state of the future: outlook for humanity in the year 2020
TRANSCRIPT
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State of the FutureOutlook for humanity in the year 2020.
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Humanity:The human species.
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Outlook: 2020Introduction
BetterWorse
UncertainHow to Improve
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The best way to predict the future is to create it.“ ”~ Peter Drucker
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To enable thinkers, political personalities,
scientists and lay-people to share an informed,
serious dialogue on what the future will be like.
“
”~ World Future Society Mission
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Forecasts, Trends, and Ideas about the Future
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Richer
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Healthier
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Educated
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Peaceful
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Connected
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1/2
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Catastrophe:is an extremely large scale disaster.
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Current trends:
PopulationGrowth
ResourceDepletion
ClimateChange
Terrorism OrganizedCrime
Disease
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2020?
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The Millennium
Project
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Think tank:is an organization that conducts research.
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Outlook 2020:Better
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
Better
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Clean Water
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1 in 8
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3.6 milliondie
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy
Better
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Adult Literacy:is the percentage of people 15 and above who can read and write a short simple statement on their everyday life.
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Adult Literacy
>97
% % % % % % % %90~97 80~90 70~80 60~70 50~60 35~50 <35
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty
Better
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Destitution:is the inability to afford basic human needs.
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1.7 billion
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>2
% % % % % % % %2~5 6~20 21~40 41~60 61~80 Over 80 N/A
Poverty
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth
Better
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Overpopulation
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1804 1927 1999 2010
Population Growth7 billion
6 billion
2 billion1 billion
+123 +72 +11
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth Doctors
Better
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Health CareProviders
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HealthKnowledge
Doubles every 5 Years
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth Doctors
InternetUsers
Better
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34%
Internet Users
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456 million
Internet Users
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Internet Users
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth Doctors
InternetUsers
InfantDeaths
Better
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Infant mortality rate:is the number of deaths of infants underone year old per 1,000 live births.
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World 49
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Japan 3
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Angola 180
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Where is Angola?
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Angola
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Angola60%
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth Doctors
InternetUsers
InfantDeaths
LifeExpectancy
Better
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Life expectancy:is the average number of years of life.
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Japan 83
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Swaziland 32
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth Doctors
InternetUsers
InfantDeaths
LifeExpectancy
ArmedConflict
Better
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Armed conflict:with more than 1,000 deaths per year.
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Armed Conflict
Over 1,000 deaths per year:
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth Doctors
InternetUsers
InfantDeaths
LifeExpectancy
ArmedConflict Hunger
Better
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Undernourishment:supplied with less than the minimum amount of foods essential for sound health.
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#1 HealthRisk
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1 in 7
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Better2020
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Outlook 2020:
CleanWater
AdultLiteracy Poverty Population
Growth Doctors
InternetUsers
InfantDeaths
LifeExpectancy
ArmedConflict Hunger
Better
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Outlook 2020:Worse
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Outlook 2020:Worse
Green-houseGas Emissions
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Greenhouse gasses:caused by the burning of fossil fuels.
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Must Cut 80%
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Did you know?
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18%of human related
greenhouse gasses
The meat industry produces
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More than the transportation industry.
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Which country is thelargest investor in
clean energy?
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China$51 billion
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Outlook 2020:
Green-houseGas Emissions Temperature
Worse
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Global surface temperaturehas increased each decade since 1970. 2010 was the warmest year on record.
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Melting polar ice caps.
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New York?
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Outlook 2020:
Green-houseGas Emissions Temperature Illicid
Trade
Worse
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Illicid trade:
trade that is forbidden by law.
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Governmentcorruption and bribes:
$1 trillion
Illicid trade:
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Governmentcorruption and bribes:
$2 trillion
Money laundering:
the process of disguising illegal moneyso that it looks like it comes from legal sources.
$1 trillion
Illicid trade:
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Governmentcorruption and bribes:
$2.4 trillion
Money laundering:
Global drug trade: $400 billion
Illicid trade:
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Governmentcorruption and bribes:
$2.7 trillion
Money laundering:
Global drug trade:
Intellectual property piracy: $300 billion
Illicid trade:
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Governmentcorruption and bribes:
$2.9 trillion
Money laundering:
Global drug trade:
Intellectual property piracy:
Human trafficking:$200 billion
Illicid trade:
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Governmentcorruption and bribes:
$2.99 trillion
Money laundering:
Global drug trade:
Intellectual property piracy:
Human trafficking:
Smuggling:
the illegal movement of goods or persons across international boarders.
$90 billion
Illicid trade:
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Governmentcorruption and bribes:
$3 trillion
Money laundering:
Global drug trade:
Intellectual property piracy:
Human trafficking:
Smuggling:
Weapons trade: $10 billion
Illicid trade:
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$3 trillionIn 2011 illicid trade was about:
Illicid trade:
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Double allthe military budgets in the world.
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Outlook 2020:
Green-houseGas Emissions Temperature Illicid
Trade
TerroristAttacks
Worse
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Biological weapons
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Terrorist Incidences
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Outlook 2020:
Green-houseGas Emissions Temperature Illicid
Trade
TerroristAttacks Refugees
Worse
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Refugees:are people who go to a foreign country to escape danger.
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Worse2020
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Outlook 2020:
Green-houseGas Emissions Temperature Illicid
Trade
TerroristAttacks Refugees
Worse
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Outlook 2020:Uncertain
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Outlook 2020:
Transition toRenewable Energy
Uncertain
?
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Renewable Energy:is energy which comes from natural resources such as sunlight, wind, rain, tides, and geothermal heat.
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16%
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Outlook 2020:
Transition toRenewable Energy
Uncertain
? ?People living in
democratic countries
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Democracy:is a form of government in which all adult citizens have an equal say in the decisions that affect their lives.
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123 (democratic countries out of 195 total)
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Democratic Countries
Electoral democracies:
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Outlook 2020:
Transition toRenewable Energy
Uncertain
? ?People living in
democratic countries
?Forest land
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Deforestation:is the removal of a forest where the land is converted to a non-forest use.
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Deforestation:Yearly an area larger thanTaiwan
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Uncertain2020
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Outlook 2020:
Transition toRenewable Energy
Uncertain
? ?People living in
democratic countries
?Forest land
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How to Improve
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Transnational:going beyond national boundaries.
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1/2
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For more information:World Future Society:http://www.wfs.orgThe Millennium Project:http://www.millennium-project.org