stock pitch - ait
TRANSCRIPT
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
1/8
Applied Industrial Technologies
(AIT)
Recommendation: Buy
Current Price: $29.47
Intrinsic Value Range: $39 - $44Potential Upside: 34 - 50%
Adam Sues
UNC Stock Pitch Competition
September 2011
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
2/8
AIT Company Overview
Maintenance, repair, andoperations (MRO) companyfocused on industrial market
470 operating facilities & 7distribution centers
Serves over 2,000 suppliers
Offers over 4m product SKUs
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
3/8
Investment Thesis
Industry Tailwinds
Manufacturing output
still below long-term
averages
Shareholder-Friendly
Management
Outperformingcompetition
+
Giving back to
shareholders
Attractive Valuation
Shares down 10% YTD
despite record year in FY
2011
Price Appreciation
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
4/8
Industry Tailwinds
Consistent growth despite recession Revenues correlated to MCU Index
$451.0
$502.1 $508.1
$555.0
$633.6
$-
$100.0
$200.0
$300.0
$400.0
$500.0
$600.0
$700.0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Shareholder's Equity
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
5/8
Management Review:
Effective & Shareholder Friendly
$0.40
$0.48
$0.60 $0.60$0.60
$0.70
41.5
42
42.5
43
43.5
44
44.5
45
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Dividends Shares Outs.
25.89%
15.50%
9.40%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
30.00%
ROIC ROE ROA
AIT DXPE WCC AXE
Alignment with shareholders
Officer Shares Held Guideline % Extra
D. Pugh 19,602,593 4,725,000 314.9%
B. Mondics 3,173,136 2,250,000 41.0%
M. Eisele 4,714,550 1,314,000 258.8%
F. Bauer 2,478,848 1,065,000 132.8%
J. Ramras 1,769,318 1,050,000 68.5%
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
6/8
Hidden ValueBalance sheet < true asset value
LIFO Inventory
Branch Real Estate Value
SAP implementation costs depressing profitability in short-term
$16.5 - $18.5m in expenses in 2012
15.74
12.68
2.58 1.77
0
2
4
68
10
12
14
16
18
WCC DXPE AXE AIT
P/T
angBV
Price to Tangible Book Value
WCC
DXPE
AXE
AIT
AIT - Adjusted Book Value
Tangible Book Value $ 11.04
+ LIFO Adjustment $ 3.26
+ Additional Real-Estate Value $ 2.38
Adjusted Book Value $ 16.68
Current Stock Price $ 29.47
Adj. P/TangBV 1.77x
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
7/8
-
8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT
8/8
Risks to ThesisRisks Alt View
SAP Implementation
Large capital project
Retirement of CEO
Led company since 2000
Economic Slowdown
Macroeconomic
pressure
On-time and on-budget
Temporary earnings
pressure
Experienced management
Avg. Tenure: ~20 years
Recurring revenue stream
Repairs cannot be
postponed indefinitely