stock pitch - ait

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  • 8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT

    1/8

    Applied Industrial Technologies

    (AIT)

    Recommendation: Buy

    Current Price: $29.47

    Intrinsic Value Range: $39 - $44Potential Upside: 34 - 50%

    Adam Sues

    UNC Stock Pitch Competition

    September 2011

  • 8/3/2019 Stock Pitch - AIT

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    AIT Company Overview

    Maintenance, repair, andoperations (MRO) companyfocused on industrial market

    470 operating facilities & 7distribution centers

    Serves over 2,000 suppliers

    Offers over 4m product SKUs

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    Investment Thesis

    Industry Tailwinds

    Manufacturing output

    still below long-term

    averages

    Shareholder-Friendly

    Management

    Outperformingcompetition

    +

    Giving back to

    shareholders

    Attractive Valuation

    Shares down 10% YTD

    despite record year in FY

    2011

    Price Appreciation

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    Industry Tailwinds

    Consistent growth despite recession Revenues correlated to MCU Index

    $451.0

    $502.1 $508.1

    $555.0

    $633.6

    $-

    $100.0

    $200.0

    $300.0

    $400.0

    $500.0

    $600.0

    $700.0

    2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Shareholder's Equity

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

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    Management Review:

    Effective & Shareholder Friendly

    $0.40

    $0.48

    $0.60 $0.60$0.60

    $0.70

    41.5

    42

    42.5

    43

    43.5

    44

    44.5

    45

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

    Dividends Shares Outs.

    25.89%

    15.50%

    9.40%

    0.00%

    5.00%

    10.00%

    15.00%

    20.00%

    25.00%

    30.00%

    ROIC ROE ROA

    AIT DXPE WCC AXE

    Alignment with shareholders

    Officer Shares Held Guideline % Extra

    D. Pugh 19,602,593 4,725,000 314.9%

    B. Mondics 3,173,136 2,250,000 41.0%

    M. Eisele 4,714,550 1,314,000 258.8%

    F. Bauer 2,478,848 1,065,000 132.8%

    J. Ramras 1,769,318 1,050,000 68.5%

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    Hidden ValueBalance sheet < true asset value

    LIFO Inventory

    Branch Real Estate Value

    SAP implementation costs depressing profitability in short-term

    $16.5 - $18.5m in expenses in 2012

    15.74

    12.68

    2.58 1.77

    0

    2

    4

    68

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    WCC DXPE AXE AIT

    P/T

    angBV

    Price to Tangible Book Value

    WCC

    DXPE

    AXE

    AIT

    AIT - Adjusted Book Value

    Tangible Book Value $ 11.04

    + LIFO Adjustment $ 3.26

    + Additional Real-Estate Value $ 2.38

    Adjusted Book Value $ 16.68

    Current Stock Price $ 29.47

    Adj. P/TangBV 1.77x

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    Risks to ThesisRisks Alt View

    SAP Implementation

    Large capital project

    Retirement of CEO

    Led company since 2000

    Economic Slowdown

    Macroeconomic

    pressure

    On-time and on-budget

    Temporary earnings

    pressure

    Experienced management

    Avg. Tenure: ~20 years

    Recurring revenue stream

    Repairs cannot be

    postponed indefinitely