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STRATEGIC UPDATE PRESENTED BY: Paula Gold-Williams President & CEO February 18, 2019 Informational Update 1

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Page 1: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

STRATEGIC UPDATE

PRESENTED BY:Paula Gold-Williams

President & CEO

February 18, 2019

In fo rmat iona l Update1

Page 2: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

AGENDA

2

• GROWTH AND SAVINGS

• COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT

• GHG BUILDING USAGE

• MITIGATION STRATEGIES

• NON LINEAR PATH

• FLEXIBLE PATH

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3

WE ENABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH & PROSPERITY!• We run CPS Energy like a business

while always thinking about our customers who pay bills every month.

• We will continue to be SA’s Energy Experts, keeping safety & security top priorities.

• We will make improvements every year to help ensure success. We understand our fiduciary role.

• We responsibly operate our community owned assets.

3

Page 4: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

CITY OF SAN ANTONIOGROWTH (1)

San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth.

• San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for the last few years

• The 2017 increase of 24,208 represents an average of 66 people per day

• The San Antonio area is preparing for a 1.1 million population increase by the year 2040

(1) Source – https://www.texastribune.org/2018/05/24/texas-census-san-antonio-tops-national-list-population-houston-growth/dated May 24, 2018 4

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WE HAVE ENABLED GROWTH WITHOUT COMPROMISING SERVICE

5

We’ve managed growth and continue to meet our customers’ needs. Our customers are more engaged & we offer more tools & resources at the best value

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We have not had a rate increase for 5 years by finding & implementing operational cost savings

WE HAVE FOUND WAYS TO SAVE

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3

LOOKING FORWARD TO THE FUTURE

7

ASPIRATIONAL GOALS

• POLICIES

• PRIORITIES

PATH AND STRATEGY TO GOALS

• AFFORDABILITY

• RELIABILITY

• STRATEGIC DIRECTION

• CUSTOMER SERVICE

• NEW PRODUCTS & SERVICES

Page 8: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

8

WE SUPPLY THE ENERGY TO BUILDINGS

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9

If emissions were measured at the generation source & at the point of usage, emissions would be double-counted!

The CAAP inventory baseline report measures CPS Energy’s GHG emissions at the consumption level

Generate Power Uses Power

Here

Not Here

We can update portfolio to reduce emissions

The community can try more programs, etc.

LEVERS

BUILDINGS & ENERGY USE

Page 10: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

Building

Energy Usage

8,100,647

47%

10

LEVERS

Potential Mitigation Strategies for CPS Energy:

Flexible Path

Increasing Renewable Generation

Energy Efficiency Programs

Adding Solar (utility scale and consumer programs)

Our power plant emissions are included in the GHG inventory for building energy usage. We will work together & collaboratively with the business community to

find ways to reduce emissions.

GHG EMISSIONS

Potential Mitigation Strategies for end-use customers:

Utilize Energy Efficiency Programs

Adding Solar to Home or Business

Building Codes

White & Reflective Roofs

Potential Mitigation Strategies for end-use customers:

Utilize Energy Efficiency Programs

Adding Solar to Home or Business

Building Codes

White & Reflective RoofsTransportation

6,614,448

38%

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3

OPTIMIZE VALUE TO THE COMMUNITY

11

Non-linear ApproachLinear Approach

Start

Finish

Energy Efficiency

Small Box Generation resource

More Electrification

Financial Impacts

Customer Feedback

Modeling

Financial Impacts

Modeling

It’s not a one size fits all. Working together, we will get to a good result.

Page 12: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

16% 14% 11% 9%

32%

18%14%

7%

39%

46%48%

13%

16%

13%22%

21%

50%

6% 5%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2010 2018Traditional

2040Traditional

2040Flexible Path

Perc

ent

of

Cap

acit

y (M

W)

Storage/Tech

Renewables

Flex Gen

Gas

Coal

Nuclear

FLEXIBLE PATH - CAPACITY MIX We will adjust our plan as new competing

technologies provide more benefits70%+!RENEWABLES /NEW TECH

&

80%!!NON-EMITTING

12

2040 Possible Flexible Path

Scenario

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13

IN ACTION!

Page 14: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

Thank You

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FINANCIAL IMPACT• CAAP utilized 3rd party analysis on future

impacts.

• Since the goals outlined in the CAAP may have very interesting and far-reaching impacts on our community and customers, in the spring of 2019, CPS Energy will review the draft report’s information more extensively and will also develop additional information and context aligned to specific applicable energy scenarios.

Modeling and Investment requirements are complicated. We have to make the best decisions for our community that

maximize value.

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Back up Slides

Page 17: STRATEGIC UPDATE - CPS Energy · GROWTH(1) San Antonio continues to be a magnet for economic & population growth. •San Antonio’s metro growth rate has climbed consistently for

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Building Energy

Usage

8,100,647

47%

Transportation

6,614,448

38%

Solid Waste

1,122,451

6%

Water/Wastewater

Operations

12,425

0%

Energy Industries

130,269

1%CPS Other

31,198

0%Industrial

Processes

1,338,942…

CITY’S BASELINE2016 SAN ANTONIO TOTAL COMMUNITY

GHG EMISSIONS BY SECTOR

Total17,350,376 tCO2e

Building Energy Usage (47%) and Transportation (38%)are the two largest sectors, so Mitigation Strategies will focus on reductions in those sectors.

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Phase One

Sept. - Dec. 2017

Best Practices Research

Methodology Documents

Kick-Off Public Event

Phase Two

Jan. - July 2018

Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Inventory

Climate Projections

Mitigation Strategies

Identify Co-Benefits

Identify GHG Reduction

Vision & Priorities Survey

Community & Stakeholder Meetings

Phase Three

Aug. - Dec. 2018

Adaptation Strategies

Cost-Benefit/Cost Avoidance Analysis

Mitigation & Adaptation Survey

Community & Stakeholder Meetings

Targeted Equity Engagement

District Open Houses

Sept. - Oct.

Draft Climate Plan

Phase Four

Jan. - Apr. 2019

District Open Houses

Jan. - Feb.

Final Climate Plan

Source: www.saclimateready.org

CITY’S TIMELINE

Key Meeting Dates 2019:

Jan. 25 Public Release DRAFT CAAP30‐day comment period opens

Feb. 27 Planning Commission #1Mar. 13 Planning Commission #2Mar. 26 Community Health & Equity Committee BriefingApr. 3 City Council B‐SessionApr. 11 City Council A‐Session

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CLIMATE PROJECTIONS

Number of days over 100°F is increasing

Source: Historic weather: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Source: Predicted weather: Climate Projections for the City of San Antonio, 2018

Photo credits, From left to right: Jerry Lara, San Antonio Express-News; SA Office of Sustainability;

Shutterstock

+24Addition

alDays

over 100°F

Very hot days (over 110 degrees F) will begin to occur in the future and will increase in frequency over time.

By 2040, we expect

By 2100, we expect

Additional

Days over 100°F

+48 94_

19

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HOW WE COMPAREPer Capita GHG Emissions of U.S. Cities

San Francisco, CA 5.4

New York, NY 5.8

San Jose, CA 7.4

Los Angeles, CA 8.3

New Orleans, LA 9.4

Seattle, WA 9.4

San Antonio, TX 11.6

Chicago, IL 12.3

Philadelphia, PA 12.4

Portland, OR 12.5

Cambridge, MA 13.8

Austin, TX 14.2

Dallas, TX 14.3

Houston, TX 15.2

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CARBON INTENSITY

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

198

0

198

1

198

2

198

3

198

4

198

5

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198

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198

9

199

0

199

1

199

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199

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199

9

200

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

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200

8

200

9

201

0

201

1

201

2

201

3

201

4

201

5

201

6

201

7

CO

2 In

ten

sit

y (

lbs/m

wh

)

To

tal G

en

era

tio

n (

millio

n m

wh

)

time

Historical CO2

Intensity for CPS Energy (lbs of CO2

emissions per net mwh of generation from all sources of

power including gas, coal, wind, solar and nuclear)

Total Generation CO2 Intensity

1988- STP 1 & 2 added to Generation mix

1993- STP shutdown for year

2005- Increase STP from 28% to 40% ownership

2009 - Increase due to Spruce 2

1988- STP 1 & 2 added to Generation mix

1993- STP shutdown for year

2005- Increase STP from 28% to 40% ownership

2009 - Increase due to Spruce 2

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BUILDING ENERGY USEGHG emissions reduction

opportunities

Industrial Electricity4%

Industrial Fuel5%

Commercial Fuel8%

Residential Electricity34%

Commercial Electricity49%

Residential Fuel<1%

Potential Mitigation Strategies

• Increasing Renewable Generation

• Energy Efficiency

• Adding Solar

• Building Codes

• White & Reflective Roofs

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Slide | 2323

CITY’S GOAL

0

2,000,000

4,000,000

6,000,000

8,000,000

10,000,000

12,000,000

14,000,000

16,000,000

18,000,000

20,000,000

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

To

tal G

HG

Em

issio

ns

(m

etr

ic t

on

nes C

O2

e)

2° Pathway70-80% reduction

against 2015

1.5° Pathway90-100% reduction

against 2015

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CITY’S DRAFT PLAN

The community can visit www.saclimateready.org to submit feedback on the DRAFT CAAP for the City of San Antonio.

Key Dates:

Jan. 25 Public Release DRAFT CAAP30‐day comment period

opens

Apr. 11 City Council A‐Session

Final Plan Approval

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ACCOMMODATING GROWTH, PROMOTING EFFICIENCY & CUTTING COSTS

This is how we save our customers money & add value.

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PARIS AGREEMENT• In Paris, France on Dec. 12, 2015 the United

Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) reached an agreement to combat climate change.

• That agreement is referred to as the Paris Agreement.

• The Paris Agreement central aim is to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change by keeping a global temperature rise this century well below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels and to pursue efforts to limit the temperature increase even further to 1.5 degrees.

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PUBLIC OUTREACH

• Monthly Environmental Stakeholder Meetings

• Monthly Business Stakeholder Meetings

• Customer Care Fairs

• Open Houses

• Neighborhood Associations

• Chambers of Commerce

• Community Events

• Over 6,000 community members at about 150 meetings/events

CAAP Open House at John Igo Library October 29, 2018

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CLIMATE ACTION & ADAPTATION PLAN (CAAP)

Mayor Nirenberg, CW Ana Sandoval, Doug Melnick CoSA, CAAP Open House, Young Women’s Leadership Academy, October 13, 2018

Climate Action & Adaptation Plan (CAAP)

A strategy document that outlines the policies and steps to reduce Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions based on a reduction target that aligns with the Paris Climate Accord Agreement. In addition it will identify strategies to build resilience and adapt. San Antonio’s plan has a focus on equity throughout.

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CLIMATE ACTION & ADAPTATION PLAN (CAAP) PARTNERS

29*University of Texas at San Antonio

*

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CAAP TEAMS

• Steering Committee

• Climate Equity Technical Working Group (TWG)

• Energy & Buildings TWG

• Waste & Consumption TWG

• Transportation & Land Use TWG

• Water & Natural Resources TWG

CAAP Steering Committee MeetingJuly 11, 2018

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CUSTOMER SERVICE IMPROVEMENTS

74

45

77

85

91 92

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

-

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

% S

ervic

e L

evel

Tota

l C

all

Volu

me

Quarter by Calendar Year

Total Call Volume

Average Service Level (% of calls answered within 30 seconds)

Via our People First focus, we have driven significant improvements for our customers in access, tools,

programs, staffing, quality & service.

Res Customer Sat

CYSVC Level

Customer Sat

2015 61% 75

2016 78% 78

2017 87% 79

2018 91% 82

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Operating Expenses

$1,600.7M (62%)

COST RECOVERY MODEL

R&R Remain. Deposit $99.4M (4%)

Retail Electric Revenue

$2,247.5M (86%)

Distribution Gas Revenue $171.9M

(7%)

Wholesale Electric Revenue $144.6M

(6%)

Non-Operating Revenue

$35.0M (1%)

Operating Expenses - Non

Fuel O&M $673.7M (26%)

Operating Expenses - (Fuel,

Reg. Fees) $927.0M (36%)

Debt Requirements from Revenue

$399.1M (15%)

City Payment $343.9M (13%)

R&R Remaining

Deposit $99.4M (4%)

Per Flow of Funds, Uses of Revenue must equal Sources of Revenue.

Where does the money come from? Where does the money get spent?

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3

THE COMMUNITY WILL INFORM OUR PATH

3

Fle

xib

le

Path

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Operating Expenses

$1,600.7M (62%)

THIS IS OUR BUSINESS MODEL:“COST RECOVERY”

R&R Remain. Deposit $99.4M (4%)

Everything our community needs us to do costs money!

PAID BY CUSTOMERS PAID FOR CUSTOMERS

ReliabilityGrowthOperations (Including Customer Service)City Payment Fuel

$2.6B

Customer Usage

$2.6B