stats project girls generation
TRANSCRIPT
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STATISTICS PROJECT THE
INVESTIGATIONOF GIRLS
GENERATIONS POPULARITY
Minh Vu Jacob Roethel
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OBJECTIVEOF THE STUDY
Girls Generation is a 9 member girls group from
South Korea They are currently among the most successful
Girls Group in South Korea with large sales
volumes, numerous awards won
However, there are hints that the members in thegroup are not equally liked by fans
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OBJECTIVEOFTHESTUDY (CONT.)
Individual Members Thread Message sent on
Soshified.com (as of 9:30pm April 25th 2010)
(1) Taeyeon: 115,551
(2) Sooyoung: 45,947 (3) Sunny: 47,135
(4) Tiffany: 78,327
(5) Yuri: 70,430
(6) Hyoyeon: 30,697
(7) Jessica: 70,856
(8) Seohyun: 42,437
(9) Yoona: 77,616
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OBJECTIVEOFTHESTUDY (CONT.)
Daum Fan Caf Ranking of Individual Korean Pop
artists (as of April 5th 2010)
(1) Taeyeon: #5
(2) Sooyoung: #50 (3) Sunny: #44
(4) Tiffany: #16
(5) Yuri: #26
(6) Hyoyeon: #63
(7) Jessica: #12
(8) Seohyun: #34
(9) Yoona: #8
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OBJECTIVEOFTHESTUDY (CONT.)
There are quite a difference between the above
numbers. Objective: Determine whether or not the members
of Girls Generation are equally like by fans.
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STATEMENTSOF NULLAND ALTERNATE
HYPOTHESES
Each member is a treatment
Fans are asked to grade each member in Girls
Generation
We are interested in comparing the 9 mean scoresof the 9 members
Ho: u1=u2=u3=u4=u5=u6=u7=u8=u9
H1: The mean scores are not equal
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DEFINITION & IMPACTOF TYPE 1 & 2 ERRORS
Type 1 Error: Rejecting the Null Hypothesis Howhen it is true
Impact: Might put some members into unnecessaryextra training session, pressure.
Type 2 Error: Accepting the Null Hypothesis whenit is false Unspoken Conflict
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SELECTIONOF
SIGNIFICANCE
LEVEL
Since this is a
Market Research
project => Level of
significance of 0.05
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IDENTIFICATIONOF POPULATION
The collection of all Scores
that all fans in the worldgive to (1) Taeyeon is
Population 1
The collection of all Scores
that all fans in the worldgive to (2) Sooyoung is
Population 2
And so on..
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SAMPLE SIZE CALCULATION
At Least 30 in order to satisfy
the Normal DistributionAssumption for ANOVA
Each respondents are requiredto give score for eachindividual member
=> Same group of peoplegrading each member results insame Standard Deviation foreach members set of score
=> Respondent As score for (1)
Taeyeon has nothing to do withhis/her score to (2) Sooyoungand so on. => Each membersset of score is independent.
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DATA COLLECTION METHOD
Survey: Ask each respondent to
grade each member in
terms of 4 attribute:
Singing, Dancing, Look,
Charisma Each attribute is worth 10
points. The Total score is
then added up from single
attribute and has a
maximum value of 40
This total score is what
constitutes the population
for each treatment.
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DATA COLLECTION METHOD (CONT.)
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DATA COLLECTION METHOD (CONT.)
Survey is designed using monkeysurvey.com. The
survey is also hosted by monkeysurvey.com
Use Soshified.com, Allkpop.com, Thaisoshi.com
and our personal networking to distribute the
survey.
We have 197 respondents from US, Korea,
Canada, Hong Kong, Thailand, Vietnam, China,
Philippines, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore,
Australia, Peru, Germany, Russia, Netherlands,New Zealand, Switzerland
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SELECTIONOF STATISTICAL TECHNIQUE
Since we are comparing 9 population means and
we have single factor, we are going to use One-way
ANOVA which involves the use of F-statistics
Using Excel/Data/Data Analysis/
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ANOVA TABLE
F critical
F observe
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RESULT/CONCLUSION
0.9604648 < 1.9600385 => F observe < F Crit
=> at level of significance of 0.05, we do
not reject the Null Hypothesis
We can conclude that all Girls Generation memberare equally liked by all the fans in the world. The
number at the fan forum is misleading.
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RECOMMENDATION
The company is on the right track. Keep on
promoting each member equally (have relatively
equal screen time, equal solo dance, equal singing
line, equal appearance on TV Shows)