news... Power plants are under repair and rehab. Less revenues, lower profits.
FIRST POWER GENERATION. Will you buy, at 25? Invest how much?
Benguet Corporation
10Will you buy, at 10? Invest how much?
23After years of losses, it returned to Profitability In 2011`...
Banco de ORO
30
Will you buy, at 30? Invest how much?
62Making lots of money from SM group
.03
.015
Production Problems...
Will you buy, at 3ctv ? Invest how much?
BELLE
Corp
1
Will you buy, at 1? Invest how much?
5Strong growth
40 c
Will you buy, at 40 centavos? Invest how much?
1.60Digging up
Gold & Copper
SmoothoperationsLepanto Mining
2.00“SEA” CEMENT. Buy, at 2? How much?
1.70
Some marketing problems
10
Will you buy, at 10 pesos? Invest how much?
“LOTO”
20Looks like a winner.Plenty of Sales
38
FACEBOOK.Will you buy shares, at $38 each? How much to Invest?
20
GREAT IPO...
Lots of Hype...
Where are the
Profits?
230
APPLE COMPUTER.Will you buy shares, at $230 each? How much to Invest?
700
Sales are good.NEW ipHONE 5COMING OUT
...Last ...
Thank You!
You were a good sport !
Want some more ?
fermented milk products, & health drinks
Yakult sales are going up!Because of Filipino kids...
250 yen
Will you invest? If yes, how much?
250
370
Fukushima reactor was destroyed, by a TsunamiWill you
invest? If yes, how much?
2300 yen
“Tokyo Electric Power”generates, and distributes electricity, generated from hydroelectric, thermal, and nuclear power sources.
2300150
After the catastrophic accident, the share price fell.
800 yen
KIKKOMAN SAUCE, doing OK. Will you invest? If yes, how much?
800 yen
1,048The more Sashimi, ... the more Soy Sauce
350 Yen
Doing OKAY.. Will you invest? If yes, how much?
350 Yen
You are an Rucky investor!
congratuRations
Game on!(USA edition)
Dow Jones Industrials
27
MERCK & CO.Will you buy shares, at $27 each? How much to Invest?
44
Good sales.Good profits.
•Upward Channels•Downward Channels
•Sideways Channels
• Continuation Patterns
• Reversal Patterns
D M Consunji D M Consunji 47
6
Will you buy, at 6? Invest how much?
6
Will you buy, at 6? Invest how much?
33
Nickel Asia
Buyers
Buyers
SellersSellers
34
Will you buy, at 21? Invest how much?
Practice, Lang...
Aboitiz Power
Will you buy, at 12? Invest how much?
34
12Practice, Lang...
8
Will you buy, at 8? Invest how much?
24
Practice, Lang...
Alaska Milk
Jollibee Foods
20
Will you buy, at 20? Invest how much?
110Doing OKAY
6
Will you buy, at 6? Invest how much?
33JG Summit
1
2
Having some difficulty with sales...
FILINVEST LAND.Will you buy, at 2? Invest how much?
2.3
Management problems...
Will you buy, at 2.8? Invest how much?
.60
FIL-ESTATE CORP. Will you buy, at 10? Invest how much?10
.40
.26
Having some difficulty with production...
BASIC ENERGY.Will you buy, at 40 ctvs? Invest how much?
75
BOEING AIRCRAFT.Will you buy shares, at $75 each? How much to Invest?
73
[email protected] are down,But expectedTo recover. Competition is Tough.
50
HEWLETT- PACKARDWill you buy shares, at $50 each? How much to Invest?
18
Sales are DOWN.Having some marketing problems.