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Page 1: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

On behalf of

Status of Land-based Wind Energy

Development in Germany

Year 2018

Page 2: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

Notes

The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys with industry representatives, as well as

additional research. The basis of the data for the years 1992 – 2011 are analyses of the DEWI.

The information provided within the text and the figures partially includes rounded values. Thus, when

added, there is a possibility of deviations from the overall values.

The cumulative data may be overestimated due to the incomplete capture of dismantling.

Analyses that rely on deviating data bases (i.e. BNetzA Installations Core Data) exhibit a deviating data

inventory.

Photo on Title Page

© Bundesverband WindEnergie/Tim Riediger/nordpool

Contact

Deutsche WindGuard GmbH

Oldenburger Strasse 65

26316 Varel, Germany

Phone +49 (4451) 9515-0

Fax +49 (4451) 9515-29

Email [email protected]

URL http://www.windguard.com/

Contents

Net and Gross Wind Energy Additions ................................................................................................................................... 3

Average Wind Turbine Generator Configuration ................................................................................................................ 4

Dismantling and Repowering ..................................................................................................................................................... 5

Regional Distribution of Wind Energy Additions ............................................................................................................... 6

Regional Distribution of the Cumulative Portfolio ............................................................................................................. 7

Regional Distribution of Awarded Bids ................................................................................................................................... 8

Bid and Award Values of the Tenders .................................................................................................................................... 9

Permitted Capacity and Future Tender Rounds.................................................................................................................10

Monthly Power Production and Market Values .................................................................................................................11

Page 3: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

3

Net and Gross Wind Energy Additions

Over the course of 2018, 743 wind turbine

generators (WTG) were erected in Germany. This

is equivalent to a gross addition of 2,402 MW.

Following several years marked with considerable

additions, this is a sizeable decline. Compared to

2017, 55% less capacity was installed. Bearing in

mind the dismantling of 205 WTG with a

combined capacity of 249 MW, the resulting net

additions for 2018 are 2,154 MW. The recorded

cumulative turbine portfolio subsequently

increased to 29,213 WTG with an overall capacity

of 52,931 MW by December 31st, 2018.

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development

Capacity Number

Develo

pm

en

t

Year

20

18

Gross additions 2,402 MW 743 WTG

Repowering share

(non-binding) 363 MW 111 WTG

Dismantling

(incl. subsequent

registration)

(non-binding)

249 MW 205 WTG

Net additions 2,154 MW 538 WTG

Cu

mu

lati

ve

20

18

-12

-31

Cumulative WTG

portfolio (non-

binding)

52,931 MW 29,213 WTG

Annual Development Land-based Wind Energy in Germany

-10 GW

0 GW

10 GW

20 GW

30 GW

40 GW

50 GW

60 GW

-1 GW

0 GW

1 GW

2 GW

3 GW

4 GW

5 GW

6 GW

Cu

mu

lati

ve P

ort

foli

o

An

nu

al

Develo

pm

en

t

Cumulative Capacity (New Projects) Cumulative Capacity (Repowering)

Annual Dismantled Capacity Annual Installed Capacity (New Projects)

Annual Installed Capacity (Repowering)

Page 4: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

4

Average Wind Turbine Generator Configuration

The average turbine configuration of newly

installed wind turbine generators is described by

the parameters of nominal capacity, rotor

diameter, hub height and specific capacity. The

specific area capacity is the result of the nominal

capacity in relation to the area swept across by

the rotor.

In contrast to the previous year, in particular the

nominal capacity of WTG developed an upward

trend and increased by 9% to 3,233 MW. Rotor

diameter and hub height also increased – each

by 4% compared to the previous year – to

118 meters and 132 meters, respectively. The

specific area capacity of 303 W/m2 was 2% lower

compared to the year before.

The range of turbine configurations used in

Germany is very large. The box plot diagram

below shows this clearly: of individual WTG the

nominal capacity, for example, is between 0.8 and

4.5 MW. Most turbines (depicted by quartiles),

however, have a capacity of 3 to 3.45 MW.

Range of Configuration Values of newly installed WTG

25% - 50% 50% - 75% Ⱶ Minimum/Maximum

0 MW

1 MW

2 MW

3 MW

4 MW

5 MW

6 MW

7 MW

Turbine Capacity

Ø 3,233 kW

0 W/m²

100 W/m²

200 W/m²

300 W/m²

400 W/m²

500 W/m²

600 W/m²

700 W/m²

Specific Power

Ø 303 W/m²

0 m

50 m

100 m

150 m

200 m

250 m

300 m

350 m

Rotor Diameter Hub Height

Ø 118 m Ø 132 m

Page 5: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

5

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

-600 MW

-400 MW

-200 MW

0 MW

200 MW

400 MW

600 MW

800 MW

1,000 MW

1,200 MW

Rep

ow

eri

ng

Sh

are

Rep

ow

eri

ng

an

d D

ism

an

tlin

g

Annual Dismantled Capacity

Annual Installed Capacity (Repowering)

Repowering Share of Annual Capacity Addition [%]

Dismantling and Repowering

Over the course of 2018, 205 dismantled WTG

with an overall capacity of 249 MW were

captured. A portion of these were replaced by

111 new WTG in the framework of repowering.

These repowering WTG had an overall capacity of

363 MW. With that, the newly installed

repowering capacity dropped in comparison to

the previous year, but the repowering share of

the gross additions of 2018 continued to increase

succeeding the decrease after the elimination of

the repowering bonus in 2014.

The dismantling capturing includes late

registrations from the previous year, as well as

decommissionings published in the installations

core data of the German Federal Network Agency

(German: Bundesnetzagentur or BNetzA). The

identification of WTG dismantled in the past is

subject to increased uncertainty and may

assumedly remain incomplete despite the

capturing of late registrations.

Repowering Share, annual installed Repowering Capacity and dismantled Capacity

Page 6: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

6

Regional Distribution of Wind Energy Additions

Compensation elements differentiated by

location allowed for wind energy development to

reach far inland. Subject to a variety of factors

(land availability, regional political decisions etc.)

additions in the German Federal States took

place inconsistently.

Although only about half of the turbines can be

considered new installations, just as in the

previous year Lower Saxony is the state with the

largest gross additions for 2018. North Rhine-

Westphalia and Brandenburg are trailing at a

noticeable distance.

The average turbine configuration also displays

distinct differences across the federal states.

Schleswig-Holstein, Hamburg and Bremen, in

particular, stand out with on average very low

hub heights. In comparison, larger hub heights

and a lower specific area capacity are common in

the south. Regional Distribution of Gross Capacity Additions

Gross Additions in 2018 Average Configuration of newly added WTG

Po

siti

on

State Capacity

Addition

Number

of Added

WTG

Share in

the Gross

Capacity

Addition

WTG

Capacity

Rotor

Diameter

Hub

Height

Specific

Power

1 Lower Saxony 718 MW 206 WTG 29,9% 3,483 kW 120 m 132 m 317 W/m²

2 North Rhine-

Westphalia 331 MW 106 WTG 13,8% 3,120 kW 116 m 140 m 302 W/m²

3 Brandenburg 289 MW 91 WTG 12,0% 3,181 kW 120 m 135 m 284 W/m²

4 Hesse 220 MW 70 WTG 9,1% 3,136 kW 118 m 145 m 288 W/m²

5 Rhineland-Palatinate 203 MW 66 WTG 8,4% 3,070 kW 117 m 143 m 289 W/m²

6 Schleswig-Holstein 147 MW 49 WTG 6,1% 2,992 kW 103 m 92 m 365 W/m²

7 Mecklenburg-

Western Pomerania 127 MW 38 WTG 5,3% 3,330 kW 120 m 119 m 300 W/m²

8 Thuringia 112 MW 33 WTG 4,7% 3,405 kW 121 m 132 m 300 W/m²

9 Baden-Württemberg 87 MW 26 WTG 3,6% 3,362 kW 123 m 143 m 283 W/m²

10 Saarland 60 MW 21 WTG 2,5% 2,857 kW 116 m 140 m 269 W/m²

11 Saxony-Anhalt 33 MW 11 WTG 1,4% 2,991 kW 113 m 123 m 304 W/m²

12 Saxony 31 MW 10 WTG 1,3% 3,050 kW 112 m 117 m 305 W/m²

13 Bavaria 22 MW 8 WTG 0,9% 2,731 kW 116 m 133 m 261 W/m²

14 Bremen 13 MW 4 WTG 0,5% 3,200 kW 113 m 104 m 319 W/m²

15 Hamburg 11 MW 4 WTG 0,5% 2,850 kW 117 m 91 m 265 W/m²

16 Berlin 0 MW 0 WTG 0,0%

Germany 2,402 MW 743 WTG 3,233 kW 118 m 132 m 303 W/m²

Addition (gross) and Average Configuration of newly installed WTG in the German Federal States

Gross Additions

≥ 450 MW

≥ 400 MW and < 450 MW

≥ 350 MW and < 400 MW

≥ 300 MW and < 350 MW

≥ 250 MW and < 300 MW

≥ 200 MW and < 250 MW

≥ 150 MW and < 200 MW

≥ 100 MW and < 150 MW

≥ 50 MW and < 100 MW

< 50 MW

Page 7: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

7

Regional Distribution of the Cumulative Portfolio

The cumulative turbine portfolio is also

distributed across the entire Federal Republic of

Germany. In all federal states, WTG are being

operated and contribute to the energy

production transformation. While the undeniably

largest number of WTG and largest installed

capacity is found in Lower Saxony, the largest

WTG portfolio in relation to the land area is

found in Schleswig-Holstein. In the south, where

development started later on, the portfolio is

smaller. The northern federal states incorporate

41% of the overall capacity, the share of the

federal states in the middle of the country is 43%

and the remaining 15% of the cumulative

capacity are found in the southern states.

The data presented here differ from other

publications due to the presumably incomplete

capture of dismantling and due to inconsistent

definition and systematics. These deviations

might be solved in the future by evaluation of the

upcoming core energy market data register.

Regional Distribution of the Cumulative Capacity

Reg

ion

Cumulative Portfolio (2018-12-31)

State Capacity Number

No

rth

Lower Saxony 11,165 MW 6,305 WTG

Schleswig-Holstein 6,964 MW or 6,536 MW* 3,661 WTG or 2,959 WTG*

Mecklenburg-Western

Pomerania 3,366 MW 1,920 WTG

Bremen 198 MW 91 WTG

Hamburg 128 MW 65 WTG

Cen

tral

Brandenburg 7,081 MW 3,821 WTG

North Rhine-Westphalia 5,773 MW 3,726 WTG

Saxony-Anhalt 5,139 MW 2,862 WTG

Hesse 2,201 MW 1,159 WTG

Thuringia 1,567 MW 859 WTG

Saxony 1,227 MW 899 WTG

Berlin 12 MW 4 WTG

So

uth

Rhineland-Palatinate 3,589 MW 1,748 WTG

Bavaria 2,515 MW 1,161 WTG

Baden-Wuerttemberg 1,529 MW 725 WTG

Saarland 476 MW 207 WTG

52,931 MW 29,213 WTG

Cumulative Capacity and Number of WTG in the German Federal States

*Turbine Portfolio subject to approval according to LLUR Schleswig-Holstein

Cumulative Capacity

≥ 9 GW

≥ 8 GW and < 9 GW

≥ 7 GW and < 8 GW

≥ 6 GW and < 7 GW

≥ 5 GW and < 6 GW

≥ 4 GW and < 5 GW

≥ 3 GW and < 4 GW

≥ 2 GW and < 3 GW

≥ 1 GW and < 2 GW

< 1 GW

Page 8: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

8

Regional Distribution of Awarded Bids

In Germany, a total capacity of 2,343 MW was

awarded to land-based wind energy in 2018 in

four technology-specific tendering rounds. The

tendering volume of 2,710 MW, which was

available in these rounds, was thus not

exhausted. The low competition in the last three

tendering rounds of 2018 led to all projects that

were not excluded (e.g. due to formal reasons)

receiving an award. Hence, there is a pronounced

correlation between the regional distribution of

the bids and awards.

Deviating from the three tendering rounds in

2017, the rounds of 2018 only allowed projects to

participate that had received approval according

to the Federal Immission Control Act (German:

Bundes-Immissionsschutzgesetz or BImSchG).

This put a considerable limit on the pool of

projects admitted to the call for tenders

compared to the previous year. Regional Distribution of Awarded Capacity

(Database: BNetzA)

Regional Distribution of Awarded Capacity across the German Federal States (Database: BNetzA)

Awarded Capacity 2018

≥ 350 MW

≥ 300 MW and < 350 MW

≥ 250 MW and < 300 MW

≥ 200 MW and < 250 MW

≥ 150 MW and < 200 MW

≥ 100 MW and < 150 MW

≥ 50 MW and < 100 MW

≥ 0 MW and < 50 MW

0 MW

0 MW

20 MW

40 MW

60 MW

80 MW

100 MW

120 MW

140 MW

160 MW

180 MW

200 MW

Bid

an

d A

ward

ed

Cap

acit

y

Round 18-1 Round 18-2 Round 18-3 Round 18-4

Round 18-1 Round 18-2 Round 18-3 Round 18-4

Bid Capacity:

Awarded Capacity:

Page 9: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

9

Bid and Award Values of the Tenders

In the tenders for land-based wind energy, award

is given to bidders providing the lowest bid value

for a project at the reference location. In case the

bidders are citizens’ energy cooperatives

(German: Bürgerenergiegesellschaften or BEG),

the bid value is corrected according to the unit-

price process and the attributable award value is

equivalent to the in each case highest awarded

bid value. For regular projects without citizens’

involvement according to the Renewable Energy

Sources Act (German: Erneuerbare-Energien-

Gesetz or EEG) the bid value is equivalent to the

award value. Possible bid values are limited by a

maximum value, which in 2018 was

6.3 € cents/kWh.

The bid, as well as the award values of the

tendering rounds have increased notably

compared to the previous year. However, the

values cannot be compared directly, because in

2017 the exceptions for BEGs were further-

reaching and provided for long implementation

deadlines, whereby future turbine technologies

could be used in the planning process and

comparatively lower bids could be submitted.

Since 2018, a BlmSchG permit is required for

participation, which in turn shortened the

implementation deadlines. At the same time, due

to the low participation in the tender process,

only the first of the four rounds saw any

competition. The volume-weighted average

award value of the four tendering rounds of 2018

was 5.6 € cents/kWh.

The values to be applied that are decisive for the

expected proceeds per kilowatt-hour of the

awarded WTG result out of the adaptation of the

award values with the help of location-specific

correction factors. Thereby applicable: If the

project has an energy yield higher than the

reference yield, the award value will be corrected

downward; is a lower energy yield achieved, the

value to be applied will be above the award

value.

Development of Awarded Bids of Tender Rounds for Land-based Wind Energy (Database: BNetzA)

Ø 5.71 ct/kWh Ø 4.28 ct/kWh Ø 3.82 ct/kWh Ø 4.73 ct/kWh

Ø 5.73 ct/kWh Ø 6.16 ct/kWh Ø 6.26 ct/kWh

0 ct/kWh

1 ct/kWh

2 ct/kWh

3 ct/kWh

4 ct/kWh

5 ct/kWh

6 ct/kWh

7 ct/kWh

8 ct/kWh

May 2017 Aug 2017 Nov 2017 Feb 2018 May 2018 Aug 2018 Okt 2018

Round 17-1 Round 17-2 Round 17-3 Round 18-1 Round 18-2 Round 18-3 Round 18-4

Predominantly BEG-Projects without

BImSchG-Approval

Exclusively Projects with BImSchG-Approval

Bid

an

d A

ward

Valu

es

Average Capacity-weighted Award Values

Range of Award Values

Ⱶ Range of Bid Values

Page 10: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

10

Permitted Capacity and Future Tender Rounds

With the Omnibus Energy Act (German:

Energiesammelgesetz) the tender volumes of the

next three years for land-based wind energy was

significantly increased through the establishment

of special calls for tenders. In 2019, a total

capacity of 3,675 MW is to be awarded,

4,100 MW and 4,250 MW, respectively, are

announced for 2020 and 2021. Projects have an

additional possibility to persevere against PV in

combined tenders.

To fill named tender volumes, a sufficient number

of approved projects have to participate.

Following BNetzA, by the 2019-01-11 deadline

for the February 2019 round 1,840 MW were

reported as approved and are therefore eligible

for participation. About half of that (914 MW)

falls on WTG for which the installation deadline

to participate in the transitional system at the

end of 2018 expired and which as a result can

now participate in the tenders to secure funding

for themselves. The other half is comprised of

projects that were approved starting in 2017 but

did not receive an award to date, as well as

projects with older approvals that declined

participation in the transitional system from the

onset.

Tender Volume 2019 to 2022 (according to the EEG

and EnSaG)

0 MW

200 MW

400 MW

600 MW

800 MW

1,000 MW

Jan

May

Sep

Jan

May

Sep

Jan

May

Sep

Jan

May

Sep

2019 2020 2021 2022

Ten

der

Vo

lum

e

Regular Tender Special Tender Combined Tenders

Monthly Permit Amount since 2016 (Database: BNetzA installations core data, Version 11/18)

0 MW

500 MW

1,000 MW

1,500 MW

2,000 MW

2,500 MW

3,000 MW

3,500 MW

4,000 MW

4,500 MW

5,000 MW

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May

Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

2016 2017 2018

Cap

acit

y

Time of Permission

Page 11: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018

11

Monthly Power Production and Market Values

According to the data forecasted by transmission

grid operators, land-based wind turbine

generators in Germany produced 89.5 TWh of

electricity over the course of 2018. Compared to

the previous year this is equivalent to an increase

of 4%.

The average volume-weighted power market

proceeds per kilowatt-hour for land-based wind

energy (monthly market values) increased from

about 3 € cents/kWh to up to 5.2 € cents/kWh

since May of 2018. Overall, the average volume-

weighted power market value of 3.7 € cents/kWh

for 2018 was 37% above the 2.7 € cents/kWh

from the previous year.

Monthly Market Values for Land-based Wind Energy

(Database: Netztransparenz)

0 ct/kWh

1 ct/kWh

2 ct/kWh

3 ct/kWh

4 ct/kWh

5 ct/kWh

6 ct/kWh

Jan

Feb

Mar

Ap

r

May Jun

Jul

Au

g

Sep

Oct

No

v

De

c

Mar

ket

Val

ue

Market Value Land-based Wind Energy 2018

Market Value Land-based Wind Energy 2017

Projection of Power Production by Land-based WTG (Database: Netztransparenz: Projection Data)

0 TWh

20 TWh

40 TWh

60 TWh

80 TWh

100 TWh

120 TWh

140 TWh

0 TWh

2 TWh

4 TWh

6 TWh

8 TWh

10 TWh

12 TWh

14 TWh

Cu

mu

lati

ve P

rod

ucti

on

Mo

nth

ly P

rod

ucti

on

Monthly Production 2018 Monthly Production 2017

Cumulative Production 2018 Cumulative Production 2017

Page 12: Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in …...Status of Land-based Wind Energy Development in Germany - Year 2018 Notes The data from 2012 onward was obtained through surveys

About Deutsche WindGuard

In a complex energy market WindGuard is committed to providing extensive scientific, technical, and operational

services which are unbiased and manufacturer-independent. Over 40 services lead to extraordinary synergistic

effects between departments. Whether due diligence, market analysis, contract & tenders or feasibility studies:

every single one of them contains the expertise and knowhow of the whole WindGuard Group. WindGuard has

been publishing the semi-annual statistics on wind energy development since 2012.

About Bundesverband Windenergie e.V. (BWE)

BWE, a member of Bundesverband Erneuerbare Energie [German Renewable Energy Federation (BEE)] with more

than 20,000 members, represents the entire industry. Members of BWE include the mechanical engineering

industry's suppliers and manufacturers; project developers; specialist jurists; the financial sector; companies from

the fields of logistics, construction, service/maintenance and storage technology; electricity traders; network

operators; and energy suppliers. As a result, BWE is the primary contact for politics and business, science and the

media.

About VDMA Power Systems

VDMA Power Systems is a division of the non-profit German Engineering Federation (VDMA). The association

represents the interests of manufacturers of wind turbines and hydroelectric plants, fuel cells, gas/steam turbines

and plants and engine systems at home and abroad. VDMA Power Systems serves them all as an information and

communication platform for all industry issues, such as energy policy, energy policy, legislation, market analyses,

trade fairs, standardisation, and press and public relations.