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David Strom

June 18 2008

Giving thanks to 20 years of Bill Gates:And what the future of IT will be without him

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Bill Fairchild introduction

David Strom

1972: Enters Union

1976: Receives BA in Math

1978: Receives MS in

Operations Research

Today: networth, priceless,

salary: > $10/yr

Sergey and Larry

1972: Not yet born

1976: Toddlers

1978: Don’t know much about

O.R.

Today: Networth: > $18B

each, salary < $10.yr

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Outline

Giving thanks to Bill

1988 and now

Your favorite stories

The future

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We began preparations years ago

Letterman video about Bill’s retirement

http://youtube.com/watch?v=V_o9isZY5h0

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Bill Gates is still richer than you

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Key points

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The Web has become a dynamic place, especially for our students

Send in your homework

Find last year’s exam answers

Plagiarize your assignments

Find a date

Find a roommate

Sell their stuff

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The only keyboard Windows needs

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Thanks, Bill!

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Microsoft stock value

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One reason for Bill’s retirement: Demos!

http://www.cnn.com/TECH/computing/9804/20/gates.comdex/gates.30.240.mov

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Words in the Microsoft lexicon

Fear, uncertainty and doubt We are on a product death march Our software is now code complete And is now released to manufacturing Buy a Vista-ready PC We are not monopolists Cut off Netscape’s air supply Abort, retry, reboot

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Thanks for killing off

DOS 4.0 Windows ME OS/2 (all versions) Lotus 1-2-3 Netware Word Perfect Netscape Bob WebTV [Your favorites here]

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Back in 1982, Bill said in PC Magazine Issue #1:

“We’ll be able to write big fat programs. We can let them

run somewhat inefficiently because there will be so much

horsepower out there.”

“300 MB hard drives in the $10-$15,000 range”

“We are still not at a stage where I would tell my mother

just to go out and buy a PC”

“You have to be a real bits and bytes man to get that

Apple to play any kind of decent musical tone”

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Let’s go back to

1988 for a moment

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What did my Union dorm room look like?

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My daughter’s dorm room today

Three laptop computers (Mac and Windows) w/ wireless Internet access and built-in Web cams

Five iPods (two to workout with) with 4,000 tracks Two digital cameras Two cell phones and one landline that is rarely used TV, DVD and cable hookup Microwave, mini fridge supplied by the college Stacks of DVDs and a few CDs to complete the p2p

downloaded tunes

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Fond memories of our first PCs

Mine was a HP 85 (+$3,000, 1980)

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Price drops

10 years ago, a typical PC base price was $5,500

1 MB RAM, 40 MB disk, 16 MHz CPU

Then add 2 MB RAM for $1,700

Monitors were around $750 - $1,000 (12” VGA)

You were at $10,000 before you knew it!

This doesn’t mean we should cut our fees, though!

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Now look at what kind of storage you can buy

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What has succeeded despite Microsoft

Spreadsheets, and not just for numbers either

Linux and all that open source stuff

Apache and the Web

Apple’s iPod

Macintoshes

Windows NT and now XP

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Thanks also to Google!

Web-based email: Gmail (vs Hotmail)

Search (vs MSN)

Web mashups (maybe Silverlight and Popfly)

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We’ll miss the Jobs/Gates matchups

http://youtube.com/watch?v=gtCJHyFhB48

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Windows is great job security

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Size of Microsoft’s OSs

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

MB

DOS 1DOS 6Win 3.1Win 95Win 98Win XPVista

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20 years of lawsuits too!

1989: Apple sues over Windows UI 1994: Dept. of Justice, Windows 1994: Stac, disk compression: wins $126 million 1995: Wang, OLE: wins and then disappears 1996: Caldera, DR-DOS: annoys entire Linux world 1997: Borland, their ex-employees 1998: Dept. of Justice, browser tactics 2003: Real Network, media player Various: Sun, $2 Billion payout!

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Overall, lawsuits have cost Microsoft $9 Billion!

At one time,

more than 130

concurrent suits!

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The true Windows default settings

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Your stories

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Looking toward the future

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• The Web today

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Mashups and rich apps

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Twitter and live personalized broadcasts

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Are you my friend yet or what?

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P2p networks

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CMS vs. the Web

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Virtualization is the new clustering

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The Greening of IT

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So thanks again Bill for the memories

Questions and comments

Enjoy your prizes

David Strom

(310) 857-6867

http://strominator.com