std/tbs/trade and competitiveness section report on the outcome of the 3 rd meeting of the steering...

STD/TBS/Trade and STD/TBS/Trade and Competitiveness SCompetitiveness Sectionection

Report on the outcome of the 3Report on the outcome of the 3rdrd meeting of the Steering Group on meeting of the Steering Group on

linking Business and Trade Statistics linking Business and Trade Statistics (BEST),(BEST),

12-13 April 2010 at OECD12-13 April 2010 at OECD

Andreas Lindner

Head, TACS, OECD

[email protected]

AgendaAgendaItem 6 aItem 6 aAgendaAgendaItem 6 aItem 6 a

3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD


OverviewOverview

• Data development updates

• ORBIS

• The way forward

• The handbook

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3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD3rd WPTGS meeting 4-6 October 2010, OECD


Data development updatesData development updates

• Eurostat, United States, Canada, Norway and Israel had sent updates according to the OECD questionnaire

• Canada– The importer and export database is considered a key

area by policy makers and very successful (paying demand)

– Trade Division is responsible for this in Statistics Canada– Re-organisation allowed re-design– Rolling updates, linked with US data– Large companies are traced over time through tracing of

composing establishments – Survival rates: 1 million $ CAN during first 2-3 years

considered success

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Data development updates - 2Data development updates - 2

• United States– Profile created by Trade Division of Census Bureau

through matching the export trade register to the business register

– Profile Press release created by the Foreign Trade Division of the Census Bureau is supported by the US International Trade Administration (the latter shows considerable interest in this international database – see agenda item 6 (c) )

– Census recoded classifications according to OECD questionnaire and breakdowns

– Prototype profile of US importing companies will be submitted to OECD later

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• Israel:– Central Bureau of Statistics, BoP and Foreign Trade

compiles the data– Because of accession to OECD, Israel plans to move to

the general trade system (UN recommendation)– As for Canada and the United States, export and import

register by economic characteristics is considered very important by policy makers and economists

– Planned developments include• More matching of trade values with economic activity

and partner country detail• Number of enterprises by economic activity and

number of partners• Inclusion of trade in services

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• Eurostat:– Unit G5 - International Trade is compiler– This “TEC” exercise is now part of the European

“acquis” statistics with a regulation in place since mid-2009, requiring members states to mandatorily compile TEC

– Solid exercise, due to census approach, not sample approach

– Intrastat: VAT data used, exemption threshold excludes majority of traders, but represents 3% only of trade value

– Compilation guide under preparation– TEC is one cluster of MEETS

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• Norway:– SSB Norway is compiler– Oral update on developments– Exclusion of oil industry would allow better

comparability– Confidentiality is a problem (small

economy)– Need for secure data exchange

mechanisms

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• OECD:– Presented the TEC data compilation and, in particular, the policy context

(see WPTSG meeting documents 17 and 17 Annex)• Policy and statistics can be mutual drivers (“virtuous cycle”)• TEC opens up entirely new policy dimension (e.g. comparable data on

international competitiveness of SMEs) • Challenges remain: global business decisions (= goods and services) ,

MNEs• More work on statistical units needed, incl. explaining, and on

delineation of international statistical units (example: CNIS, France)• Include more systematically services trade (reference to WPTGS 2009

meeting with excellent country progress reports)• Potential future policy needs include

– Infrastructure demand for transportation– Impact of economic shocks at firm level– Import contents of exports at firm level– Characteristics of exporting firms and their role in GVCs – Policy design for integrative trade (trading of tasks) and role of

company structures

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ORBISORBIS

• OECD has bought this international private database for use by 7 OECD Directorates

• ORBIS presentation (despite obvious advantages for micro-analysis) revealed:– Bias in definition of statistical units– Structural bias– Different variables definitions– Poor data quality– Lack of consistency with official data

• ORBIS and TEC – No fit– US: Much higher export data, certainly due to the fact that ORBIS

approximates total, while TEC’s starting point are exporting enterprises– Canada: as for US, ORBIS figures overstate Canadian exports by 40%(!)

• Nevertheless, benchmarking TEC with global databases is interesting exercise

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Way forward:Way forward:

• The Steering group concluded:– Some Non-EU OECD countries expressed

interest in joining and OECD will extend number of participating countries

– Distinction to be made domestic market orientation international market orientation to get picture of total activities

– Exchange rate fluctuations to be taken into consideration

– Analysis needed on related questions, such as “do we tax exports by import duties?”

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Way forward (cont’d) :Way forward (cont’d) :

• TEC Handbook (OECD-Eurostat):– Agreement that OECD should go ahead, in

close co-operation with Eurostat– This handbook should provide the

methodological framework and compilation guidance, as already done for the chapter 11 of the UN IMS Compilation manual which OECD drafted

– A draft should be presented to the WPTGGS 2010 meeting

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Share TEC with other Share TEC with other constituenciesconstituencies

• The OECD-Eurostat TEC database has been made known to many other groups/meetings/constituencies:– BSDG meetings at Eurostat– ISI meeting 2009– IMTS 2010 Manual (Chapter 11)– Wiesbaden Group on BR (incl. the WG meeting

November 2008 hosted by OECD)– International SME workshop Cairo (January 2008)– E-commerce workshop Dubai 2009– Etc. etc.

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TEC HandbookTEC Handbook

Information for WPTGS Delegates:2 weeks after this Steering Group meeting, it

has been decided by STD management to transfer this activity, together with “Globalisation”, from the Trade and Globalisation Section to the Business Section, becoming Business and Globalisation Section. The Trade Section received “Competitiveness” in exchange. This change in responsibilities explains that work on the Handbook draft could not be started.

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Thank you for your attention!Thank you for your attention!

Questions? Comments?

[email protected]

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