david strom june 18 2008

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David Strom June 18 2008

Giving thanks to 20 years of Bill Gates:And what the future of IT will be without him

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Bill Fairchild introduction

David Strom 1972: Enters Union 1976: Receives BA in Math 1978: Receives MS in

Operations Research Today: networth, priceless,

salary: > $10/yr

Sergey and Larry 1972: Not yet born 1976: Toddlers 1978: Don’t know much about

O.R. Today: Networth: > $18B

each, salary < $10.yr

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Outline

Giving thanks to Bill 1988 and now Your favorite stories The future

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We began preparations years ago

Letterman video about Bill’s retirement http://youtube.com/watch?v=V_o9isZY5h0

http://youtube.com/watch?v=V_o9isZY5h0

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Bill Gates is still richer than you

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Key points

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The Web has become a dynamic place, especially for our students

Send in your homework Find last year’s exam answers Plagiarize your assignments Find a date Find a roommate Sell their stuff

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The only keyboard Windows needs

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Thanks, Bill!

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Microsoft stock value


One reason for Bill’s retirement: Demos!

http://www.cnn.com/TECH/computing/9804/20/gates.comdex/gates.30.240.mov

http://www.cnn.com/TECH/computing/9804/20/gates.comdex/gates.30.240.mov


Words in the Microsoft lexicon

Fear, uncertainty and doubt We are on a product death march Our software is now code complete And is now released to manufacturing Buy a Vista-ready PC We are not monopolists Cut off Netscape’s air supply Abort, retry, reboot


Thanks for killing off

DOS 4.0 Windows ME OS/2 (all versions) Lotus 1-2-3 Netware Word Perfect Netscape Bob WebTV [Your favorites here]


Back in 1982, Bill said in PC Magazine Issue #1:

“We’ll be able to write big fat programs. We can let them run somewhat inefficiently because there will be so much horsepower out there.”

“300 MB hard drives in the $10-$15,000 range” “We are still not at a stage where I would tell my mother

just to go out and buy a PC” “You have to be a real bits and bytes man to get that

Apple to play any kind of decent musical tone”


Let’s go back to

1988 for a moment


What did my Union dorm room look like?


My daughter’s dorm room today

Three laptop computers (Mac and Windows) w/ wireless Internet access and built-in Web cams

Five iPods (two to workout with) with 4,000 tracks Two digital cameras Two cell phones and one landline that is rarely used TV, DVD and cable hookup Microwave, mini fridge supplied by the college Stacks of DVDs and a few CDs to complete the p2p

downloaded tunes


Fond memories of our first PCs

Mine was a HP 85 (+$3,000, 1980)


Price drops

10 years ago, a typical PC base price was $5,500 1 MB RAM, 40 MB disk, 16 MHz CPU

Then add 2 MB RAM for $1,700 Monitors were around $750 - $1,000 (12” VGA) You were at $10,000 before you knew it! This doesn’t mean we should cut our fees, though!


Now look at what kind of storage you can buy


What has succeeded despite Microsoft

Spreadsheets, and not just for numbers either Linux and all that open source stuff Apache and the Web Apple’s iPod Macintoshes Windows NT and now XP


Thanks also to Google! Web-based email: Gmail (vs Hotmail) Search (vs MSN) Web mashups (maybe Silverlight and Popfly)


We’ll miss the Jobs/Gates matchups

http://youtube.com/watch?v=gtCJHyFhB48






Windows is great job security


Size of Microsoft’s OSs

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

MB

DOS 1DOS 6Win 3.1Win 95Win 98Win XPVista


20 years of lawsuits too!

1989: Apple sues over Windows UI 1994: Dept. of Justice, Windows 1994: Stac, disk compression: wins $126 million 1995: Wang, OLE: wins and then disappears 1996: Caldera, DR-DOS: annoys entire Linux world 1997: Borland, their ex-employees 1998: Dept. of Justice, browser tactics 2003: Real Network, media player Various: Sun, $2 Billion payout!


Overall, lawsuits have cost Microsoft $9 Billion!

At one time,

more than 130

concurrent suits!


The true Windows default settings


Your stories


Looking toward the future


• The Web today


Mashups and rich apps


Twitter and live personalized broadcasts


Are you my friend yet or what?


P2p networks


CMS vs. the Web


Virtualization is the new clustering


The Greening of IT


So thanks again Bill for the memories

Questions and comments Enjoy your prizes

David Strom

(310) 857-6867

http://strominator.com

david strom june 18 2008

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