statistics of kolkata paise restaurant problemsitabhra/meetings/school...statistics of kolkata paise...

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Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators: Anindya Sundar Chakrabari (ISI) Arnab chatterjee (ICTP) Asim Ghosh (SINP) Manipushpak Mitra (ISI) Main Publication: The kolkata paise restaurant problem and resource utilization, Physica A 388 (2009) Kolkata paise restaurant problem ,Wolfram Demonstration (http://demonstrations.wolfram.com/KolkataPaiseRestaurantKPRProblem/)

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Page 1: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Statistics of Kolkata PaiseRestaurant Problem

Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata

Collaborators:Anindya Sundar Chakrabari (ISI)Arnab chatterjee (ICTP)Asim Ghosh (SINP)Manipushpak Mitra (ISI)

Main Publication: The kolkata paise restaurant problem and resource utilization, Physica

A 388 (2009) Kolkata paise restaurant problem ,Wolfram Demonstration

(http://demonstrations.wolfram.com/KolkataPaiseRestaurantKPRProblem/)

Page 2: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Plan Of The Talk What is KPR ? Random choice case. Avoiding-past-crowd choice

a) Deterministic b) Probabilistic Strict-rank-dependent choice. Summary and discussion.

Page 3: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

What is KPR ?

There are agents and equally priced but differently ranked (agreed by all) restaurants, each capable of serving lunch to only one agent each evening.

If , on any evening, more than one person arrive at the same restaurant, one of them, chosen randomly, gets food; rest do not get food that evening.

No interaction (parallel discussion among the agents). A repeated game. Information regarding the agent distributions for previous

evenings are available to everyone. Each agent wants to get food most evenings , and that too at

the higher ranked restaurants!

N N

Page 4: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

The strategy chosen by each agent…..

corresponds to random choice

corresponds to strict rank-dependent choice

corresponds to avoiding-past-crowd choice

( 1)1( ) exp kk

n tp t kz T

1

( 1)expN

k

k

n tz kT

thk

0,T

, 0T

Let the probability to arrive at the ranked restaurantbe:

;

1,T

0, 0T

Page 5: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Random-choice….. Here we take agents and

restaurants. Any agent selects any restaurant with

probability . Probability that a single restaurant is

chosen by agents is given by

N N

1( ) (1 ) ;

exp( )!

m N m

m

ND m p p p

m N

m

N

1P =N

m

Page 6: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

continued…..

Fraction of restaurants not chosen by any agents is given by

for

The fraction of utilization will be Gaussian around this average.

Distribution D of customers getting dinner any evening

D(f)

ff: fraction of customers

1 exp( )0.63

f

1

Page 7: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Strict-rank-dependent choice An agent goes to the -th restaurant

with probability

[ ]

In this case, fraction of successful customers or restaurants is around for .

( )kkp t

k

T

1

k

0.58

Page 8: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Analytical result for strict-rank-dependent choice…..

We make pairs of restaurants and each pair has restaurant ranked and where .

An agent chooses any pair with probability , giving

The fraction of pairs selected by the agents

/ 2Nk

1N k 1 / 2k N

2 /p N

0 1 exp( ) 0.86f

2

Page 9: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

continued…. Expected number of restaurants

occupied in a pair of restaurants with rank and by a pair of agents is

.

k 1N k

2 2

2 2 2

( 1 ) ( 1 )1 1 2 2( 1) ( 1) ( 1)k

k N k k N kEN N N

Page 10: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

continued….. Therefore, the

fraction of restaurants occupied by pairs of agents is

Actual fraction of restaurant occupied by the agent is

Distribution D of customers getting dinner any evening

D(f)

ff: fraction of customers

11,.... /2

1 0.67kk N

f EN

0 1. 0.58f f f

Page 11: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Avoiding-past-crowd choice:a) Strict avoidance In this case an agent completely

avoids the past crowd. Therefore an agent only chooses

from the vacant restaurants in previous evening.

The fraction of restaurants visited by the agents in the last evening is avoided by the agents this evening.

( )f

Page 12: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Continued…. Therefore in this case restaurants

remain to choose from. Agents choose randomly among those

restaurants with Therefore we get the equation for as

Solution of this equation gives

(1 )N f

1/ (1 )f

f

1(1 ) 1 exp1

f ff

0.46f

Page 13: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

continued…

Avoiding-past-crowd choice

In this case and

. Simulations have

been done for and averaging over time steps

Distribution D of customers getting dinner any evening

D(f)

ff: fraction of customers

0 0T

1000N 610

Page 14: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

continued...

Utilization against the noise parameter…

Page 15: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Avoiding-Past-Crowd: b) Probabilistic Choice

Typical prospective customer (agent) distribution on any evening

Page 16: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

Discussion… Here we consider agents who, on every evening

, , attempt to choose form equally priced restaurants having well defined ranking.

The KPR problem has a trivial solution (dictated from out side) where each agent gets into one of the respective restaurants.

In KPR game, it can be extremely difficult. Social Utilization fraction is seen to be more for

relatively stupid stochastic strategies (e.g. random choice or probabilistic past-crowd avoidance case) compared to all the smarter strategies considered here!

( )tN

N

Page 17: Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problemsitabhra/meetings/school...Statistics of Kolkata Paise Restaurant Problem Bikas K Chakrabarti, Saha Inst. Nucl. Phys., Kolkata Collaborators:

THANK YOU